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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 115-119
26-28 24-33 28-24 37-34
Position#21
Record20-21
FormLLWWW
Points / game111.6
Allowed / game111.0
vs
Position#22
Record19-22
FormWLLLW
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game109.3
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks
24 Mar 2027
MIN v DAL
upcoming
12 Nov 2026
MIN v DAL
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
MIN122
DAL111
17 Nov 2025
MIN120
DAL96
29 Oct 2024
MIN114
DAL120
30 May 2024
MIN103
DAL124
24 May 2024
MIN108
DAL109
22 May 2024
MIN105
DAL108
31 Jan 2024
MIN121
DAL87
28 Dec 2023
MIN118
DAL110
21 Dec 2022
MIN99
DAL104
19 Dec 2022
MIN116
DAL106
25 Mar 2022
MIN116
DAL95
19 Dec 2021
MIN111
DAL105
16 May 2021
MIN136
DAL121
24 Mar 2021
MIN108
DAL128
01 Apr 2020
MIN v DAL
upcoming
01 Mar 2020
MIN91
DAL111
11 Jan 2019
MIN115
DAL119
10 Dec 2017
MIN97
DAL92
04 Nov 2017
MIN112
DAL99
24 Feb 2017
MIN97
DAL84
09 Jan 2017
MIN101
DAL92
03 Apr 2016
MIN78
DAL88
10 Jan 2016
MIN87
DAL93
21 Jan 2015
MIN75
DAL98
30 Dec 2013
MIN98
DAL100
08 Nov 2013
MIN116
DAL108
10 Mar 2013
MIN77
DAL100
15 Dec 2012
MIN114
DAL106
10 Feb 2012
MIN97
DAL104
01 Jan 2012
MIN99
DAL82
07 Mar 2011
MIN105
DAL108
08 Mar 2010
MIN112
DAL125
13 Nov 2009
MIN77
DAL89
31 Mar 2009
MIN88
DAL108
01 Nov 2008
MIN85
DAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
98-124
98
124
-26
84avg 101
A22/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
114-112
114
112
+2
107avg 101
A24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
119-94
119
94
+25
115avg 101
A27/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
120-123 OT
120
123
-3
105avg 101
H29/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
113-104
113
104
+9
101avg 101
A30/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
114-123
114
123
-9
104avg 101
A01/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
102-115
102
115
-13
91avg 101
A03/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
120-103
120
103
+17
120avg 101
H05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
108-86
108
86
+22
102avg 101
H06/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
119-117
119
117
+2
106avg 101
A09/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
23-33
27-25
27-37
35-25
18-38
33-17
28-32
29-18
31-19
23-28
36-29
27-42
32-29
30-18
23-23
30-19
25-35
31-23
27-27
22-27
29-36
38-25
25-35
21-25
21-35
39-27
21-28
31-40
33-28
31-17
25-18
35-19
29-26
19-23
25-18
29-23
35-41
32-29
23-24
222.8Avg total
112.7Scored
110.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)111.6111.0222.5+0.649%
Season at home (20)114.0107.0221.1+7.070%
Season away (21)109.2114.7223.9-5.529%
Last 10 (10)112.7110.1222.8+2.660%
Last 5 (5)112.6108.8221.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)108.1109.0217.1-0.944%
vs Similar ◀ (16)114.6109.9224.4+4.756%
vs Weaker (5)110.2103.0213.2+7.260%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
118-121 OT
118
121
-3
100avg 96
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
122-119
122
119
+3
118avg 96
H27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
112-114
112
114
-2
101avg 96
A29/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
105-103
105
103
+2
100avg 96
H31/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
102-122
102
122
-20
99avg 96
A01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
122-84
122
84
+38
122avg 96
A03/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
93-114
93
114
-21
79avg 96
A05/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
100-106
100
106
-6
94avg 96
A06/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
97-107
97
107
-10
83avg 96
H08/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
104-94
104
94
+10
98avg 96
H10/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
25-37
28-26
27-19
33-30
34-34
23-30
32-25
29-26
37-29
22-31
24-28
27-28
30-31
27-14
21-30
21-32
22-28
32-32
27-30
42-26
23-15
29-24
28-19
23-34
28-24
17-26
25-30
26-31
25-28
19-28
30-19
33-25
34-29
13-32
17-21
26-26
20-24
32-19
26-25
215.9Avg total
107.5Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)109.7109.3219.0+0.446%
Season at home (20)112.2105.4217.7+6.880%
Season away (21)107.3113.0220.3-5.714%
Last 10 (10)107.5108.4215.9-0.940%
Last 5 (5)103.2101.0204.2+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)110.9107.4218.2+3.557%
vs Similar ◀ (12)109.8109.3219.2+0.542%
vs Weaker (4)102.599.5202.0+3.075%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
Minnesota TimberwolvesDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A22/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A27/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H29/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A30/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A01/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A03/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
64-45
64
45
+19
H06/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
D
64-64
64
64
+0
A09/01
NBA
114.3Avg total
55.6Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.255.2111.4+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.753.0110.7+4.753%-
