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Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 104-96
28-32 28-20 28-25 20-19
Position#13
Record18-30
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game102.2
vs
Position#30
Record9-38
FormLLLLL
Points / game106.0
Allowed / game115.2
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
14 Feb 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
12 Jan 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
MIA126
BKN110
03 Mar 2026
MIA124
BKN98
23 Dec 2024
MIA110
BKN95
16 Nov 2023
MIA122
BKN115
01 Nov 2023
MIA105
BKN109
25 Mar 2023
MIA100
BKN129
08 Jan 2023
MIA101
BKN102
26 Mar 2022
MIA95
BKN110
12 Feb 2022
MIA115
BKN111
18 Apr 2021
MIA109
BKN107
29 Feb 2020
MIA116
BKN113
02 Mar 2019
MIA117
BKN88
20 Nov 2018
MIA92
BKN104
31 Mar 2018
MIA109
BKN110
29 Dec 2017
MIA87
BKN111
30 Jan 2017
MIA104
BKN96
28 Mar 2016
MIA110
BKN99
28 Dec 2015
MIA105
BKN111
11 Mar 2015
MIA104
BKN98
04 Jan 2015
MIA88
BKN84
14 May 2014
MIA96
BKN94
08 May 2014
MIA94
BKN82
06 May 2014
MIA107
BKN86
08 Apr 2014
MIA87
BKN88
12 Mar 2014
MIA95
BKN96
01 Dec 2012
MIA102
BKN89
07 Nov 2012
MIA103
BKN73
06 Mar 2012
MIA108
BKN78
06 Nov 2010
MIA101
BKN89
14 Apr 2010
MIA94
BKN86
14 Nov 2009
MIA81
BKN80
03 Jan 2009
MIA101
BKN96
10 Nov 2008
MIA99
BKN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brooklyn Nets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
86-98
86
98
-12
73avg 92
A08/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
95-107
95
107
-12
86avg 92
A11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
108-116
108
116
-8
101avg 92
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
109-103
109
103
+6
100avg 92
H18/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
99-95
99
95
+4
90avg 92
H20/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
109-97
109
97
+12
100avg 92
H22/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
105-102
105
102
+3
92avg 92
H24/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
109-106
109
106
+3
100avg 92
A26/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
100-88
100
88
+12
91avg 92
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
116-103
116
103
+13
106avg 92
H29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
20-32
27-28
20-18
29-27
25-26
14-26
27-28
30-42
18-23
26-26
34-25
27-32
26-21
26-26
30-24
29-22
15-31
26-20
29-22
25-22
28-21
29-28
27-26
28-30
18-18
31-25
28-29
34-30
21-36
16-23
38-17
33-24
20-29
24-14
23-21
35-33
29-27
26-31
26-12
205.1Avg total
103.6Scored
101.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)99.5102.2201.8-2.738%
Season at home (23)102.6102.3204.9+0.243%
Season away (25)96.7102.2198.9-5.432%
Last 10 (10)103.6101.5205.1+2.170%
Last 5 (5)107.899.2207.0+8.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)103.0104.0207.0-1.067%
vs Similar (20)98.8101.8200.6-3.135%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)107.7113.0220.7-5.343%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
95-104
95
104
-9
82avg 95
H13/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
113-132
113
132
-19
103avg 95
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
112-137
112
137
-25
101avg 95
H15/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
109-119
109
119
-10
96avg 95
H18/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
143-114
143
114
+29
146avg 95
A21/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
105-112
105
112
-7
98avg 95
A22/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
86-112
86
112
-26
70avg 95
H24/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
106-109
106
109
-3
93avg 95
H26/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
116-124
116
124
-8
106avg 95
A28/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
109-129
109
129
-20
98avg 95
A29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-35
26-16
22-22
16-31
27-30
26-24
36-36
24-42
36-37
30-37
24-30
22-33
29-26
32-32
24-34
24-27
29-32
37-22
43-30
34-30
14-28
32-32
35-21
24-31
26-27
16-25
27-39
17-21
30-34
36-21
23-16
17-38
25-27
22-28
26-39
43-30
26-33
29-30
23-29
31-37
228.6Avg total
109.4Scored
119.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)106.0115.2221.2-9.119%
Season at home (24)103.9112.4216.3-8.529%
Season away (23)108.3118.1226.3-9.89%
Last 10 (10)109.4119.2228.6-9.810%
Last 5 (5)104.4117.2221.6-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)106.1116.9223.0-10.812%
vs Similar (4)105.0107.0212.0-2.025%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -6.8-6.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -6.8-6.8
Miami HeatBrooklyn Nets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A08/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H18/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H20/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H22/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H24/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A26/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H29/01
NBA
105.5Avg total
50.9Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.054.6106.5-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.154.9108.1-1.850%-
Last 30 away (16)50.954.2105.2-3.331%-
Last 10 (10)50.954.6105.5-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)54.254.0108.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.051.3102.3-0.333%-
