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Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2009
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 99-102
24-28 31-27 18-25 26-22
Position#20
Record19-21
FormWLWLW
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game96.7
vs
Position#14
Record20-17
FormLLWLW
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game96.7
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat
12 Mar 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
28 Jan 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
MIL128
MIA117
23 Feb 2025
MIL120
MIA113
23 Jan 2025
MIL125
MIA96
13 Feb 2024
MIL97
MIA123
30 Oct 2023
MIL122
MIA114
26 Apr 2023
MIL126
MIA128
19 Apr 2023
MIL138
MIA122
16 Apr 2023
MIL117
MIA130
24 Feb 2023
MIL128
MIA99
04 Feb 2023
MIL123
MIA115
02 Mar 2022
MIL120
MIA119
04 Dec 2021
MIL124
MIA102
24 May 2021
MIL132
MIA98
22 May 2021
MIL109
MIA107
15 May 2021
MIL122
MIA108
08 Sep 2020
MIL94
MIA103
02 Sep 2020
MIL114
MIA116
31 Aug 2020
MIL104
MIA115
06 Aug 2020
MIL130
MIA116
26 Oct 2019
MIL126
MIA131
22 Mar 2019
MIL116
MIA87
15 Jan 2019
MIL124
MIA86
17 Jan 2018
MIL101
MIA106
08 Feb 2017
MIL88
MIA106
13 Jan 2017
MIL116
MIA108
09 Mar 2016
MIL114
MIA108
29 Jan 2016
MIL103
MIA107
24 Mar 2015
MIL89
MIA88
05 Dec 2014
MIL109
MIA85
29 Mar 2014
MIL67
MIA88
28 Apr 2013
MIL77
MIA88
25 Apr 2013
MIL91
MIA104
15 Mar 2013
MIL94
MIA107
29 Dec 2012
MIL104
MIA85
13 Feb 2012
MIL96
MIA114
01 Feb 2012
MIL105
MIA97
07 Jan 2011
MIL95
MIA101
06 Dec 2010
MIL78
MIA88
26 Mar 2010
MIL74
MIA87
30 Jan 2010
MIL95
MIA84
14 Jan 2009
MIL99
MIA102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
76-87
76
87
-11
H28/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
100-98
100
98
+2
A31/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#19
W
103-75
103
75
+28
H03/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#19
L
92-102
92
102
-10
A04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
107-97
107
97
+10
H06/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
105-110
105
110
-5
H08/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
104-102
104
102
+2
H10/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
104-106
104
106
-2
A11/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
97-91
97
91
+6
A13/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
23-19
11-27
21-14
31-26
20-23
29-25
20-24
22-27
14-20
24-18
21-20
29-25
27-19
20-13
27-18
22-21
20-30
21-25
29-26
19-27
26-21
29-23
33-26
25-30
34-25
26-24
20-31
28-28
33-21
18-26
25-27
28-19
32-32
23-27
21-28
25-19
16-33
28-22
28-17
192.2Avg total
96.9Scored
95.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)97.496.7194.1+0.748%
Season at home (17)99.493.8193.2+5.665%
Season away (23)95.998.9194.8-3.035%
Last 10 (10)96.995.3192.2+1.650%
Last 5 (5)103.4101.2204.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)94.4101.3195.7-6.914%
vs Similar ◀ (21)98.696.7195.3+2.052%
vs Weaker (2)108.088.0196.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A29/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
104-95
104
95
+9
H31/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
101-96 OT
101
96
+5
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
97-108
97
108
-11
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
119-115 OT
119
115
+4
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
105-108
105
108
-3
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
99-96
99
96
+3
A14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
22-24
24-19
26-13
22-22
20-22
25-14
19-35
26-19
24-15
24-33
30-28
21-24
23-21
21-22
11-19
14-27
24-19
23-17
24-22
15-21
24-18
21-26
24-26
21-27
27-32
24-24
25-25
25-30
33-32
16-20
30-22
21-26
30-24
22-27
32-31
20-21
26-31
27-24
26-20
192.6Avg total
96.1Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)96.696.7193.4-0.154%
Season at home (18)96.092.1188.1+3.967%
Season away (19)97.3101.1198.4-3.842%
Last 10 (10)96.196.5192.6-0.450%
Last 5 (5)100.8103.6204.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.197.0186.1-7.929%
vs Similar ◀ (14)95.196.6191.7-1.450%
vs Weaker (9)102.498.9201.3+3.678%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
Milwaukee BucksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H28/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A31/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#19
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H03/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#19
