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Neptunas vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:10
Final 110-88
25-23 26-17 31-26 28-22
Position#4
Record3-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#8
Record3-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game82.8
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Neptunas v Siauliai
03 Apr 2027
NEP v SIA
upcoming
25 Oct 2026
NEP110
SIA88
19 Apr 2026
NEP98
SIA83
28 Dec 2025
NEP101
SIA103
27 Apr 2025
NEP90
SIA95
25 Jan 2025
NEP80
SIA90
27 Nov 2024
NEP101
SIA104
11 Mar 2024
NEP85
SIA76
06 Mar 2023
NEP93
SIA79
31 Oct 2021
NEP86
SIA94
07 May 2021
NEP107
SIA106
17 Jan 2021
NEP77
SIA88
10 Jan 2021
NEP88
SIA94
08 Mar 2020
NEP90
SIA70
05 Oct 2019
NEP90
SIA94
05 May 2019
NEP96
SIA75
23 Dec 2018
NEP80
SIA76
01 Mar 2018
NEP71
SIA78
04 Jan 2018
NEP84
SIA79
26 Apr 2017
NEP85
SIA78
12 Oct 2016
NEP95
SIA67
03 May 2016
NEP90
SIA85
27 Apr 2016
NEP83
SIA77
23 Jan 2016
NEP68
SIA73
29 Nov 2015
NEP74
SIA83
08 Apr 2015
NEP90
SIA77
28 Oct 2014
NEP70
SIA68
11 May 2014
NEP89
SIA88
01 May 2014
NEP86
SIA83
01 Oct 2013
NEP91
SIA69
27 Nov 2012
NEP91
SIA83
19 Apr 2012
NEP101
SIA84
20 Jan 2012
NEP89
SIA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best odds1.53
Implied65.8%
Edge-
Siauliai winLost
-no forecast
Best odds2.71
Implied34.2%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
56avg 83
H20/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
99-84
99
84
+15
97avg 83
H23/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 83
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#22
L
73-76
73
76
-3
66avg 83
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
89-62
89
62
+27
92avg 83
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 83
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 83
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#25
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 83
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 83
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#18
L
89-104
89
104
-15
81avg 83
A20/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
16-20
17-21
18-32
18-16
31-20
28-20
22-28
24-18
20-16
27-24
7-29
15-21
21-15
15-23
22-17
34-10
21-12
14-19
20-21
15-31
24-26
27-18
18-18
22-18
18-22
21-27
16-19
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
29-24
19-21
17-21
19-17
22-31
20-25
26-24
21-24
169.2Avg total
83.5Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.782.5165.2+0.250%
Season at home (3)85.779.7165.3+6.067%
Season away (3)79.785.3165.0-5.733%
Last 10 (10)83.585.7169.2-2.240%
Last 5 (5)85.491.0176.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.893.8175.6-12.00%
vs Similar (11)82.681.6164.3+1.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.886.6179.4+6.157%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#3
L
79-90
79
90
-11
75avg 77
A20/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
88avg 77
H23/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
82-101
82
101
-19
75avg 77
A27/09
LKL
London Lions
#8
W
74-71
74
71
+3
75avg 77
H30/09
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
79-63
79
63
+16
76avg 77
A03/10
LKL
Frankfurt
#15
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 77
A06/10
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
83-71
83
71
+12
69avg 77
H11/10
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#24
L
75-93
75
93
-18
60avg 77
H14/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 77
H17/10
LKL
Turk Telekom
#27
W
94-84
94
84
+10
96avg 77
A20/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
23-19
18-27
13-29
26-20
16-25
22-20
22-12
19-21
18-27
19-32
26-21
19-14
22-18
16-22
17-17
20-16
28-17
22-17
9-13
13-12
22-16
17-21
19-30
23-25
18-28
21-15
21-3
26-16
14-25
20-25
15-27
27-21
15-27
24-28
22-19
16-21
27-24
24-22
27-17
163.5Avg total
81.1Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.882.8165.7+0.050%
Season at home (3)85.781.0166.7+4.767%
Season away (3)80.084.7164.7-4.733%
Last 10 (10)81.182.4163.5-1.350%
Last 5 (5)82.284.4166.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.992.2173.1-11.320%
vs Similar (13)82.280.2162.5+2.062%
vs Weaker (7)86.183.0169.1+3.171%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 164.5Actual: Over 164.5
Over 164.5
no forecast
@ 1.54
Under 164.5
no forecast
@ 2.70
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.54
Betano
1.39
Under
Betano
2.70
1xBet
2.16
Over/Under 169.25 · main lineActual: Over 169.25
Over 169.25
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under 169.25
no forecast
@ 1.81
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Over/Under 174.25Actual: Over 174.25
Over 174.25
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under 174.25
no forecast
@ 1.76
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.86
Under
1xBet
1.76

