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Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Oct 2015
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 100-105
33-27 29-29 22-20 16-29
Position#18
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game110.6
Allowed / game109.8
vs
Position#9
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game94.8
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Miami Heat
28 Feb 2027
HOU v MIA
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
HOU123
MIA122
29 Dec 2024
HOU100
MIA104
05 Apr 2024
HOU104
MIA119
20 Oct 2023
HOU110
MIA104
15 Dec 2022
HOU108
MIA111
31 Dec 2021
HOU110
MIA120
07 Oct 2021
HOU106
MIA113
11 Feb 2021
HOU94
MIA101
27 Nov 2019
HOU117
MIA108
28 Feb 2019
HOU121
MIA118
22 Jan 2018
HOU99
MIA90
15 Feb 2017
HOU109
MIA117
02 Feb 2016
HOU115
MIA102
17 Oct 2015
HOU100
MIA105
03 Jan 2015
HOU115
MIA79
04 Mar 2014
HOU106
MIA103
12 Nov 2012
HOU110
MIA113
29 Dec 2010
HOU119
MIA125
15 Jan 2010
HOU106
MIA115
17 Jan 2009
HOU93
MIA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
90-104
90
104
-14
A28/05
NBA
NBA D-League
#13
W
111-104
111
104
+7
H11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#7
W
108-89
108
89
+19
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
H14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
93-97
93
97
-4
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A07/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
109-82
109
82
+27
H08/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
119-123
119
123
-4
H12/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
135-129 OT
135
129
+6
A14/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
101-123
101
123
-22
A16/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
24-35
22-22
22-30
19-23
36-26
32-21
24-34
30-19
27-26
22-27
29-17
24-14
12-27
18-21
33-33
21-27
23-24
22-23
27-23
20-31
28-12
17-30
24-19
34-23
33-24
24-22
18-13
38-21
33-32
20-37
28-33
27-30
28-23
42-27
20-37
25-34
28-48
24-23
24-18
208.0Avg total
104.2Scored
103.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)110.6109.8220.4+0.840%
Season at home (2)114.0102.5216.5+11.550%
Season away (3)108.3114.7223.0-6.333%
Last 10 (10)104.2103.8208.0+0.440%
Last 5 (5)110.6109.8220.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)98.6108.7207.3-10.114%
vs Similar ◀ (20)110.7106.8217.6+3.965%
vs Weaker (3)109.3105.3214.7+4.067%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H08/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Detroit Pistons
#7
W
91-68
91
68
+23
H10/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Utah Jazz
#17
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Boston Celtics
#3
L
69-101
69
101
-32
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
77-90
77
90
-13
H04/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
97-100
97
100
-3
H07/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H12/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
A13/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
21-11
29-18
17-28
17-15
24-9
29-26
21-18
19-18
20-17
20-20
23-24
21-16
20-20
24-25
18-25
16-22
21-26
18-17
14-36
19-23
21-19
13-18
11-15
22-26
24-23
17-20
14-21
24-23
24-28
18-23
31-26
22-25
31-33
18-26
26-10
17-20
23-25
16-17
25-19
171.2Avg total
83.9Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.894.8185.5-4.025%
Season at home (3)90.394.7185.0-4.333%
Season away (1)92.095.0187.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)83.987.3171.2-3.440%
Last 5 (5)85.490.8176.2-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)87.294.6181.8-7.433%
vs Similar ◀ (12)94.295.8190.1-1.642%
vs Weaker (6)87.378.8166.2+8.5100%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -2.2-2.2
Houston RocketsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A28/05
NBA
NBA D-League
#13
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#7
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A07/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
67-47
67
47
+20
H08/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H12/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A14/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
53-82
53
82
-29
A16/10
NBA
104.8Avg total
