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Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 99-90
28-29 28-23 27-14 16-24
Position#29
Record10-25
FormLLWLL
Points / game105.9
Allowed / game112.8
vs
Position#13
Record10-25
FormLLLLL
Points / game98.4
Allowed / game101.9
USANBA· Talking Stick Resort Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat
19 Mar 2027
PHX v MIA
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
PHX102
MIA111
06 Nov 2024
PHX115
MIA112
05 Jan 2024
PHX113
MIA97
06 Jan 2023
PHX96
MIA104
08 Jan 2022
PHX100
MIA123
13 Apr 2021
PHX106
MIA86
07 Nov 2019
PHX108
MIA124
07 Dec 2018
PHX98
MIA115
08 Nov 2017
PHX115
MIA126
03 Jan 2017
PHX99
MIA90
08 Jan 2016
PHX95
MIA103
09 Dec 2014
PHX97
MIA103
11 Feb 2014
PHX97
MIA103
17 Nov 2012
PHX88
MIA97
23 Dec 2010
PHX83
MIA95
08 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIA109
28 Nov 2008
PHX92
MIA107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
92-107
92
107
-15
72avg 91
H16/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
101-114
101
114
-13
84avg 91
A17/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
108-115
108
115
-7
90avg 91
A20/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
111-125
111
125
-14
97avg 91
H22/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
123-116
123
116
+7
120avg 91
H24/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
115-131
115
131
-16
98avg 91
A27/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
98-119
98
119
-21
89avg 91
A29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
99-91
99
91
+8
90avg 91
H30/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
86-91
86
91
-5
65avg 91
A01/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
98-109
98
109
-11
80avg 91
A03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
23-28
28-23
21-33
20-30
19-24
30-35
32-25
23-29
31-33
33-29
21-24
26-30
29-31
29-30
27-34
24-31
29-35
28-19
42-31
23-39
20-30
37-38
35-24
27-30
37-28
18-31
16-30
16-18
26-22
34-22
23-29
29-29
22-26
20-21
15-15
26-27
32-37
18-25
22-20
214.9Avg total
103.1Scored
111.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)105.9112.8218.8-6.929%
Season at home (15)105.5110.7216.1-5.240%
Season away (20)106.3114.5220.8-8.220%
Last 10 (10)103.1111.8214.9-8.720%
Last 5 (5)99.2108.2207.4-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)104.4112.6217.0-8.219%
vs Similar (9)110.6113.4224.0-2.956%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
95-89
95
89
+6
93avg 91
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
98-102
98
102
-4
82avg 91
H17/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
95-105
95
105
-10
93avg 91
H18/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
130-136 OT
130
136
-6
111avg 91
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
115-107
115
107
+8
112avg 91
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
87-91
87
91
-4
81avg 91
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
94-106
94
106
-12
74avg 91
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
82-91
82
91
-9
76avg 91
A30/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
114-117
114
117
-3
113avg 91
A31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
98-107
98
107
-9
91avg 91
H01/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
33-31
25-27
17-10
27-31
19-29
23-19
29-23
19-37
22-21
30-19
24-28
28-27
36-30
25-28
20-24
17-25
36-35
29-20
33-27
28-25
21-19
19-20
19-27
19-33
29-28
21-26
25-19
19-21
30-21
17-31
16-18
25-25
23-27
30-30
36-35
37-33
29-25
15-27
17-22
205.9Avg total
100.8Scored
105.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)98.4101.9200.3-3.529%
Season at home (18)101.2103.0204.2-1.828%
Season away (17)95.5100.6196.1-5.229%
Last 10 (10)100.8105.1205.9-4.320%
Last 5 (5)95.0102.4197.4-7.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)90.094.0184.0-4.00%
vs Similar (25)96.8100.9197.6-4.128%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)110.5114.5225.0-4.025%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
Phoenix SunsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H16/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A17/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A20/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H22/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H24/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
43-69
43
69
-26
A27/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H30/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A01/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A03/01
NBA
108.2Avg total
50.2Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.055.9106.9-4.937%-
Last 30 at home (12)50.252.6102.8-2.458%-
Last 30 away (18)51.658.2109.7-6.622%-
Last 10 (10)50.258.0108.2-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)51.657.2108.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)50.656.6107.2-6.033%-
