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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 113-115
33-40 24-31 31-22 25-22
Position#24
Record19-32
FormWWLLL
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game105.4
vs
Position#13
Record21-30
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.4
Allowed / game101.9
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat
06 Feb 2027
MIN v MIA
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
MIN122
MIA94
10 Nov 2024
MIN94
MIA95
28 Oct 2023
MIN106
MIA90
21 Nov 2022
MIN105
MIA101
24 Nov 2021
MIN113
MIA101
16 Apr 2021
MIN119
MIA111
27 Oct 2019
MIN116
MIA109
05 Apr 2019
MIN111
MIA109
24 Nov 2017
MIN97
MIA109
06 Feb 2017
MIN113
MIA115
05 Nov 2015
MIN84
MIA96
04 Feb 2015
MIN102
MIA101
07 Dec 2013
MIN82
MIA103
04 Mar 2013
MIN81
MIA97
30 Dec 2011
MIN101
MIA103
01 Apr 2011
MIN92
MIA111
03 Apr 2010
MIN84
MIA97
13 Jan 2009
MIN96
MIA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
114-122
114
122
-8
113avg 97
A18/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
104-101
104
101
+3
98avg 97
A20/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
111-108
111
108
+3
105avg 97
H23/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
112-111
112
111
+1
106avg 97
A25/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
103-109
103
109
-6
94avg 97
H27/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
129-109
129
109
+20
124avg 97
H29/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
111-105 OT
111
105
+6
106avg 97
H31/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
97-125
97
125
-28
84avg 97
A02/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
108-116
108
116
-8
99avg 97
A04/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
99-107
99
107
-8
90avg 97
H05/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
41-37
19-25
24-30
25-22
19-29
33-28
27-22
28-29
34-29
22-26
27-24
23-27
36-29
28-23
25-32
20-25
26-27
24-24
33-33
33-26
30-29
29-23
37-31
26-23
26-28
28-28
18-19
32-36
28-27
19-30
18-32
18-24
34-29
24-30
32-33
31-15
17-33
19-21
32-38
220.1Avg total
108.8Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)104.0105.4209.4-1.437%
Season at home (27)105.6103.1208.7+2.544%
Season away (24)102.2108.0210.2-5.729%
Last 10 (10)108.8111.3220.1-2.550%
Last 5 (5)108.8112.4221.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)106.6112.2218.9-5.625%
vs Similar ◀ (17)100.5101.9202.4-1.541%
vs Weaker (5)111.6105.2216.8+6.480%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
W
109-103
109
103
+6
100avg 93
H18/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
99-95
99
95
+4
90avg 93
H20/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
109-97
109
97
+12
100avg 93
H22/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
105-102
105
102
+3
92avg 93
H24/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
109-106
109
106
+3
100avg 93
A26/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
100-88
100
88
+12
91avg 93
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
116-103
116
103
+13
106avg 93
H29/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
104-96
104
96
+8
91avg 93
H31/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
116-93
116
93
+23
106avg 93
H02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
125-102
125
102
+23
128avg 93
H05/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
26-21
26-26
30-24
29-22
15-31
26-20
29-22
25-22
28-21
29-28
27-26
28-30
18-18
31-25
28-29
34-30
21-36
16-23
38-17
33-24
20-29
24-14
23-21
35-33
29-27
26-31
26-12
28-32
28-20
28-25
20-19
29-22
33-25
32-24
22-22
32-17
32-35
36-23
25-27
207.7Avg total
109.2Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)100.4101.9202.4-1.541%
Season at home (26)104.0101.7205.7+2.350%
Season away (25)96.7102.2198.9-5.432%
Last 10 (10)109.298.5207.7+10.7100%
Last 5 (5)112.296.4208.6+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)103.0104.0207.0-1.067%
vs Similar ◀ (19)99.4101.1200.5-1.737%
vs Weaker (8)110.0109.4219.4+0.662%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +4.9+4.9
Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A18/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A20/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H23/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A25/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H27/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H29/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H31/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A02/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A04/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H05/02
NBA
111.1Avg total
55.7Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.052.4105.5+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.349.9103.2+3.471%-
Last 30 away (13)52.755.7108.4-3.023%-
Last 10 (10)55.755.4111.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)55.054.0109.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)56.555.6112.1+0.950%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)50.650.3100.9+0.441%-
