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Gargzdai vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:10
Final 104-109 (OT)
16-30 23-23 22-13 24-19 19-24
Position#5
Record12-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
Position#8
Record7-21
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game94.1
LithuaniaLKL· Gargzdu arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Gargzdai v Jonava
13 Mar 2027
GAR v JON
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
GAR v JON
upcoming
02 May 2026
GAR104
JON109
30 Oct 2025
GAR84
JON88
04 Oct 2025
GAR103
JON73
12 Nov 2023
GAR86
JON80
15 Jan 2023
GAR68
JON69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
87avg 75
A17/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 75
H07/03
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
81-70
81
70
+11
77avg 75
H14/03
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
93avg 75
H21/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-98
77
98
-21
63avg 75
A29/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
64-89
64
89
-25
53avg 75
H12/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
78-81
78
81
-3
70avg 75
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
94avg 75
A18/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-85
77
85
-8
68avg 75
A22/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
90-85
90
85
+5
90avg 75
A26/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
22-27
25-22
23-25
23-30
19-17
22-23
24-11
22-18
11-22
24-21
24-9
21-24
21-25
24-16
23-17
29-20
12-25
22-24
14-29
18-21
11-22
20-29
15-17
17-14
19-24
19-26
23-17
27-22
13-26
22-23
22-13
31-34
9-21
22-14
15-16
21-24
23-12
17-25
29-24
170.1Avg total
83.7Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.186.8168.9-4.743%
Season at home (14)82.182.2164.4-0.150%
Season away (14)82.091.4173.4-9.436%
Last 10 (10)83.786.4170.1-2.750%
Last 5 (5)82.487.6170.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.886.3162.1-10.527%
vs Similar (11)86.786.3173.0+0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.186.8172.9-0.650%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#5
W
95-90
95
90
+5
87avg 75
H17/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
90-97
90
97
-7
82avg 75
A08/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
80-91
80
91
-11
65avg 75
A15/03
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
81-64
81
64
+17
74avg 75
H21/03
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
65avg 75
A03/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
86-85
86
85
+1
76avg 75
A11/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
84-101
84
101
-17
77avg 75
H14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
90-89
90
89
+1
81avg 75
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-98
81
98
-17
67avg 75
A22/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
69-67
69
67
+2
63avg 75
H29/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
27-22
22-25
25-23
17-24
22-24
24-25
27-24
26-21
23-27
12-23
19-20
14-19
24-15
19-15
24-15
20-26
23-26
19-21
15-23
16-16
20-28
30-15
20-26
20-34
20-18
20-31
24-18
21-27
31-21
17-19
21-22
13-29
21-20
24-25
23-24
18-15
26-8
9-27
16-17
171.1Avg total
83.3Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.194.1178.2-10.025%
Season at home (14)84.090.8174.8-6.836%
Season away (14)84.397.4181.7-13.114%
Last 10 (10)83.387.8171.1-4.550%
Last 5 (5)82.088.0170.0-6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)83.794.1177.8-10.426%
vs Similar (3)86.786.7173.3+0.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
GargzdaiJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A17/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H07/03
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H14/03
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H21/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A29/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H12/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A18/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A22/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A26/04
LKL
83.8Avg total
38.9Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.143.882.9-4.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.140.979.9-1.840%-
Last 30 away (15)39.146.885.9-7.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.944.983.8-6.010%-
Last 5 (5)37.844.081.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.342.678.9-6.427%-
vs Similar (11)40.045.585.5-5.536%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.643.284.9-1.650%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H17/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A08/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A15/03
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H21/03
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A03/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A11/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A22/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H29/04
LKL
86.3Avg total
42.3Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.646.888.4-5.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.344.686.9-2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)40.849.189.9-8.333%-
Last 10 (10)42.344.086.3-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.284.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)41.247.488.6-6.233%-
vs Similar (3)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.2
52.4%
55.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.5
33.8%
35.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.316.8
75.3%
74.3%16.8
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.3
52.8%
55.4%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.4
35.4%
35.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.513.5
77.1%
74.3%13.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
WLWLLLWWWL
Jonava
WLWLWLWLLW
#5
League position
#8
-3.1
Net rating
-5.2
94.7
Offensive rating
98.2
97.7
Defensive rating
103.4
51.8%
Effective FG%
53.0%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
15.2%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.8%
3-point %
35.4%
57.9%
Assist %
52.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.7 · 98.2Defence97.7 · 103.4Shooting51.8% · 53.0%3-point %33.8% · 35.4%Ball care15.2% · 13.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Gargzdai wins
7
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
17/02/26Jonava v Gargzdai95-90
03/01/26Jonava v Gargzdai75-82
04/12/25Jonava v Gargzdai97-82
30/10/25Gargzdai v Jonava84-88
04/10/25Gargzdai v Jonava103-73
28/12/23Jonava v Gargzdai105-73
12/11/23Gargzdai v Jonava86-80
18/04/23Jonava v Gargzdai67-65
15/01/23Gargzdai v Jonava68-69
28/11/22Jonava v Gargzdai92-85
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26ANevezis90-85
22/04/26AZalgiris Kaunas77-85
18/04/26AJuventus103-98 OT
15/04/26HSiauliai78-81
12/04/26HLietkabelis64-89
29/03/26ARytas77-98
21/03/26HJuventus89-82
14/03/26HNeptunas81-70
07/03/26HNevezis88-81
17/02/26AJonava90-95
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/26HLietkabelis69-67
22/04/26ARytas81-98
18/04/26HNevezis90-89
14/04/26HZalgiris Kaunas84-101
11/04/26AJuventus86-85
03/04/26ASiauliai77-96
21/03/26HNeptunas81-64
15/03/26ALietkabelis80-91
08/03/26AZalgiris Kaunas90-97
17/02/26HGargzdai95-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLLWLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game82.182.182.0
Allowed / game86.882.291.4
Point differential-4.7-0.1-9.4
Avg total168.9164.4173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Jonava
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW25%
HomeWWLWW36%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %25%36%14%
Points / game84.184.084.3
Allowed / game94.190.897.4
Point differential-10.0-6.8-13.1
Avg total178.2174.8181.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2827196%90.575.9+14.6
2 Rytas29191066%92.684.2+8.3
3 Neptunas29161355%92.990.0+2.9
4 Siauliai28151354%86.288.9-2.7
5 Lietkabelis28141450%84.681.5+3.1
6 Gargzdai28121643%82.186.8-4.7
7 Juventus2891932%86.690.0-3.5
8 Nevezis2882029%82.791.2-8.5
9 Jonava2872125%84.194.1-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Gargzdai1623222419104
Jonava3023131924109
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