Last 30 away (15)54.757.5112.2-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)55.658.7114.3-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)57.060.0117.0-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)52.757.2109.9-4.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)58.255.1113.3+3.256%-
vs Weaker (5)56.052.2108.2+3.860%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
66-55
66
55
+11
A29/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H31/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
65-41
65
41
+24
A03/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A05/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A06/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H08/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H10/01
NBA
112.7Avg total
56.5Scored
56.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.055.3112.3+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.953.1110.9+4.860%-
Last 30 away (15)56.157.5113.6-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)56.556.2112.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)56.052.4108.4+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)57.556.7114.2+0.843%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)59.355.2114.6+4.167%-
vs Weaker (4)48.250.298.5-2.025%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.231.4
50.5%
51.7%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.7
35.1%
35.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws27.920.8
74.6%
76.6%20.8
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 107.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.224.4
50.6%
51.7%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.212.5
34.5%
35.4%37.5
🏀 Free throws28.421.2
74.6%
76.6%21.2
They take 84.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWLLWLWWL
Dallas Mavericks
WLLLWLWLWL
#21
League position
#22
+2.5
Net rating
-0.9
109.6
Offensive rating
103.1
107.0
Defensive rating
103.9
51.2%
Effective FG%
51.1%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
11.6%
Turnover %
15.6%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
21.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.1%
3-point %
34.5%
61.6%
Assist %
57.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 103.1Defence107.0 · 103.9Shooting51.2% · 51.1%3-point %35.1% · 34.5%Ball care11.6% · 15.6%Off. rebounds24.8% · 21.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/19AOklahoma City Thunder119-117
06/01/19HLos Angeles Lakers108-86
05/01/19HOrlando Magic120-103
03/01/19ABoston Celtics102-115
01/01/19ANew Orleans Pelicans114-123
30/12/18AMiami Heat113-104
29/12/18HAtlanta Hawks120-123 OT
27/12/18AChicago Bulls119-94
24/12/18AOklahoma City Thunder114-112
22/12/18ASan Antonio Spurs98-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/19HPhoenix Suns104-94
08/01/19HLos Angeles Lakers97-107
06/01/19APhiladelphia 76ers100-106
05/01/19ABoston Celtics93-114
03/01/19ACharlotte Hornets122-84
01/01/19AOklahoma City Thunder102-122
31/12/18HOklahoma City Thunder105-103
29/12/18ANew Orleans Pelicans112-114
27/12/18HNew Orleans Pelicans122-119
24/12/18APortland Trail Blazers118-121 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW49%
HomeWLLWW70%
AwayWWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %49%70%29%
Points / game111.6114.0109.2
Allowed / game111.0107.0114.7
Point differential+0.6+7.0-5.5
Avg total222.5221.1223.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%45%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW46%
HomeLWWLW80%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %46%80%14%
Points / game109.7112.2107.3
Allowed / game109.3105.4113.0
Point differential+0.4+6.8-5.7
Avg total219.0217.7220.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)100% (6)14% (7)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors44321273%113.4107.8+5.6
2 Milwaukee Bucks41291271%117.2108.1+9.1
3 Denver Nuggets40281270%110.7105.4+5.3
4 Indiana Pacers42281467%108.4103.1+5.3
5 Golden State Warriors41271466%116.7111.7+5.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers43271663%114.7112.7+2.0
7 Boston Celtics41251661%112.1105.6+6.6
8 Oklahoma City Thunder41251661%112.6107.3+5.3
9 Portland Trail Blazers42251760%111.5110.0+1.5
10 Los Angeles Clippers41241759%115.6114.3+1.3
11 San Antonio Spurs43251858%112.3109.2+3.1
12 Houston Rockets40231757%110.6109.3+1.3
13 Los Angeles Lakers42231955%112.2110.8+1.4
14 Utah Jazz42212150%107.8105.5+2.3
15 Miami Heat40202050%106.5105.6+0.9
16 Sacramento Kings42212150%114.9116.0-1.1
17 Minnesota Timberwolves41202149%111.6111.0+0.6
18 Brooklyn Nets44212348%110.7111.5-0.8
19 New Orleans Pelicans42202248%117.2114.8+2.4
20 Charlotte Hornets40192148%112.9112.1+0.8
21 Dallas Mavericks41192246%109.7109.3+0.4
22 Memphis Grizzlies41192246%100.9102.5-1.6
23 Detroit Pistons40172342%106.9109.8-3.0
24 Washington Wizards43182542%113.0116.3-3.3
25 Orlando Magic41172441%103.0107.2-4.3
26 Atlanta Hawks42132931%109.0117.3-8.2
27 Chicago Bulls41103124%100.7110.2-9.5
28 New York Knicks42103224%107.3116.0-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns43103323%106.2114.7-8.5
30 Cleveland Cavaliers4283419%102.5113.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves26242837115
Dallas Mavericks28332434119
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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