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Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Mar 2010
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 97-94
26-23 17-26 24-28 30-17
Position#13
Record39-34
FormLWWWW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game94.3
vs
Position#18
Record35-36
FormLWWLL
Points / game103.5
Allowed / game105.7
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Miami Heat v Toronto Raptors
03 Mar 2027
MIA v TOR
upcoming
02 Mar 2027
MIA v TOR
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
MIA91
TOR112
15 Dec 2025
MIA96
TOR106
12 Dec 2024
MIA114
TOR104
29 Nov 2024
MIA121
TOR111
14 Apr 2024
MIA118
TOR103
12 Apr 2024
MIA125
TOR103
24 Oct 2022
MIA90
TOR98
22 Oct 2022
MIA112
TOR109
29 Jan 2022
MIA120
TOR124
17 Jan 2022
MIA104
TOR99
24 Feb 2021
MIA116
TOR108
03 Aug 2020
MIA103
TOR107
02 Jan 2020
MIA84
TOR76
10 Mar 2019
MIA104
TOR125
26 Dec 2018
MIA104
TOR106
11 Apr 2018
MIA116
TOR109
23 Mar 2017
MIA84
TOR101
11 Mar 2017
MIA104
TOR89
13 May 2016
MIA103
TOR91
09 May 2016
MIA94
TOR87
07 May 2016
MIA91
TOR95
18 Dec 2015
MIA94
TOR108
08 Nov 2015
MIA96
TOR76
11 Apr 2015
MIA104
TOR107
02 Nov 2014
MIA107
TOR102
31 Mar 2014
MIA93
TOR83
05 Jan 2014
MIA102
TOR97
23 Jan 2013
MIA123
TOR116
18 Apr 2012
MIA96
TOR72
05 Feb 2012
MIA95
TOR89
22 Jan 2011
MIA120
TOR103
13 Nov 2010
MIA109
TOR100
28 Mar 2010
MIA97
TOR94
15 Dec 2009
MIA115
TOR95
19 Nov 2008
MIA95
TOR101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#16
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A10/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
108-97
108
97
+11
H11/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
108-95
108
95
+13
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
H14/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
76-88
76
88
-12
H16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#2
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
H18/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H20/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
99-89
99
89
+10
A22/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
103-74
103
74
+29
A26/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
18-19
18-23
12-21
34-24
23-24
33-24
18-25
28-22
22-27
29-18
29-28
31-21
26-28
21-24
26-18
14-29
23-26
17-16
22-17
25-29
29-25
17-22
24-19
20-21
27-24
14-11
16-15
25-32
27-21
27-14
20-22
31-19
32-14
23-16
17-25
28-20
20-15
21-20
18-19
181.2Avg total
94.2Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)96.094.3190.3+1.753%
Season at home (37)96.793.1189.8+3.657%
Season away (36)95.295.5190.7-0.250%
Last 10 (10)94.287.0181.2+7.270%
Last 5 (5)93.683.2176.8+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)89.899.5189.2-9.80%
vs Similar ◀ (18)92.289.7181.9+2.450%
vs Weaker (8)99.187.6186.8+11.588%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
L
107-109
107
109
-2
A10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
L
90-113
90
113
-23
A11/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
L
112-124
112
124
-12
A14/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
98-109
98
109
-11
A15/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
106-105
106
105
+1
H17/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
89-115
89
115
-26
H19/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
100-90
100
90
+10
A20/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
106-100
106
100
+6
A23/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
L
87-113
87
113
-26
H24/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
96-97
96
97
-1
H26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
34-21
26-31
23-28
25-24
20-16
23-43
22-30
35-25
25-31
25-41
27-27
30-32
19-28
29-25
20-24
30-25
29-31
16-30
31-19
25-39
19-32
21-26
24-18
29-29
19-22
32-19
20-20
21-22
25-23
32-23
28-32
17-33
26-28
24-26
20-26
19-26
33-30
29-16
15-25
206.6Avg total
99.1Scored
107.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)103.5105.7209.2-2.249%
Season at home (36)103.8102.6206.4+1.264%
Season away (35)103.1108.9212.0-5.734%
Last 10 (10)99.1107.5206.6-8.430%
Last 5 (5)95.6103.0198.6-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)99.4109.7209.1-10.418%
vs Similar ◀ (15)105.6108.1213.7-2.553%
vs Weaker (4)105.094.5199.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
Miami HeatToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#16
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A10/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H11/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H14/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#2
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H18/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H20/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A22/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
