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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 121-112
29-26 35-25 27-27 30-34
Position#4
Record41-18
FormLWWWW
Points / game112.2
Allowed / game106.8
vs
Position#10
Record38-21
FormWWLWL
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game110.9
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
02 Feb 2027
DEN v OKC
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
DEN127
OKC107
01 Feb 2026
DEN111
OKC121
15 May 2025
DEN119
OKC107
11 May 2025
DEN87
OKC92
09 May 2025
DEN113
OKC104
06 Nov 2024
DEN124
OKC122
24 Oct 2024
DEN87
OKC102
29 Dec 2023
DEN93
OKC119
16 Dec 2023
DEN117
OKC118
22 Jan 2023
DEN99
OKC101
22 Oct 2022
DEN122
OKC117
26 Mar 2022
DEN113
OKC107
02 Mar 2022
DEN107
OKC119
12 Feb 2021
DEN97
OKC95
19 Jan 2021
DEN119
OKC101
30 Mar 2020
DEN v OKC
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
DEN110
OKC102
26 Feb 2019
DEN121
OKC112
14 Dec 2018
DEN109
OKC98
01 Feb 2018
DEN127
OKC124
09 Nov 2017
DEN102
OKC94
09 Apr 2017
DEN105
OKC106
25 Nov 2016
DEN129
OKC132
05 Apr 2016
DEN102
OKC124
19 Jan 2016
DEN104
OKC110
09 Feb 2015
DEN114
OKC124
19 Nov 2014
DEN107
OKC100
09 Jan 2014
DEN101
OKC88
17 Dec 2013
DEN93
OKC105
01 Mar 2013
DEN105
OKC103
20 Jan 2013
DEN121
OKC118
15 Mar 2012
DEN90
OKC103
25 Apr 2011
DEN104
OKC101
23 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC97
05 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC101
19 Jan 2011
DEN112
OKC107
03 Mar 2010
DEN119
OKC90
14 Dec 2009
DEN102
OKC93
08 Apr 2009
DEN122
OKC112
11 Mar 2009
DEN112
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
105-99
105
99
+6
100avg 107
A31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
136-122
136
122
+14
142avg 107
H02/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
107-106
107
106
+1
105avg 107
A03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
103-129
103
129
-26
87avg 107
A05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
130-135
130
135
-5
126avg 107
A07/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
110-117
110
117
-7
107avg 107
A09/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
96avg 107
H12/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
120-118
120
118
+2
112avg 107
H14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
114-104
114
104
+10
109avg 107
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
123-96
123
96
+27
125avg 107
H24/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
24-30
33-19
19-24
35-43
48-28
30-24
23-27
29-38
32-26
28-24
18-18
36-34
19-34
28-29
20-32
35-30
25-42
27-36
43-27
23-33
33-23
26-27
28-34
35-27
19-22
29-21
20-17
30-41
28-28
35-22
27-27
25-30
27-21
39-23
23-30
34-27
30-29
33-21
26-19
226.4Avg total
115.1Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)112.2106.8219.1+5.469%
Season at home (30)116.4104.1220.4+12.387%
Season away (29)107.9109.7217.6-1.852%
Last 10 (10)115.1111.3226.4+3.870%
Last 5 (5)114.0104.4218.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)113.3111.9225.2+1.457%
vs Weaker (16)116.3109.6225.9+6.781%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
126-117
126
117
+9
118avg 102
A30/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
118-102
118
102
+16
111avg 102
A02/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
129-134
129
134
-5
118avg 102
A03/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
132-122
132
122
+10
124avg 102
H06/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
117-95
117
95
+22
110avg 102
H08/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
117-112
117
112
+5
109avg 102
A10/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
120-111
120
111
+9
112avg 102
H12/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
122-131
122
131
-9
110avg 102
A15/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
148-147 OT
148
147
+1
127avg 102
H23/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
116-119
116
119
-3
98avg 102
H24/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-35
37-28
22-31
35-23
31-24
41-29
22-21
24-28
29-31
29-35
35-33
36-35
31-32
31-37
36-23
34-30
27-32
24-21
32-19
34-23
25-28
23-42
42-20
27-22
36-26
32-23
19-33
33-29
31-31
32-35
26-35
33-30
35-34
31-23
27-38
36-34
24-31
25-32
34-31
33-25
243.5Avg total
124.5Scored
119.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)116.0110.9226.9+5.064%
Season at home (29)117.4110.4227.9+7.072%
Season away (30)114.6111.4226.0+3.257%
Last 10 (10)124.5119.0243.5+5.570%
Last 5 (5)124.6124.0248.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)118.0112.0230.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)123.4118.8242.1+4.675%
vs Weaker (13)116.8114.5231.4+2.346%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +4.6+4.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +4.6+4.6
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H02/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A07/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A09/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H12/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H24/02
NBA
120.8Avg total
59.6Scored
61.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.659.8119.4-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)64.558.8123.3+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)54.660.8115.4-6.213%-
