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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 119-111
26-37 35-24 27-32 31-18
Position#25
Record15-44
FormLLWLL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game118.2
vs
Position#15
Record29-28
FormLWWLL
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game107.5
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat
06 Feb 2027
MIN v MIA
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
MIN122
MIA94
10 Nov 2024
MIN94
MIA95
28 Oct 2023
MIN106
MIA90
21 Nov 2022
MIN105
MIA101
24 Nov 2021
MIN113
MIA101
16 Apr 2021
MIN119
MIA111
27 Oct 2019
MIN116
MIA109
05 Apr 2019
MIN111
MIA109
24 Nov 2017
MIN97
MIA109
06 Feb 2017
MIN113
MIA115
05 Nov 2015
MIN84
MIA96
04 Feb 2015
MIN102
MIA101
07 Dec 2013
MIN82
MIA103
04 Mar 2013
MIN81
MIA97
30 Dec 2011
MIN101
MIA103
01 Apr 2011
MIN92
MIA111
03 Apr 2010
MIN84
MIA97
13 Jan 2009
MIN96
MIA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
107-112
107
112
-5
91avg 99
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
102-101
102
101
+1
92avg 99
H01/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
108-120
108
120
-12
97avg 99
A03/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
113-122
113
122
-9
no box
A04/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
116-106
116
106
+10
106avg 99
H05/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
137-141
137
141
-4
131avg 99
A07/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
136-145 OT
136
145
-9
126avg 99
A09/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
121-117
121
117
+4
117avg 99
H12/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
97-127
97
127
-30
78avg 99
H13/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
105-130
105
130
-25
90avg 99
H14/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-37
27-24
25-26
30-25
19-26
31-25
20-30
32-20
28-30
38-38
18-24
24-28
29-26
31-38
23-33
30-25
26-29
29-26
27-27
34-24
31-35
25-42
38-32
43-32
39-25
27-32
31-35
27-32
29-26
37-29
25-32
30-30
25-33
27-40
22-31
23-23
19-24
25-37
35-45
26-24
236.3Avg total
114.2Scored
122.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)110.3118.2228.4-7.925%
Season at home (30)106.9115.1222.0-8.230%
Season away (29)113.7121.3235.0-7.621%
Last 10 (10)114.2122.1236.3-7.930%
Last 5 (5)119.2132.0251.2-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)113.1120.5233.5-7.425%
vs Similar (5)108.8119.8228.6-11.040%
vs Weaker (1)103.0112.0215.0-9.00%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 102
A27/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 102
A29/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
92-87
92
87
+5
83avg 102
A31/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
116-109
116
109
+7
112avg 102
H02/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
115-101
115
101
+14
no box
H04/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
112-124
112
124
-12
111avg 102
H07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
110-104
110
104
+6
105avg 102
H08/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
107-98
107
98
+9
92avg 102
A12/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
86-106
86
106
-20
74avg 102
A14/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
106-123
106
123
-17
100avg 102
A15/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-40
26-32
30-20
26-18
21-16
15-27
39-21
23-24
23-28
20-17
22-22
27-20
23-24
36-30
27-27
30-28
36-27
31-27
17-19
31-28
34-37
23-26
32-33
23-28
32-27
22-29
29-24
27-24
25-31
31-17
33-23
18-27
34-26
16-30
22-27
14-23
31-26
18-34
30-36
27-27
209.7Avg total
104.7Scored
105.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)106.2107.5213.7-1.451%
Season at home (29)108.0109.3217.3-1.352%
Season away (28)104.2105.7209.9-1.450%
Last 10 (10)104.7105.0209.7-0.360%
Last 5 (5)104.2111.0215.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.7115.3220.0-10.717%
vs Similar (19)105.2104.6209.8+0.558%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)109.898.6208.4+11.2100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H01/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A03/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A04/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H05/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
56-77
56
77
-21
A07/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A09/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H12/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
52-73
52
73
-21
H13/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H14/04
NBA
118.9Avg total
56.7Scored
62.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.561.5117.1-6.013%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.959.1112.0-6.212%-
Last 30 away (14)58.664.3122.9-5.714%-
Last 10 (10)56.762.2118.9-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)56.864.6121.4-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)56.361.7118.0-5.417%-
vs Similar (5)53.061.6114.6-8.60%-
vs Weaker (1)50.057.0107.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
49-72
49
72
