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Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 99-90
25-33 21-17 25-18 28-22
Position#1
Record32-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.7
Allowed / game106.9
vs
Position#16
Record27-19
FormWLWLW
Points / game101.2
Allowed / game101.9
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Miami Heat
28 Feb 2027
HOU v MIA
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
HOU123
MIA122
29 Dec 2024
HOU100
MIA104
05 Apr 2024
HOU104
MIA119
15 Dec 2022
HOU108
MIA111
31 Dec 2021
HOU110
MIA120
11 Feb 2021
HOU94
MIA101
27 Nov 2019
HOU117
MIA108
28 Feb 2019
HOU121
MIA118
22 Jan 2018
HOU99
MIA90
15 Feb 2017
HOU109
MIA117
02 Feb 2016
HOU115
MIA102
03 Jan 2015
HOU115
MIA79
04 Mar 2014
HOU106
MIA103
12 Nov 2012
HOU110
MIA113
29 Dec 2010
HOU119
MIA125
15 Jan 2010
HOU106
MIA115
17 Jan 2009
HOU93
MIA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
148-142 OT
148
142
+6
132avg 105
H01/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
116-98
116
98
+18
112avg 105
A04/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
114-124
114
124
-10
98avg 105
H05/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
101-108
101
108
-7
94avg 105
A07/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
116-107
116
107
+9
114avg 105
A09/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
121-112
121
112
+9
109avg 105
H11/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
112-95
112
95
+17
100avg 105
A13/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
102-113
102
113
-11
83avg 105
A16/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
116-98
116
98
+18
110avg 105
H19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
116-108
116
108
+8
104avg 105
H21/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
44-37
21-35
25-29
32-21
25-12
30-29
34-25
27-32
37-33
26-29
27-31
24-31
37-31
21-26
19-31
24-20
35-22
25-33
27-21
29-31
25-19
30-26
31-32
35-35
27-23
30-21
33-24
22-27
31-30
25-29
28-33
18-21
26-17
37-33
26-20
27-28
40-28
25-30
27-33
24-17
226.7Avg total
116.2Scored
110.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)114.7106.9221.6+7.873%
Season at home (23)117.6109.6227.2+8.074%
Season away (21)111.5103.9215.4+7.671%
Last 10 (10)116.2110.5226.7+5.770%
Last 5 (5)113.4105.2218.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)115.0112.2227.2+2.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)116.7108.1224.8+8.672%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
111-104
111
104
+7
109avg 95
H04/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
95avg 95
H06/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
103-102
103
102
+1
92avg 95
H07/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
90-89
90
89
+1
82avg 95
A10/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
114-106
114
106
+8
108avg 95
A11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
97-79
97
79
+18
97avg 95
H14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
L
111-119
111
119
-8
111avg 95
A15/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
106-101
106
101
+5
104avg 95
A18/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
95-101
95
101
-6
84avg 95
A20/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
106-105
106
105
+1
103avg 95
A21/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
32-23
25-29
30-23
26-25
25-20
24-26
22-26
27-22
22-25
25-28
29-27
22-21
29-20
21-23
18-25
38-26
20-21
26-31
30-28
21-23
20-20
30-16
26-20
25-32
23-23
24-29
39-35
30-25
22-32
26-22
28-22
24-21
29-22
16-24
26-34
31-27
26-21
16-35
33-22
204.9Avg total
104.0Scored
100.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)101.2101.9203.0-0.759%
Season at home (21)101.0102.8203.8-1.857%
Season away (25)101.3101.1202.4+0.260%
Last 10 (10)104.0100.9204.9+3.180%
Last 5 (5)103.0101.0204.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)92.5106.0198.5-13.550%
vs Similar (22)100.9100.9201.8-0.068%
vs Weaker (6)107.7100.7208.3+7.067%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.5+7.5Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.5+7.5Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
Houston RocketsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H01/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A04/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H05/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A07/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A09/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H11/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A13/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A16/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H21/01
NBA
114.0Avg total
59.7Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.254.5115.7+6.670%-
Last 30 at home (17)62.356.2118.5+6.171%-
Last 30 away (13)59.752.3112.0+7.469%-
