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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 103-106
29-28 23-24 22-26 29-28
Position#8
Record52-34
FormLLLWW
Points / game109.1
Allowed / game106.7
vs
Position#13
Record42-45
FormWLLWL
Points / game102.9
Allowed / game101.6
USANBA· Verizon Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
05 Oct 2018
WAS121
MIA114
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
10 Jul 2017
WAS87
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
04 Oct 2016
WAS95
MIA106
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
17 Jul 2014
WAS78
MIA67
15 Jul 2014
WAS85
MIA83
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
15 Oct 2013
WAS100
MIA82
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#4
L
102-110
102
110
-8
A20/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
104-100
104
100
+4
H23/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
129-108
129
108
+21
H24/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
127-115
127
115
+12
A25/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
119-108
119
108
+11
A29/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
124-133
124
133
-9
A30/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
88-95
88
95
-7
A01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
115-139
115
139
-24
A03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
118-111
118
111
+7
H04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
106-103
106
103
+3
A06/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-30
19-28
28-34
27-18
16-20
24-26
27-21
37-33
31-22
32-20
34-39
32-27
40-26
31-35
25-30
31-24
27-27
28-31
27-37
37-13
31-39
32-35
35-36
26-23
19-24
20-18
22-22
27-31
30-35
27-32
31-39
27-33
22-24
29-39
36-18
31-30
33-27
26-24
23-24
24-28
225.4Avg total
113.2Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (86)109.1106.7215.9+2.460%
Season at home (43)110.2104.3214.5+5.974%
Season away (43)108.1109.1217.2-1.147%
Last 10 (10)113.2112.2225.4+1.060%
Last 5 (5)110.2116.2226.4-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)113.5123.5237.0-10.050%
vs Similar ◀ (18)111.2110.0221.2+1.256%
vs Weaker (10)116.8111.5228.3+5.380%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
104-115
104
115
-11
H19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
112-97
112
97
+15
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
84-101
84
101
-17
H23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
108-112
108
112
-4
A26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
97-96
97
96
+1
A28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
105-88
105
88
+17
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
94-98
94
98
-4
H01/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
113-116
113
116
-3
H02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
112-99
112
99
+13
A05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
94-96
94
96
-2
A07/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
22-24
28-33
25-30
23-26
36-20
25-17
28-34
33-23
14-22
21-30
16-26
27-22
31-31
17-32
33-27
24-24
31-26
23-19
19-27
24-22
25-19
28-27
28-20
29-33
26-26
20-18
19-21
30-37
28-31
29-25
26-23
27-23
25-28
34-22
26-26
19-26
24-27
22-17
29-26
204.1Avg total
102.3Scored
101.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (87)102.9101.6204.5+1.448%
Season at home (44)106.0101.8207.8+4.252%
Season away (43)99.8101.3201.1-1.644%
Last 10 (10)102.3101.8204.1+0.540%
Last 5 (5)103.699.4203.0+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)108.3101.1209.4+7.270%
vs Weaker (10)107.3102.1209.4+5.250%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#4
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A20/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H23/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H24/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A25/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A29/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A30/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A06/04
NBA
110.7Avg total
54.5Scored
56.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.455.1110.5+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.252.4106.5+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)56.457.1113.5-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)54.556.2110.7-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)53.859.4113.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.058.0117.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)54.554.6109.1-0.144%-
vs Weaker (10)56.455.3111.7+1.160%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H01/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A07/04
