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Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2010
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 74-87
20-28 15-20 20-21 19-18
Position#13
Record42-34
FormLWWWL
Points / game97.6
Allowed / game95.9
vs
Position#14
Record40-37
FormLLWWW
Points / game95.9
Allowed / game94.4
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat
12 Mar 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
28 Jan 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
MIL128
MIA117
18 Jul 2025
MIL92
MIA93
23 Feb 2025
MIL120
MIA113
23 Jan 2025
MIL125
MIA96
13 Feb 2024
MIL97
MIA123
30 Oct 2023
MIL122
MIA114
13 Jul 2023
MIL72
MIA91
26 Apr 2023
MIL126
MIA128
19 Apr 2023
MIL138
MIA122
16 Apr 2023
MIL117
MIA130
24 Feb 2023
MIL128
MIA99
04 Feb 2023
MIL123
MIA115
02 Mar 2022
MIL120
MIA119
04 Dec 2021
MIL124
MIA102
24 May 2021
MIL132
MIA98
22 May 2021
MIL109
MIA107
15 May 2021
MIL122
MIA108
08 Sep 2020
MIL94
MIA103
02 Sep 2020
MIL114
MIA116
31 Aug 2020
MIL104
MIA115
06 Aug 2020
MIL130
MIA116
26 Oct 2019
MIL126
MIA131
22 Mar 2019
MIL116
MIA87
15 Jan 2019
MIL124
MIA86
17 Jan 2018
MIL101
MIA106
08 Feb 2017
MIL88
MIA106
13 Jan 2017
MIL116
MIA108
09 Mar 2016
MIL114
MIA108
29 Jan 2016
MIL103
MIA107
24 Mar 2015
MIL89
MIA88
05 Dec 2014
MIL109
MIA85
29 Mar 2014
MIL67
MIA88
28 Apr 2013
MIL77
MIA88
25 Apr 2013
MIL91
MIA104
15 Mar 2013
MIL94
MIA107
29 Dec 2012
MIL104
MIA85
13 Feb 2012
MIL96
MIA114
01 Feb 2012
MIL105
MIA97
07 Jan 2011
MIL95
MIA101
06 Dec 2010
MIL78
MIA88
26 Mar 2010
MIL74
MIA87
30 Jan 2010
MIL95
MIA84
14 Jan 2009
MIL99
MIA102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#27
W
102-74
102
74
+28
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H07/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H10/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H13/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
98-94
98
94
+4
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
L
93-101
93
101
-8
A18/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
114-108 OT
114
108
+6
A20/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
W
102-97
102
97
+5
A21/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
98-95
98
95
+3
H23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
L
86-101
86
101
-15
H25/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
23-17
30-19
21-19
25-14
17-27
27-20
23-24
24-22
18-24
22-22
22-16
25-22
23-18
23-23
24-24
23-19
26-22
27-21
22-32
27-27
16-25
31-20
19-29
29-21
20-27
17-25
29-22
27-31
26-23
23-22
26-21
23-20
22-34
22-20
31-21
23-28
22-30
18-23
23-20
189.2Avg total
96.6Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)97.695.9193.5+1.755%
Season at home (37)99.996.0196.0+3.970%
Season away (39)95.395.8191.1-0.541%
Last 10 (10)96.692.6189.2+4.080%
Last 5 (5)98.6100.4199.0-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.092.0179.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (12)97.094.1191.1+2.967%
vs Weaker (16)99.891.4191.2+8.481%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
100-94
100
94
+6
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#17
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A10/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
W
108-97
108
97
+11
H11/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#16
W
108-95
108
95
+13
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
H14/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#10
L
76-88
76
88
-12
H16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#1
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
H18/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#17
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H20/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
99-89
99
89
+10
A22/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#16
W
103-74
103
74
+29
A26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
30-29
24-21
24-17
30-20
18-19
18-23
12-21
34-24
23-24
33-24
18-25
28-22
22-27
29-18
29-28
31-21
26-28
21-24
26-18
14-29
23-26
17-16
22-17
25-29
29-25
17-22
24-19
20-21
27-24
14-11
16-15
25-32
27-21
27-14
20-22
31-19
32-14
23-16
17-25
184.5Avg total
95.5Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)95.994.4190.3+1.652%
Season at home (41)96.492.8189.3+3.656%
Season away (36)95.496.1191.4-0.747%
Last 10 (10)95.589.0184.5+6.570%
Last 5 (5)91.486.0177.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.0102.0193.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)92.191.3183.4+0.742%
vs Weaker (9)100.987.2188.1+13.789%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
Milwaukee BucksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#27
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H07/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H10/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H13/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A18/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A20/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A21/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H25/03
