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Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Jan 2011
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 120-103
32-17 34-23 26-37 28-26
Position#4
Record30-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game101.3
Allowed / game93.7
vs
Position#28
Record13-30
FormLLLLL
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game104.6
USANBA
NBA2010-11
Meetings · Miami Heat v Toronto Raptors
03 Mar 2027
MIA v TOR
upcoming
02 Mar 2027
MIA v TOR
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
MIA91
TOR112
15 Dec 2025
MIA96
TOR106
12 Dec 2024
MIA114
TOR104
29 Nov 2024
MIA121
TOR111
14 Apr 2024
MIA118
TOR103
12 Apr 2024
MIA125
TOR103
24 Oct 2022
MIA90
TOR98
22 Oct 2022
MIA112
TOR109
29 Jan 2022
MIA120
TOR124
17 Jan 2022
MIA104
TOR99
24 Feb 2021
MIA116
TOR108
03 Aug 2020
MIA103
TOR107
02 Jan 2020
MIA84
TOR76
10 Mar 2019
MIA104
TOR125
26 Dec 2018
MIA104
TOR106
11 Apr 2018
MIA116
TOR109
23 Mar 2017
MIA84
TOR101
11 Mar 2017
MIA104
TOR89
13 May 2016
MIA103
TOR91
09 May 2016
MIA94
TOR87
07 May 2016
MIA91
TOR95
18 Dec 2015
MIA94
TOR108
08 Nov 2015
MIA96
TOR76
11 Apr 2015
MIA104
TOR107
02 Nov 2014
MIA107
TOR102
31 Mar 2014
MIA93
TOR83
05 Jan 2014
MIA102
TOR97
23 Jan 2013
MIA123
TOR116
18 Apr 2012
MIA96
TOR72
05 Feb 2012
MIA95
TOR89
22 Jan 2011
MIA120
TOR103
13 Nov 2010
MIA109
TOR100
28 Mar 2010
MIA97
TOR94
15 Dec 2009
MIA115
TOR95
19 Nov 2008
MIA95
TOR101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#14
W
125-119
125
119
+6
A30/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#19
W
114-107
114
107
+7
H02/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
96-82
96
82
+14
A04/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
101-89
101
89
+12
H05/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
A08/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
107-100 OT
107
100
+7
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
105-111
105
111
-6
A13/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
102-130
102
130
-28
A14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
96-99
96
99
-3
A16/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
H19/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-28
24-34
29-22
37-35
28-36
30-36
25-12
31-23
23-28
24-15
31-16
18-23
26-20
21-31
26-19
28-19
30-18
25-30
20-24
16-19
27-26
19-18
19-23
28-26
26-44
32-24
20-18
27-25
23-26
20-34
25-38
34-32
19-28
34-20
17-25
26-26
11-19
24-15
20-24
22-19
206.1Avg total
103.6Scored
102.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)101.393.7195.1+7.670%
Season at home (20)102.292.8195.1+9.475%
Season away (23)100.694.5195.1+6.165%
Last 10 (10)103.6102.5206.1+1.160%
Last 5 (5)99.8106.6206.4-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)96.7102.8199.5-6.217%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)101.691.7193.2+9.988%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
91-111
91
111
-20
A05/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
120-105
120
105
+15
A06/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
102-122
102
122
-20
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
118-112
118
112
+6
H09/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
101-104
101
104
-3
H13/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
L
95-101
95
101
-6
H15/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A16/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#12
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A17/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-104
95
104
-9
A20/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#8
L
72-112
72
112
-40
A22/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
14-30
28-22
22-30
26-38
40-25
24-21
30-21
22-34
23-33
32-27
25-28
34-31
23-19
28-35
33-27
21-27
34-33
22-15
24-29
26-31
28-30
20-22
21-18
25-19
17-28
25-28
28-23
16-20
28-17
21-25
16-23
23-22
30-20
16-33
26-29
18-26
23-21
16-26
15-39
202.4Avg total
97.0Scored
105.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)99.5104.6204.1-5.230%
Season at home (20)101.2103.2204.4-2.040%
Season away (23)98.0105.8203.8-7.922%
Last 10 (10)97.0105.4202.4-8.420%
Last 5 (5)87.6100.0187.6-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)96.2105.7201.9-9.419%
vs Similar (9)106.3104.9211.2+1.456%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.7-2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.7-2.7
Miami HeatToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#14
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A30/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#19
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H02/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A04/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H05/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A08/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A13/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A16/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H19/01