53.2Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.054.0109.0+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (18)55.250.2105.4+5.072%-
Last 30 away (12)54.659.7114.2-5.117%-
Last 10 (10)53.251.6104.8+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)58.855.6114.4+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.158.4108.6-8.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)57.452.8110.1+4.665%-
vs Weaker (3)50.352.0102.3-1.733%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Detroit Pistons
#7
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H10/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Utah Jazz
#17
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Boston Celtics
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H04/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H07/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H12/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A13/10
NBA
85.3Avg total
42.6Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.445.292.6+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.944.693.6+4.350%-
Last 30 away (14)45.645.991.5-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.785.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)45.449.094.4-3.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)46.047.293.2-1.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)50.247.297.4+2.950%-
vs Weaker (6)44.737.081.7+7.783%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.3 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.725.7
43.8%
49.0%51.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.75.3
27.1%
35.3%16.0
🏀 Free throws29.023.0
79.3%
75.5%23.0
They take 78.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Houston Rockets wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/15AGolden State Warriors101-123
14/10/15APhoenix Suns135-129 OT
12/10/15HOrlando Magic119-123
08/10/15HDallas Mavericks109-82
07/10/15AMemphis Grizzlies89-92
15/07/15HMilwaukee Bucks93-97
14/07/15HToronto Raptors87-95
12/07/15HPhoenix Suns108-89
11/07/15HNBA D-League111-104
28/05/15AGolden State Warriors90-104
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/15AOrlando Magic92-95 OT
12/10/15HSan Antonio Spurs97-94
07/10/15HOrlando Magic97-100
04/10/15HCharlotte Hornets77-90
15/07/15AAtlanta Hawks64-75
14/07/15ABoston Celtics69-101
14/07/15ADenver Nuggets83-86
12/07/15AUtah Jazz82-79
10/07/15HDetroit Pistons91-68
08/07/15HLos Angeles Clippers87-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game110.6114.0108.3
Allowed / game109.8102.5114.7
Point differential+0.8+11.5-6.3
Avg total220.4216.5223.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLLW33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game90.890.392.0
Allowed / game94.894.795.0
Point differential-4.0-4.3-3.0
Avg total185.5185.0187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charlotte Hornets550100%102.487.0+15.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies330100%92.382.7+9.7
3 Atlanta Hawks440100%98.089.8+8.2
4 Sacramento Kings65183%101.797.8+3.8
5 Denver Nuggets54180%104.893.4+11.4
6 Indiana Pacers54180%105.099.2+5.8
7 New York Knicks43175%100.896.0+4.8
8 Washington Wizards32167%120.0109.3+10.7
9 Oklahoma City Thunder32167%100.093.7+6.3
10 Toronto Raptors53260%96.891.8+5.0
11 Orlando Magic53260%102.0102.2-0.2
12 Portland Trail Blazers42250%100.296.2+4.0
13 Golden State Warriors42250%105.5105.0+0.5
14 Utah Jazz42250%93.293.5-0.2
15 Boston Celtics21150%102.0103.0-1.0
16 New Orleans Pelicans42250%106.0107.5-1.5
17 Phoenix Suns42250%103.2106.0-2.8
18 Detroit Pistons52340%104.697.6+7.0
19 Houston Rockets52340%110.6109.8+0.8
20 Chicago Bulls52340%103.8109.8-6.0
21 Philadelphia 76ers52340%102.6111.8-9.2
22 Brooklyn Nets31233%97.796.3+1.3
23 Milwaukee Bucks31233%97.7107.7-10.0
24 Miami Heat41325%90.894.8-4.0
25 Minnesota Timberwolves41325%99.5108.8-9.2
26 Los Angeles Clippers41325%85.2102.0-16.8
27 San Antonio Spurs3030%90.797.3-6.7
28 Cleveland Cavaliers5050%95.4104.2-8.8
29 Los Angeles Lakers4040%95.5104.8-9.2
30 Dallas Mavericks4040%85.099.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets33292216100
Miami Heat27292029105
← all games of the day
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