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Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2015
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 104-107
29-27 29-31 23-21 23-28
Position#21
Record35-44
FormLLLWL
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game97.2
vs
Position#11
Record47-32
FormWLLWW
Points / game104.2
Allowed / game101.1
USANBA
NBA2014-15
Meetings · Miami Heat v Toronto Raptors
03 Mar 2027
MIA v TOR
upcoming
02 Mar 2027
MIA v TOR
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
MIA91
TOR112
15 Dec 2025
MIA96
TOR106
12 Dec 2024
MIA114
TOR104
29 Nov 2024
MIA121
TOR111
14 Apr 2024
MIA118
TOR103
12 Apr 2024
MIA125
TOR103
24 Oct 2022
MIA90
TOR98
22 Oct 2022
MIA112
TOR109
29 Jan 2022
MIA120
TOR124
17 Jan 2022
MIA104
TOR99
24 Feb 2021
MIA116
TOR108
03 Aug 2020
MIA103
TOR107
02 Jan 2020
MIA84
TOR76
10 Mar 2019
MIA104
TOR125
26 Dec 2018
MIA104
TOR106
11 Apr 2018
MIA116
TOR109
23 Mar 2017
MIA84
TOR101
11 Mar 2017
MIA104
TOR89
13 May 2016
MIA103
TOR91
09 May 2016
MIA94
TOR87
07 May 2016
MIA91
TOR95
18 Dec 2015
MIA94
TOR108
08 Nov 2015
MIA96
TOR76
11 Apr 2015
MIA104
TOR107
02 Nov 2014
MIA107
TOR102
31 Mar 2014
MIA93
TOR83
05 Jan 2014
MIA102
TOR97
23 Jan 2013
MIA123
TOR116
18 Apr 2012
MIA96
TOR72
05 Feb 2012
MIA95
TOR89
22 Jan 2011
MIA120
TOR103
13 Nov 2010
MIA109
TOR100
28 Mar 2010
MIA97
TOR94
15 Dec 2009
MIA115
TOR95
19 Nov 2008
MIA95
TOR101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
L
88-89
88
89
-1
A25/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A25/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#2
L
86-99
86
99
-13
A27/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#23
W
109-102
109
102
+7
H29/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
81-95
81
95
-14
H01/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
88-114
88
114
-26
A03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#23
L
98-99
98
99
-1
A04/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
89-112
89
112
-23
A05/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
105-100
105
100
+5
H07/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
H10/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
24-27
28-16
9-24
27-20
30-20
25-22
11-24
20-27
17-28
30-34
19-10
25-27
24-17
22-21
38-37
20-19
22-28
18-24
21-24
27-34
23-27
22-30
16-23
24-29
31-21
26-22
17-27
19-22
28-29
19-26
23-35
28-25
27-30
27-20
23-25
18-20
33-12
8-33
19-24
190.0Avg total
91.5Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)94.497.2191.5-2.844%
Season at home (39)96.697.7194.3-1.249%
Season away (40)92.296.6188.8-4.440%
Last 10 (10)91.598.5190.0-7.030%
Last 5 (5)91.6102.8194.4-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)89.499.3188.6-9.918%
vs Similar (15)99.798.8198.5+0.953%
vs Weaker (4)109.896.0205.8+13.8100%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#29
W
106-89
106
89
+17
H22/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#23
L
104-108
104
108
-4
A24/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
L
103-116
103
116
-13
H25/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H27/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
99-96
99
96
+3
H30/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
113-99
113
99
+14
A02/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#20
L
109-114
109
114
-5
A03/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
L
116-117 OT
116
117
-1
H04/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
92-74
92
74
+18
A08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
101-99
101
99
+2
A10/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
29-18
18-25
32-23
27-37
21-23
27-25
29-23
29-20
25-30
28-27
21-39
17-24
29-24
25-18
23-17
27-27
21-25
26-24
25-20
31-27
29-19
26-23
27-30
27-34
27-15
25-28
30-37
24-15
23-32
23-34
34-23
20-15
27-16
22-14
23-29
29-19
20-32
27-25
25-23
203.2Avg total
103.7Scored
99.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)104.2101.1205.4+3.159%
Season at home (40)103.098.7201.6+4.365%
Season away (39)105.5103.7209.2+1.954%
Last 10 (10)103.799.5203.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)106.2100.6206.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)89.0113.0202.0-24.00%
vs Similar (17)101.5103.5205.1-2.035%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)101.897.3199.1+4.467%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
Miami HeatToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A25/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A25/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#2
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A27/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#23
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H29/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H01/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#23
