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Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Feb 2010
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 71-94
18-26 27-24 12-25 14-19
Position#13
Record29-29
FormWWWLL
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game95.0
vs
Position#14
Record29-28
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.1
Allowed / game97.5
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks
04 Feb 2027
MIA v MIL
upcoming
18 Nov 2026
MIA v MIL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MIA112
MIL105
26 Nov 2025
MIA106
MIL103
05 Apr 2025
MIA115
MIL121
26 Nov 2024
MIA103
MIL106
28 Nov 2023
MIA124
MIL131
24 Apr 2023
MIA119
MIL114
22 Apr 2023
MIA121
MIL99
14 Jan 2023
MIA111
MIL95
12 Jan 2023
MIA108
MIL102
08 Dec 2021
MIA113
MIL104
21 Oct 2021
MIA137
MIL95
29 May 2021
MIA103
MIL120
27 May 2021
MIA84
MIL113
30 Dec 2020
MIA119
MIL108
29 Dec 2020
MIA97
MIL144
06 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL118
04 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL100
02 Mar 2020
MIA105
MIL89
15 Mar 2019
MIA98
MIL113
22 Dec 2018
MIA94
MIL87
09 Feb 2018
MIA91
MIL85
14 Jan 2018
MIA97
MIL79
21 Jan 2017
MIA109
MIL97
17 Nov 2016
MIA96
MIL73
19 Jan 2016
MIA79
MIL91
27 Jan 2015
MIA102
MIL109
16 Nov 2014
MIA84
MIL91
02 Apr 2014
MIA96
MIL77
12 Nov 2013
MIA118
MIL95
23 Apr 2013
MIA98
MIL86
21 Apr 2013
MIA110
MIL87
09 Apr 2013
MIA94
MIL83
21 Nov 2012
MIA113
MIL106
22 Jan 2012
MIA82
MIL91
06 Apr 2011
MIA85
MIL90
04 Jan 2011
MIA101
MIL89
27 Feb 2010
MIA71
MIL94
01 Feb 2010
MIA81
MIL97
28 Mar 2009
MIA102
MIL85
15 Dec 2008
MIA83
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#8
L
102-107
102
107
-5
A04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
86-102
86
102
-16
A05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
91-95
91
95
-4
A07/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
W
99-66
99
66
+33
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
105-78
105
78
+27
A17/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
87-84
87
84
+3
A18/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
100-87 OT
100
87
+13
A20/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#5
L
91-97
91
97
-6
A21/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H24/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
25-26
23-21
28-33
28-29
24-27
21-25
13-21
27-23
15-26
27-20
22-26
24-16
32-15
24-24
19-11
20-27
23-15
24-22
27-12
23-21
23-14
33-17
26-26
23-22
28-23
19-21
17-18
21-14
25-17
17-26
13-19
27-21
25-23
12-27
27-26
15-24
26-21
17-23
30-23
182.6Avg total
94.3Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)96.495.0191.4+1.450%
Season at home (27)96.692.2188.8+4.452%
Season away (31)96.297.5193.6-1.348%
Last 10 (10)94.388.3182.6+6.050%
Last 5 (5)94.287.4181.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.597.0185.5-8.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)93.198.0191.1-4.933%
vs Weaker (10)100.286.4186.6+13.870%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#22
W
114-107
114
107
+7
A06/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
93-81
93
81
+12
H07/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H10/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
97-77
97
77
+20
A11/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
L
99-127
99
127
-28
H18/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
91-85
91
85
+6
A20/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H21/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
83-67
83
67
+16
A23/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
115-95
115
95
+20
H25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
112-110
112
110
+2
A26/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
25-33
36-22
24-26
31-21
22-25
17-17
23-18
9-20
29-25
24-19
19-29
20-26
24-18
24-16
29-17
20-20
32-37
14-43
33-27
23-29
27-17
22-19
19-20
24-16
30-23
19-23
20-26
27-20
20-21
16-14
20-12
31-28
30-27
28-17
26-23
30-31
31-25
28-21
23-33
190.8Avg total
97.8Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)98.197.5195.6+0.651%
Season at home (27)101.998.2200.1+3.767%
Season away (30)94.796.9191.6-2.137%
Last 10 (10)97.893.0190.8+4.880%
Last 5 (5)98.889.0187.8+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.0108.0195.0-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)98.5101.2199.6-2.741%
vs Weaker (11)100.089.3189.3+10.791%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
Miami HeatMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#8
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A07/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A17/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A18/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A20/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#5