-23
A27/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A29/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A31/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H02/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H04/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H08/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A12/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A15/04
NBA
107.1Avg total
52.0Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.852.8105.6+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.055.1111.1+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)50.150.7100.8-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)52.055.1107.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)53.256.6109.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)50.556.8107.3-6.317%-
vs Similar (19)52.551.7104.2+0.747%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)57.051.8108.8+5.280%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 114.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.025.2
49.4%
52.8%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.113.3
34.9%
36.6%39.9
🏀 Free throws28.723.7
82.6%
77.7%23.7
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 104.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.326.1
56.4%
52.8%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.912.0
34.4%
36.6%36.0
🏀 Free throws22.616.5
73.0%
77.7%16.5
They take 81.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLLWLLWL
Miami Heat
LLWWLWWWWL
#25
League position
#15
-7.7
Net rating
-0.1
108.1
Offensive rating
108.7
115.8
Defensive rating
108.8
50.7%
Effective FG%
54.3%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
12.6%
Turnover %
12.3%
21.1%
Off. rebound %
17.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.9%
3-point %
34.4%
60.5%
Assist %
70.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 108.7Defence115.8 · 108.8Shooting50.7% · 54.3%3-point %34.9% · 34.4%Ball care12.6% · 12.3%Off. rebounds21.1% · 17.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/21HMilwaukee Bucks105-130
13/04/21HBrooklyn Nets97-127
12/04/21HChicago Bulls121-117
09/04/21ABoston Celtics136-145 OT
07/04/21AIndiana Pacers137-141
05/04/21HSacramento Kings116-106
04/04/21APhiladelphia 76ers113-122
03/04/21AMemphis Grizzlies108-120
01/04/21HNew York Knicks102-101
29/03/21ABrooklyn Nets107-112
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/21ADenver Nuggets106-123
14/04/21APhoenix Suns86-106
12/04/21APortland Trail Blazers107-98
08/04/21HLos Angeles Lakers110-104
07/04/21HMemphis Grizzlies112-124
04/04/21HCleveland Cavaliers115-101
02/04/21HGolden State Warriors116-109
31/03/21AIndiana Pacers92-87
29/03/21ANew York Knicks98-88
27/03/21ACharlotte Hornets105-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeWWWLL30%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %25%30%21%
Points / game110.3106.9113.7
Allowed / game118.2115.1121.3
Point differential-7.9-8.2-7.6
Avg total228.4222.0235.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%10%3%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (21)44% (9)42% (12)
Overtime %8%7%10%
Miami Heat
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL51%
HomeLWWLW52%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572928
Win %51%52%50%
Points / game106.2108.0104.2
Allowed / game107.5109.3105.7
Point differential-1.4-1.3-1.4
Avg total213.7217.3209.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%24%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (15)29% (7)50% (8)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz59451476%117.1107.2+9.9
2 Philadelphia 76ers58411771%113.6108.2+5.4
3 Brooklyn Nets58401869%118.9113.8+5.1
4 Phoenix Suns59401968%114.2108.2+6.0
5 Los Angeles Clippers61392264%114.0108.5+5.5
6 Denver Nuggets58372164%115.3109.5+5.8
7 Los Angeles Lakers60382263%109.9105.6+4.3
8 Milwaukee Bucks58352360%118.7113.2+5.5
9 Dallas Mavericks57322556%111.9109.9+2.0
10 Portland Trail Blazers58322655%114.1115.2-1.1
11 New York Knicks60322853%105.2103.3+2.0
12 Atlanta Hawks60322853%113.2111.7+1.5
13 Memphis Grizzlies57302753%113.3111.3+1.9
14 Boston Celtics58302852%111.9110.5+1.4
15 Miami Heat57292851%106.2107.5-1.4
16 Golden State Warriors59302951%112.9113.2-0.3
17 Charlotte Hornets59283147%110.4111.8-1.5
18 New Orleans Pelicans58273147%114.7114.5+0.2
19 San Antonio Spurs56263046%110.4112.4-2.0
20 Indiana Pacers58263245%113.4114.1-0.7
21 Chicago Bulls58253343%112.0113.0-1.0
22 Toronto Raptors60253542%111.9111.3+0.6
23 Sacramento Kings60243640%113.9118.5-4.6
24 Washington Wizards58233540%113.1117.8-4.7
25 Cleveland Cavaliers59223737%103.6110.9-7.3
26 Oklahoma City Thunder59213836%105.5114.2-8.7
27 Orlando Magic60204033%105.0112.3-7.4
28 Detroit Pistons60194132%106.8109.9-3.1
29 Houston Rockets59174229%108.6114.0-5.3
30 Minnesota Timberwolves59154425%110.3118.2-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves26352731119
Miami Heat37243218111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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