vs Weaker (5)55.654.6110.2+1.080%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H18/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H20/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H22/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H24/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A26/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H29/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H31/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H05/02
NBA
107.7Avg total
55.0Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.954.4107.3-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.554.2108.7+0.356%-
Last 30 away (14)51.054.6105.6-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)55.052.7107.7+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)59.852.8112.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.051.3102.3-0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)51.053.6104.6-2.642%-
vs Weaker (8)58.057.5115.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 108.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.733.2
50.5%
50.2%66.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.17.6
37.8%
35.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
77.0%19.6
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.129.8
52.2%
50.2%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.411.3
42.8%
35.7%33.9
🏀 Free throws22.615.7
69.5%
77.0%15.7
They take 83.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLWWLWWWL
Miami Heat
WWWWWWWWWW
#24
League position
#13
-2.5
Net rating
+10.8
109.7
Offensive rating
110.4
112.2
Defensive rating
99.6
52.0%
Effective FG%
56.0%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
13.2%
Turnover %
12.9%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
19.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.8%
3-point %
42.8%
63.7%
Assist %
52.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 110.4Defence112.2 · 99.6Shooting52.0% · 56.0%3-point %37.8% · 42.8%Ball care13.2% · 12.9%Off. rebounds24.5% · 19.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 100%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/17HMemphis Grizzlies99-107
04/02/17ADetroit Pistons108-116
02/02/17ACleveland Cavaliers97-125
31/01/17HOrlando Magic111-105 OT
29/01/17HBrooklyn Nets129-109
27/01/17HIndiana Pacers103-109
25/01/17APhoenix Suns112-111
23/01/17HDenver Nuggets111-108
20/01/17ALos Angeles Clippers104-101
18/01/17ASan Antonio Spurs114-122
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/17HPhiladelphia 76ers125-102
02/02/17HAtlanta Hawks116-93
31/01/17HBrooklyn Nets104-96
29/01/17HDetroit Pistons116-103
28/01/17AChicago Bulls100-88
26/01/17ABrooklyn Nets109-106
24/01/17HGolden State Warriors105-102
22/01/17HMilwaukee Bucks109-97
20/01/17HDallas Mavericks99-95
18/01/17HHouston Rockets109-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL37%
HomeWLWWL44%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512724
Win %37%44%29%
Points / game104.0105.6102.2
Allowed / game105.4103.1108.0
Point differential-1.4+2.5-5.7
Avg total209.4208.7210.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (15)17% (6)44% (9)
Overtime %6%7%4%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW41%
HomeWWWWW50%
AwayLLLWW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %41%50%32%
Points / game100.4104.096.7
Allowed / game101.9101.7102.2
Point differential-1.5+2.3-5.4
Avg total202.4205.7198.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)33% (6)50% (8)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5143884%118.2105.3+12.8
2 San Antonio Spurs50391178%107.698.9+8.7
3 Cleveland Cavaliers50351570%110.6105.4+5.1
4 Houston Rockets54371769%114.1108.3+5.8
5 Boston Celtics51331865%108.3105.6+2.7
6 Utah Jazz52331963%99.995.4+4.5
7 Toronto Raptors53322160%109.2104.6+4.6
8 Los Angeles Clippers52312160%108.3105.0+3.3
9 Washington Wizards51302159%107.6105.4+2.2
10 Memphis Grizzlies53312258%100.799.8+1.0
11 Atlanta Hawks52302258%103.8104.2-0.5
12 Indiana Pacers51292257%105.5105.3+0.2
13 Oklahoma City Thunder53302357%105.5105.3+0.2
14 Chicago Bulls51252649%102.4102.0+0.4
15 Detroit Pistons52242846%101.3101.9-0.5
16 Charlotte Hornets51232845%105.1104.3+0.7
17 Milwaukee Bucks50222844%105.3105.1+0.2
18 Denver Nuggets50222844%110.2111.8-1.6
19 Portland Trail Blazers52223042%107.5109.8-2.3
20 New York Knicks53223142%105.8108.8-3.0
21 Miami Heat51213041%100.4101.9-1.5
22 Dallas Mavericks50203040%97.6100.1-2.5
23 Sacramento Kings51203139%103.1106.1-3.0
24 Orlando Magic53203338%99.6105.4-5.8
25 Minnesota Timberwolves51193237%104.0105.4-1.4
26 New Orleans Pelicans51193237%103.2106.4-3.3
27 Philadelphia 76ers51183335%100.4106.5-6.1
28 Los Angeles Lakers54183633%104.4110.3-5.9
29 Phoenix Suns51163531%106.6112.6-6.0
30 Brooklyn Nets5194218%105.1114.2-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves33243125113
Miami Heat40312222115
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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