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Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2010
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 106-115
29-27 24-35 24-29 29-24
Position#15
Record22-17
FormLLWLW
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game100.0
vs
Position#13
Record19-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game97.4
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Miami Heat
28 Feb 2027
HOU v MIA
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
HOU123
MIA122
29 Dec 2024
HOU100
MIA104
05 Apr 2024
HOU104
MIA119
15 Dec 2022
HOU108
MIA111
31 Dec 2021
HOU110
MIA120
11 Feb 2021
HOU94
MIA101
27 Nov 2019
HOU117
MIA108
28 Feb 2019
HOU121
MIA118
22 Jan 2018
HOU99
MIA90
15 Feb 2017
HOU109
MIA117
02 Feb 2016
HOU115
MIA102
03 Jan 2015
HOU115
MIA79
04 Mar 2014
HOU106
MIA103
12 Nov 2012
HOU110
MIA113
29 Dec 2010
HOU119
MIA125
15 Jan 2010
HOU106
MIA115
17 Jan 2009
HOU93
MIA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
98-93
98
93
+5
A27/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
83-108
83
108
-25
A27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
108-100
108
100
+8
H30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#5
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H01/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
95-99
95
99
-4
A03/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A06/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
110-118
110
118
-8
A07/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
105-96
105
96
+9
H10/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
L
94-102
94
102
-8
A13/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
120-114 OT
120
114
+6
H14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
30-31
13-18
28-24
24-24
24-27
15-32
20-25
31-23
30-28
13-31
34-18
24-17
32-30
22-23
19-24
26-24
24-22
27-25
18-28
15-22
18-19
22-18
24-29
33-36
27-17
26-32
24-33
21-32
30-25
27-22
27-17
34-29
26-21
17-24
17-28
30-13
23-31
16-17
20-28
200.1Avg total
98.9Scored
101.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)100.5100.0200.5+0.556%
Season at home (16)103.699.8203.4+3.975%
Season away (23)98.3100.2198.5-1.943%
Last 10 (10)98.9101.2200.1-2.350%
Last 5 (5)101.6103.6205.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)93.9100.7194.6-6.822%
vs Similar ◀ (15)100.6100.8201.4-0.260%
vs Weaker (6)105.395.2200.5+10.2100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
114-80
114
80
+34
H27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
91-95
91
95
-4
A31/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
78-108
78
108
-30
A01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
L
97-107
97
107
-10
H02/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H05/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
106-112 OT
106
112
-6
H07/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
109-105
109
105
+4
A09/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A10/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
L
89-118
89
118
-29
A12/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
115-102
115
102
+13
A14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-21
32-23
32-16
16-20
19-25
21-23
19-25
32-22
26-26
23-32
13-28
16-22
30-17
16-32
26-24
25-34
30-14
21-20
22-24
19-17
35-30
19-27
24-18
23-26
27-33
32-20
22-23
28-29
20-30
21-26
17-23
26-15
22-24
25-34
24-32
18-28
22-23
30-21
38-32
25-26
197.1Avg total
97.5Scored
99.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)97.297.4194.6-0.251%
Season at home (21)96.294.1190.4+2.152%
Season away (16)98.4101.8200.2-3.350%
Last 10 (10)97.599.6197.1-2.140%
Last 5 (5)100.6106.2206.8-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)102.398.3200.7+4.067%
vs Similar ◀ (18)96.1103.1199.1-7.028%
vs Weaker (9)97.792.8190.4+4.967%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
Houston RocketsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A27/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#5
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H01/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A03/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A06/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A07/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H10/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A13/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H14/01
NBA
102.0Avg total