NBA
104.5Avg total
52.7Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.451.7108.1+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.951.6109.5+6.360%-
Last 30 away (15)54.951.8106.7+3.160%-
Last 10 (10)52.751.8104.5+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)51.454.4105.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)57.051.4108.3+5.670%-
vs Weaker (10)55.252.4107.6+2.840%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.332.2
53.4%
50.2%64.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.2
36.2%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.818.2
76.5%
77.0%18.2
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 102.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.928.1
48.5%
50.2%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.0
36.0%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.216.1
72.5%
77.0%16.1
They take 85.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
WWLLLWWWWL
Miami Heat
LWLLWWLLWL
#8
League position
#13
+1.0
Net rating
+0.5
113.3
Offensive rating
106.1
112.3
Defensive rating
105.5
53.7%
Effective FG%
50.3%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
13.2%
Turnover %
12.9%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.2%
3-point %
36.0%
55.2%
Assist %
50.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 106.1Defence112.3 · 105.5Shooting53.7% · 50.3%3-point %36.2% · 36.0%Ball care13.2% · 12.9%Off. rebounds26.5% · 25.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Washington Wizards wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/17ANew York Knicks106-103
04/04/17HCharlotte Hornets118-111
03/04/17AGolden State Warriors115-139
01/04/17AUtah Jazz88-95
30/03/17ALos Angeles Clippers124-133
29/03/17ALos Angeles Lakers119-108
25/03/17ACleveland Cavaliers127-115
24/03/17HBrooklyn Nets129-108
23/03/17HAtlanta Hawks104-100
20/03/17ABoston Celtics102-110
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/17AToronto Raptors94-96
05/04/17ACharlotte Hornets112-99
02/04/17HDenver Nuggets113-116
01/04/17HNew York Knicks94-98
29/03/17ANew York Knicks105-88
28/03/17ADetroit Pistons97-96
26/03/17ABoston Celtics108-112
23/03/17HToronto Raptors84-101
21/03/17HPhoenix Suns112-97
19/03/17HPortland Trail Blazers104-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW60%
HomeLWWWW74%
AwayWLLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games864343
Win %60%74%47%
Points / game109.1110.2108.1
Allowed / game106.7104.3109.1
Point differential+2.4+5.9-1.1
Avg total215.9214.5217.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%28%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (30)80% (15)53% (15)
Overtime %9%5%14%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL48%
HomeLWLLL52%
AwayLWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games874443
Win %48%52%44%
Points / game102.9106.099.8
Allowed / game101.6101.8101.3
Point differential+1.4+4.2-1.6
Avg total204.5207.8201.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%34%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (23)20% (10)46% (13)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors86711583%115.8104.2+11.6
2 San Antonio Spurs85652076%105.297.7+7.4
3 Houston Rockets85572867%115.3109.1+6.2
4 Boston Celtics87563164%107.7105.0+2.6
5 Cleveland Cavaliers85533262%109.8106.8+3.0
6 Utah Jazz85523361%100.696.5+4.1
7 Toronto Raptors86523460%106.5102.9+3.6
8 Washington Wizards86523460%109.1106.7+2.4
9 Los Angeles Clippers85513460%107.4104.7+2.7
10 Oklahoma City Thunder83473657%106.5105.7+0.9
11 Memphis Grizzlies86473955%101.2100.1+1.1
12 Atlanta Hawks86464053%102.7103.1-0.5
13 Milwaukee Bucks85434251%103.1103.7-0.6
14 Indiana Pacers86434350%105.1105.5-0.4
15 Portland Trail Blazers86434350%107.7108.3-0.7
16 Miami Heat87424548%102.9101.6+1.4
17 Denver Nuggets87424548%111.1110.9+0.3
18 Chicago Bulls87424548%102.7103.0-0.4
19 Detroit Pistons85394646%100.7101.5-0.8
20 Charlotte Hornets87394845%104.5104.4+0.0
21 Minnesota Timberwolves86365042%105.1105.5-0.5
22 New Orleans Pelicans85345140%104.6106.6-2.0
23 Dallas Mavericks86345240%97.5100.7-3.2
24 New York Knicks86345240%104.6107.9-3.2
25 Sacramento Kings84335139%102.2106.2-3.9
26 Philadelphia 76ers86305635%102.0108.1-6.1
27 Orlando Magic87305734%101.0107.3-6.3
28 Phoenix Suns86275931%107.3112.4-5.2
29 Los Angeles Lakers87266130%104.7111.3-6.6
30 Brooklyn Nets86216524%105.8112.4-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards29232229103
Miami Heat28242628106
← all games of the day
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