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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2009
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 103-97
32-29 24-23 27-16 20-29
Position#14
Record22-19
FormWWLWL
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game96.6
vs
Position#4
Record33-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game101.8
Allowed / game93.6
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
101-96 OT
101
96
+5
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
97-108
97
108
-11
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
119-115 OT
119
115
+4
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
105-108
105
108
-3
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
99-96
99
96
+3
A14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
102-99
102
99
+3
A15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
104-94
104
94
+10
A19/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
83-98
83
98
-15
H22/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
24-19
23-17
24-22
15-21
24-18
21-26
24-26
21-27
27-32
24-24
25-25
25-30
33-32
16-20
30-22
21-26
30-24
22-27
32-31
20-21
26-31
27-24
26-20
28-24
27-31
25-18
22-26
21-25
15-20
28-24
22-24
31-27
26-23
27-23
20-21
10-29
24-28
30-21
19-20
197.8Avg total
98.0Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)96.496.6193.0-0.354%
Season at home (19)95.392.4187.7+2.963%
Season away (22)97.3100.3197.6-3.045%
Last 10 (10)98.099.8197.8-1.850%
Last 5 (5)94.896.0190.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)87.396.1183.4-8.929%
vs Similar (15)94.995.8190.7-0.953%
vs Weaker (8)104.4102.5206.9+1.975%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#14
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H03/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
L
102-108
102
108
-6
A04/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H07/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
106-102
106
102
+4
A08/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
121-87
121
87
+34
H10/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
105-98
105
98
+7
A12/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
139-107
139
107
+32
A14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
109-103
109
103
+6
A17/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
106-88
106
88
+18
A18/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H23/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
21-23
22-21
19-11
22-34
27-22
29-21
24-31
30-24
16-6
24-33
19-17
29-24
31-21
26-25
20-32
41-18
30-15
32-27
18-27
34-28
21-22
19-22
31-26
41-29
34-27
32-29
32-22
20-23
24-29
30-23
35-28
26-23
21-25
32-22
27-18
19-24
17-20
18-21
26-25
198.2Avg total
104.3Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)101.893.6195.4+8.179%
Season at home (20)99.689.9189.5+9.780%
Season away (22)103.797.0200.8+6.777%
Last 10 (10)104.393.9198.2+10.480%
Last 5 (5)107.897.2205.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)100.398.4198.6+1.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)104.191.1195.2+13.189%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#21
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A19/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H22/01
NBA
97.7Avg total
46.2Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.550.197.5-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.248.092.2-3.829%-
Last 30 away (16)50.351.9102.2-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)46.251.597.7-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)45.651.897.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)43.947.991.7-4.029%-
vs Similar (15)45.949.695.5-3.727%-
vs Weaker (8)53.652.9106.5+0.850%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#14
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H03/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A04/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H07/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
60-45
60
45
+15
A08/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
71-33
71
33
+38
H10/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A12/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
75-56
75
56
+19
A14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A17/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H23/01
NBA
98.6Avg total
52.8Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.845.997.7+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.041.292.2+9.885%-
Last 30 away (17)52.449.5101.9+2.953%-
Last 10 (10)52.845.898.6+7.060%-
Last 5 (5)51.450.0101.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)48.249.597.6-1.345%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)53.943.897.7+10.179%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Miami Heat wins
1
Orlando Magic wins
DateGameScore
03/01/09Orlando Magic v Miami Heat86-76
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/09HBoston Celtics83-98
19/01/09AOklahoma City Thunder104-94
18/01/09AHouston Rockets86-93
15/01/09AMilwaukee Bucks102-99
14/01/09AMinnesota Timberwolves99-96
12/01/09ALos Angeles Lakers105-108
10/01/09ASacramento Kings119-115 OT
08/01/09ADenver Nuggets97-108
06/01/09HSan Antonio Spurs84-91
04/01/09HBrooklyn Nets101-96 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/09HBoston Celtics80-90
18/01/09ADenver Nuggets106-88
17/01/09ALos Angeles Lakers109-103
14/01/09ASacramento Kings139-107
12/01/09ASan Antonio Spurs105-98
10/01/09HAtlanta Hawks121-87
08/01/09AAtlanta Hawks106-102
07/01/09HWashington Wizards89-80
04/01/09AToronto Raptors102-108
03/01/09HMiami Heat86-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL54%
HomeWWWLL63%
AwayLWWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games411922
Win %54%63%45%
Points / game96.495.397.3
Allowed / game96.692.4100.3
Point differential-0.3+2.9-3.0
Avg total193.0187.7197.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%21%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won77% (13)100% (4)67% (9)
Overtime %7%5%9%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422022
Win %79%80%77%
Points / game101.899.6103.7
Allowed / game93.689.997.0
Point differential+8.1+9.7+6.7
Avg total195.4189.5200.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)67% (3)75% (8)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers4234881%107.899.1+8.7
2 Cleveland Cavaliers4133880%100.890.0+10.8
3 Boston Celtics4536980%100.691.1+9.6
4 Orlando Magic4233979%101.893.6+8.1
5 San Antonio Spurs42291369%96.993.6+3.3
6 Denver Nuggets43281565%104.3100.9+3.4
7 New Orleans Pelicans40261465%96.293.1+3.1
8 Atlanta Hawks42261662%98.796.4+2.3
9 Houston Rockets44271761%97.594.7+2.8
10 Portland Trail Blazers42251760%98.095.3+2.8
11 Utah Jazz43251858%102.099.0+3.0
12 Dallas Mavericks43251858%99.998.8+1.0
13 Detroit Pistons42241857%93.293.1+0.0
14 Phoenix Suns41231856%103.8103.2+0.6
15 Miami Heat41221954%96.496.6-0.3
16 Philadelphia 76ers42212150%96.896.1+0.7
17 Milwaukee Bucks46212546%98.398.1+0.2
18 Brooklyn Nets43192444%98.5101.7-3.2
19 Charlotte Hornets43182542%91.693.3-1.7
20 New York Knicks43182542%103.5106.1-2.7
21 Chicago Bulls44182641%99.1102.6-3.5
22 Toronto Raptors45172838%97.499.7-2.3
23 Indiana Pacers43162737%104.3106.6-2.3
24 Minnesota Timberwolves41142734%98.4101.8-3.3
25 Golden State Warriors44133130%107.3112.1-4.8
26 Memphis Grizzlies42113126%92.999.4-6.5
27 Los Angeles Clippers42103224%93.4100.4-6.9
28 Sacramento Kings43103323%98.8107.7-8.9
29 Washington Wizards4293321%94.7101.4-6.7
30 Oklahoma City Thunder4493520%96.1102.9-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat32242720103
Orlando Magic2923162997
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