63-33
63
33
+30
A26/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A27/03
NBA
97.3Avg total
51.3Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.246.895.9+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.149.198.2+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)49.244.893.9+4.462%-
Last 10 (10)51.346.097.3+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)52.844.096.8+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.053.0105.0-1.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)47.845.993.7+1.956%-
vs Weaker (8)50.945.696.5+5.275%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A11/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A14/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A15/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H17/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
44-71
44
71
-27
H19/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A20/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A23/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H24/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H26/03
NBA
105.0Avg total
50.4Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.755.1107.8-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.456.4109.7-3.041%-
Last 30 away (13)51.853.4105.2-1.546%-
Last 10 (10)50.454.6105.0-4.250%-
Last 5 (5)46.656.8103.4-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)52.158.7110.8-6.618%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)53.454.2107.6-0.853%-
vs Weaker (4)51.848.2100.0+3.575%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Miami Heat wins
4
Toronto Raptors wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/10AMilwaukee Bucks87-74
26/03/10AChicago Bulls103-74
22/03/10ABrooklyn Nets99-89
20/03/10HCharlotte Hornets77-71
18/03/10HOrlando Magic102-108 OT
16/03/10HSan Antonio Spurs76-88
14/03/10HPhiladelphia 76ers104-91
13/03/10HChicago Bulls108-95
11/03/10HLos Angeles Clippers108-97
10/03/10ACharlotte Hornets78-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/10HDenver Nuggets96-97
24/03/10HUtah Jazz87-113
23/03/10AMinnesota Timberwolves106-100
20/03/10ABrooklyn Nets100-90
19/03/10HOklahoma City Thunder89-115
17/03/10HAtlanta Hawks106-105
15/03/10APortland Trail Blazers98-109
14/03/10AGolden State Warriors112-124
11/03/10ASacramento Kings90-113
10/03/10ALos Angeles Lakers107-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW53%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733736
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game96.096.795.2
Allowed / game94.393.195.5
Point differential+1.7+3.6-0.2
Avg total190.3189.8190.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%35%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)67% (6)44% (9)
Overtime %5%8%3%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL49%
HomeLWLLL64%
AwayLLLWW34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713635
Win %49%64%34%
Points / game103.5103.8103.1
Allowed / game105.7102.6108.9
Point differential-2.2+1.2-5.7
Avg total209.2206.4212.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%28%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)75% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %4%6%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers74581678%102.194.8+7.4
2 Los Angeles Lakers73541974%102.596.7+5.8
3 Orlando Magic73512270%101.994.9+7.0
4 Denver Nuggets73482566%107.2102.5+4.7
5 Dallas Mavericks73482566%101.699.7+2.0
6 Boston Celtics72472565%98.994.3+4.6
7 Utah Jazz74482665%103.998.0+5.9
8 Atlanta Hawks73472664%102.097.4+4.6
9 Phoenix Suns72462664%110.4106.0+4.5
10 Oklahoma City Thunder71442762%100.396.7+3.6
11 San Antonio Spurs71432861%101.296.5+4.6
12 Portland Trail Blazers73442960%98.294.9+3.2
13 Milwaukee Bucks72403256%97.796.4+1.4
14 Miami Heat73393453%96.094.3+1.7
15 Charlotte Hornets72383453%95.093.6+1.4
16 Memphis Grizzlies73383552%102.8103.3-0.5
17 Houston Rockets72363650%101.6101.8-0.2
18 Toronto Raptors71353649%103.5105.7-2.2
19 Chicago Bulls72343847%97.099.4-2.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans74344046%99.9102.5-2.6
21 Los Angeles Clippers72274538%95.6101.3-5.8
22 Indiana Pacers74274736%99.9103.7-3.8
23 New York Knicks72264636%101.6104.9-3.3
24 Philadelphia 76ers73264736%97.1100.6-3.4
25 Sacramento Kings74245032%100.0104.2-4.2
26 Detroit Pistons72234932%93.598.9-5.4
27 Washington Wizards72215129%95.8101.0-5.2
28 Golden State Warriors72205228%108.4112.4-4.0
29 Minnesota Timberwolves73145919%98.0107.6-9.5
30 Brooklyn Nets7396412%91.3101.2-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2617243097
Toronto Raptors2326281794
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