NBA
103.1Avg total
50.1Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.647.897.4+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (12)48.747.295.8+1.558%-
Last 30 away (18)50.248.298.4+2.061%-
Last 10 (10)50.153.0103.1-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.050.897.8-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)46.548.595.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)50.447.698.0+2.862%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A05/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A06/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
45-67
45
67
-22
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H09/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H13/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H15/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A16/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#12
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A17/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A20/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#8
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A22/01
NBA
103.1Avg total
49.8Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.055.3106.3-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.056.1109.1-3.127%-
Last 30 away (15)49.154.4103.5-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)49.853.3103.1-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)46.846.893.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)49.955.0105.0-5.124%-
vs Similar (9)53.755.8109.4-2.144%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
4
Toronto Raptors wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/11HAtlanta Hawks89-93 OT
16/01/11AChicago Bulls96-99
14/01/11ADenver Nuggets102-130
13/01/11ALos Angeles Clippers105-111
10/01/11APortland Trail Blazers107-100 OT
08/01/11AMilwaukee Bucks101-95 OT
05/01/11HMilwaukee Bucks101-89
04/01/11ACharlotte Hornets96-82
02/01/11HGolden State Warriors114-107
30/12/10AHouston Rockets125-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/11AOrlando Magic72-112
20/01/11ASan Antonio Spurs95-104
17/01/11ANew Orleans Pelicans81-85
16/01/11AWashington Wizards95-98
15/01/11HDetroit Pistons95-101
13/01/11HAtlanta Hawks101-104
09/01/11HSacramento Kings118-112
08/01/11ABoston Celtics102-122
06/01/11ACleveland Cavaliers120-105
05/01/11AChicago Bulls91-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL70%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayWWLLL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432023
Win %70%75%65%
Points / game101.3102.2100.6
Allowed / game93.792.894.5
Point differential+7.6+9.3+6.1
Avg total195.1195.1195.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%45%48%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)0% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %9%10%9%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeLLWLL40%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432023
Win %30%40%22%
Points / game99.5101.298.0
Allowed / game104.6103.2105.8
Point differential-5.2-2.0-7.9
Avg total204.1204.4203.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)25% (4)29% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs4337686%104.796.7+8.0
2 Boston Celtics43331077%99.391.8+7.5
3 Los Angeles Lakers45321371%103.496.4+7.0
4 Miami Heat43301370%101.393.7+7.6
5 Chicago Bulls43291467%98.192.7+5.4
6 Orlando Magic43281565%100.094.2+5.8
7 Dallas Mavericks43281565%96.394.1+2.2
8 Atlanta Hawks45291664%97.395.2+2.1
9 Oklahoma City Thunder42271564%103.8102.3+1.5
10 New Orleans Pelicans44281664%94.391.4+2.9
11 Utah Jazz43271663%100.599.0+1.5
12 Denver Nuggets42241857%107.1104.3+2.8
13 Portland Trail Blazers44242055%96.195.3+0.8
14 New York Knicks42222052%106.7106.5+0.3
15 Phoenix Suns41202149%106.8108.6-1.8
16 Memphis Grizzlies43202347%99.699.2+0.5
17 Houston Rockets44202445%105.0104.4+0.6
18 Golden State Warriors42192345%103.2106.3-3.1
19 Indiana Pacers39162341%97.398.3-1.1
20 Philadelphia 76ers42172540%97.097.6-0.6
21 Charlotte Hornets42172540%92.796.4-3.7
22 Milwaukee Bucks40162440%91.592.8-1.3
23 Los Angeles Clippers42162638%99.2101.5-2.3
24 Detroit Pistons43152835%95.199.6-4.4
25 Washington Wizards42132931%96.3102.1-5.8
26 Toronto Raptors43133030%99.5104.6-5.2
27 Brooklyn Nets44123227%92.498.3-5.9
28 Minnesota Timberwolves43103323%102.5108.4-5.9
29 Sacramento Kings4193222%97.3103.0-5.7
30 Cleveland Cavaliers4283419%93.5104.9-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat32342628120
Toronto Raptors17233726103
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