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Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 115-102
31-31 29-24 27-25 28-22
Position#19
Record25-25
FormWWLLL
Points / game105.1
Allowed / game106.6
vs
Position#8
Record27-21
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.9
Allowed / game95.6
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Miami Heat
28 Feb 2027
HOU v MIA
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
HOU123
MIA122
29 Dec 2024
HOU100
MIA104
05 Apr 2024
HOU104
MIA119
15 Dec 2022
HOU108
MIA111
31 Dec 2021
HOU110
MIA120
11 Feb 2021
HOU94
MIA101
27 Nov 2019
HOU117
MIA108
28 Feb 2019
HOU121
MIA118
22 Jan 2018
HOU99
MIA90
15 Feb 2017
HOU109
MIA117
02 Feb 2016
HOU115
MIA102
03 Jan 2015
HOU115
MIA79
04 Mar 2014
HOU106
MIA103
12 Nov 2012
HOU110
MIA113
29 Dec 2010
HOU119
MIA125
15 Jan 2010
HOU106
MIA115
17 Jan 2009
HOU93
MIA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
77-91
77
91
-14
62avg 93
H16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
112-95
112
95
+17
104avg 93
A18/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
132-140 OT
132
140
-8
128avg 93
A19/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
114-123
114
123
-9
103avg 93
H21/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
102-98
102
98
+4
89avg 93
H23/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
115-104
115
104
+11
106avg 93
H24/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
112-111
112
111
+1
104avg 93
A26/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-130
99
130
-31
82avg 93
A28/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
108-116
108
116
-8
86avg 93
A30/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
122-123
122
123
-1
110avg 93
H31/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
14-23
16-22
26-23
32-36
28-21
34-18
18-20
21-33
31-26
28-35
42-28
23-33
24-23
32-29
35-38
31-28
26-17
22-21
23-32
36-29
14-29
34-27
31-19
32-29
26-31
35-32
19-19
29-35
20-34
24-33
26-28
29-22
29-33
25-34
25-27
32-28
30-31
26-31
34-33
222.4Avg total
109.3Scored
113.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)105.1106.6211.8-1.550%
Season at home (27)105.1105.6210.7-0.456%
Season away (23)105.1107.8213.0-2.743%
Last 10 (10)109.3113.1222.4-3.840%
Last 5 (5)111.2116.8228.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)104.3112.7217.0-8.322%
vs Similar ◀ (17)107.5105.2212.6+2.365%
vs Weaker (4)112.597.2209.8+15.275%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
90-104
90
104
-14
92avg 88
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
98-95
98
95
+3
94avg 88
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
74-99
74
99
-25
62avg 88
A18/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
79-91
79
91
-12
64avg 88
H20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
87-106
87
106
-19
83avg 88
A21/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
81-101
81
101
-20
65avg 88
A23/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
89-84
89
84
+5
83avg 88
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
102-98
102
98
+4
99avg 88
A27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
107-103
107
103
+4
104avg 88
A30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
105-87
105
87
+18
100avg 88
H31/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
27-28
17-34
21-25
20-31
26-31
30-16
22-17
18-24
24-20
16-31
16-24
18-19
21-30
18-26
22-16
22-26
15-25
27-30
23-25
20-31
24-29
23-20
14-21
18-23
31-24
12-21
28-16
24-29
27-28
26-16
25-25
33-28
22-20
26-35
26-20
27-17
20-17
28-28
30-25
188.0Avg total
91.2Scored
96.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)95.995.6191.5+0.356%
Season at home (25)98.895.2194.0+3.664%
Season away (23)92.796.0188.7-3.348%
Last 10 (10)91.296.8188.0-5.650%
Last 5 (5)96.894.6191.4+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.5105.0193.5-16.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)95.296.8191.9-1.647%
vs Weaker (11)97.597.5195.0-0.164%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
Houston RocketsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A18/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A19/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H21/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H23/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H24/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A26/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A28/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A30/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H31/01
NBA
109.2Avg total
52.8Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.953.1106.0-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.050.3102.3+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)53.955.9109.7-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)52.856.4109.2-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)55.460.2115.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)52.755.0107.7-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)52.552.8105.4-0.347%-
