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Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 106-113
26-34 22-28 22-29 36-22
Position#30
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#4
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Miami Heat
28 Feb 2027
HOU v MIA
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
HOU123
MIA122
29 Dec 2024
HOU100
MIA104
05 Apr 2024
HOU104
MIA119
15 Dec 2022
HOU108
MIA111
31 Dec 2021
HOU110
MIA120
07 Oct 2021
HOU106
MIA113
11 Feb 2021
HOU94
MIA101
27 Nov 2019
HOU117
MIA108
28 Feb 2019
HOU121
MIA118
22 Jan 2018
HOU99
MIA90
15 Feb 2017
HOU109
MIA117
02 Feb 2016
HOU115
MIA102
03 Jan 2015
HOU115
MIA79
04 Mar 2014
HOU106
MIA103
12 Nov 2012
HOU110
MIA113
29 Dec 2010
HOU119
MIA125
15 Jan 2010
HOU106
MIA115
17 Jan 2009
HOU93
MIA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
143-136
143
136
+7
134avg 99
H30/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
87-113
87
113
-26
73avg 99
H01/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
97-122
97
122
-25
88avg 99
H03/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
115-135
115
135
-20
104avg 99
H06/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
133-141
133
141
-8
126avg 99
A08/05
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
116-124
116
124
-8
100avg 99
A09/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
129-140
129
140
-11
129avg 99
A11/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
122-124
122
124
-2
120avg 99
A13/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
122-115
122
115
+7
119avg 99
H15/05
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
95-124
95
124
-29
80avg 99
A16/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-38
36-35
39-25
39-38
24-22
31-27
12-39
20-25
24-34
20-25
27-34
26-29
30-39
33-36
28-33
24-27
34-34
29-30
29-43
41-34
32-32
28-34
23-30
33-28
33-50
30-29
37-32
29-29
26-34
27-25
43-41
26-24
30-33
43-36
32-24
17-22
33-36
21-36
18-27
23-25
243.3Avg total
115.9Scored
127.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)115.9127.4243.3-11.520%
Last 5 (5)116.8125.4242.2-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)110.9123.2234.1-12.212%
vs Similar (4)112.8109.5222.2+3.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
121-112
121
112
+9
112avg 102
H08/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
130-124
130
124
+6
129avg 102
A09/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
129-121
129
121
+8
128avg 102
A11/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
106-94
106
94
+12
107avg 102
H13/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
108-122
108
122
-14
92avg 102
A16/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
120-107
120
107
+13
119avg 102
A17/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
107-109 OT
107
109
-2
91avg 102
A22/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
98-132
98
132
-34
81avg 102
A24/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
84-113
84
113
-29
71avg 102
H27/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
103-120
103
120
-17
92avg 102
H29/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-32
31-22
30-24
32-34
36-23
43-30
26-31
25-40
28-28
34-28
31-23
36-42
38-22
22-19
29-26
17-27
28-44
23-26
30-29
27-23
32-13
37-34
26-24
25-36
24-22
26-31
28-27
21-19
20-46
31-32
27-29
20-25
14-26
22-23
24-37
24-27
26-22
38-35
21-34
18-29
226.0Avg total
110.6Scored
115.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)110.6115.4226.0-4.850%
Last 5 (5)102.4116.2218.6-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)100.8114.0214.8-13.222%
vs Similar (16)111.4107.9219.3+3.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)116.8106.0222.8+10.880%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.7-5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.7-5.7
Houston RocketsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H30/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H01/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
44-59
44
59
-15
H03/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H06/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A08/05
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A09/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A11/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A13/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H15/05
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A16/05
NBA
125.8Avg total
59.3Scored
66.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.363.3119.6-7.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.763.4119.1-7.720%-
Last 30 away (15)56.863.3120.1-6.527%-
Last 10 (10)59.366.5125.8-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)60.669.0129.6-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)55.764.6120.3-8.919%-
vs Similar (4)60.055.0115.0+5.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H08/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
79-53
79
53
+26
A09/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A11/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H13/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A16/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
69-47
69
47
+22
A17/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A22/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
51-78
51
78
-27
A24/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H27/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H29/05
NBA
113.9Avg total
58.1Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.655.2111.8+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.953.8110.7+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)56.356.4112.8-0.138%-
Last 10 (10)58.155.8113.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)54.056.8110.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)52.858.2111.0-5.433%-
vs Similar (16)57.253.0110.2+4.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)61.656.8118.4+4.860%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 115.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.924.0
53.5%
53.1%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.217.0
37.6%
35.3%51.0
🏀 Free throws22.816.9
74.1%
77.4%16.9
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 45.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 110.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.026.7
52.4%
53.1%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.814.1
39.4%
35.3%42.3
🏀 Free throws19.114.9
78.0%
77.4%14.9
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LWLLLLLLLW
Miami Heat
LLLLWLWWWW
#30
League position
#4
-11.0
Net rating
-4.7
110.5
Offensive rating
109.2
121.5
Defensive rating
113.9
54.9%
Effective FG%
55.1%
60.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.4%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
18.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.6%
3-point %
39.4%
65.6%
Assist %
61.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 109.2Defence121.5 · 113.9Shooting54.9% · 55.1%3-point %37.6% · 39.4%Ball care14.1% · 13.4%Off. rebounds21.7% · 18.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Houston Rockets wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/21AAtlanta Hawks95-124
15/05/21HLos Angeles Clippers122-115
13/05/21ALos Angeles Lakers122-124
11/05/21APortland Trail Blazers129-140
09/05/21AUtah Jazz116-124
08/05/21AMilwaukee Bucks133-141
06/05/21HPhiladelphia 76ers115-135
03/05/21HNew York Knicks97-122
01/05/21HGolden State Warriors87-113
30/04/21HMilwaukee Bucks143-136
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/21HMilwaukee Bucks103-120
27/05/21HMilwaukee Bucks84-113
24/05/21AMilwaukee Bucks98-132
22/05/21AMilwaukee Bucks107-109 OT
17/05/21ADetroit Pistons120-107
16/05/21AMilwaukee Bucks108-122
13/05/21HPhiladelphia 76ers106-94
11/05/21ABoston Celtics129-121
09/05/21ABoston Celtics130-124
08/05/21HMinnesota Timberwolves121-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Miami Heat
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets26222236106
Miami Heat34282922113
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