vs Similar (9)51.954.4106.3-2.644%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H17/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H18/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A30/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H01/01
NBA
106.1Avg total
51.7Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.352.5101.9-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.354.2104.5-3.933%-
Last 30 away (15)48.350.999.2-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)51.754.4106.1-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)52.051.4103.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.055.095.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (25)49.052.2101.2-3.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)54.054.0108.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 103.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.630.7
46.8%
50.2%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.0
36.4%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.617.7
75.0%
77.0%17.7
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 100.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.229.9
49.7%
50.2%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.5
37.7%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.712.5
63.5%
77.0%12.5
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLWLLWLLLL
Miami Heat
LLLLLWLLLW
#29
League position
#13
-8.6
Net rating
-4.3
102.2
Offensive rating
101.5
110.8
Defensive rating
105.8
48.7%
Effective FG%
51.7%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.2%
Turnover %
13.0%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
19.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.4%
3-point %
37.7%
46.5%
Assist %
58.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 101.5Defence110.8 · 105.8Shooting48.7% · 51.7%3-point %36.4% · 37.7%Ball care15.2% · 13.0%Off. rebounds27.1% · 19.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Phoenix Suns wins
10
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/17ALos Angeles Clippers98-109
01/01/17AUtah Jazz86-91
30/12/16HToronto Raptors99-91
29/12/16ASan Antonio Spurs98-119
27/12/16AHouston Rockets115-131
24/12/16HPhiladelphia 76ers123-116
22/12/16HHouston Rockets111-125
20/12/16AMinnesota Timberwolves108-115
17/12/16AOklahoma City Thunder101-114
16/12/16HSan Antonio Spurs92-107
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/17HDetroit Pistons98-107
31/12/16ABoston Celtics114-117
30/12/16ACharlotte Hornets82-91
28/12/16HOklahoma City Thunder94-106
24/12/16ANew Orleans Pelicans87-91
23/12/16HLos Angeles Lakers115-107
21/12/16HOrlando Magic130-136 OT
18/12/16HBoston Celtics95-105
17/12/16HLos Angeles Clippers98-102
15/12/16HIndiana Pacers95-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeWLLWW40%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351520
Win %29%40%20%
Points / game105.9105.5106.3
Allowed / game112.8110.7114.5
Point differential-6.9-5.2-8.2
Avg total218.8216.1220.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%0%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)75% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %14%20%10%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLLWLL28%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %29%28%29%
Points / game98.4101.295.5
Allowed / game101.9103.0100.6
Point differential-3.5-1.8-5.2
Avg total200.3204.2196.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%17%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)0% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3530586%117.3104.7+12.6
2 San Antonio Spurs3528780%105.597.8+7.7
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3326779%110.3103.0+7.3
4 Houston Rockets3627975%114.6106.7+7.9
5 Toronto Raptors34231168%110.3103.4+6.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers37231462%108.0102.9+5.1
7 Utah Jazz36221461%99.195.1+4.0
8 Memphis Grizzlies36221461%98.697.6+0.9
9 Boston Celtics35211460%106.4104.3+2.1
10 Oklahoma City Thunder35211460%106.0104.4+1.6
11 Charlotte Hornets35191654%105.1103.0+2.1
12 Atlanta Hawks34181653%102.3103.9-1.6
13 Milwaukee Bucks33171652%104.9102.4+2.5
14 Indiana Pacers36181850%104.9106.1-1.1
15 Chicago Bulls35171849%101.0100.9+0.1
16 Washington Wizards34161847%105.2106.2-1.0
17 New York Knicks34161847%105.4108.5-3.1
18 Orlando Magic36162044%99.4103.4-4.0
19 Detroit Pistons37162143%99.299.3-0.1
20 Sacramento Kings33141942%101.8104.3-2.5
21 Portland Trail Blazers36152142%107.3110.9-3.6
22 Denver Nuggets34142041%108.2110.2-2.0
23 New Orleans Pelicans36142239%102.3105.5-3.2
24 Los Angeles Lakers37122532%104.2110.4-6.2
25 Minnesota Timberwolves35112431%103.3105.0-1.6
26 Dallas Mavericks35112431%95.6100.7-5.1
27 Miami Heat35102529%98.4101.9-3.5
28 Phoenix Suns35102529%105.9112.8-6.9
29 Philadelphia 76ers3392427%98.8106.1-7.2
30 Brooklyn Nets3382524%105.5114.0-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns2828271699
Miami Heat2923142490
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