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Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 117-108
27-23 39-19 25-26 26-40
Position#11
Record11-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game118.2
Allowed / game115.1
vs
Position#7
Record12-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game111.1
Allowed / game104.3
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Miami Heat
28 Feb 2027
HOU v MIA
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
HOU123
MIA122
29 Dec 2024
HOU100
MIA104
05 Apr 2024
HOU104
MIA119
15 Dec 2022
HOU108
MIA111
31 Dec 2021
HOU110
MIA120
11 Feb 2021
HOU94
MIA101
27 Nov 2019
HOU117
MIA108
28 Feb 2019
HOU121
MIA118
22 Jan 2018
HOU99
MIA90
15 Feb 2017
HOU109
MIA117
02 Feb 2016
HOU115
MIA102
03 Jan 2015
HOU115
MIA79
04 Mar 2014
HOU106
MIA103
12 Nov 2012
HOU110
MIA113
29 Dec 2010
HOU119
MIA125
15 Jan 2010
HOU106
MIA115
17 Jan 2009
HOU93
MIA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
129-112
129
112
+17
124avg 105
H07/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
117-94
117
94
+23
106avg 105
A10/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
122-116
122
116
+6
111avg 105
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
102-93
102
93
+9
88avg 105
H14/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
111-102
111
102
+9
92avg 105
H16/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
125-105
125
105
+20
107avg 105
A17/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
132-108
132
108
+24
125avg 105
H19/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
95-105
95
105
-10
87avg 105
A21/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
119-122
119
122
-3
108avg 105
A23/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
123-137
123
137
-14
114avg 105
H24/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-29
33-23
35-31
31-29
20-27
30-22
36-18
31-27
30-23
28-29
32-30
32-34
31-15
18-22
25-31
28-25
26-22
28-27
26-30
31-23
31-30
33-32
29-23
32-20
29-30
35-20
35-26
33-32
22-27
29-27
22-28
22-23
23-31
28-24
33-25
35-42
29-45
31-33
35-27
28-32
226.9Avg total
117.5Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)118.2115.1233.3+3.265%
Season at home (8)118.8113.0231.8+5.875%
Season away (9)117.8116.9234.7+0.956%
Last 10 (10)117.5109.4226.9+8.170%
Last 5 (5)118.8115.4234.2+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)111.0117.0228.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)110.4110.0220.4+0.452%
vs Weaker (8)129.2114.1243.4+15.188%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
89-109
89
109
-20
75avg 101
A06/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
124-108
124
108
+16
118avg 101
A08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
64avg 101
A09/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
117-108
117
108
+9
122avg 101
H13/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
108-97
108
97
+11
112avg 101
A14/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
109-94
109
94
+15
110avg 101
H17/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
124-100
124
100
+24
122avg 101
H21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
116-108
116
108
+8
120avg 101
A23/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
86-113
86
113
-27
70avg 101
A24/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
117-100
117
100
+17
122avg 101
H26/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
20-29
21-31
20-20
31-30
33-27
29-29
31-22
21-28
25-20
20-30
14-17
28-17
31-20
33-35
25-36
34-22
34-22
26-30
14-23
29-22
25-27
24-16
31-29
32-22
43-26
24-29
25-23
34-16
33-27
18-24
31-41
13-28
22-27
24-37
27-21
36-31
33-27
29-24
19-18
210.2Avg total
107.0Scored
103.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)111.1104.3215.4+6.875%
Season at home (7)118.3100.0218.3+18.3100%
Season away (9)105.4107.7213.1-2.256%
Last 10 (10)107.0103.2210.2+3.870%
Last 5 (5)110.4103.0213.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)106.8116.2223.0-9.420%
vs Similar ◀ (16)106.1102.6208.7+3.662%
vs Weaker (9)112.1101.7213.8+10.489%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
Houston RocketsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H07/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A10/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H14/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H16/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A17/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H19/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A21/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A23/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
60-78
60
78
-18
H24/11
NBA
110.2Avg total
56.4Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.254.8112.0+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.851.7111.5+8.173%-
Last 30 away (15)54.657.9112.5-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)56.453.8110.2+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)58.059.8117.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.050.0116.0+16.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)54.054.1108.1-0.043%-
