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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Jan 2009
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 99-97
33-26 27-21 18-25 21-25
Position#5
Record25-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game103.9
Allowed / game100.2
vs
Position#9
Record22-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game99.4
Allowed / game97.9
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
105-101
105
101
+4
H27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
117-110
117
110
+7
A28/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
91-109
91
109
-18
A30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
114-107
114
107
+7
A01/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
122-120
122
120
+2
A03/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
105-100
105
100
+5
H04/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
135-115
135
115
+20
H06/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
108-97
108
97
+11
H08/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
90-93
90
93
-3
H10/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
17-22
24-20
26-34
21-21
28-31
19-27
37-22
27-27
39-29
27-33
24-21
24-29
29-25
18-24
20-31
29-31
24-19
32-27
29-30
32-26
21-38
36-32
33-24
28-23
30-17
25-31
22-29
40-28
34-42
23-22
38-23
27-21
32-27
24-24
25-25
25-17
23-21
19-23
23-32
213.2Avg total
107.9Scored
105.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)103.9100.2204.2+3.766%
Season at home (19)106.299.9206.2+6.374%
Season away (19)101.6100.5202.2+1.158%
Last 10 (10)107.9105.3213.2+2.670%
Last 5 (5)112.0105.0217.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.0105.0193.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)96.197.7193.8-1.650%
vs Weaker (17)112.2101.8214.1+10.488%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
102-94
102
94
+8
A26/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
88-97
88
97
-9
A27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
98-76
98
76
+22
A28/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
107-100
107
100
+7
H31/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
96-86
96
86
+10
H03/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
L
82-102
82
102
-20
A04/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
107-102
107
102
+5
H07/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
99-94
99
94
+5
H09/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
100-128
100
128
-28
A10/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
L
95-102
95
102
-7
A12/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-29
26-26
18-25
25-14
24-25
20-28
20-23
24-21
24-13
21-21
31-27
22-15
20-27
20-35
33-22
34-16
16-20
24-24
24-22
32-20
25-35
20-15
23-26
14-26
37-24
27-30
23-30
20-18
27-29
27-30
26-19
19-16
31-29
27-35
19-40
23-24
27-29
28-20
23-28
17-25
195.5Avg total
97.4Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)99.497.9197.3+1.659%
Season at home (18)100.898.8199.7+2.067%
Season away (19)98.196.9195.1+1.253%
Last 10 (10)97.498.1195.5-0.760%
Last 5 (5)96.6105.6202.2-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)107.0114.0221.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)100.299.7199.9+0.557%
vs Weaker (15)99.894.4194.2+5.480%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.5+3.5
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
66-56
66
56
+10
A28/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A01/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A03/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H04/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H06/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H08/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H10/01
NBA
107.4Avg total
55.5Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.451.2105.6+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.250.8105.0+3.569%-
Last 30 away (14)54.551.8106.3+2.764%-
Last 10 (10)55.551.9107.4+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)58.452.0110.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.064.0117.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)51.350.6101.9+0.858%-
vs Weaker (17)56.650.9107.5+5.676%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A26/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A28/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
40-62
40
62
-22
H31/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H03/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A04/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H07/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H09/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A10/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A12/01
NBA
102.8Avg total
50.4Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.849.999.6-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.849.998.7-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)50.749.8100.5+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)50.452.4102.8-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)55.255.2110.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.051.0108.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)50.749.7100.4+1.036%-
vs Weaker (15)48.449.998.3-1.540%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Denver Nuggets wins
0
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/09HDetroit Pistons90-93
08/01/09HMiami Heat108-97
06/01/09HIndiana Pacers135-115
04/01/09HNew Orleans Pelicans105-100
03/01/09AOklahoma City Thunder122-120
01/01/09AToronto Raptors114-107
30/12/08AAtlanta Hawks91-109
28/12/08ANew York Knicks117-110
27/12/08HPhiladelphia 76ers105-101
24/12/08APortland Trail Blazers92-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/09ASacramento Kings95-102
10/01/09APhoenix Suns100-128
09/01/09HNew York Knicks99-94
07/01/09HLos Angeles Clippers107-102
04/01/09AMemphis Grizzlies82-102
03/01/09HPhiladelphia 76ers96-86
31/12/08HMinnesota Timberwolves107-100
28/12/08ALos Angeles Clippers98-76
27/12/08AUtah Jazz88-97
26/12/08APortland Trail Blazers102-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL66%
HomeWWWWL74%
AwayLWLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %66%74%58%
Points / game103.9106.2101.6
Allowed / game100.299.9100.5
Point differential+3.7+6.3+1.1
Avg total204.2206.2202.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL59%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayLWLLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %59%67%53%
Points / game99.4100.898.1
Allowed / game97.998.896.9
Point differential+1.6+2.0+1.2
Avg total197.3199.7195.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%22%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)88% (8)0% (1)
Overtime %5%6%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers3731684%107.798.9+8.8
2 Cleveland Cavaliers3630683%101.488.9+12.5
3 Orlando Magic3830879%101.193.3+7.8
4 Boston Celtics4031978%100.391.9+8.4
5 San Antonio Spurs36241267%97.293.6+3.6
6 Denver Nuggets38251366%103.9100.2+3.7
7 New Orleans Pelicans34221265%96.092.4+3.6
8 Portland Trail Blazers37231462%98.394.9+3.4
9 Phoenix Suns34211362%104.2102.2+2.0
10 Atlanta Hawks36221461%97.996.4+1.5
11 Detroit Pistons36221461%93.693.2+0.4
12 Utah Jazz38231561%101.997.9+3.9
13 Houston Rockets40241660%96.894.0+2.8
14 Dallas Mavericks37221559%99.497.9+1.6
15 Miami Heat37201754%96.696.7-0.1
16 Brooklyn Nets38191950%99.5101.3-1.8
17 Milwaukee Bucks40192148%97.496.7+0.7
18 Philadelphia 76ers37172046%95.796.4-0.7
19 Chicago Bulls38162242%99.3102.9-3.6
20 Toronto Raptors39162341%97.399.5-2.3
21 New York Knicks36142239%102.8106.3-3.5
22 Charlotte Hornets39152438%91.194.0-2.8
23 Indiana Pacers38132534%104.6107.1-2.5
24 Minnesota Timberwolves37112630%97.7101.7-4.1
25 Memphis Grizzlies38112729%93.699.4-5.8
26 Golden State Warriors39112828%105.8111.7-5.9
27 Sacramento Kings3892924%96.8105.3-8.5
28 Los Angeles Clippers3782922%93.3100.5-7.2
29 Washington Wizards3773019%93.399.9-6.6
30 Oklahoma City Thunder3963315%95.1103.1-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets3327182199
Dallas Mavericks2621252597
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