Murcia vs Valencia Prediction & Stats

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	90.1	93.3	183.4	-3.1	43%
Season at home (4)	97.5	90.8	188.2	+6.8	75%
Season away (3)	80.3	96.7	177.0	-16.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	89.5	84.0	173.5	+5.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.8	83.0	173.8	+7.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	85.2	97.5	182.8	-12.2	25%
vs Similar (6)	87.7	93.8	181.5	-6.2	33%
vs Weaker (20)	91.2	79.7	170.9	+11.5	85%

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValencia

Date

Competition

Murcia

#11

116-93

116

+23

113avg 104

H18/10

ACB

Paris

#14

104-93

104

+11

98avg 104

A23/10

Euroleague

Baskonia

84-75

69avg 104

H25/10

ACB

Fenerbahce

86-78

73avg 104

H27/10

Euroleague

Barcelona

94-98

-4

86avg 104

A30/10

Euroleague

MoraBanc Andorra

#17

111-79

111

+32

107avg 104

A01/11

ACB

Olimpia Milano

#19

84-73

+11

no box

A05/11

Euroleague

San Pablo Burgos

#15

100-93

100

no box

A08/11

ACB

Bayern

#18

102-87

102

+15

no box

H12/11

Euroleague

Leyma Coruna

#14

111-97

111

+14

no box

H15/11

ACB

25-14

33-22

28-24

30-33

32-26

25-28

26-16

21-23

27-19

14-16

18-18

25-22

19-9

17-16

24-21

26-32

25-30

17-14

26-25

26-29

20-21

26-18

31-29

34-11

24-15

16-22

11-22

33-14

22-27

19-25

30-20

29-21

29-19

23-22

21-24

29-22

27-24

36-24

27-24

21-25

185.8Avg total

99.2Scored

86.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	100.6	89.1	189.8	+11.5	75%
Season at home (4)	102.8	92.5	195.2	+10.2	75%
Season away (4)	98.5	85.8	184.2	+12.8	75%
Last 10 (10)	99.2	86.6	185.8	+12.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	101.6	85.8	187.4	+15.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	89.0	85.0	174.0	+4.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	99.3	87.6	186.9	+11.7	81%

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MurciaValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.8	19.6	40.3	+1.2	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	19.8	39.5	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.9	37.1	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.0	42.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	16.2	20.2	36.5	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.7	20.2	39.8	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	19.7	44.2	+4.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.3	17.6	42.9	+7.7	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.6	22.0	45.6	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	20.4	45.4	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	21.2	45.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	25.7	15.0	40.7	+10.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	24.4	20.2	44.6	+4.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.9	42.6	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.2	20.7	42.8	+1.5	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.9	21.3	42.2	-0.4	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	22.0	43.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	22.2	28.5	50.8	-6.2	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.0	23.3	45.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.8	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	21.4	44.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.7	22.5	47.2	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	20.1	41.4	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.7	43.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	22.2	46.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.7	16.3	36.0	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.4	22.0	45.4	+1.5	59%	-

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

46-46

H04/10

ACB

Varese

#37

39-22

+17

H07/10

Champions League

Tenerife

33-44

-11

H11/10

ACB

Bamberg

#53

34-32

A14/10

Champions League

Valencia

36-58

-22

A18/10

ACB

Leyma Coruna

#14

37-40

-3

H24/10

ACB

Peristeri

32-33

-1

H27/10

Champions League

Forca Lleida

#18

60-40

+20

H31/10

ACB

Real Madrid

39-47

-8

A08/11

ACB

Bamberg

#53

50-37

+13

H11/11

Champions League

80.5Avg total

40.6Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	40.6	82.6	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	42.9	40.2	83.2	+2.7	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.7	41.1	81.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	39.9	80.5	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	39.4	83.0	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	38.5	48.8	87.2	-10.2	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.7	43.5	85.2	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	42.9	38.0	80.9	+4.8	70%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Murcia

#11

58-36

+22

H18/10

ACB

Paris

#14

57-54

A23/10

Euroleague

Baskonia

41-35

H25/10

ACB

Fenerbahce

36-25

+11

H27/10

Euroleague

Barcelona

42-44

-2

A30/10

Euroleague

MoraBanc Andorra

#17

46-39

A01/11

ACB

Olimpia Milano

#19

40-37

A05/11

Euroleague

San Pablo Burgos

#15

41-52

-11

A08/11

ACB

Bayern

#18

52-41

+11

H12/11

Euroleague

Leyma Coruna

#14

63-48

+15

H15/11

ACB

88.7Avg total

47.6Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.6	41.1	88.6	+6.5	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	50.0	40.1	90.1	+9.9	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.8	42.1	86.9	+2.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.6	41.1	88.7	+6.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	43.4	91.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	45.3	31.3	76.7	+14.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	47.8	42.1	90.0	+5.7	74%	-

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.4	44.1	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.8	23.2	47.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	21.7	44.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	22.0	23.2	45.2	-1.2	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.8	24.5	48.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (20)	22.6	20.1	42.6	+2.5	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.9	22.2	47.0	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	22.2	45.8	+1.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	26.4	22.1	48.4	+4.3	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	22.3	46.5	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	23.8	47.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	18.0	21.3	39.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	25.6	22.3	47.9	+3.4	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.6	22.4	47.0	+2.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	25.3	21.5	46.8	+3.8	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.7	23.7	47.3	+0.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.8	22.4	48.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	24.2	51.4	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	24.8	25.5	50.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.7	23.0	43.7	-2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	25.8	21.6	47.4	+4.2	85%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.8	22.9	47.7	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.4	25.4	49.8	-1.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	25.3	20.1	45.4	+5.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.4	23.2	50.6	+4.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.2	18.6	47.8	+10.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	23.3	28.3	51.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	25.0	22.3	47.3	+2.7	48%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.4	43.7	91.1	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	47.3	41.6	88.9	+5.7	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	47.5	46.9	94.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.9	44.1	93.0	+4.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	43.6	90.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	46.8	48.8	95.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	44.5	47.5	92.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (20)	48.4	41.6	90.0	+6.8	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.7	45.1	94.7	+4.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	47.9	47.6	95.6	+0.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	51.6	42.1	93.8	+9.5	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.6	45.5	97.1	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.2	42.4	95.6	+10.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	41.3	49.7	91.0	-8.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	50.6	44.6	95.1	+6.0	74%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 87.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game