52.9Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.050.0102.0+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (12)54.649.6104.2+5.083%-
Last 30 away (18)50.250.3100.5-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)52.949.1102.0+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)51.449.0100.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)49.949.799.6+0.244%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)51.950.9102.8+1.160%-
vs Weaker (6)55.248.3103.5+6.883%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
66-44
66
44
+22
H27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A31/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H02/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H05/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H07/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A09/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A10/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A12/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A14/01
NBA
100.6Avg total
50.5Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.150.099.1-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.948.298.1+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)48.152.1100.2-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)50.550.1100.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)50.653.6104.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)53.050.0103.0+3.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)48.552.1100.6-3.633%-
vs Weaker (9)48.946.094.9+2.967%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Houston Rockets wins
0
Miami Heat wins
DateGameScore
18/01/09Houston Rockets v Miami Heat93-86
25/11/08Miami Heat v Houston Rockets98-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/10HMinnesota Timberwolves120-114 OT
13/01/10ACharlotte Hornets94-102
10/01/10HNew York Knicks105-96
07/01/10APhoenix Suns110-118
06/01/10ALos Angeles Lakers79-88
03/01/10ANew Orleans Pelicans95-99
01/01/10HDallas Mavericks97-94
30/12/09HNew Orleans Pelicans108-100
27/12/09ACleveland Cavaliers83-108
27/12/09ABrooklyn Nets98-93
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/10AGolden State Warriors115-102
12/01/10AUtah Jazz89-118
10/01/10ALos Angeles Clippers84-94
09/01/10APhoenix Suns109-105
07/01/10HBoston Celtics106-112 OT
05/01/10HAtlanta Hawks92-75
02/01/10HCharlotte Hornets97-107
01/01/10ASan Antonio Spurs78-108
31/12/09ANew Orleans Pelicans91-95
27/12/09HIndiana Pacers114-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391623
Win %56%75%43%
Points / game100.5103.698.3
Allowed / game100.099.8100.2
Point differential+0.5+3.9-1.9
Avg total200.5203.4198.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)75% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %8%12%4%
Miami Heat
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW51%
HomeWWLWL52%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372116
Win %51%52%50%
Points / game97.296.298.4
Allowed / game97.494.1101.8
Point differential-0.2+2.1-3.3
Avg total194.6190.4200.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers3930977%103.196.8+6.2
2 Cleveland Cavaliers41301173%100.994.3+6.5
3 Boston Celtics38271171%100.593.7+6.8
4 Atlanta Hawks39261367%103.197.5+5.7
5 Orlando Magic39261367%101.696.3+5.3
6 Dallas Mavericks38251366%100.697.8+2.8
7 Denver Nuggets39251464%107.0101.7+5.3
8 San Antonio Spurs38241463%101.595.6+5.9
9 Portland Trail Blazers40241660%97.794.4+3.2
10 Phoenix Suns40241660%109.7106.8+2.9
11 Utah Jazz39221756%100.296.8+3.4
12 Houston Rockets39221756%100.5100.0+0.5
13 Oklahoma City Thunder38211755%98.896.4+2.4
14 Memphis Grizzlies38201853%104.0104.2-0.2
15 New Orleans Pelicans38201853%98.6100.3-1.7
16 Miami Heat37191851%97.297.4-0.2
17 Toronto Raptors40202050%103.5105.3-1.8
18 Charlotte Hornets37181949%92.992.5+0.4
19 Chicago Bulls38182047%94.397.4-3.1
20 Los Angeles Clippers37172046%96.398.4-2.1
21 Milwaukee Bucks36152142%97.298.6-1.3
22 New York Knicks39162341%101.1102.5-1.5
23 Sacramento Kings38152339%102.9105.5-2.6
24 Indiana Pacers39142536%99.4104.1-4.7
25 Detroit Pistons38132534%92.297.2-5.1
26 Philadelphia 76ers39132633%97.9100.9-3.0
27 Washington Wizards38122632%99.3103.4-4.1
28 Golden State Warriors37112630%107.4111.9-4.6
29 Minnesota Timberwolves4183320%96.9106.8-9.9
30 Brooklyn Nets393368%90.1101.9-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets29242429106
Miami Heat27352924115
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