PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Apr 2012
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 96-72
25-24 26-25 23-11 22-12
Position#4
Record44-18
FormLLWWW
Points / game100.4
Allowed / game93.5
vs
Position#25
Record22-42
FormLLWWL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game94.2
USANBA
NBA2011-12
Meetings · Miami Heat v Toronto Raptors
03 Mar 2027
MIA v TOR
upcoming
02 Mar 2027
MIA v TOR
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
MIA91
TOR112
15 Dec 2025
MIA96
TOR106
12 Dec 2024
MIA114
TOR104
29 Nov 2024
MIA121
TOR111
19 Jul 2024
MIA109
TOR73
14 Apr 2024
MIA118
TOR103
12 Apr 2024
MIA125
TOR103
24 Oct 2022
MIA90
TOR98
22 Oct 2022
MIA112
TOR109
29 Jan 2022
MIA120
TOR124
17 Jan 2022
MIA104
TOR99
24 Feb 2021
MIA116
TOR108
03 Aug 2020
MIA103
TOR107
02 Jan 2020
MIA84
TOR76
10 Mar 2019
MIA104
TOR125
26 Dec 2018
MIA104
TOR106
11 Apr 2018
MIA116
TOR109
23 Mar 2017
MIA84
TOR101
11 Mar 2017
MIA104
TOR89
13 May 2016
MIA103
TOR91
09 May 2016
MIA94
TOR87
07 May 2016
MIA91
TOR95
18 Dec 2015
MIA94
TOR108
08 Nov 2015
MIA96
TOR76
11 Apr 2015
MIA104
TOR107
02 Nov 2014
MIA107
TOR102
31 Mar 2014
MIA93
TOR83
05 Jan 2014
MIA102
TOR97
23 Jan 2013
MIA123
TOR116
18 Apr 2012
MIA96
TOR72
05 Feb 2012
MIA95
TOR89
22 Jan 2011
MIA120
TOR103
13 Nov 2010
MIA109
TOR100
28 Mar 2010
MIA97
TOR94
15 Dec 2009
MIA115
TOR95
19 Nov 2008
MIA95
TOR101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#6
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A01/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
99-93
99
93
+6
H03/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
98-93
98
93
+5
H05/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#7
L
82-97
82
97
-15
H06/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
98-75
98
75
+23
H08/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
107-115
107
115
-8
H10/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
L
86-96 OT
86
96
-10
A13/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
105-82
105
82
+23
H13/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
93-85
93
85
+8
A15/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
101-98
101
98
+3
A16/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
25-20
12-31
16-11
29-27
22-27
25-16
23-23
21-23
29-26
30-24
18-20
12-25
20-23
29-25
21-24
19-21
31-19
19-14
29-21
22-33
35-32
24-24
26-26
22-19
19-17
21-24
22-24
33-19
25-20
23-20
24-23
29-22
17-22
25-24
22-17
29-34
23-21
18-24
31-19
186.6Avg total
94.1Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)100.493.5193.8+6.971%
Season at home (30)102.490.7193.0+11.787%
Season away (32)98.596.1194.5+2.456%
Last 10 (10)94.192.5186.6+1.660%
Last 5 (5)98.495.2193.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)92.094.6186.6-2.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)98.790.8189.4+7.971%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
99-92
99
92
+7
H01/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H03/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
99-78
99
78
+21
A04/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H06/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
75-91
75
91
-16
A08/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
98-103
98
103
-5
A09/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H11/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H13/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
102-86
102
86
+16
A15/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
87-109
87
109
-22
H16/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
24-21
25-19
28-31
24-22
29-24
18-18
21-23
29-31
26-25
24-15
20-7
22-20
20-19
21-12
17-33
20-25
23-25
12-20
20-21
16-21
21-30
25-26
36-26
20-20
17-22
20-21
18-30
13-20
17-16
27-11
27-32
25-23
28-16
20-25
29-22
32-30
19-24
17-25
19-30
179.3Avg total
89.1Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)90.794.2184.9-3.534%
Season at home (33)91.993.5185.4-1.636%
Season away (31)89.495.0184.4-5.632%
Last 10 (10)89.190.2179.3-1.150%
Last 5 (5)89.294.0183.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)93.796.1189.7-2.440%
vs Similar (13)93.593.8187.2-0.346%
vs Weaker (2)97.597.0194.5+0.550%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
Miami HeatToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#6
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A01/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H03/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H05/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#7
