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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 101-107
28-29 19-20 30-24 24-34
Position#2
Record32-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game121.2
Allowed / game113.0
vs
Position#4
Record32-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game113.1
Allowed / game107.6
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Minnesota Timberwolves
02 Mar 2027
OKC v MIN
upcoming
25 Nov 2026
OKC v MIN
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
OKC116
MIN103
26 Nov 2025
OKC113
MIN105
28 May 2025
OKC124
MIN94
22 May 2025
OKC118
MIN103
20 May 2025
OKC114
MIN88
24 Feb 2025
OKC128
MIN131
31 Dec 2024
OKC113
MIN105
29 Jan 2024
OKC101
MIN107
26 Dec 2023
OKC129
MIN106
16 Dec 2022
OKC110
MIN112
23 Oct 2022
OKC106
MIN116
04 Mar 2022
OKC101
MIN138
07 Jan 2022
OKC105
MIN135
06 Feb 2021
OKC120
MIN118
05 Feb 2021
OKC103
MIN106
13 Mar 2020
OKC v MIN
upcoming
06 Dec 2019
OKC139
MIN127
08 Jan 2019
OKC117
MIN119
23 Dec 2018
OKC112
MIN114
01 Dec 2017
OKC111
MIN107
22 Oct 2017
OKC113
MIN115
25 Dec 2016
OKC112
MIN100
05 Nov 2016
OKC112
MIN92
11 Mar 2016
OKC96
MIN99
15 Jan 2016
OKC113
MIN93
13 Mar 2015
OKC113
MIN99
26 Jan 2015
OKC92
MIN84
05 Feb 2014
OKC106
MIN97
01 Dec 2013
OKC113
MIN103
22 Feb 2013
OKC127
MIN111
09 Jan 2013
OKC106
MIN84
23 Mar 2012
OKC149
MIN140
25 Mar 2011
OKC111
MIN103
22 Nov 2010
OKC117
MIN107
04 Apr 2010
OKC116
MIN108
26 Feb 2010
OKC109
MIN92
28 Nov 2008
OKC103
MIN105
02 Nov 2008
OKC88
MIN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
139-77
139
77
+62
152avg 111
H12/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
112-100
112
100
+12
101avg 111
H14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
105-112
105
112
-7
90avg 111
A16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
117-128
117
128
-11
113avg 111
A17/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
134-129
134
129
+5
136avg 111
A19/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
102-97
102
97
+5
89avg 111
A21/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
111-109
111
109
+2
100avg 111
H24/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
140-114
140
114
+26
142avg 111
A25/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
107-83
107
83
+24
100avg 111
A27/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
104-120
104
120
-16
89avg 111
A28/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-24
39-15
43-17
21-21
23-21
26-19
37-33
26-27
26-27
24-23
26-34
29-28
30-35
31-30
28-34
28-29
39-27
37-40
22-28
36-34
30-24
27-30
17-29
28-14
38-28
20-38
30-20
23-23
35-28
28-24
37-24
40-38
22-24
28-17
27-23
30-19
31-24
30-46
25-30
18-20
224.0Avg total
117.1Scored
106.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)121.2113.0234.2+8.270%
Season at home (22)123.9113.4237.3+10.577%
Season away (24)118.7112.8231.5+6.062%
Last 10 (10)117.1106.9224.0+10.270%
Last 5 (5)112.8104.6217.4+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)116.8105.6222.4+11.188%
vs Weaker (22)124.0117.0241.0+7.064%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
L
120-127 OT
120
127
-7
109avg 109
A11/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
116-93
116
93
+23
122avg 109
H13/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
109-105
109
105
+4
111avg 109
H15/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
124-117
124
117
+7
119avg 109
A18/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
118-103
118
103
+15
117avg 109
H19/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
97-102
97
102
-5
94avg 109
H21/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
125-128
125
128
-3
123avg 109
H23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
118-107
118
107
+11
105avg 109
A25/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
96-94
96
94
+2
92avg 109
A26/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
112-113
112
113
-1
109avg 109
A28/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
26-22
32-25
26-32
36-15
27-27
25-15
28-36
29-19
17-26
35-23
28-37
39-40
31-22
28-28
26-27
30-30
20-25
31-31
37-17
24-30
30-27
29-17
14-28
34-32
35-32
38-28
18-36
30-24
27-35
33-19
28-29
24-31
36-17
21-26
15-20
36-23
28-29
26-28
22-33
222.4Avg total
113.5Scored
108.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)113.1107.6220.7+5.570%
Season at home (21)112.7103.7216.4+9.081%
Season away (25)113.4110.8224.2+2.660%
Last 10 (10)113.5108.9222.4+4.660%
Last 5 (5)109.6108.8218.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)120.0127.0247.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)110.4111.0221.4-0.646%
vs Weaker (16)114.5104.8219.3+9.788%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -5.3-5.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -5.3-5.3
Oklahoma City ThunderMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
75-39
75
39
+36
H12/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A17/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A19/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A21/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H24/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A25/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A27/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A28/01
NBA
114.4Avg total
60.0Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.658.2118.8+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)63.056.8119.8+6.269%-