47%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	18.4	50.8%	55.8%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.7	10.7	32.7%	36.4%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	24.5	19.0	77.6%	76.0%	19.0

They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game

47%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	25.0	56.8%	55.8%	50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	10.1	34.6%	36.4%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	20.7	15.6	75.4%	76.0%	15.6

They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	20.2	49.4%	55.8%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.8	8.8	40.4%	36.4%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	27.0	20.0	74.1%	76.0%	20.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	21.7	56.8%	55.8%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.9	34.9%	36.4%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.9	78.4%	76.0%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	19.8	53.4%	55.8%	39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.9	10.8	34.8%	36.4%	32.3
🏀 Free throws	23.5	17.7	75.6%	76.0%	17.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	8.9	22.3%	55.8%	17.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	25.2	85.4%	36.4%	75.5
🏀 Free throws	27.4	15.4	56.2%	76.0%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.7	21.7	50.8%	55.8%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	7.9	36.0%	36.4%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	25.8	19.0	73.9%	76.0%	19.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	-5.3	-14.7%	55.8%	-10.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.3	35.5	121.0%	36.4%	106.5
🏀 Free throws	21.6	13.9	64.5%	76.0%	13.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Murcia

WLWLWLWLWW

Valencia

WWWWWLWWWW

#11

League position

+1.2

Net rating

+8.9

97.1

Offensive rating

108.3

95.9

Defensive rating

99.4

50.0%

Effective FG%

54.8%

53.3%

Opp. effective FG%

54.9%

14.0%

Turnover %

8.8%

0.36

Free-throw rate

0.28

32.7%

3-point %

34.6%

53.3%

Assist %

51.0%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

90%

Profile

■ Murcia ■ Valencia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Murcia wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
18/10/26	Valencia v Murcia	116-93
08/03/26	Valencia v Murcia	110-84
21/12/25	Murcia v Valencia	92-80
05/04/25	Valencia v Murcia	71-86
15/12/24	Murcia v Valencia	88-96
25/05/24	Valencia v Murcia	77-84
22/05/24	Murcia v Valencia	72-83
18/05/24	Valencia v Murcia	86-96
24/03/24	Valencia v Murcia	83-82
10/12/23	Murcia v Valencia	77-85 OT

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	H	Bamberg	98-66
08/11/26	A	Real Madrid	71-90
31/10/26	H	Forca Lleida	125-98
27/10/26	H	Peristeri	72-80
24/10/26	H	Leyma Coruna	88-81
18/10/26	A	Valencia	93-116
14/10/26	A	Bamberg	86-67
11/10/26	H	Tenerife	77-90
07/10/26	H	Varese	85-58
04/10/26	H	Barcelona	100-94

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/11/26	H	Leyma Coruna	111-97
12/11/26	H	Bayern	102-87
08/11/26	A	San Pablo Burgos	100-93
05/11/26	A	Olimpia Milano	84-73
01/11/26	A	MoraBanc Andorra	111-79
30/10/26	A	Barcelona	94-98
27/10/26	H	Fenerbahce	86-78
25/10/26	H	Baskonia	84-75
23/10/26	A	Paris	104-93
18/10/26	H	Murcia	116-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia

ACB 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	43%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	43%	75%	0%
Points / game	90.1	97.5	80.3
Allowed / game	93.3	90.8	96.7
Point differential	-3.1	+6.8	-16.3
Avg total	183.4	188.2	177.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Valencia

ACB 2026-27

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	75%
Home	LWWW	75%
Away	WLWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	75%	75%	75%
Points / game	100.6	102.8	98.5
Allowed / game	89.1	92.5	85.8
Point differential	+11.5	+10.2	+12.8
Avg total	189.8	195.2	184.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	7	7	0	100%	106.3	85.3	+21.0
2	Valencia	8	6	2	75%	100.6	89.1	+11.5
3	Tenerife	8	6	2	75%	87.1	79.6	+7.5
4	Baskonia	7	5	2	71%	95.0	84.3	+10.7
5	Barcelona	7	5	2	71%	97.3	94.4	+2.9
6	Breogan	8	5	3	62%	104.8	100.1	+4.6
7	Basket Zaragoza	8	5	3	62%	92.8	89.1	+3.6
8	Bilbao	7	4	3	57%	92.0	92.6	-0.6
9	Unicaja	8	4	4	50%	87.9	84.1	+3.8
10	Basquet Girona	8	4	4	50%	88.1	95.4	-7.2
11	Murcia	7	3	4	43%	90.1	93.3	-3.1
12	Obradoiro CAB	7	3	4	43%	90.3	96.6	-6.3
13	Joventut Badalona	8	3	5	38%	90.5	90.4	+0.1
14	Leyma Coruna	8	3	5	38%	92.5	101.2	-8.8
15	San Pablo Burgos	8	2	6	25%	91.4	93.0	-1.6
16	Manresa	8	2	6	25%	88.0	101.0	-13.0
17	MoraBanc Andorra	8	1	7	12%	86.4	96.5	-10.1
18	Forca Lleida	8	1	7	12%	92.8	104.6	-11.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

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Murcia vs Valencia Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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