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H06/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H08/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H10/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A13/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H13/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A15/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A16/04
NBA
96.0Avg total
48.1Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.346.697.0+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.346.997.2+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)50.446.396.7+4.153%-
Last 10 (10)48.147.996.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)50.847.898.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)46.446.693.0-0.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)52.046.798.7+5.367%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H01/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H03/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A04/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H06/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A08/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A09/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H11/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H13/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A15/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H16/04
NBA
90.2Avg total
44.7Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.047.294.2-0.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.046.493.4+0.659%-
Last 30 away (13)47.048.295.2-1.254%-
Last 10 (10)44.745.590.2-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.486.0-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)46.747.594.2-0.947%-
vs Similar (13)46.547.293.6-0.762%-
vs Weaker (2)53.044.597.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Miami Heat wins
2
Toronto Raptors wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/12ABrooklyn Nets101-98
15/04/12ANew York Knicks93-85
13/04/12HCharlotte Hornets105-82
13/04/12AChicago Bulls86-96 OT
10/04/12HBoston Celtics107-115
08/04/12HDetroit Pistons98-75
06/04/12HMemphis Grizzlies82-97
05/04/12HOklahoma City Thunder98-93
03/04/12HPhiladelphia 76ers99-93
01/04/12ABoston Celtics72-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/12HAtlanta Hawks87-109
15/04/12AAtlanta Hawks102-86
13/04/12HBoston Celtics84-79
11/04/12HPhiladelphia 76ers75-93
09/04/12AIndiana Pacers98-103
08/04/12AOklahoma City Thunder75-91
06/04/12HCleveland Cavaliers80-84
04/04/12APhiladelphia 76ers99-78
03/04/12HCharlotte Hornets92-87
01/04/12HWashington Wizards99-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW71%
HomeWLWLW87%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623032
Win %71%87%56%
Points / game100.4102.498.5
Allowed / game93.590.796.1
Point differential+6.9+11.7+2.4
Avg total193.8193.0194.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%57%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)100% (5)50% (8)
Overtime %10%3%16%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL34%
HomeWLLWL36%
AwayLWLLW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643331
Win %34%36%32%
Points / game90.791.989.4
Allowed / game94.293.595.0
Point differential-3.5-1.6-5.6
Avg total184.9185.4184.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%21%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won32% (19)20% (10)44% (9)
Overtime %6%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago Bulls64491577%96.688.5+8.1
2 Oklahoma City Thunder63461773%102.596.1+6.4
3 San Antonio Spurs62451773%102.096.3+5.7
4 Miami Heat62441871%100.493.5+6.9
5 Los Angeles Clippers63402363%97.894.7+3.1
6 Indiana Pacers64402462%97.093.9+3.0
7 Los Angeles Lakers64392561%97.195.7+1.4
8 Boston Celtics64382659%91.689.2+2.4
9 Atlanta Hawks63372659%95.392.4+2.9
10 Orlando Magic63372659%94.493.3+1.1
11 Denver Nuggets63362757%104.0101.4+2.6
12 Memphis Grizzlies63362757%94.793.5+1.1
13 New York Knicks63342954%97.394.2+3.1
14 Philadelphia 76ers64343053%93.788.8+4.8
15 Dallas Mavericks64343053%95.494.5+0.9
16 Houston Rockets63333052%98.397.7+0.6
17 Utah Jazz64333152%99.099.3-0.3
18 Phoenix Suns63323151%98.398.7-0.3
19 Milwaukee Bucks63293446%99.299.1+0.1
20 Portland Trail Blazers64293545%97.797.1+0.6
21 Minnesota Timberwolves65273842%98.299.8-1.5
22 Detroit Pistons63243938%90.995.6-4.7
23 Golden State Warriors62233937%98.4101.4-3.1
24 Toronto Raptors64224234%90.794.2-3.5
25 Brooklyn Nets64224234%93.298.5-5.3
26 New Orleans Pelicans63214233%89.793.0-3.3
27 Sacramento Kings63214233%98.1104.1-6.0
28 Cleveland Cavaliers63214233%93.199.6-6.6
29 Washington Wizards64164825%93.299.8-6.7
30 Charlotte Hornets6385513%86.9100.3-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2526232296
Toronto Raptors2425111272
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.