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Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2010
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 111-103
23-34 34-26 28-21 26-22
Position#19
Record25-26
FormWLLWW
Points / game102.9
Allowed / game104.7
vs
Position#14
Record25-24
FormWLWWL
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game96.3
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Miami Heat
15 Jan 2027
TOR v MIA
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
TOR105
MIA129
09 Apr 2026
TOR128
MIA114
07 Apr 2026
TOR121
MIA95
21 Feb 2025
TOR111
MIA120
01 Dec 2024
TOR119
MIA116
17 Jan 2024
TOR121
MIA97
06 Dec 2023
TOR103
MIA112
28 Mar 2023
TOR106
MIA92
16 Nov 2022
TOR112
MIA104
15 Jul 2022
TOR88
MIA78
03 Apr 2022
TOR109
MIA114
01 Feb 2022
TOR110
MIA106
22 Jan 2021
TOR101
MIA81
20 Jan 2021
TOR102
MIA111
18 Dec 2020
TOR105
MIA117
03 Dec 2019
TOR110
MIA121
07 Apr 2019
TOR117
MIA109
25 Nov 2018
TOR125
MIA115
13 Feb 2018
TOR115
MIA112
09 Jan 2018
TOR89
MIA90
07 Apr 2017
TOR96
MIA94
04 Nov 2016
TOR96
MIA87
15 May 2016
TOR116
MIA89
11 May 2016
TOR99
MIA91
05 May 2016
TOR96
MIA92
03 May 2016
TOR96
MIA102
12 Mar 2016
TOR112
MIA104
22 Jan 2016
TOR101
MIA81
13 Mar 2015
TOR102
MIA92
29 Nov 2013
TOR83
MIA90
05 Nov 2013
TOR95
MIA104
13 Jul 2013
TOR72
MIA81
17 Mar 2013
TOR91
MIA108
03 Feb 2013
TOR85
MIA100
30 Mar 2012
TOR101
MIA113
13 Apr 2011
TOR79
MIA97
16 Feb 2011
TOR95
MIA103
27 Jan 2010
TOR111
MIA103
20 Nov 2009
TOR120
MIA113
06 Mar 2009
TOR102
MIA108
16 Nov 2008
TOR107
MIA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#1
W
108-103
108
103
+5
A07/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
108-106
108
106
+2
A09/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#7
L
107-114
107
114
-7
H10/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
101-105
101
105
-4
A12/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
112-104
112
104
+8
A16/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#4
W
110-88
110
88
+22
H17/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
100-108
100
108
-8
A20/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
107-113
107
113
-6
A21/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
101-96
101
96
+5
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
W
106-105
106
105
+1
H24/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
35-22
28-19
22-35
23-32
26-28
34-25
25-21
26-29
24-30
30-34
27-21
30-22
35-30
19-26
17-27
39-20
28-23
26-37
19-24
20-23
34-18
30-27
26-20
28-28
32-34
23-29
17-17
24-22
32-27
22-32
29-32
28-25
20-32
20-16
33-23
21-24
33-32
28-28
24-21
210.2Avg total
106.0Scored
104.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)102.9104.7207.6-1.849%
Season at home (24)103.3101.3204.6+2.067%
Season away (27)102.6107.7210.4-5.133%
Last 10 (10)106.0104.2210.2+1.860%
Last 5 (5)104.8102.0206.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)101.5109.2210.8-7.833%
vs Similar ◀ (16)101.4100.3201.8+1.162%
vs Weaker (2)106.091.5197.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A10/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
L
89-118
89
118
-29
A12/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#25
W
115-102
115
102
+13
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
W
115-106
115
106
+9
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
80-98
80
98
-18
A17/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
113-83
113
83
+30
H20/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#17
L
65-104
65
104
-39
A21/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
112-88
112
88
+24
A23/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
115-84
115
84
+31
H24/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
91-92
91
92
-1
H26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
21-26
17-23
26-15
22-24
25-34
24-32
18-28
22-23
30-21
38-32
25-26
27-29
35-24
29-24
24-29
19-29
26-26
22-29
13-14
36-19
26-24
23-15
28-25
17-38
17-23
19-26
12-17
32-15
25-27
28-22
27-24
33-25
32-20
24-16
26-23
34-24
20-26
15-17
22-25
194.8Avg total
97.9Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)97.096.3193.3+0.851%
Season at home (28)97.092.8189.8+4.254%
Season away (21)97.0101.0198.0-3.948%
Last 10 (10)97.996.9194.8+1.050%
Last 5 (5)99.290.2189.4+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)104.086.0190.0+18.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (19)94.2101.6195.8-7.432%
vs Weaker (10)103.690.9194.5+12.770%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
Toronto RaptorsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#1
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A07/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A09/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#7
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H10/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A12/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
67-43
67
43
+24
