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Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2014
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 106-103
39-32 14-20 30-21 23-30
Position#6
Record40-19
FormLWWLW
Points / game106.4
Allowed / game101.9
vs
Position#4
Record43-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game104.7
Allowed / game98.3
USANBA
NBA2013-14
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Miami Heat
28 Feb 2027
HOU v MIA
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
HOU123
MIA122
29 Dec 2024
HOU100
MIA104
05 Apr 2024
HOU104
MIA119
15 Dec 2022
HOU108
MIA111
31 Dec 2021
HOU110
MIA120
11 Feb 2021
HOU94
MIA101
27 Nov 2019
HOU117
MIA108
28 Feb 2019
HOU121
MIA118
22 Jan 2018
HOU99
MIA90
15 Feb 2017
HOU109
MIA117
02 Feb 2016
HOU115
MIA102
03 Jan 2015
HOU115
MIA79
04 Mar 2014
HOU106
MIA103
12 Nov 2012
HOU110
MIA113
29 Dec 2010
HOU119
MIA125
15 Jan 2010
HOU106
MIA115
17 Jan 2009
HOU93
MIA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#10
W
122-108
122
108
+14
H06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
101-95
101
95
+6
A09/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
107-89
107
89
+18
A11/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#14
W
113-112
113
112
+1
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#25
W
134-108
134
108
+26
A20/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
L
99-102 OT
99
102
-3
A21/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#10
W
115-112
115
112
+3
A24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
129-103
129
103
+26
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#3
L
93-101
93
101
-8
A27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#23
W
118-110
118
110
+8
H02/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-30
31-33
29-27
27-18
29-26
27-19
25-24
20-26
34-28
33-30
15-20
25-11
38-26
25-28
30-36
20-22
32-22
32-21
40-32
30-33
24-20
19-27
24-24
22-18
30-16
30-40
23-37
32-19
42-17
27-34
35-26
25-26
22-26
26-20
25-28
20-27
41-20
28-26
26-34
23-30
217.1Avg total
113.1Scored
104.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)106.4101.9208.3+4.668%
Season at home (30)106.998.8205.7+8.177%
Season away (29)105.9105.0210.9+0.959%
Last 10 (10)113.1104.0217.1+9.180%
Last 5 (5)110.8105.6216.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)103.8102.9206.7+0.862%
vs Weaker (14)109.799.4209.1+10.386%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#3
W
116-112
116
112
+4
A06/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#27
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A09/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#10
W
103-97
103
97
+6
A12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
W
111-110
111
110
+1
A13/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#11
W
117-106
117
106
+11
A19/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
103-81
103
81
+22
A21/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H23/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
108-82
108
82
+26
H28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
112-98
112
98
+14
H02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
W
124-107
124
107
+17
H04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-24
26-31
27-20
27-37
20-32
30-20
16-16
23-26
22-25
21-21
28-28
32-23
28-20
29-26
27-36
27-28
30-28
30-26
24-31
33-21
34-17
20-30
22-18
27-16
20-24
20-16
25-12
28-27
28-22
27-28
32-14
21-18
32-30
29-23
28-20
23-25
29-26
31-28
38-25
26-28
204.2Avg total
107.6Scored
96.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)104.798.3203.0+6.475%
Season at home (28)107.298.8206.0+8.486%
Season away (29)102.397.8200.1+4.566%
Last 10 (10)107.696.6204.2+11.090%
Last 5 (5)108.089.4197.4+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)106.0103.2209.2+2.875%
vs Weaker (18)103.796.9200.6+6.872%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.6+9.6Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.6+9.6Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
Houston RocketsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#10
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A09/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A11/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#14
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#25
W
64-43
64
43
+21
A20/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A21/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#10
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#3
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#23