Last 30 away (17)58.859.2118.1-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)60.054.4114.4+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)57.856.6114.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)58.654.1112.8+4.575%-
vs Weaker (22)61.459.7121.0+1.750%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A11/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H13/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H15/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A18/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H19/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H21/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A25/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A26/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A28/01
NBA
112.4Avg total
58.6Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.255.5112.7+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.254.6109.8+0.662%-
Last 30 away (17)58.756.2114.9+2.547%-
Last 10 (10)58.653.8112.4+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)60.856.0116.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.054.0107.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)55.456.9112.3-1.531%-
vs Weaker (16)58.954.4113.4+4.575%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 117.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.432.3
57.3%
54.4%64.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.8
35.3%
36.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.717.1
82.6%
78.2%17.1
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 113.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.528.7
54.7%
54.4%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.513.0
42.6%
36.3%39.0
🏀 Free throws23.117.1
74.0%
78.2%17.1
They take 83.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWWWWLLWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWLLWWWWL
#2
League position
#4
+10.1
Net rating
+4.7
116.5
Offensive rating
115.4
106.4
Defensive rating
110.7
55.7%
Effective FG%
58.1%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
11.4%
Turnover %
13.4%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.3%
3-point %
42.6%
61.7%
Assist %
67.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.5 · 115.4Defence106.4 · 110.7Shooting55.7% · 58.1%3-point %35.3% · 42.6%Ball care11.4% · 13.4%Off. rebounds23.4% · 20.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24ADetroit Pistons104-120
27/01/24ANew Orleans Pelicans107-83
25/01/24ASan Antonio Spurs140-114
24/01/24HPortland Trail Blazers111-109
21/01/24AMinnesota Timberwolves102-97
19/01/24AUtah Jazz134-129
17/01/24ALos Angeles Clippers117-128
16/01/24ALos Angeles Lakers105-112
14/01/24HOrlando Magic112-100
12/01/24HPortland Trail Blazers139-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24ASan Antonio Spurs112-113
26/01/24ABrooklyn Nets96-94
25/01/24AWashington Wizards118-107
23/01/24HCharlotte Hornets125-128
21/01/24HOklahoma City Thunder97-102
19/01/24HMemphis Grizzlies118-103
18/01/24ADetroit Pistons124-117
15/01/24HLos Angeles Clippers109-105
13/01/24HPortland Trail Blazers116-93
11/01/24ABoston Celtics120-127 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462224
Win %70%77%62%
Points / game121.2123.9118.7
Allowed / game113.0113.4112.8
Point differential+8.2+10.5+6.0
Avg total234.2237.3231.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)50% (6)57% (7)
Overtime %4%5%4%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL70%
HomeWWWLL81%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462125
Win %70%81%60%
Points / game113.1112.7113.4
Allowed / game107.6103.7110.8
Point differential+5.5+9.0+2.6
Avg total220.7216.4224.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%48%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)67% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %4%5%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics46361078%120.4110.5+9.9
2 Milwaukee Bucks44311370%124.0119.9+4.2
3 Oklahoma City Thunder46321470%121.2113.0+8.2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves46321470%113.1107.6+5.5
5 Denver Nuggets47321568%115.1111.0+4.1
6 Los Angeles Clippers45301567%117.9111.8+6.1
7 Philadelphia 76ers44291566%119.5112.0+7.5
8 New York Knicks46301665%115.2108.6+6.5
9 Cleveland Cavaliers44281664%114.1109.8+4.3
10 Sacramento Kings43261760%118.8117.8+1.0
11 Phoenix Suns46271959%116.7114.4+2.3
12 New Orleans Pelicans45252056%117.0112.6+4.4
13 Indiana Pacers45252056%124.8123.1+1.7
14 Dallas Mavericks46252154%118.7118.3+0.3
15 Orlando Magic46242252%111.3110.8+0.6
16 Miami Heat47242351%110.4111.7-1.3
17 Utah Jazz48242450%117.8119.9-2.1
18 Los Angeles Lakers45222349%115.8117.7-1.9
19 Chicago Bulls47222547%110.9112.3-1.4
20 Houston Rockets45212447%113.3112.4+0.9
21 Golden State Warriors43192444%118.6119.0-0.5
22 Brooklyn Nets46192741%114.0114.9-0.8
23 Atlanta Hawks46192741%120.2123.3-3.1
24 Memphis Grizzlies46182839%107.8112.8-5.0
25 Toronto Raptors46163035%114.4116.8-2.4
26 Portland Trail Blazers46133328%107.8117.0-9.2
27 Charlotte Hornets45103522%108.6120.3-11.8
28 San Antonio Spurs46103622%112.9121.4-8.6
29 Washington Wizards4583718%115.1124.2-9.1
30 Detroit Pistons4664013%112.4122.1-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder28193024101
Minnesota Timberwolves29202434107
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