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Lietkabelis vs Neptunas Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 21 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 15:50
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#4
Record4-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game85.2
LithuaniaLKL· Kalnapilio arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Neptunas
21 Apr 2027
LIE v NEP
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
LIE99
NEP79
13 Jun 2026
LIE82
NEP91
08 Jun 2026
LIE80
NEP68
26 Apr 2026
LIE83
NEP80
20 Sep 2025
LIE84
NEP96
30 Apr 2025
LIE84
NEP79
02 Nov 2024
LIE81
NEP89
04 Mar 2024
LIE76
NEP78
21 Jan 2024
LIE79
NEP76
14 Jan 2023
LIE73
NEP81
26 Nov 2022
LIE80
NEP73
15 Jan 2022
LIE80
NEP80
18 Sep 2021
LIE83
NEP62
13 May 2021
LIE94
NEP93
08 Apr 2021
LIE82
NEP77
03 Oct 2020
LIE87
NEP82
02 May 2020
LIE v NEP
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
LIE102
NEP64
22 Apr 2019
LIE69
NEP73
24 Nov 2018
LIE76
NEP100
17 Jun 2018
LIE78
NEP89
12 Jun 2018
LIE69
NEP71
18 Apr 2018
LIE89
NEP94
04 Oct 2017
LIE88
NEP76
01 Apr 2017
LIE74
NEP61
05 Oct 2016
LIE93
NEP74
17 Apr 2016
LIE72
NEP80
25 Oct 2015
LIE75
NEP80
16 Apr 2015
LIE81
NEP83
09 Oct 2014
LIE65
NEP78
10 Apr 2014
LIE69
NEP83
16 Jan 2013
LIE65
NEP81
21 Jan 2012
LIE103
NEP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#21
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 68
H30/09
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
48avg 68
A04/10
LKL
BC Roma
#23
L
87-92
87
92
-5
71avg 68
A07/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 68
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#11
W
95-86
95
86
+9
93avg 68
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 68
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
64-57
64
57
+7
54avg 68
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 68
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#9
L
68-86
68
86
-18
54avg 68
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#4
W
99-79
99
79
+20
no box
H31/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
25-18
25-15
13-19
21-20
19-29
12-23
16-25
11-22
27-21
25-27
24-22
13-20
15-13
15-14
22-24
23-22
27-18
24-24
21-22
20-19
22-9
20-21
11-23
13-10
20-15
16-20
15-12
14-27
23-12
22-16
21-28
25-22
17-28
9-17
17-19
19-33
29-20
25-11
26-15
156.9Avg total
77.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.981.1160.0-2.250%
Season at home (4)83.277.8161.0+5.575%
Season away (4)74.584.5159.0-10.025%
Last 10 (10)77.479.5156.9-2.150%
Last 5 (5)76.875.4152.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.188.4166.5-10.212%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.978.2158.1+1.657%
vs Weaker (8)80.173.5153.6+6.662%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Trento
#22
L
73-76
73
76
-3
66avg 81
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
89-62
89
62
+27
92avg 81
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 81
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 81
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#25
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 81
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 81
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#18
L
89-104
89
104
-15
81avg 81
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
110-88
110
88
+22
108avg 81
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#3
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 81
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-99
79
99
-20
no box
A31/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
21-15
15-23
22-17
34-10
21-12
14-19
20-21
15-31
24-26
27-18
18-18
22-18
18-22
21-27
16-19
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
29-24
19-21
17-21
19-17
22-31
20-25
26-24
21-24
25-23
26-17
31-26
28-22
20-24
25-23
20-24
20-23
33-19
20-29
11-25
15-26
173.7Avg total
86.3Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.685.2170.9+0.450%
Season at home (4)91.881.8173.5+10.075%
Season away (4)79.588.8168.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)86.387.4173.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)89.493.6183.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.393.8176.2-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.383.1165.4-0.850%
vs Weaker (12)94.086.3180.3+7.758%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
LietkabelisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#21
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H30/09
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A04/10
LKL
BC Roma
#23
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A07/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#9
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#4
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H31/10
LKL
79.3Avg total
39.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.079.6-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.840.680.4-0.938%-
Last 30 away (14)37.341.578.8-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.879.3-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.079.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.544.284.8-3.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.142.480.5-4.429%-
vs Weaker (8)37.635.473.0+2.262%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#22
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#5
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#25
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#18
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#5
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A31/10
LKL
89.4Avg total
46.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.742.888.5+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.442.188.4+4.356%-
Last 30 away (14)44.943.688.6+1.357%-
Last 10 (10)46.043.489.4+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.847.295.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.749.090.7-7.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.139.584.6+5.675%-
vs Weaker (12)48.343.091.3+5.367%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.5
50.0%
55.3%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.5
33.0%
35.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.615.4
78.6%
70.4%15.4
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.3
52.5%
55.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.9
32.2%
35.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.519.4
79.2%
70.4%19.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLLWWWLLLW
Neptunas
LLWLWWLLWL
#5
League position
#4
-4.8
Net rating
-0.5
92.4
Offensive rating
97.6
97.3
Defensive rating
98.0
49.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.0%
3-point %
32.2%
56.9%
Assist %
64.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 97.6Defence97.3 · 98.0Shooting49.8% · 50.9%3-point %33.0% · 32.2%Ball care15.5% · 14.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lietkabelis wins
6
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HNeptunas99-79
27/10/26HUlm68-86
24/10/26AGargzdai80-83
20/10/26ABalkan64-57
17/10/26ANevezis73-72
13/10/26HPAOK95-86
10/10/26HJonava65-71
07/10/26ABC Roma87-92
04/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas68-97
30/09/26HKK Bosna75-72
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ALietkabelis79-99
28/10/26HBasket Napoli85-94
25/10/26HSiauliai110-88
20/10/26ABuducnost89-104
17/10/26AJonava84-83
13/10/26HJL Bourg93-89
10/10/26ARytas77-86
07/10/26AChemnitz84-93
03/10/26HNevezis89-62
29/09/26HTrento73-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game78.983.274.5
Allowed / game81.177.884.5
Point differential-2.2+5.5-10.0
Avg total160.0161.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game85.691.879.5
Allowed / game85.281.888.8
Point differential+0.4+10.0-9.2
Avg total170.9173.5168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas770100%93.073.0+20.0
2 Rytas54180%91.283.4+7.8
3 Gargzdai75271%90.688.4+2.1
4 Neptunas84450%85.685.2+0.4
5 Lietkabelis84450%78.981.1-2.2
6 Jonava73443%78.479.4-1.0
7 Juventus83538%85.287.2-2.0
8 Siauliai83538%83.287.2-4.0
9 Taurage83538%81.487.8-6.4
10 Nevezis6060%71.383.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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