Last 10 (10)59.661.2120.8-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)56.856.2113.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)61.260.7121.9+0.543%-
vs Weaker (16)58.159.0117.1-0.944%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A30/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
72-53
72
53
+19
A02/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A03/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
62-69
62
69
-7
H06/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H08/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
48-70
48
70
-22
A10/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
68-49
68
49
+19
H12/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A15/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H23/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
49-63
49
63
-14
H24/02
NBA
121.5Avg total
60.6Scored
60.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.358.0118.4+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.355.9115.1+3.450%-
Last 30 away (16)61.259.9121.2+1.356%-
Last 10 (10)60.660.9121.5-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)58.861.0119.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.042.098.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)60.859.9120.7+0.950%-
vs Weaker (13)60.157.0117.1+3.154%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.832.7
54.7%
51.7%65.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.4
35.4%
35.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws21.015.5
73.8%
76.6%15.5
They take 92.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 124.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.731.3
52.4%
51.7%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.314.0
38.6%
35.4%42.0
🏀 Free throws26.319.9
75.7%
76.6%19.9
They take 96.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLLLWWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWLWWWWLWW
#4
League position
#10
+3.7
Net rating
+5.0
112.1
Offensive rating
114.0
108.4
Defensive rating
109.0
54.1%
Effective FG%
54.5%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
12.5%
Turnover %
11.9%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.4%
3-point %
38.6%
69.6%
Assist %
53.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 114.0Defence108.4 · 109.0Shooting54.1% · 54.5%3-point %35.4% · 38.6%Ball care12.5% · 11.9%Off. rebounds25.8% · 23.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/19HLos Angeles Clippers123-96
23/02/19ADallas Mavericks114-104
14/02/19HSacramento Kings120-118
12/02/19HMiami Heat103-87
09/02/19APhiladelphia 76ers110-117
07/02/19ABrooklyn Nets130-135
05/02/19ADetroit Pistons103-129
03/02/19AMinnesota Timberwolves107-106
02/02/19HHouston Rockets136-122
31/01/19ANew Orleans Pelicans105-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/19HSacramento Kings116-119
23/02/19HUtah Jazz148-147 OT
15/02/19ANew Orleans Pelicans122-131
12/02/19HPortland Trail Blazers120-111
10/02/19AHouston Rockets117-112
08/02/19HMemphis Grizzlies117-95
06/02/19HOrlando Magic132-122
03/02/19ABoston Celtics129-134
02/02/19AMiami Heat118-102
30/01/19AOrlando Magic126-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWLLLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %69%87%52%
Points / game112.2116.4107.9
Allowed / game106.8104.1109.7
Point differential+5.4+12.3-1.8
Avg total219.1220.4217.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%53%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (17)83% (6)82% (11)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL64%
HomeWWWWL72%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games592930
Win %64%72%57%
Points / game116.0117.4114.6
Allowed / game110.9110.4111.4
Point differential+5.0+7.0+3.2
Avg total226.9227.9226.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)40% (5)50% (12)
Overtime %5%7%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks60461477%117.0107.3+9.7
2 Toronto Raptors62451773%114.2108.7+5.5
3 Golden State Warriors60431772%118.8112.0+6.9
4 Denver Nuggets59411869%112.2106.8+5.4
5 Indiana Pacers61402166%108.6103.3+5.3
6 Oklahoma City Thunder59382164%116.0110.9+5.0
7 Philadelphia 76ers61392264%115.7112.3+3.4
8 Portland Trail Blazers60372362%113.8110.2+3.6
9 Boston Celtics61372461%112.5107.0+5.5
10 Houston Rockets60352558%113.2111.1+2.1
11 Utah Jazz59332656%110.1106.7+3.4
12 Los Angeles Clippers62342855%114.0113.8+0.2
13 San Antonio Spurs62332953%112.1111.6+0.4
14 Sacramento Kings60312952%113.5114.8-1.3
15 Brooklyn Nets62323052%112.0112.3-0.3
16 Detroit Pistons59293049%107.2108.1-0.9
17 Minnesota Timberwolves60293148%112.2111.9+0.3
18 Los Angeles Lakers60293148%112.2113.5-1.4
19 Charlotte Hornets60283247%111.0111.5-0.5
20 Orlando Magic62283445%105.9106.8-0.9
21 Miami Heat59263344%105.1106.2-1.1
22 New Orleans Pelicans62273544%115.6115.0+0.7
23 Dallas Mavericks60263443%108.7109.3-0.6
24 Washington Wizards60243640%113.8117.0-3.2
25 Memphis Grizzlies62243839%100.9104.1-3.1
26 Atlanta Hawks61204133%111.0118.2-7.2
27 Chicago Bulls61164526%103.7111.7-8.0
28 Cleveland Cavaliers61144723%103.4113.3-9.9
29 New York Knicks61134821%105.7113.9-8.2
30 Phoenix Suns62125019%106.2116.2-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets29352730121
Oklahoma City Thunder26252734112
← all games of the day
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