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A04/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A05/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H07/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H10/04
NBA
97.8Avg total
49.4Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.650.398.8-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.349.099.3+1.344%-
Last 30 away (14)46.651.798.3-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)49.448.497.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)51.649.8101.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)44.149.393.4-5.218%-
vs Similar (15)50.350.1100.4+0.347%-
vs Weaker (4)54.253.8108.0+0.550%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#29
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H22/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#23
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A24/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H25/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H27/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H30/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
60-46
60
46
+14
A02/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#20
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A03/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H04/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A10/04
NBA
98.4Avg total
50.9Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.750.3100.0-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.950.699.5-1.836%-
Last 30 away (16)50.450.0100.4+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)50.947.598.4+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)51.444.896.2+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.054.085.0-23.00%-
vs Similar (17)49.952.5102.4-2.641%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)50.946.897.8+4.158%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Miami Heat wins
1
Toronto Raptors wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/15HChicago Bulls78-89
07/04/15HCharlotte Hornets105-100
05/04/15AIndiana Pacers89-112
04/04/15ADetroit Pistons98-99
03/04/15ACleveland Cavaliers88-114
01/04/15HSan Antonio Spurs81-95
29/03/15HDetroit Pistons109-102
27/03/15AAtlanta Hawks86-99
25/03/15ABoston Celtics93-86
25/03/15AMilwaukee Bucks88-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/15AOrlando Magic101-99
08/04/15ACharlotte Hornets92-74
04/04/15HBoston Celtics116-117 OT
03/04/15ABrooklyn Nets109-114
02/04/15AMinnesota Timberwolves113-99
30/03/15HHouston Rockets99-96
27/03/15HLos Angeles Lakers94-83
25/03/15HChicago Bulls103-116
24/03/15ADetroit Pistons104-108
22/03/15HNew York Knicks106-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeWWLWL49%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games793940
Win %44%49%40%
Points / game94.496.692.2
Allowed / game97.297.796.6
Point differential-2.8-1.2-4.4
Avg total191.5194.3188.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (21)64% (11)40% (10)
Overtime %3%3%2%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW59%
HomeWLWWL65%
AwayLWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games794039
Win %59%65%54%
Points / game104.2103.0105.5
Allowed / game101.198.7103.7
Point differential+3.1+4.3+1.9
Avg total205.4201.6209.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (28)69% (13)47% (15)
Overtime %9%5%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors79641581%109.699.4+10.2
2 Atlanta Hawks79601976%102.796.9+5.9
3 Memphis Grizzlies79542568%98.495.0+3.4
4 San Antonio Spurs80542668%103.196.9+6.2
5 Los Angeles Clippers79532667%106.8100.3+6.5
6 Houston Rockets79532667%103.6100.6+3.0
7 Cleveland Cavaliers79512865%103.398.3+4.9
8 Portland Trail Blazers79512865%103.098.2+4.8
9 Dallas Mavericks79483161%105.1102.2+2.8
10 Toronto Raptors79473259%104.2101.1+3.1
11 Chicago Bulls79473259%100.698.0+2.6
12 Washington Wizards79453457%98.397.6+0.7
13 Oklahoma City Thunder79433654%103.6101.6+2.0
14 New Orleans Pelicans79433654%99.198.4+0.7
15 Milwaukee Bucks79394049%97.797.6+0.1
16 Phoenix Suns80394149%102.6103.2-0.6
17 Boston Celtics79374247%101.2101.6-0.4
18 Brooklyn Nets79374247%98.5101.0-2.5
19 Utah Jazz79364346%94.894.5+0.3
20 Indiana Pacers79364346%97.397.0+0.2
21 Miami Heat79354444%94.497.2-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets79334642%94.597.1-2.6
23 Detroit Pistons79304938%98.199.8-1.7
24 Denver Nuggets79295037%100.9104.5-3.6
25 Sacramento Kings79275234%100.9105.1-4.1
26 Orlando Magic80255531%95.8101.4-5.6
27 Los Angeles Lakers79215827%98.4104.9-6.5
28 Philadelphia 76ers79186123%91.6100.7-9.1
29 Minnesota Timberwolves79166320%97.6106.2-8.5
30 New York Knicks80166420%91.7101.0-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat29292323104
Toronto Raptors27312128107
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