vs Weaker (4)55.249.8105.0+5.575%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A18/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A21/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A23/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/01
NBA
95.9Avg total
46.2Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.348.997.1-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (12)49.148.897.9+0.242%-
Last 30 away (18)47.748.996.6-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)46.249.795.9-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)49.249.298.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.050.098.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)48.248.796.9-0.553%-
vs Weaker (11)48.548.997.4-0.545%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 109.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.126.3
49.5%
49.0%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.8
35.3%
35.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws30.921.3
68.9%
75.5%21.3
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀16%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.930.9
49.9%
49.0%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.95.1
30.2%
35.3%15.3
🏀 Free throws20.315.7
77.3%
75.5%15.7
They take 78.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 21% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LLLWWWLLWL
Miami Heat
WWWWLLLLWL
#19
League position
#8
-3.8
Net rating
-4.7
108.3
Offensive rating
97.9
112.1
Defensive rating
102.6
50.9%
Effective FG%
48.9%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
12.2%
Turnover %
15.8%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
20.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.3%
3-point %
30.2%
59.1%
Assist %
60.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 97.9Defence112.1 · 102.6Shooting50.9% · 48.9%3-point %35.3% · 30.2%Ball care12.2% · 15.8%Off. rebounds24.1% · 20.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Houston Rockets wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/16HWashington Wizards122-123
30/01/16AOklahoma City Thunder108-116
28/01/16ASan Antonio Spurs99-130
26/01/16ANew Orleans Pelicans112-111
24/01/16HDallas Mavericks115-104
23/01/16HMilwaukee Bucks102-98
21/01/16HDetroit Pistons114-123
19/01/16ALos Angeles Clippers132-140 OT
18/01/16ALos Angeles Lakers112-95
16/01/16HCleveland Cavaliers77-91
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/16HAtlanta Hawks105-87
30/01/16AMilwaukee Bucks107-103
27/01/16ABrooklyn Nets102-98
26/01/16AChicago Bulls89-84
23/01/16AToronto Raptors81-101
21/01/16AWashington Wizards87-106
20/01/16HMilwaukee Bucks79-91
18/01/16AOklahoma City Thunder74-99
16/01/16ADenver Nuggets98-95
14/01/16ALos Angeles Clippers90-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeLLWWL56%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502723
Win %50%56%43%
Points / game105.1105.1105.1
Allowed / game106.6105.6107.8
Point differential-1.5-0.4-2.7
Avg total211.8210.7213.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won68% (19)73% (11)62% (8)
Overtime %10%11%9%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeWWLLW64%
AwayLLWWW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482523
Win %56%64%48%
Points / game95.998.892.7
Allowed / game95.695.296.0
Point differential+0.3+3.6-3.3
Avg total191.5194.0188.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%32%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)83% (6)80% (5)
Overtime %6%8%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4844492%115.0102.3+12.7
2 San Antonio Spurs4840883%104.591.2+13.3
3 Cleveland Cavaliers47351274%102.496.5+5.9
4 Oklahoma City Thunder50371374%109.5101.4+8.1
5 Toronto Raptors48321667%101.497.0+4.3
6 Los Angeles Clippers48321667%104.3100.3+4.0
7 Memphis Grizzlies49292059%97.799.0-1.3
8 Miami Heat48272156%95.995.6+0.3
9 Boston Celtics50282256%104.6100.4+4.2
10 Atlanta Hawks50282256%101.899.9+1.9
11 Chicago Bulls47262155%101.3101.0+0.2
12 Dallas Mavericks51282355%100.6101.0-0.4
13 Detroit Pistons49262353%102.1100.6+1.6
14 Indiana Pacers48252352%102.7100.1+2.6
15 Houston Rockets50252550%105.1106.6-1.5
16 Charlotte Hornets48232548%101.6101.3+0.2
17 Portland Trail Blazers49232647%102.0102.3-0.2
18 Utah Jazz47222547%97.996.7+1.2
19 Washington Wizards46212546%102.2105.0-2.8
20 New York Knicks51232845%99.2101.1-1.9
21 Orlando Magic47212645%99.0100.4-1.3
22 Sacramento Kings48212744%106.7108.1-1.4
23 Milwaukee Bucks50203040%98.2103.2-5.0
24 Denver Nuggets49193039%100.4104.0-3.6
25 New Orleans Pelicans47182938%102.6105.1-2.5
26 Minnesota Timberwolves49143529%99.4103.4-4.0
27 Phoenix Suns49143529%100.6106.5-6.0
28 Brooklyn Nets49123724%95.5103.0-7.5
29 Los Angeles Lakers5094118%95.8106.2-10.4
30 Philadelphia 76ers4874115%94.9105.1-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets31292728115
Miami Heat31242522102
← all games of the day
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