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H06/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H08/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H10/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A11/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A13/01
NBA
98.7Avg total
49.5Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.848.798.5+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.946.298.2+5.762%-
Last 30 away (17)48.250.698.8-2.435%-
Last 10 (10)49.549.298.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)53.251.0104.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.651.392.9-9.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)52.448.5100.9+3.957%-
vs Weaker (2)51.542.093.5+9.550%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A29/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H31/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A14/01
NBA
93.2Avg total
45.6Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.849.196.9-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.446.792.1-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)50.351.4101.7-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)45.647.693.2-2.020%-
Last 5 (5)48.452.4100.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.746.992.6-1.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.549.696.1-3.136%-
vs Weaker (9)51.650.0101.6+1.656%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Milwaukee Bucks wins
0
Miami Heat wins
DateGameScore
16/12/08Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks83-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/09AWashington Wizards97-91
11/01/09AMinnesota Timberwolves104-106
10/01/09HBrooklyn Nets104-102
08/01/09HPhiladelphia 76ers105-110
06/01/09HToronto Raptors107-97
04/01/09ACharlotte Hornets92-102
03/01/09HCharlotte Hornets103-75
01/01/09AHouston Rockets81-85
31/12/08ASan Antonio Spurs100-98
28/12/08HDetroit Pistons76-87
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/09AMinnesota Timberwolves99-96
12/01/09ALos Angeles Lakers105-108
10/01/09ASacramento Kings119-115 OT
08/01/09ADenver Nuggets97-108
06/01/09HSan Antonio Spurs84-91
04/01/09HBrooklyn Nets101-96 OT
03/01/09AOrlando Magic76-86
31/12/08HCleveland Cavaliers104-95
29/12/08ACleveland Cavaliers86-93
26/12/08HChicago Bulls90-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW48%
HomeLWWLW65%
AwayWLLLW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401723
Win %48%65%35%
Points / game97.499.495.9
Allowed / game96.793.898.9
Point differential+0.7+5.6-3.0
Avg total194.1193.2194.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %8%12%4%
Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW54%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %54%67%42%
Points / game96.696.097.3
Allowed / game96.792.1101.1
Point differential-0.1+3.9-3.8
Avg total193.4188.1198.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)100% (4)62% (8)
Overtime %8%6%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers3731684%107.798.9+8.8
2 Cleveland Cavaliers3630683%101.488.9+12.5
3 Orlando Magic3931879%102.093.6+8.4
4 Boston Celtics4132978%100.891.8+9.0
5 Denver Nuggets39261367%103.8100.2+3.6
6 San Antonio Spurs36241267%97.293.6+3.6
7 New Orleans Pelicans34221265%96.092.4+3.6
8 Phoenix Suns35221363%104.3102.2+2.1
9 Utah Jazz38231561%101.997.9+3.9
10 Portland Trail Blazers38231561%97.895.0+2.7
11 Houston Rockets40241660%96.894.0+2.8
12 Atlanta Hawks37221559%98.096.6+1.3
13 Detroit Pistons37221559%94.093.6+0.3
14 Dallas Mavericks38221658%99.497.9+1.5
15 Miami Heat37201754%96.696.7-0.1
16 Brooklyn Nets39192049%99.2101.7-2.5
17 Milwaukee Bucks40192148%97.496.7+0.7
18 Philadelphia 76ers38182047%95.895.9-0.1
19 Chicago Bulls39172244%99.4102.8-3.4
20 New York Knicks37152241%103.5106.8-3.3
21 Toronto Raptors40162440%97.399.6-2.3
22 Charlotte Hornets39152438%91.194.0-2.8
23 Indiana Pacers39142536%104.7107.0-2.3
24 Minnesota Timberwolves37112630%97.7101.7-4.1
25 Memphis Grizzlies38112729%93.699.4-5.8
26 Golden State Warriors39112828%105.8111.7-5.9
27 Sacramento Kings3993023%97.0106.2-9.1
28 Los Angeles Clippers3782922%93.3100.5-7.2
29 Washington Wizards3873118%94.1100.7-6.6
30 Oklahoma City Thunder3963315%95.1103.1-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks2431182699
Miami Heat28272522102
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