Last 10 (10)59.754.3114.0+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)59.251.2110.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)58.858.4117.2+0.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)61.653.8115.4+7.968%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H04/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H06/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H07/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A10/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A15/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A18/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A20/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A21/01
NBA
99.4Avg total
51.6Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.651.1101.8-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.449.7100.1+0.754%-
Last 30 away (17)50.852.2103.1-1.453%-
Last 10 (10)51.647.899.4+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)50.249.299.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)55.551.5107.0+4.050%-
vs Similar (22)50.950.9101.8+0.059%-
vs Weaker (6)48.052.0100.0-4.033%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 116.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.125.9
53.8%
51.0%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.215.6
35.3%
36.1%46.8
🏀 Free throws22.617.6
77.9%
76.5%17.6
They take 92.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 104.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.628.6
51.4%
51.0%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.8
36.5%
36.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.014.4
75.8%
76.5%14.4
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWLWWWLLWW
Miami Heat
WLWLWWWWWW
#1
League position
#16
+5.6
Net rating
+3.2
113.4
Offensive rating
107.1
107.8
Defensive rating
104.0
53.4%
Effective FG%
52.6%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
12.2%
Turnover %
13.3%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.3%
3-point %
36.5%
57.3%
Assist %
64.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 107.1Defence107.8 · 104.0Shooting53.4% · 52.6%3-point %35.3% · 36.5%Ball care12.2% · 13.3%Off. rebounds25.7% · 21.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Houston Rockets wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/18HGolden State Warriors116-108
19/01/18HMinnesota Timberwolves116-98
16/01/18ALos Angeles Clippers102-113
13/01/18APhoenix Suns112-95
11/01/18HPortland Trail Blazers121-112
09/01/18AChicago Bulls116-107
07/01/18ADetroit Pistons101-108
05/01/18HGolden State Warriors114-124
04/01/18AOrlando Magic116-98
01/01/18HLos Angeles Lakers148-142 OT
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/18ACharlotte Hornets106-105
20/01/18ABrooklyn Nets95-101
18/01/18AMilwaukee Bucks106-101
15/01/18AChicago Bulls111-119
14/01/18HMilwaukee Bucks97-79
11/01/18AIndiana Pacers114-106
10/01/18AToronto Raptors90-89
07/01/18HUtah Jazz103-102
06/01/18HNew York Knicks107-103 OT
04/01/18HDetroit Pistons111-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWLWWW74%
AwayWLWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %73%74%71%
Points / game114.7117.6111.5
Allowed / game106.9109.6103.9
Point differential+7.8+8.0+7.6
Avg total221.6227.2215.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%48%48%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW59%
HomeLWWWW57%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462125
Win %59%57%60%
Points / game101.2101.0101.3
Allowed / game101.9102.8101.1
Point differential-0.7-1.8+0.2
Avg total203.0203.8202.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%19%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won85% (13)83% (6)86% (7)
Overtime %4%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors47371079%115.8107.1+8.7
2 Houston Rockets44321273%114.7106.9+7.8
3 Boston Celtics47341372%102.698.0+4.5
4 Toronto Raptors45311469%111.3104.0+7.3
5 Minnesota Timberwolves48301862%108.6105.1+3.5
6 San Antonio Spurs48301862%100.697.5+3.1
7 Cleveland Cavaliers45271860%109.7109.5+0.2
8 Miami Heat46271959%101.2101.9-0.7
9 Oklahoma City Thunder46262057%105.3101.3+4.0
10 Washington Wizards46262057%107.2105.4+1.8
11 Portland Trail Blazers46252154%104.2103.1+1.1
12 New Orleans Pelicans45242153%110.8110.5+0.2
13 Indiana Pacers47252253%106.2105.3+0.9
14 Philadelphia 76ers42222052%108.3107.2+1.2
15 Los Angeles Clippers45232251%107.6107.1+0.6
16 Milwaukee Bucks45232251%104.7106.1-1.4
17 Denver Nuggets46232350%106.0105.7+0.3
18 Detroit Pistons45222349%102.3102.2+0.1
19 New York Knicks47212645%104.6105.7-1.2
20 Charlotte Hornets45192642%105.8105.8+0.0
21 Utah Jazz47192840%101.6102.5-0.9
22 Chicago Bulls46182839%103.2108.3-5.2
23 Brooklyn Nets47182938%105.7108.6-2.9
24 Los Angeles Lakers46172937%106.6109.9-3.3
25 Phoenix Suns46172937%105.5112.2-6.7
26 Memphis Grizzlies45162936%99.5102.1-2.6
27 Dallas Mavericks46153133%102.6104.8-2.1
28 Atlanta Hawks46143230%103.6107.5-3.9
29 Orlando Magic46143230%105.2110.4-5.2
30 Sacramento Kings46133328%97.9107.0-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets2521252899
Miami Heat3317182290
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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