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Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 116-123
34-27 23-29 25-35 34-32
Position#1
Record27-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game117.7
Allowed / game107.8
vs
Position#3
Record28-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game113.0
Allowed / game107.9
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors
06 Nov 2026
MIL v TOR
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
MIL94
TOR122
18 Dec 2025
MIL105
TOR111
17 Jan 2025
MIL130
TOR112
12 Nov 2024
MIL99
TOR85
05 Apr 2024
MIL111
TOR117
19 Mar 2023
MIL118
TOR111
17 Jan 2023
MIL130
TOR122
15 Jan 2022
MIL96
TOR103
05 Jan 2022
MIL111
TOR117
18 Feb 2021
MIL96
TOR110
16 Feb 2021
MIL113
TOR124
10 Aug 2020
MIL106
TOR114
02 Nov 2019
MIL115
TOR105
23 May 2019
MIL v TOR
upcoming
17 May 2019
MIL125
TOR103
15 May 2019
MIL108
TOR100
05 Jan 2019
MIL116
TOR123
29 Oct 2018
MIL124
TOR109
05 Jan 2018
MIL110
TOR129
27 Apr 2017
MIL89
TOR92
22 Apr 2017
MIL76
TOR87
20 Apr 2017
MIL104
TOR77
04 Mar 2017
MIL101
TOR94
25 Nov 2016
MIL99
TOR105
15 Mar 2016
MIL89
TOR107
26 Dec 2015
MIL90
TOR111
19 Jan 2015
MIL89
TOR92
05 Apr 2014
MIL98
TOR102
02 Nov 2013
MIL90
TOR97
06 Apr 2013
MIL100
TOR83
02 Mar 2013
MIL122
TOR114
23 Apr 2012
MIL92
TOR86
11 Apr 2011
MIL93
TOR86
08 Feb 2011
MIL92
TOR74
20 Jan 2010
MIL113
TOR107
09 Dec 2009
MIL117
TOR95
05 Jan 2009
MIL107
TOR97
01 Nov 2008
MIL87
TOR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
114-102
114
102
+12
106avg 105
A15/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
107-104
107
104
+3
103avg 105
A18/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
123-115
123
115
+8
120avg 105
H20/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
120-107
120
107
+13
124avg 105
A22/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
87-94
87
94
-7
77avg 105
A23/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
109-95
109
95
+14
99avg 105
A25/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
112-96
112
96
+16
105avg 105
H28/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
129-115
129
115
+14
120avg 105
H29/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
121-98
121
98
+23
122avg 105
H02/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
144-112
144
112
+32
144avg 105
H05/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
34-31
30-30
23-25
25-27
30-16
26-34
26-27
33-31
29-35
28-24
33-25
35-22
30-26
28-30
27-29
8-21
30-16
20-35
29-22
22-24
26-22
36-22
25-27
24-28
29-20
34-29
25-19
29-23
42-29
35-34
23-29
35-27
33-25
24-21
29-25
43-14
33-29
42-36
26-33
220.4Avg total
116.6Scored
103.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)117.7107.8225.5+9.973%
Season at home (21)121.0106.3227.3+14.786%
Season away (16)113.4109.7223.1+3.756%
Last 10 (10)116.6103.8220.4+12.890%
Last 5 (5)123.0103.2226.2+19.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)111.0105.0216.0+6.067%
vs Weaker (27)117.9109.0226.9+8.967%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
122-128
122
128
-6
116avg 104
A15/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
71avg 104
A17/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
99-96
99
96
+3
83avg 104
H20/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
126-110
126
110
+16
116avg 104
H22/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
101-126
101
126
-25
81avg 104
A23/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
106-104
106
104
+2
99avg 104
A27/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
87-116
87
116
-29
63avg 104
A29/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
95-89
95
89
+6
81avg 104
H30/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
122-116
122
116
+6
114avg 104
H02/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
107-125
107
125
-18
94avg 104
A04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
27-30
39-33
33-37
23-23
24-16
25-29
14-27
24-34
26-24
25-27
24-11
34-28
25-24
40-41
27-17
30-29
29-36
20-26
22-35
23-31
21-27
37-21
25-25
29-25
19-32
15-35
24-24
14-20
26-19
28-26
27-24
26-24
25-29
44-32
27-31
19-38
32-29
24-29
32-29
215.6Avg total
105.1Scored
110.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)113.0107.9220.9+5.070%
Season at home (19)115.4108.0223.4+7.479%
Season away (21)110.7107.8218.5+2.962%
Last 10 (10)105.1110.5215.6-5.450%
Last 5 (5)103.4110.0213.4-6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)110.8110.7221.4+0.150%
vs Weaker (18)112.3106.2218.5+6.272%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
Milwaukee BucksToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
61-47
61
47
+14
A15/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A18/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H20/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
65-48
65
48
+17
A22/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A23/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A25/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H28/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
71-52
71
52
+19
H29/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
68-52
68
52
+16
H02/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
76-43
76
43
+33
H05/01
NBA
107.9Avg total
59.7Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.053.4111.5+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.454.1114.5+6.456%-
