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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 96-126
20-38 23-27 26-34 27-27
Position#27
Record15-21
FormLWLWW
Points / game107.2
Allowed / game112.0
vs
Position#6
Record19-16
FormLWLWL
Points / game115.6
Allowed / game110.6
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
30 Jan 2027
OKC v DEN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
OKC96
DEN84
09 Mar 2026
OKC129
DEN126
27 Feb 2026
OKC127
DEN121
18 May 2025
OKC125
DEN93
13 May 2025
OKC112
DEN105
07 May 2025
OKC149
DEN106
05 May 2025
OKC119
DEN121
10 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN140
09 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN103
31 Jan 2024
OKC105
DEN100
29 Oct 2023
OKC95
DEN128
23 Nov 2022
OKC126
DEN131
03 Nov 2022
OKC110
DEN122
09 Jan 2022
OKC95
DEN99
22 Dec 2021
OKC108
DEN94
27 Feb 2021
OKC96
DEN126
03 Aug 2020
OKC113
DEN121
21 Feb 2020
OKC113
DEN101
29 Mar 2019
OKC105
DEN115
24 Nov 2018
OKC98
DEN105
30 Mar 2018
OKC125
DEN126
18 Dec 2017
OKC95
DEN94
12 Apr 2017
OKC105
DEN111
07 Jan 2017
OKC121
DEN106
27 Dec 2015
OKC122
DEN112
01 Nov 2015
OKC117
DEN93
22 Feb 2015
OKC119
DEN94
01 Nov 2014
OKC102
DEN91
24 Mar 2014
OKC117
DEN96
18 Nov 2013
OKC115
DEN113
19 Mar 2013
OKC104
DEN114
16 Jan 2013
OKC117
DEN97
25 Apr 2012
OKC101
DEN106
19 Feb 2012
OKC124
DEN118
27 Apr 2011
OKC100
DEN97
20 Apr 2011
OKC106
DEN89
17 Apr 2011
OKC107
DEN103
08 Apr 2011
OKC104
DEN89
25 Dec 2010
OKC114
DEN106
07 Apr 2010
OKC94
DEN98
29 Jan 2010
OKC101
DEN84
04 Feb 2009
OKC113
DEN114
02 Jan 2009
OKC120
DEN122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
113-114 OT
113
114
-1
no box
A11/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
95-97
95
97
-2
88avg 97
A13/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
114-109
114
109
+5
110avg 97
H15/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
104-115
104
115
-11
96avg 97
H17/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
113-122
113
122
-9
108avg 97
A18/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
85-98
85
98
-13
71avg 97
A20/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
117-101
117
101
+16
110avg 97
A22/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
94-108
94
108
-14
87avg 97
H23/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
102-99
102
99
+3
95avg 97
H25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
118-109
118
109
+9
114avg 97
H27/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-23
30-34
17-23
21-25
28-16
25-24
26-30
16-27
24-24
28-17
29-40
33-28
21-34
29-30
29-29
25-22
31-30
25-27
29-29
28-36
20-16
22-30
20-32
23-20
31-28
31-23
24-24
31-26
21-23
33-22
23-34
17-29
28-21
12-24
36-28
26-26
31-33
32-22
33-25
22-29
212.7Avg total
105.5Scored
107.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)107.2112.0219.2-4.942%
Season at home (18)106.7114.9221.6-8.333%
Season away (18)107.7109.1216.8-1.450%
Last 10 (10)105.5107.2212.7-1.740%
Last 5 (5)103.2103.0206.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)106.6113.0219.6-6.438%
vs Similar (4)108.8105.8214.5+3.075%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
112-125
112
125
-13
no box
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
133-95
133
95
+38
no box
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
97-95
97
95
+2
88avg 106
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
122-105
122
105
+17
118avg 106
H15/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
99-112
99
112
-13
92avg 106
A17/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
128-130
128
130
-2
119avg 106
A18/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
120-103
120
103
+17
116avg 106
A20/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
115-123
115
123
-8
106avg 106
A22/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
111-106
111
106
+5
98avg 106
H24/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
110-112
110
112
-2
102avg 106
H26/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
42-37
20-22
26-34
24-32
34-17
30-26
36-23
33-29
16-28
24-25
30-26
27-16
33-33
40-28
30-24
19-20
26-30
28-29
21-27
24-26
41-24
23-46
29-30
35-30
33-23
36-27
26-30
25-23
33-27
23-37
20-29
39-30
34-25
23-32
21-21
33-28
22-26
32-30
34-32
22-24
225.3Avg total
114.7Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)115.6110.6226.2+5.054%
Season at home (18)116.8109.0225.8+7.861%
Season away (17)114.3112.2226.5+2.147%
Last 10 (10)114.7110.6225.3+4.150%
Last 5 (5)116.8114.8231.6+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)113.6112.4225.9+1.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)117.3109.0226.3+8.362%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A11/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H15/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
50-64
50
64
-14
H17/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A18/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A20/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A22/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H23/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H27/02
NBA
104.0Avg total
53.9Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.655.6109.2-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.656.4110.0-2.943%-