vs Weaker (8)64.457.2121.6+7.175%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A06/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A09/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H13/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
68-44
68
44
+24
A14/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H17/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
75-48
75
48
+27
H21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
67-43
67
43
+24
A23/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A24/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H26/11
NBA
108.2Avg total
58.5Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.952.4108.3+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (12)57.548.5106.0+9.067%-
Last 30 away (18)54.955.0109.9-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)58.549.7108.2+8.870%-
Last 5 (5)60.050.6110.6+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)51.459.4110.8-8.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)53.852.1105.9+1.650%-
vs Weaker (9)62.349.0111.3+13.389%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 117.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.525.3
55.6%
52.3%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.715.3
35.0%
35.7%45.9
🏀 Free throws27.721.0
75.8%
77.2%21.0
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 107.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.826.6
54.5%
52.3%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.7
38.0%
35.7%35.1
🏀 Free throws23.818.7
78.6%
77.2%18.7
They take 79.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LLLWWWWWWW
Miami Heat
WLWWWWWLWL
#11
League position
#7
+7.7
Net rating
+3.8
111.5
Offensive rating
107.5
103.8
Defensive rating
103.6
54.1%
Effective FG%
55.5%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
13.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.0%
3-point %
38.0%
48.0%
Assist %
65.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 107.5Defence103.8 · 103.6Shooting54.1% · 55.5%3-point %35.0% · 38.0%Ball care13.7% · 17.5%Off. rebounds24.1% · 22.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Houston Rockets wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/19HDallas Mavericks123-137
23/11/19ALos Angeles Clippers119-122
21/11/19ADenver Nuggets95-105
19/11/19HPortland Trail Blazers132-108
17/11/19AMinnesota Timberwolves125-105
16/11/19HIndiana Pacers111-102
14/11/19HLos Angeles Clippers102-93
12/11/19ANew Orleans Pelicans122-116
10/11/19AChicago Bulls117-94
07/11/19HGolden State Warriors129-112
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/19HCharlotte Hornets117-100
24/11/19APhiladelphia 76ers86-113
23/11/19AChicago Bulls116-108
21/11/19HCleveland Cavaliers124-100
17/11/19HNew Orleans Pelicans109-94
14/11/19ACleveland Cavaliers108-97
13/11/19HDetroit Pistons117-108
09/11/19ALos Angeles Lakers80-95
08/11/19APhoenix Suns124-108
06/11/19ADenver Nuggets89-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL65%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%75%56%
Points / game118.2118.8117.8
Allowed / game115.1113.0116.9
Point differential+3.2+5.8+0.9
Avg total233.3231.8234.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%25%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %75%100%56%
Points / game111.1118.3105.4
Allowed / game104.3100.0107.7
Point differential+6.8+18.3-2.2
Avg total215.4218.3213.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%86%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1715288%112.1103.2+8.9
2 Milwaukee Bucks1714382%119.9110.6+9.2
3 Denver Nuggets1613381%107.3101.9+5.4
4 Toronto Raptors1713476%113.6105.1+8.6
5 Boston Celtics1713476%110.8104.1+6.8
6 Miami Heat1612475%111.1104.3+6.8
7 Los Angeles Clippers1813572%114.2106.8+7.4
8 Philadelphia 76ers1812667%108.7104.1+4.7
9 Dallas Mavericks1711665%117.9110.2+7.7
10 Indiana Pacers1711665%109.5103.8+5.7
11 Houston Rockets1711665%118.2115.1+3.2
12 Utah Jazz1811761%106.8104.5+2.3
13 Minnesota Timberwolves179853%114.1115.2-1.1
14 Phoenix Suns168850%113.8110.8+2.9
15 Brooklyn Nets189950%112.6114.3-1.7
16 Orlando Magic1771041%102.1103.0-0.9
17 Sacramento Kings1771041%104.5108.2-3.7
18 Oklahoma City Thunder1661038%106.7107.1-0.4
19 Charlotte Hornets1971237%105.7113.2-7.5
20 New Orleans Pelicans1761135%116.0120.4-4.4
21 Washington Wizards1551033%118.1120.1-2.0
22 Detroit Pistons1861233%106.9109.2-2.3
23 Portland Trail Blazers1861233%112.7115.1-2.3
24 San Antonio Spurs1861233%112.3115.3-3.0
25 Chicago Bulls1861233%107.1110.8-3.7
26 Memphis Grizzlies1651131%109.2118.3-9.1
27 Cleveland Cavaliers1851328%104.4111.7-7.3
28 Atlanta Hawks1741324%108.1118.1-10.0
29 New York Knicks1841422%101.8109.6-7.8
30 Golden State Warriors1831517%107.6117.6-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets27392526117
Miami Heat23192640108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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