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Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2015
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 115-79
23-27 38-22 33-11 21-19
Position#3
Record28-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game99.8
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Position#21
Record18-23
FormLWLLL
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game99.4
USANBA
NBA2014-15
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Miami Heat
28 Feb 2027
HOU v MIA
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
HOU123
MIA122
29 Dec 2024
HOU100
MIA104
05 Apr 2024
HOU104
MIA119
20 Oct 2023
HOU110
MIA104
15 Dec 2022
HOU108
MIA111
31 Dec 2021
HOU110
MIA120
07 Oct 2021
HOU106
MIA113
11 Feb 2021
HOU94
MIA101
27 Nov 2019
HOU117
MIA108
28 Feb 2019
HOU121
MIA118
22 Jan 2018
HOU99
MIA90
15 Feb 2017
HOU109
MIA117
02 Feb 2016
HOU115
MIA102
17 Oct 2015
HOU100
MIA105
03 Jan 2015
HOU115
MIA79
04 Mar 2014
HOU106
MIA103
12 Nov 2012
HOU110
MIA113
29 Dec 2010
HOU119
MIA125
15 Jan 2010
HOU106
MIA115
17 Jan 2009
HOU93
MIA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#24
W
108-96
108
96
+12
H14/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
W
115-111 OT
115
111
+4
A18/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#13
L
90-99
90
99
-9
H19/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#2
L
97-104
97
104
-7
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
W
110-95
110
95
+15
H23/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
A27/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#6
L
106-110
106
110
-4
A29/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
L
103-104
103
104
-1
H30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
102-83
102
83
+19
H01/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#13
L
83-111
83
111
-28
A03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
33-17
26-25
28-23
25-29
30-31
20-18
24-21
22-21
17-25
29-19
22-34
26-32
14-20
34-22
23-30
37-33
36-20
23-23
14-19
24-31
26-26
29-24
25-23
33-28
22-28
29-29
22-25
27-24
18-22
22-32
36-26
23-25
24-20
29-23
26-15
20-29
22-30
18-30
23-22
205.5Avg total
103.1Scored
102.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)99.897.0196.8+2.870%
Season at home (21)97.792.9190.5+4.871%
Season away (19)102.2101.5203.6+0.768%
Last 10 (10)103.1102.4205.5+0.750%
Last 5 (5)102.2103.8206.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.0101.5191.5-11.50%
vs Similar (16)98.298.6196.8-0.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)104.296.3200.5+7.892%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#10
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H14/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#19
W
95-91
95
91
+4
A17/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
87-105
87
105
-18
H18/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
L
103-105
103
105
-2
H20/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
100-84
100
84
+16
H21/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
87-91
87
91
-4
H24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
101-91
101
91
+10
H25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
95-103
95
103
-8
H28/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
101-102
101
102
-1
H30/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
L
95-106
95
106
-11
A31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
14-25
16-33
27-21
33-25
22-20
21-21
19-25
16-33
25-22
18-22
28-28
25-29
30-25
24-22
24-29
28-21
24-21
20-19
28-23
32-19
25-23
21-31
9-18
30-27
32-22
15-25
24-17
16-27
25-30
28-15
26-31
25-26
28-24
24-27
24-25
24-20
27-22
19-36
25-28
191.0Avg total
93.9Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)96.499.4195.8-2.944%
Season at home (24)96.5100.1196.5-3.633%
Season away (17)96.498.4194.8-1.959%
Last 10 (10)93.997.1191.0-3.230%
Last 5 (5)95.898.6194.4-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)94.9104.4199.3-9.520%
vs Similar (17)92.596.4188.9-3.941%
vs Weaker (3)91.787.3179.0+4.367%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
Houston RocketsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#24
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H14/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A18/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H19/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#2
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
W
73-53
73
53
+20
H23/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A27/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#6
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A29/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H01/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#13