vs Similar (20)50.453.7104.1-3.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)56.958.4115.3-1.643%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H13/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H15/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H18/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A21/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A22/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H24/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H26/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A28/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A29/01
NBA
113.5Avg total
55.9Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.955.7108.6-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.953.8109.7+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)49.957.6107.5-7.720%-
Last 10 (10)55.957.6113.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)51.257.0108.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)52.756.7109.4-4.135%-
vs Similar (4)54.549.0103.5+5.575%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 103.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.228.6
50.9%
50.2%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.3
37.7%
35.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.715.5
71.4%
77.0%15.5
They take 83.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.627.7
51.7%
50.2%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.1
36.3%
35.7%36.3
🏀 Free throws20.917.7
84.7%
77.0%17.7
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWWWWWWLLL
Brooklyn Nets
LLLLLWLLLL
#13
League position
#30
+2.1
Net rating
-9.5
106.0
Offensive rating
106.1
103.8
Defensive rating
115.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
52.8%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
12.0%
Turnover %
13.4%
18.2%
Off. rebound %
14.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.7%
3-point %
36.3%
54.8%
Assist %
57.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 106.1Defence103.8 · 115.6Shooting52.8% · 52.8%3-point %37.7% · 36.3%Ball care12.0% · 13.4%Off. rebounds18.2% · 14.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Brooklyn Nets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Miami Heat wins
1
Brooklyn Nets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/17HDetroit Pistons116-103
28/01/17AChicago Bulls100-88
26/01/17ABrooklyn Nets109-106
24/01/17HGolden State Warriors105-102
22/01/17HMilwaukee Bucks109-97
20/01/17HDallas Mavericks99-95
18/01/17HHouston Rockets109-103
14/01/17AMilwaukee Bucks108-116
11/01/17AGolden State Warriors95-107
08/01/17ALos Angeles Clippers86-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/17AMinnesota Timberwolves109-129
28/01/17ACleveland Cavaliers116-124
26/01/17HMiami Heat106-109
24/01/17HSan Antonio Spurs86-112
22/01/17ACharlotte Hornets105-112
21/01/17ANew Orleans Pelicans143-114
18/01/17HToronto Raptors109-119
15/01/17HHouston Rockets112-137
14/01/17AToronto Raptors113-132
13/01/17HNew Orleans Pelicans95-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW38%
HomeWWWWW43%
AwayLLLWW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482325
Win %38%43%32%
Points / game99.5102.696.7
Allowed / game102.2102.3102.2
Point differential-2.7+0.2-5.4
Avg total201.8204.9198.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%22%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)33% (6)50% (8)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayLWLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472423
Win %19%29%9%
Points / game106.0103.9108.3
Allowed / game115.2112.4118.1
Point differential-9.1-8.5-9.8
Avg total221.2216.3226.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%4%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)50% (6)0% (5)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4841785%118.0104.8+13.1
2 San Antonio Spurs47361177%107.499.3+8.1
3 Cleveland Cavaliers46321470%109.9105.0+4.9
4 Houston Rockets51351669%114.3108.5+5.8
5 Los Angeles Clippers48301862%107.8103.9+4.0
6 Boston Celtics47291862%108.1105.7+2.5
7 Utah Jazz49301961%99.395.5+3.8
8 Toronto Raptors48291960%109.6104.6+5.0
9 Oklahoma City Thunder48282058%106.0105.2+0.8
10 Atlanta Hawks48282058%103.8104.0-0.2
11 Washington Wizards47272057%106.7105.0+1.6
12 Memphis Grizzlies49282157%99.999.6+0.3
13 Indiana Pacers47252253%105.9106.6-0.7
14 Chicago Bulls49242549%101.6101.6-0.0
15 Charlotte Hornets48232548%105.2103.6+1.6
16 Denver Nuggets46212546%110.3111.1-0.8
17 Milwaukee Bucks47212645%104.7104.6+0.1
18 Detroit Pistons47212645%100.6101.6-1.0
19 New York Knicks49212843%106.2108.8-2.6
20 Portland Trail Blazers49212843%107.6110.2-2.6
21 Sacramento Kings48192940%103.4106.1-2.7
22 New Orleans Pelicans48192940%103.5106.2-2.7
23 Orlando Magic49193039%100.0105.5-5.5
24 Minnesota Timberwolves47182938%104.0104.7-0.7
25 Philadelphia 76ers47182938%100.9106.0-5.1
26 Miami Heat48183038%99.5102.2-2.7
27 Dallas Mavericks47173036%96.9100.1-3.2
28 Los Angeles Lakers50163432%103.6110.0-6.4
29 Phoenix Suns47153232%106.6112.0-5.4
30 Brooklyn Nets4793819%106.0115.2-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat28282820104
Brooklyn Nets3220251996
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