Last 30 away (14)55.352.7108.0+2.671%-
Last 10 (10)59.748.2107.9+11.590%-
Last 5 (5)63.248.2111.4+15.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)55.352.3107.7+3.067%-
vs Weaker (27)58.353.6111.9+4.863%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A15/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H20/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H22/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A23/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A27/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A29/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H30/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H02/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
51-67
51
67
-16
A04/01
NBA
104.5Avg total
49.9Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.553.2108.7+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.854.4111.2+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)54.452.4106.8+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)49.954.6104.5-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)46.854.8101.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)53.953.2107.2+0.742%-
vs Weaker (18)56.553.2109.7+3.367%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 116.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.330.9
59.1%
51.7%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.412.1
33.2%
35.4%36.3
🏀 Free throws24.818.5
74.6%
76.6%18.5
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 105.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.528.6
50.6%
51.7%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.49.8
31.2%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.218.5
79.7%
76.6%18.5
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWWLWWWW
Toronto Raptors
LWWLWLWWLL
#1
League position
#3
+12.3
Net rating
-5.5
112.1
Offensive rating
106.2
99.8
Defensive rating
111.6
55.3%
Effective FG%
49.3%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
12.3%
Turnover %
11.7%
19.4%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.2%
3-point %
31.2%
62.1%
Assist %
47.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 106.2Defence99.8 · 111.6Shooting55.3% · 49.3%3-point %33.2% · 31.2%Ball care12.3% · 11.7%Off. rebounds19.4% · 22.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
6
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/19HAtlanta Hawks144-112
02/01/19HDetroit Pistons121-98
29/12/18HBrooklyn Nets129-115
28/12/18HNew York Knicks112-96
25/12/18ANew York Knicks109-95
23/12/18AMiami Heat87-94
22/12/18ABoston Celtics120-107
20/12/18HNew Orleans Pelicans123-115
18/12/18ADetroit Pistons107-104
15/12/18ACleveland Cavaliers114-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/19ASan Antonio Spurs107-125
02/01/19HUtah Jazz122-116
30/12/18HChicago Bulls95-89
29/12/18AOrlando Magic87-116
27/12/18AMiami Heat106-104
23/12/18APhiladelphia 76ers101-126
22/12/18HCleveland Cavaliers126-110
20/12/18HIndiana Pacers99-96
17/12/18ADenver Nuggets86-95
15/12/18APortland Trail Blazers122-128

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372116
Win %73%86%56%
Points / game117.7121.0113.4
Allowed / game107.8106.3109.7
Point differential+9.9+14.7+3.7
Avg total225.5227.3223.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%67%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %5%0%12%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL70%
HomeLWWWW79%
AwayLLWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %70%79%62%
Points / game113.0115.4110.7
Allowed / game107.9108.0107.8
Point differential+5.0+7.4+2.9
Avg total220.8223.4218.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%47%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %8%5%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks37271073%117.7107.8+9.9
2 Denver Nuggets37261170%110.6105.2+5.4
3 Toronto Raptors40281270%113.0107.9+5.0
4 Indiana Pacers38261268%107.8101.4+6.4
5 Oklahoma City Thunder38251366%111.9105.5+6.4
6 Philadelphia 76ers40261465%114.4112.2+2.2
7 Golden State Warriors39251464%116.3111.9+4.4
8 Boston Celtics38231561%111.8105.6+6.2
9 Houston Rockets37221559%110.5109.0+1.5
10 Los Angeles Clippers38221658%115.9114.7+1.2
11 San Antonio Spurs39221756%111.8109.2+2.7
12 Portland Trail Blazers39221756%111.3110.5+0.8
13 Los Angeles Lakers39211854%113.0111.5+1.5
14 Miami Heat37191851%107.2105.8+1.4
15 Utah Jazz40202050%108.0105.7+2.4
16 Sacramento Kings38191950%115.0116.7-1.7
17 Brooklyn Nets40192148%111.0111.7-0.8
18 Charlotte Hornets38182047%112.8111.7+1.2
19 Memphis Grizzlies38182047%101.5102.4-0.9
20 Dallas Mavericks39182146%110.2109.7+0.4
21 Minnesota Timberwolves39182146%111.5111.4+0.0
22 Detroit Pistons37172046%107.2109.4-2.2
23 New Orleans Pelicans40182245%116.7115.1+1.6
24 Orlando Magic38172145%103.6107.2-3.6
25 Washington Wizards39152438%112.6116.9-4.3
26 Atlanta Hawks38112729%109.2118.5-9.3
27 New York Knicks39102926%107.8115.8-7.9
28 Chicago Bulls39102926%100.4109.6-9.3
29 Phoenix Suns4093122%106.1115.0-8.9
30 Cleveland Cavaliers4083220%101.6112.1-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks34232534116
Toronto Raptors27293532123
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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