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Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Jan 2013
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 123-116 (OT)
22-28 28-29 38-27 21-25 14-7
Position#1
Record26-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game102.1
Allowed / game96.6
vs
Position#19
Record15-26
FormLLLLW
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game99.3
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Miami Heat v Toronto Raptors
03 Mar 2027
MIA v TOR
upcoming
02 Mar 2027
MIA v TOR
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
MIA91
TOR112
15 Dec 2025
MIA96
TOR106
12 Dec 2024
MIA114
TOR104
29 Nov 2024
MIA121
TOR111
14 Apr 2024
MIA118
TOR103
12 Apr 2024
MIA125
TOR103
24 Oct 2022
MIA90
TOR98
22 Oct 2022
MIA112
TOR109
29 Jan 2022
MIA120
TOR124
17 Jan 2022
MIA104
TOR99
24 Feb 2021
MIA116
TOR108
03 Aug 2020
MIA103
TOR107
02 Jan 2020
MIA84
TOR76
10 Mar 2019
MIA104
TOR125
26 Dec 2018
MIA104
TOR106
11 Apr 2018
MIA116
TOR109
23 Mar 2017
MIA84
TOR101
11 Mar 2017
MIA104
TOR89
13 May 2016
MIA103
TOR91
09 May 2016
MIA94
TOR87
07 May 2016
MIA91
TOR95
18 Dec 2015
MIA94
TOR108
08 Nov 2015
MIA96
TOR76
11 Apr 2015
MIA104
TOR107
02 Nov 2014
MIA107
TOR102
31 Mar 2014
MIA93
TOR83
05 Jan 2014
MIA102
TOR97
23 Jan 2013
MIA123
TOR116
18 Apr 2012
MIA96
TOR72
05 Feb 2012
MIA95
TOR89
22 Jan 2011
MIA120
TOR103
13 Nov 2010
MIA109
TOR100
28 Mar 2010
MIA97
TOR94
15 Dec 2009
MIA115
TOR95
19 Nov 2008
MIA95
TOR101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#30
W
112-110 OT
112
110
+2
A31/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
119-109 OT
119
109
+10
H03/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#12
L
89-96
89
96
-7
H05/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
99-71
99
71
+28
H06/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A09/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
90-92
90
92
-2
A11/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
128-99
128
99
+29
A13/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
L
97-104
97
104
-7
A15/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
92-75
92
75
+17
A17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#14
W
99-90
99
90
+9
A18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-22
17-32
22-23
29-22
22-30
28-22
31-27
22-24
22-26
26-23
18-26
23-21
27-19
25-25
17-16
30-11
19-20
23-22
15-25
20-20
21-18
31-21
16-24
22-29
28-17
38-27
37-28
25-27
25-30
19-29
21-25
32-20
28-21
24-17
28-12
12-25
26-22
18-23
29-20
26-25
193.5Avg total
100.2Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)102.196.6198.7+5.468%
Season at home (19)105.895.5201.3+10.384%
Season away (19)98.397.7196.1+0.653%
Last 10 (10)100.293.3193.5+6.960%
Last 5 (5)101.292.0193.2+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)99.6101.8201.4-2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)101.494.4195.9+7.068%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
102-79
102
79
+23
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
96-105
96
105
-9
H05/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
92-104
92
104
-12
H06/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#20
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H10/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#29
W
99-78
99
78
+21
H12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#18
L
96-107
96
107
-11
H13/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
L
106-113
106
113
-7
A16/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#12
L
105-107 OT
105
107
-2
H17/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#20
L
101-108 OT
101
108
-7
A19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#14
W
108-103
108
103
+5
H20/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
31-22
23-22
24-18
22-23
31-31
10-28
33-23
18-23
32-29
17-26
25-26
24-21
18-19
29-21
19-11
29-16
24-23
23-19
23-20
34-16
15-31
29-27
18-33
27-27
23-27
26-29
30-30
22-29
22-23
29-27
27-21
28-20
32-23
13-29
23-24
29-20
24-29
30-21
25-33
197.1Avg total
99.5Scored
97.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)97.499.3196.7-1.937%
Season at home (20)98.895.2194.0+3.755%
Season away (21)96.0103.2199.2-7.219%
Last 10 (10)99.597.6197.1+1.940%
Last 5 (5)103.2107.6210.8-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)94.6105.8200.4-11.112%
vs Similar (17)97.998.2196.1-0.441%
vs Weaker (5)102.690.2192.8+12.480%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
Miami HeatToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#30
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A31/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H03/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#12
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H05/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H06/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A11/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