NBA
93.7Avg total
46.7Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.747.397.0+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.646.696.2+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)49.948.097.9+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)46.747.093.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)47.053.2100.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.045.584.5-6.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)50.846.897.7+4.058%-
vs Weaker (16)50.247.998.1+2.469%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#17
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A10/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H11/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#16
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H14/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#10
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#1
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H18/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#17
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H20/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A22/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#16
W
63-33
63
33
+30
A26/03
NBA
99.8Avg total
51.7Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.747.196.8+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.248.899.0+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)49.345.494.7+3.960%-
Last 10 (10)51.748.199.8+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)50.648.098.6+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.053.0104.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)48.347.295.5+1.153%-
vs Weaker (9)52.445.698.0+6.978%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
2
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/10HPhiladelphia 76ers86-101
23/03/10HAtlanta Hawks98-95
21/03/10ADenver Nuggets102-97
20/03/10ASacramento Kings114-108 OT
18/03/10ALos Angeles Clippers93-101
14/03/10HIndiana Pacers98-94
13/03/10HUtah Jazz95-87
10/03/10HBoston Celtics86-84
07/03/10HCleveland Cavaliers92-85
06/03/10AWashington Wizards102-74
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/10AChicago Bulls103-74
22/03/10ABrooklyn Nets99-89
20/03/10HCharlotte Hornets77-71
18/03/10HOrlando Magic102-108 OT
16/03/10HSan Antonio Spurs76-88
14/03/10HPhiladelphia 76ers104-91
13/03/10HChicago Bulls108-95
11/03/10HLos Angeles Clippers108-97
10/03/10ACharlotte Hornets78-83
07/03/10HAtlanta Hawks100-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL55%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayLWLWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763739
Win %55%70%41%
Points / game97.699.995.3
Allowed / game95.996.095.8
Point differential+1.7+3.9-0.5
Avg total193.5196.0191.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (28)62% (13)33% (15)
Overtime %11%11%10%
Miami Heat
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW52%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayLLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games774136
Win %52%56%47%
Points / game95.996.495.4
Allowed / game94.492.896.1
Point differential+1.6+3.6-0.7
Avg total190.3189.3191.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%34%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (18)50% (8)40% (10)
Overtime %5%7%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers78591976%101.694.7+6.9
2 Los Angeles Lakers79582173%102.497.1+5.3
3 Orlando Magic79572272%102.794.6+8.1
4 Boston Celtics79532667%98.993.9+5.1
5 Dallas Mavericks78522667%101.599.6+1.9
6 Utah Jazz78512765%103.798.1+5.7
7 Denver Nuggets78512765%107.5102.6+4.9
8 Atlanta Hawks78502864%102.097.7+4.3
9 Phoenix Suns78483062%110.0106.7+3.3
10 San Antonio Spurs75453060%101.396.7+4.6
11 Oklahoma City Thunder77463160%99.897.1+2.7
12 Portland Trail Blazers78453358%98.095.3+2.8
13 Milwaukee Bucks76423455%97.695.9+1.7
14 Miami Heat77403752%95.994.4+1.6
15 Memphis Grizzlies78403851%102.4103.1-0.7
16 Charlotte Hornets78393950%94.993.9+0.9
17 Houston Rockets77383949%101.8101.9-0.1
18 Chicago Bulls77374048%96.698.8-2.3
19 Toronto Raptors77374048%103.0105.5-2.5
20 New Orleans Pelicans79364346%99.2102.3-3.1
21 Los Angeles Clippers78324641%96.1101.1-5.0
22 New York Knicks76294738%101.1103.9-2.8
23 Indiana Pacers78294937%100.5104.4-4.0
24 Philadelphia 76ers79295037%97.2100.3-3.1
25 Sacramento Kings78265233%100.3104.3-4.0
26 Detroit Pistons78255332%93.899.4-5.6
27 Washington Wizards78245431%95.9101.2-5.2
28 Golden State Warriors77235430%108.8111.8-3.0
29 Minnesota Timberwolves80166420%98.0107.4-9.3
30 Brooklyn Nets78106813%91.6100.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks2015201974
Miami Heat2820211887
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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