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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Jan 2009
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 96-99
21-20 31-26 24-27 20-26
Position#25
Record11-25
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.7
Allowed / game101.8
vs
Position#14
Record19-17
FormWLLWL
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game96.7
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat
06 Feb 2027
MIN v MIA
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
MIN122
MIA94
10 Nov 2024
MIN94
MIA95
28 Oct 2023
MIN106
MIA90
21 Nov 2022
MIN105
MIA101
24 Nov 2021
MIN113
MIA101
16 Apr 2021
MIN119
MIA111
27 Oct 2019
MIN116
MIA109
05 Apr 2019
MIN111
MIA109
24 Nov 2017
MIN97
MIA109
06 Feb 2017
MIN113
MIA115
05 Nov 2015
MIN84
MIA96
04 Feb 2015
MIN102
MIA101
07 Dec 2013
MIN82
MIA103
04 Mar 2013
MIN81
MIA97
30 Dec 2011
MIN101
MIA103
01 Apr 2011
MIN92
MIA111
03 Apr 2010
MIN84
MIA97
13 Jan 2009
MIN96
MIA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
93-99
93
99
-6
A24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
120-107
120
107
+13
A27/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
94-118
94
118
-24
H28/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
108-98 OT
108
98
+10
H30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
100-107
100
107
-7
A31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
W
115-108
115
108
+7
H03/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
102-92
102
92
+10
A04/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A07/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
129-87
129
87
+42
H08/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
106-104
106
104
+2
H11/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
19-18
27-35
26-16
25-30
38-25
31-20
26-32
22-31
33-22
19-26
20-39
24-19
8-20
29-26
28-24
27-20
35-20
22-33
16-34
32-26
26-31
33-27
24-24
18-17
27-21
27-27
30-27
31-23
14-16
27-29
22-19
42-24
30-19
26-23
31-21
19-28
32-32
27-23
28-21
206.8Avg total
106.1Scored
100.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)97.7101.8199.5-4.131%
Season at home (18)97.8102.0199.8-4.233%
Season away (18)97.7101.6199.3-3.928%
Last 10 (10)106.1100.7206.8+5.470%
Last 5 (5)109.295.6204.8+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)92.3100.8193.1-8.512%
vs Similar (13)104.2101.9206.1+2.262%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#24
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A29/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
104-95
104
95
+9
H31/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
101-96 OT
101
96
+5
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
97-108
97
108
-11
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
119-115 OT
119
115
+4
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
105-108
105
108
-3
A12/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
26-17
20-15
29-32
18-21
22-24
24-19
26-13
22-22
20-22
25-14
19-35
26-19
24-15
24-33
30-28
21-24
23-21
21-22
11-19
14-27
24-19
23-17
24-22
15-21
24-18
21-26
24-26
21-27
27-32
24-24
25-25
25-30
33-32
16-20
30-22
21-26
30-24
22-27
32-31
191.5Avg total
95.8Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)96.696.7193.3-0.153%
Season at home (18)96.092.1188.1+3.967%
Season away (18)97.2101.4198.6-4.239%
Last 10 (10)95.895.7191.5+0.150%
Last 5 (5)101.2103.6204.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.197.0186.1-7.929%
vs Similar (15)95.496.4191.8-1.053%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)102.999.2202.1+3.675%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A27/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H28/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
62-40
62
40
+22
A31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H03/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A04/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A07/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
72-43
72
43
+29
H08/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H11/01
NBA
99.5Avg total
52.3Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.347.594.9-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.649.798.3-1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)46.145.391.4+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)52.347.299.5+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)54.247.4101.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)46.646.693.2+0.147%-
vs Similar (13)48.248.897.0-0.538%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#24
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A29/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H31/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A12/01
NBA
92.2Avg total
45.7Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.648.796.3-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.146.391.4-1.231%-
Last 30 away (14)50.651.4101.9-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)45.746.592.2-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)46.851.298.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.746.992.6-1.129%-
vs Similar (15)46.148.995.0-2.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)52.249.8102.0+2.562%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
0
Miami Heat wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/09HMilwaukee Bucks106-104
08/01/09HOklahoma City Thunder129-87
07/01/09AMemphis Grizzlies94-87
04/01/09AChicago Bulls102-92
03/01/09HGolden State Warriors115-108
31/12/08ADallas Mavericks100-107
30/12/08HMemphis Grizzlies108-98 OT
28/12/08HOrlando Magic94-118
27/12/08ANew York Knicks120-107
24/12/08ASan Antonio Spurs93-99
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/09ALos Angeles Lakers105-108
10/01/09ASacramento Kings119-115 OT
08/01/09ADenver Nuggets97-108
06/01/09HSan Antonio Spurs84-91
04/01/09HBrooklyn Nets101-96 OT
03/01/09AOrlando Magic76-86
31/12/08HCleveland Cavaliers104-95
29/12/08ACleveland Cavaliers86-93
26/12/08HChicago Bulls90-77
24/12/08HGolden State Warriors96-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW31%
HomeLWWWW33%
AwayLWLWW28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %31%33%28%
Points / game97.797.897.7
Allowed / game101.8102.0101.6
Point differential-4.1-4.2-3.9
Avg total199.5199.8199.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%11%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)40% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %8%11%6%
Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL53%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLLWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %53%67%39%
Points / game96.696.097.2
Allowed / game96.792.1101.4
Point differential-0.1+3.9-4.2
Avg total193.3188.1198.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)100% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %8%6%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers3630683%107.898.9+8.9
2 Cleveland Cavaliers3529683%101.489.0+12.4
3 Orlando Magic3830879%101.193.3+7.8
4 Boston Celtics4031978%100.391.9+8.4
5 San Antonio Spurs36241267%97.293.6+3.6
6 Denver Nuggets38251366%103.9100.2+3.7
7 New Orleans Pelicans34221265%96.092.4+3.6
8 Portland Trail Blazers37231462%98.394.9+3.4
9 Phoenix Suns34211362%104.2102.2+2.0
10 Houston Rockets39241562%96.793.7+3.0
11 Atlanta Hawks36221461%97.996.4+1.5
12 Detroit Pistons36221461%93.693.2+0.4
13 Utah Jazz38231561%101.997.9+3.9
14 Dallas Mavericks37221559%99.497.9+1.6
15 Miami Heat36191753%96.696.7-0.1
16 Brooklyn Nets38191950%99.5101.3-1.8
17 Milwaukee Bucks40192148%97.496.7+0.7
18 Philadelphia 76ers37172046%95.796.4-0.7
19 Chicago Bulls38162242%99.3102.9-3.6
20 Toronto Raptors39162341%97.399.5-2.3
21 New York Knicks36142239%102.8106.3-3.5
22 Charlotte Hornets39152438%91.194.0-2.8
23 Indiana Pacers38132534%104.6107.1-2.5
24 Minnesota Timberwolves36112531%97.7101.8-4.1
25 Memphis Grizzlies37112630%93.899.3-5.6
26 Golden State Warriors39112828%105.8111.7-5.9
27 Sacramento Kings3892924%96.8105.3-8.5
28 Los Angeles Clippers3782922%93.3100.5-7.2
29 Washington Wizards3773019%93.399.9-6.6
30 Oklahoma City Thunder3963315%95.1103.1-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves2131242096
Miami Heat2026272699
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