A16/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#4
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H17/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A20/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A21/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H24/01
NBA
108.9Avg total
56.1Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.951.0104.9+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.847.6100.4+5.150%-
Last 30 away (16)54.954.0108.9+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)56.152.8108.9+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)54.453.0107.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)52.755.4108.1-2.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.549.9104.4+4.656%-
vs Weaker (2)56.534.090.5+22.5100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A10/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A12/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#25
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A17/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H20/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#17
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A21/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A23/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H24/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H26/01
NBA
102.6Avg total
51.9Scored
50.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.649.399.9+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.147.599.6+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)49.151.2100.3-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)51.950.7102.6+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)54.448.2102.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.044.0103.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)49.251.7100.8-2.542%-
vs Weaker (10)52.545.497.9+7.170%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toronto Raptors wins
2
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/10HLos Angeles Lakers106-105
23/01/10HMilwaukee Bucks101-96
21/01/10AMilwaukee Bucks107-113
20/01/10ACleveland Cavaliers100-108
17/01/10HDallas Mavericks110-88
16/01/10ANew York Knicks112-104
12/01/10AIndiana Pacers101-105
10/01/10HBoston Celtics107-114
09/01/10APhiladelphia 76ers108-106
07/01/10AOrlando Magic108-103
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/10HCleveland Cavaliers91-92
24/01/10HSacramento Kings115-84
23/01/10AWashington Wizards112-88
21/01/10ACharlotte Hornets65-104
20/01/10HIndiana Pacers113-83
17/01/10AOklahoma City Thunder80-98
16/01/10AHouston Rockets115-106
14/01/10AGolden State Warriors115-102
12/01/10AUtah Jazz89-118
10/01/10ALos Angeles Clippers84-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW49%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512427
Win %49%67%33%
Points / game102.9103.3102.6
Allowed / game104.7101.3107.7
Point differential-1.8+2.0-5.1
Avg total207.6204.6210.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%29%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)80% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Miami Heat
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL51%
HomeWLWWL54%
AwayWWLLW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492821
Win %51%54%48%
Points / game97.097.097.0
Allowed / game96.392.8101.0
Point differential+0.8+4.2-3.9
Avg total193.3189.8198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers52391375%103.597.6+6.0
2 Boston Celtics49351471%99.693.0+6.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers52371571%99.994.4+5.5
4 Orlando Magic51351669%102.595.6+6.9
5 Dallas Mavericks51351669%100.597.4+3.1
6 Denver Nuggets49331667%108.2102.2+6.0
7 Atlanta Hawks49331667%102.697.3+5.3
8 Utah Jazz49301961%101.797.3+4.4
9 San Antonio Spurs48282058%101.396.5+4.8
10 Portland Trail Blazers52292356%97.795.1+2.7
11 Phoenix Suns54292554%109.7108.5+1.2
12 Memphis Grizzlies49262353%103.1103.4-0.3
13 Oklahoma City Thunder50262452%97.796.5+1.2
14 Houston Rockets50262452%101.1101.0+0.1
15 New Orleans Pelicans50262452%98.0100.6-2.7
16 Miami Heat49252451%97.096.3+0.8
17 Chicago Bulls49252451%95.097.0-2.1
18 Los Angeles Clippers50252550%96.898.6-1.8
19 Toronto Raptors51252649%102.9104.7-1.8
20 Charlotte Hornets50232746%94.594.1+0.4
21 Milwaukee Bucks49212843%98.298.3-0.1
22 New York Knicks49212843%100.1102.1-2.0
23 Sacramento Kings49183137%101.5105.0-3.6
24 Philadelphia 76ers50183236%98.0100.3-2.3
25 Indiana Pacers50183236%99.8105.0-5.2
26 Detroit Pistons49173235%92.998.1-5.2
27 Washington Wizards51173433%98.1102.7-4.6
28 Golden State Warriors49163333%107.7109.9-2.3
29 Minnesota Timberwolves53114221%97.2106.9-9.7
30 Brooklyn Nets494458%90.4101.7-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors23342826111
Miami Heat34262122103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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