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Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2009
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 93-86
25-21 20-15 24-28 24-22
Position#8
Record24-16
FormLWWWL
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#14
Record21-17
FormLWLWW
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game96.8
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Miami Heat
28 Feb 2027
HOU v MIA
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
HOU123
MIA122
29 Dec 2024
HOU100
MIA104
05 Apr 2024
HOU104
MIA119
15 Dec 2022
HOU108
MIA111
31 Dec 2021
HOU110
MIA120
11 Feb 2021
HOU94
MIA101
27 Nov 2019
HOU117
MIA108
28 Feb 2019
HOU121
MIA118
22 Jan 2018
HOU99
MIA90
15 Feb 2017
HOU109
MIA117
02 Feb 2016
HOU115
MIA102
03 Jan 2015
HOU115
MIA79
04 Mar 2014
HOU106
MIA103
12 Nov 2012
HOU110
MIA113
29 Dec 2010
HOU119
MIA125
15 Jan 2010
HOU106
MIA115
17 Jan 2009
HOU93
MIA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#11
W
120-115 OT
120
115
+5
H28/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
L
87-89
87
89
-2
H30/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H01/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
L
73-94
73
94
-21
A03/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
100-103
100
103
-3
A04/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
96-104
96
104
-8
A07/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A08/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
98-96
98
96
+2
A10/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
100-105
100
105
-5
H14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-24
22-19
24-27
16-26
22-21
14-24
26-27
25-17
27-22
20-14
18-24
20-21
14-25
24-23
11-20
24-26
27-22
19-32
31-25
23-24
27-24
28-29
16-26
25-25
22-31
30-18
19-25
18-11
24-24
29-16
24-32
21-24
26-24
20-21
31-14
19-17
26-25
28-29
28-24
18-27
189.2Avg total
94.4Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)96.894.0190.9+2.860%
Season at home (17)98.291.4189.6+6.871%
Season away (23)95.896.0191.8-0.152%
Last 10 (10)94.494.8189.2-0.450%
Last 5 (5)95.893.2189.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)95.0102.0197.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)97.896.0193.8+1.858%
vs Weaker (16)99.694.8194.4+4.969%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A29/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
104-95
104
95
+9
H31/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
101-96 OT
101
96
+5
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
97-108
97
108
-11
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
119-115 OT
119
115
+4
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
105-108
105
108
-3
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
99-96
99
96
+3
A14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
102-99
102
99
+3
A15/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
20-22
25-14
19-35
26-19
24-15
24-33
30-28
21-24
23-21
21-22
11-19
14-27
24-19
23-17
24-22
15-21
24-18
21-26
24-26
21-27
27-32
24-24
25-25
25-30
33-32
16-20
30-22
21-26
30-24
22-27
32-31
20-21
26-31
27-24
26-20
28-24
27-31
25-18
22-26
196.0Avg total
97.3Scored
98.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)96.896.8193.6+0.055%
Season at home (18)96.092.1188.1+3.967%
Season away (20)97.5101.0198.5-3.545%
Last 10 (10)97.398.7196.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)104.4105.2209.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)88.095.8183.8-7.833%
vs Similar ◀ (15)95.696.7192.3-1.153%
vs Weaker (9)102.498.9201.3+3.678%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
Houston RocketsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#11
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H28/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H30/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H01/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A03/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A04/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A07/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A08/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A10/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H14/01
NBA
95.0Avg total
48.3Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.848.699.4+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.548.498.9+2.254%-
Last 30 away (17)51.148.799.8+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)48.346.795.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)52.048.2100.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)50.550.5101.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)50.749.6100.2+1.150%-
vs Weaker (16)51.047.698.6+3.462%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A29/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H31/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A15/01
NBA
95.7Avg total
47.1Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.149.297.3-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.346.591.8-1.236%-
Last 30 away (16)50.651.6102.2-1.144%-
Last 10 (10)47.148.695.7-1.520%-
Last 5 (5)51.655.6107.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)45.546.391.8-0.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)47.149.997.0-2.933%-
vs Weaker (9)51.650.0101.6+1.656%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Houston Rockets wins
0
Miami Heat wins
DateGameScore
25/11/08Miami Heat v Houston Rockets98-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/09HLos Angeles Lakers100-105
11/01/09HNew York Knicks96-76
10/01/09AOklahoma City Thunder98-96
08/01/09ABoston Celtics89-85
07/01/09APhiladelphia 76ers96-104
04/01/09AAtlanta Hawks100-103
03/01/09AToronto Raptors73-94
01/01/09HMilwaukee Bucks85-81
30/12/08HWashington Wizards87-89
28/12/08HUtah Jazz120-115 OT
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/09AMilwaukee Bucks102-99
14/01/09AMinnesota Timberwolves99-96
12/01/09ALos Angeles Lakers105-108
10/01/09ASacramento Kings119-115 OT
08/01/09ADenver Nuggets97-108
06/01/09HSan Antonio Spurs84-91
04/01/09HBrooklyn Nets101-96 OT
03/01/09AOrlando Magic76-86
31/12/08HCleveland Cavaliers104-95
29/12/08ACleveland Cavaliers86-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWLWWL71%
AwayLLLWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401723
Win %60%71%52%
Points / game96.898.295.8
Allowed / game94.091.496.0
Point differential+2.8+6.8-0.1
Avg total190.8189.6191.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%41%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)33% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %5%6%4%
Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381820
Win %55%67%45%
Points / game96.896.097.5
Allowed / game96.892.1101.0
Point differential+0.0+3.9-3.5
Avg total193.6188.1198.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won77% (13)100% (4)67% (9)
Overtime %8%6%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3831782%100.989.0+11.9
2 Orlando Magic4032880%102.293.9+8.3
3 Los Angeles Lakers3931879%107.699.5+8.2
4 Boston Celtics4233979%100.991.6+9.2
5 Denver Nuggets40271368%104.2100.5+3.7
6 San Antonio Spurs38251366%97.394.4+2.9
7 New Orleans Pelicans37241365%95.692.4+3.2
8 Utah Jazz40241660%101.698.2+3.5
9 Houston Rockets40241660%96.894.0+2.8
10 Portland Trail Blazers40241660%97.995.3+2.6
11 Phoenix Suns37221559%104.5102.7+1.8
12 Atlanta Hawks39231659%98.496.8+1.6
13 Dallas Mavericks39221756%99.398.1+1.3
14 Detroit Pistons39221756%93.493.5-0.1
15 Miami Heat38211755%96.896.8+0.0
16 Philadelphia 76ers40202050%96.495.8+0.7
17 Milwaukee Bucks42202248%98.297.5+0.7
18 Brooklyn Nets41192246%98.8101.9-3.0
19 Chicago Bulls40182245%99.5102.5-3.1
20 Charlotte Hornets40162440%91.494.0-2.6
21 Toronto Raptors41162539%97.599.9-2.4
22 New York Knicks39152438%102.9106.5-3.5
23 Indiana Pacers40152538%104.9107.0-2.1
24 Minnesota Timberwolves38122632%97.9101.8-3.9
25 Golden State Warriors41122929%106.8112.3-5.6
26 Memphis Grizzlies39112828%93.599.4-5.9
27 Sacramento Kings41103124%98.6107.4-8.8
28 Los Angeles Clippers3883021%93.0100.4-7.5
29 Washington Wizards3983121%94.1100.4-6.3
30 Oklahoma City Thunder4183320%95.4102.3-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets2520242493
Miami Heat2115282286
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