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A21/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H24/02
NBA
91.1Avg total
48.0Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.448.097.4+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (9)51.945.397.2+6.656%-
Last 30 away (21)48.349.197.4-0.952%-
Last 10 (10)48.043.191.1+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)47.240.087.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)53.053.0106.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)48.549.798.2-1.244%-
vs Weaker (10)50.243.994.1+6.370%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#22
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A06/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H07/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H10/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A11/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H18/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A20/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H21/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A23/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A26/02
NBA
100.2Avg total
51.4Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.549.598.0-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (12)50.247.897.9+2.458%-
Last 30 away (18)47.450.798.1-3.339%-
Last 10 (10)51.448.8100.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)54.647.4102.0+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.545.588.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)48.251.199.4-2.935%-
vs Weaker (11)50.047.797.7+2.364%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Miami Heat wins
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/10HMinnesota Timberwolves88-91
21/02/10ADallas Mavericks91-97
20/02/10AMemphis Grizzlies100-87 OT
18/02/10ABrooklyn Nets87-84
17/02/10APhiladelphia 76ers105-78
11/02/10AAtlanta Hawks94-76
10/02/10HHouston Rockets99-66
07/02/10AChicago Bulls91-95
05/02/10ACleveland Cavaliers86-102
04/02/10ABoston Celtics102-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/10AIndiana Pacers112-110
25/02/10HNew Orleans Pelicans115-95
23/02/10ANew York Knicks83-67
21/02/10HCharlotte Hornets93-88
20/02/10ADetroit Pistons91-85
18/02/10HHouston Rockets99-127
11/02/10ABrooklyn Nets97-77
10/02/10HDetroit Pistons81-93
07/02/10HIndiana Pacers93-81
06/02/10ANew York Knicks114-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWLLWL52%
AwayWWWWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582731
Win %50%52%48%
Points / game96.496.696.2
Allowed / game95.092.297.5
Point differential+1.4+4.4-1.3
Avg total191.4188.8193.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%37%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %3%4%3%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW51%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWWWW37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572730
Win %51%67%37%
Points / game98.1101.994.7
Allowed / game97.598.296.9
Point differential+0.6+3.7-2.1
Avg total195.6200.1191.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%30%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (20)56% (9)27% (11)
Overtime %11%15%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers60461477%102.295.3+6.9
2 Los Angeles Lakers59441575%102.796.2+6.4
3 Denver Nuggets58391967%107.7102.7+5.0
4 Orlando Magic59392066%101.295.8+5.3
5 Dallas Mavericks59382164%100.998.8+2.1
6 Utah Jazz58372164%101.997.2+4.7
7 Boston Celtics57362163%98.594.2+4.2
8 Atlanta Hawks57362163%101.497.2+4.2
9 Phoenix Suns60372362%109.3106.2+3.0
10 Oklahoma City Thunder57342360%99.195.9+3.2
11 San Antonio Spurs56322457%100.596.5+4.0
12 Portland Trail Blazers61342756%97.695.3+2.3
13 Toronto Raptors57312654%104.6105.0-0.4
14 Chicago Bulls58312753%97.398.2-0.9
15 New Orleans Pelicans59312853%99.8101.2-1.3
16 Milwaukee Bucks57292851%98.197.5+0.6
17 Houston Rockets57292851%100.9101.2-0.2
18 Miami Heat58292950%96.495.0+1.4
19 Memphis Grizzlies58292950%101.8102.9-1.1
20 Charlotte Hornets57282949%95.194.4+0.7
21 Los Angeles Clippers58243441%95.7100.2-4.4
22 Philadelphia 76ers58223638%97.6100.3-2.7
23 Detroit Pistons58213736%92.596.8-4.3
24 Washington Wizards56203636%98.3101.8-3.6
25 New York Knicks57203735%101.3104.4-3.1
26 Sacramento Kings58193933%101.1105.6-4.6
27 Indiana Pacers58193933%99.5104.2-4.8
28 Golden State Warriors57164128%107.4111.0-3.6
29 Minnesota Timberwolves60144623%97.6106.1-8.5
30 Brooklyn Nets5865210%90.3101.1-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat1827121471
Milwaukee Bucks2624251994
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