Last 30 away (16)53.654.9108.5-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)53.950.1104.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)52.248.4100.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)53.355.8109.1-2.538%-
vs Similar (4)55.554.5110.0+1.075%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H15/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A17/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A18/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A20/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A22/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H24/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H26/02
NBA
116.5Avg total
59.3Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.155.3115.3+4.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.755.0115.7+5.764%-
Last 30 away (16)59.555.5115.0+4.050%-
Last 10 (10)59.357.2116.5+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)60.059.4119.4+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)60.755.3116.0+5.465%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)59.255.2114.5+4.046%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 106.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.424.9
51.4%
52.8%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.813.9
37.8%
36.6%41.7
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
77.7%14.7
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.827.7
55.6%
52.8%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.214.6
39.2%
36.6%43.8
🏀 Free throws18.915.5
82.0%
77.7%15.5
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWLWLLLWLL
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLLWWWL
#27
League position
#6
-1.4
Net rating
+4.5
107.0
Offensive rating
115.8
108.4
Defensive rating
111.3
53.7%
Effective FG%
57.0%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
13.7%
Turnover %
11.8%
17.7%
Off. rebound %
19.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.8%
3-point %
39.2%
63.1%
Assist %
59.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 115.8Defence108.4 · 111.3Shooting53.7% · 57.0%3-point %37.8% · 39.2%Ball care13.7% · 11.8%Off. rebounds17.7% · 19.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21HAtlanta Hawks118-109
25/02/21HSan Antonio Spurs102-99
23/02/21HMiami Heat94-108
22/02/21ACleveland Cavaliers117-101
20/02/21AMilwaukee Bucks85-98
18/02/21AMemphis Grizzlies113-122
17/02/21HPortland Trail Blazers104-115
15/02/21HMilwaukee Bucks114-109
13/02/21ADenver Nuggets95-97
11/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers113-114 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/21HWashington Wizards110-112
24/02/21HPortland Trail Blazers111-106
22/02/21AAtlanta Hawks115-123
20/02/21ACleveland Cavaliers120-103
18/02/21AWashington Wizards128-130
17/02/21ABoston Celtics99-112
15/02/21HLos Angeles Lakers122-105
13/02/21HOklahoma City Thunder97-95
11/02/21HCleveland Cavaliers133-95
09/02/21HMilwaukee Bucks112-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW42%
HomeWLLWW33%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %42%33%50%
Points / game107.2106.7107.7
Allowed / game112.0114.9109.1
Point differential-4.9-8.3-1.4
Avg total219.2221.6216.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%6%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)57% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %8%6%11%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL54%
HomeWWWWL61%
AwayLLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %54%61%47%
Points / game115.6116.8114.3
Allowed / game110.6109.0112.2
Point differential+5.0+7.8+2.1
Avg total226.2225.8226.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%44%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)33% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %11%11%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz3629781%116.2105.9+10.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers38271171%111.2105.6+5.6
3 Brooklyn Nets36241267%121.1115.5+5.6
4 Philadelphia 76ers36241267%113.6110.3+3.2
5 Los Angeles Clippers38241463%113.9109.5+4.4
6 Phoenix Suns36211558%112.2108.4+3.8
7 Golden State Warriors37211657%114.4112.3+2.1
8 Milwaukee Bucks36201656%119.2113.3+5.9
9 Denver Nuggets35191654%115.6110.6+5.0
10 Portland Trail Blazers36191753%113.2115.7-2.4
11 San Antonio Spurs31161552%110.1112.0-2.0
12 Memphis Grizzlies33171652%111.4111.2+0.2
13 Toronto Raptors37191851%112.6110.3+2.3
14 New York Knicks37191851%104.2102.8+1.4
15 Chicago Bulls36181850%114.1113.8+0.3
16 Dallas Mavericks34171750%112.8113.6-0.8
17 Miami Heat35171849%107.5109.6-2.1
18 New Orleans Pelicans34161847%115.8114.9+1.0
19 Boston Celtics35161946%110.0110.4-0.4
20 Charlotte Hornets36162044%111.7113.0-1.3
21 Indiana Pacers34151944%112.5112.1+0.4
22 Atlanta Hawks37162143%113.4113.6-0.2
23 Oklahoma City Thunder36152142%107.2112.0-4.9
24 Washington Wizards34142041%113.6117.9-4.4
25 Sacramento Kings37152241%113.6119.5-5.9
26 Orlando Magic37152241%105.8111.8-6.0
27 Houston Rockets35142140%109.3110.9-1.6
28 Cleveland Cavaliers38152339%104.0112.1-8.1
29 Detroit Pistons37112630%106.5109.9-3.4
30 Minnesota Timberwolves3782922%108.7116.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder2023262796
Denver Nuggets38273427126
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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