66-44
66
44
+22
A13/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A15/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#14
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A18/01
NBA
96.4Avg total
49.8Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.348.599.8+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.348.9100.2+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)51.448.199.5+3.347%-
Last 10 (10)49.846.696.4+3.240%-
Last 5 (5)51.645.096.6+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)52.447.8100.2+4.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)51.148.699.8+2.548%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H05/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H06/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#20
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#29
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#18
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H13/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A16/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#12
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H17/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#20
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#14
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H20/01
NBA
97.8Avg total
50.9Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.148.297.3+0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.245.995.1+3.353%-
Last 30 away (15)49.050.699.6-1.627%-
Last 10 (10)50.946.997.8+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)51.249.0100.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)46.851.097.8-4.212%-
vs Similar (17)49.047.696.6+1.447%-
vs Weaker (5)53.246.099.2+7.260%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Miami Heat wins
1
Toronto Raptors wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/13ALos Angeles Lakers99-90
17/01/13AGolden State Warriors92-75
15/01/13AUtah Jazz97-104
13/01/13ASacramento Kings128-99
11/01/13APortland Trail Blazers90-92
09/01/13AIndiana Pacers77-87
06/01/13HWashington Wizards99-71
05/01/13HChicago Bulls89-96
03/01/13HDallas Mavericks119-109 OT
31/12/12AOrlando Magic112-110 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/13HLos Angeles Lakers108-103
19/01/13APhiladelphia 76ers101-108 OT
17/01/13HChicago Bulls105-107 OT
16/01/13ABrooklyn Nets106-113
13/01/13HMilwaukee Bucks96-107
12/01/13HCharlotte Hornets99-78
10/01/13HPhiladelphia 76ers90-72
06/01/13HOklahoma City Thunder92-104
05/01/13HSacramento Kings96-105
03/01/13HPortland Trail Blazers102-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW68%
HomeWWWLW84%
AwayLWLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %68%84%53%
Points / game102.1105.898.3
Allowed / game96.695.597.7
Point differential+5.4+10.3+0.6
Avg total198.7201.3196.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%53%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)75% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %8%11%5%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW37%
HomeWWLLW55%
AwayLWWLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %37%55%19%
Points / game97.498.896.0
Allowed / game99.395.2103.2
Point differential-1.9+3.7-7.2
Avg total196.7194.0199.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (6)20% (5)
Overtime %12%15%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4233979%106.197.0+9.0
2 San Antonio Spurs44331175%104.095.8+8.2
3 Los Angeles Clippers43321174%101.593.4+8.1
4 Miami Heat38261268%102.196.6+5.4
5 Memphis Grizzlies40261465%92.989.4+3.5
6 New York Knicks39251464%101.196.3+4.8
7 Golden State Warriors40251562%100.699.4+1.2
8 Indiana Pacers42261662%91.289.1+2.2
9 Brooklyn Nets41251661%96.494.4+2.0
10 Chicago Bulls40241660%93.891.5+2.3
11 Denver Nuggets43251858%103.1100.8+2.3
12 Atlanta Hawks42241857%96.095.5+0.5
13 Milwaukee Bucks40221855%97.097.7-0.7
14 Utah Jazz41221954%98.798.6+0.1
15 Houston Rockets43222151%104.4103.2+1.2
16 Boston Celtics41202149%94.996.0-1.1
17 Portland Trail Blazers41202149%97.099.3-2.2
18 Minnesota Timberwolves38172145%94.796.4-1.7
19 Dallas Mavericks42182443%100.2102.9-2.8
20 Los Angeles Lakers41172441%102.6101.4+1.1
21 Philadelphia 76ers42172540%93.297.4-4.2
22 Detroit Pistons41162539%95.396.0-0.7
23 Sacramento Kings42162638%97.1102.9-5.8
24 Toronto Raptors41152637%97.499.3-1.9
25 Orlando Magic41142734%95.298.9-3.7
26 New Orleans Pelicans41142734%93.397.0-3.7
27 Phoenix Suns41132832%95.499.7-4.4
28 Cleveland Cavaliers43113226%95.0100.4-5.3
29 Charlotte Hornets42103224%95.0103.2-8.3
30 Washington Wizards3993023%91.096.8-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Miami Heat2228382114123
Toronto Raptors282927257116
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