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A03/01
NBA
102.2Avg total
50.0Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.849.1100.0+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.046.598.5+5.571%-
Last 30 away (13)49.352.5101.8-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)50.052.2102.2-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)47.852.6100.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.047.098.0+4.050%-
vs Similar (16)50.348.498.7+1.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)51.550.5102.0+1.067%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#10
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H14/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#19
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A17/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H18/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H20/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H21/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
62-49
62
49
+13
H25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H28/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H30/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A31/12
NBA
97.4Avg total
49.9Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.348.898.1+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.448.998.4+0.562%-
Last 30 away (14)49.248.697.9+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)49.947.597.4+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)52.848.0100.8+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)49.453.7103.1-4.330%-
vs Similar (17)49.147.696.7+1.459%-
vs Weaker (3)50.739.089.7+11.7100%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Houston Rockets wins
8
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/15ANew Orleans Pelicans83-111
01/01/15HCharlotte Hornets102-83
30/12/14HWashington Wizards103-104
29/12/14ASan Antonio Spurs106-110
27/12/14AMemphis Grizzlies117-111 OT
23/12/14HPortland Trail Blazers110-95
21/12/14HAtlanta Hawks97-104
19/12/14HNew Orleans Pelicans90-99
18/12/14ADenver Nuggets115-111 OT
14/12/14HDenver Nuggets108-96
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/14AIndiana Pacers95-106
30/12/14HOrlando Magic101-102
28/12/14HMemphis Grizzlies95-103
25/12/14HCleveland Cavaliers101-91
24/12/14HPhiladelphia 76ers87-91
21/12/14HBoston Celtics100-84
20/12/14HWashington Wizards103-105
18/12/14HUtah Jazz87-105
17/12/14ABrooklyn Nets95-91
14/12/14HChicago Bulls75-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL70%
HomeLLWLW71%
AwayWWWLL68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %70%71%68%
Points / game99.897.7102.2
Allowed / game97.092.9101.5
Point differential+2.9+4.8+0.7
Avg total196.8190.5203.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won79% (14)83% (6)75% (8)
Overtime %10%0%21%
Miami Heat
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeWLWLL33%
AwayWLWWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412417
Win %44%33%59%
Points / game96.496.596.4
Allowed / game99.4100.198.4
Point differential-2.9-3.6-1.9
Avg total195.8196.5194.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)43% (7)100% (3)
Overtime %7%8%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3932782%109.198.7+10.4
2 Toronto Raptors40301075%106.399.5+6.7
3 Portland Trail Blazers39291074%102.796.4+6.4
4 Atlanta Hawks39281172%101.997.6+4.3
5 Houston Rockets40281270%99.897.0+2.9
6 Dallas Mavericks42281467%108.8102.4+6.5
7 Memphis Grizzlies39261367%101.298.2+3.0
8 Chicago Bulls41271466%101.898.0+3.7
9 Washington Wizards39251464%98.396.7+1.6
10 Cleveland Cavaliers39231659%101.799.7+2.0
11 Los Angeles Clippers41241759%104.6101.7+2.9
12 Phoenix Suns41231856%106.5103.7+2.8
13 New Orleans Pelicans40221855%101.299.2+2.0
14 San Antonio Spurs39211854%101.899.9+1.9
15 Brooklyn Nets37191851%97.498.6-1.3
16 Milwaukee Bucks41202149%98.599.0-0.6
17 Oklahoma City Thunder41192246%99.599.7-0.2
18 Miami Heat41182344%96.499.4-2.9
19 Boston Celtics38162242%102.3101.6+0.7
20 Sacramento Kings39162341%102.1104.3-2.1
21 Indiana Pacers41162539%94.896.0-1.2
22 Utah Jazz41162539%97.298.7-1.4
23 Denver Nuggets41152637%100.7104.0-3.3
24 Orlando Magic44162836%94.199.0-4.9
25 Detroit Pistons39142536%96.798.8-2.2
26 Charlotte Hornets43142933%95.199.5-4.4
27 Los Angeles Lakers41132832%101.1108.1-7.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves38102826%100.1107.2-7.1
29 New York Knicks4283419%93.299.8-6.6
30 Philadelphia 76ers3963315%91.3102.7-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets23383321115
Miami Heat2722111979
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