W
69-46
69
46
+23
H02/03
NBA
111.4Avg total
60.5Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.150.8105.9+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.252.2108.4+4.060%-
Last 30 away (15)54.049.3103.3+4.773%-
Last 10 (10)60.550.9111.4+9.690%-
Last 5 (5)57.849.2107.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.752.4107.1+2.362%-
vs Weaker (14)55.648.9104.5+6.671%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#3
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A06/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#27
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A09/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A13/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#11
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A19/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A21/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H23/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H04/03
NBA
103.9Avg total
54.2Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.751.6105.2+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (12)54.250.8105.1+3.467%-
Last 30 away (18)53.352.1105.3+1.256%-
Last 10 (10)54.249.7103.9+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)54.048.8102.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)53.653.3106.9+0.250%-
vs Weaker (18)53.750.4104.1+3.367%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Houston Rockets wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/14HDetroit Pistons118-110
27/02/14ALos Angeles Clippers93-101
26/02/14ASacramento Kings129-103
24/02/14APhoenix Suns115-112
21/02/14AGolden State Warriors99-102 OT
20/02/14ALos Angeles Lakers134-108
13/02/14HWashington Wizards113-112
11/02/14AMinnesota Timberwolves107-89
09/02/14AMilwaukee Bucks101-95
06/02/14HPhoenix Suns122-108
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/14HCharlotte Hornets124-107
02/03/14HOrlando Magic112-98
28/02/14HNew York Knicks108-82
23/02/14HChicago Bulls93-79
21/02/14AOklahoma City Thunder103-81
19/02/14ADallas Mavericks117-106
13/02/14AGolden State Warriors111-110
12/02/14APhoenix Suns103-97
09/02/14AUtah Jazz89-94
06/02/14ALos Angeles Clippers116-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2013-14
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW68%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayWLWWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %68%77%59%
Points / game106.4106.9105.9
Allowed / game101.998.8105.0
Point differential+4.6+8.1+0.9
Avg total208.3205.7210.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)40% (5)62% (8)
Overtime %5%3%7%
Miami Heat
NBA 2013-14
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWWWW66%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572829
Win %75%86%66%
Points / game104.7107.2102.3
Allowed / game98.398.897.8
Point differential+6.4+8.4+4.5
Avg total203.0206.0200.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%46%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)86% (7)50% (8)
Overtime %7%4%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana Pacers60461477%99.191.3+7.7
2 Miami Heat57431475%104.798.3+6.4
3 Oklahoma City Thunder60451575%105.198.6+6.5
4 San Antonio Spurs60441673%104.398.0+6.2
5 Portland Trail Blazers60411968%107.8103.0+4.8
6 Houston Rockets59401968%106.4101.9+4.6
7 Los Angeles Clippers61412067%107.2100.8+6.5
8 Golden State Warriors61372461%103.298.8+4.4
9 Phoenix Suns59352459%105.3102.3+3.0
10 Dallas Mavericks61362559%104.4102.2+2.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies59342558%95.795.1+0.6
12 Toronto Raptors59332656%100.297.1+3.1
13 Chicago Bulls60332755%93.192.3+0.8
14 Washington Wizards60312952%100.6100.0+0.7
15 Minnesota Timberwolves59302951%106.2102.1+4.1
16 Brooklyn Nets58292950%97.599.3-1.8
17 Charlotte Hornets60273345%95.297.5-2.2
18 Atlanta Hawks58263245%101.9102.3-0.4
19 Denver Nuggets59253442%102.6105.1-2.5
20 Detroit Pistons60243640%100.9103.4-2.5
21 Cleveland Cavaliers62243839%97.0101.5-4.5
22 New Orleans Pelicans60233738%98.7101.6-2.9
23 Sacramento Kings60213935%101.5103.9-2.4
24 Los Angeles Lakers60213935%101.2106.5-5.3
25 Utah Jazz60213935%94.7100.5-5.9
26 New York Knicks61214034%97.3100.5-3.1
27 Boston Celtics60204033%95.599.1-3.6
28 Orlando Magic62194331%96.6101.6-5.0
29 Philadelphia 76ers60154525%99.9110.7-10.8
30 Milwaukee Bucks59124720%93.7101.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets39143023106
Miami Heat32202130103
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