📊 3. Team Totals

Neptunas total 83.5Actual: Neptunas over 83.5
Over 83.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under 83.5
no forecast
@ 2.76
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.30
Under
1xBet
2.76
Betano
2.60
Neptunas total 87.5 · main lineActual: Neptunas over 87.5
Over 87.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under 87.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.73
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
1.93
Marathon Be
1.92
Bet365
1.83
Neptunas total 91.5Actual: Neptunas over 91.5
Over 91.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
Under 91.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.07
Under
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.49
Siauliai total 79.5Actual: Siauliai over 79.5
Over 79.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
Under 79.5
no forecast
@ 2.65
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.33
Under
Betano
2.65
1xBet
2.60
Siauliai total 83.5 · main lineActual: Siauliai over 83.5
Over 83.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under 83.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.75
Marathon Be
1.74
1xBet
1.62
Under
Betano
1.91
Marathon Be
1.91
1xBet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Siauliai total 87.5Actual: Siauliai over 87.5
Over 87.5
no forecast
@ 2.42
Under 87.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.17
Under
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Neptunas -8Actual: Neptunas -8
NEP -8
no forecast
@ 2.20
SIA +8
no forecast
@ 1.60
Best 5 market prices
NEP
Bet365
2.20
SIA
Bet365
1.60
Spread Neptunas -5 · main lineActual: Neptunas -5
NEP -5
no forecast
@ 1.88
SIA +5
no forecast
@ 1.86
Best 5 market prices
NEP
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.86
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Bet365
1.80
SIA
Bet365
1.86
Pinnacle
1.85
SBO
1.84
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Spread Neptunas -2Actual: Neptunas -2
NEP -2
no forecast
@ 1.81
SIA +2
no forecast
@ 2.40
Best 5 market prices
NEP
SBO
1.81
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathon Be
1.53
Bet365
1.52
SIA
Bet365
2.40
Pinnacle
2.21
SBO
1.85

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
NeptunasSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H20/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H23/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#22
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#5
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#25
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#18
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A20/10
Eurocup
84.7Avg total
43.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 87.5
Last 30 (30)46.042.988.8+3.157%57%
Last 30 at home (17)47.242.589.8+4.759%59%
Last 30 away (13)44.343.387.6+1.054%54%
Last 10 (10)43.840.984.7+2.950%40%
Last 5 (5)44.048.292.2-4.240%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.049.490.4-8.40%60%
vs Similar (11)44.438.783.1+5.673%36%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)49.043.892.8+5.264%71%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#3
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A20/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H23/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A27/09
LKL
London Lions
#8
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H30/09
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A03/10
LKL
Frankfurt
#15
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A06/10
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H11/10
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#24
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H14/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H17/10
LKL
Turk Telekom
#27
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A20/10
Eurocup
82.4Avg total
41.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 87.5
Last 30 (30)42.840.783.6+2.150%37%
Last 30 at home (15)44.041.285.2+2.853%53%
Last 30 away (15)41.740.381.9+1.447%20%
Last 10 (10)41.740.782.4+1.040%30%
Last 5 (5)40.243.083.2-2.820%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.844.286.0-2.440%40%
vs Similar (13)42.238.080.2+4.254%23%
vs Weaker (7)45.640.986.4+4.757%57%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Neptunas win
NEP win
no forecast
@ 1.57
SIA win
no forecast
@ 2.46
1st half Spread Neptunas -2.5 · main lineActual: Neptunas -2.5
NEP -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
SIA +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 87.5 · main lineActual: Over 87.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Neptunas 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Neptunas over 44.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
Siauliai 1st half total 42 · main lineActual: Siauliai under 42
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half: NEP + total 86.5
NEP & over
no forecast
@ 3.05
NEP & under
no forecast
@ 3.05
1st half: Draw + total 86.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: SIA + total 86.5
SIA & over
no forecast
@ 4.75
SIA & under
no forecast
@ 4.75
1st half Over/Under 86.25Actual: Over 86.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.78
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Spread Neptunas -3.5Actual: Neptunas -3.5
NEP -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
SIA +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread Neptunas -1.5Actual: Neptunas -1.5
NEP -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
SIA +1.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half Over/Under 89.5Actual: Over 89.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.50
Under
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Over/Under 85Actual: Over 85
Over
no forecast
@ 1.78
Under
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Spread Neptunas -4.5Actual: Neptunas -4.5
NEP -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
SIA +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Spread Neptunas -0.5Actual: Neptunas -0.5
NEP -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
SIA +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Neptunas (regulation)
NEP
no forecast
@ 1.60
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.00
SIA
no forecast
@ 2.45

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
NEP win + total 169.5
🔒 Pro
SIA win + total 169.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NEP leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: SIA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (NEP:SIA): NEP wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.6
50.7%
55.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.7
33.2%
35.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.918.7
78.2%
70.8%18.7
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.8
55.2%
55.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.8
36.8%
35.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.414.6
71.6%
70.8%14.6
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWWLLWLLWL
Siauliai
WLLWLWWLWL
#4
League position
#8
-3.0
Net rating
-2.3
95.5
Offensive rating
96.9
98.4
Defensive rating
99.2
50.4%
Effective FG%
55.2%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.2%
3-point %
36.8%
61.1%
Assist %
63.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 96.9Defence98.4 · 99.2Shooting50.4% · 55.2%3-point %33.2% · 36.8%Ball care15.4% · 16.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Neptunas   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Neptunas wins
8
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
19/04/26Neptunas v Siauliai98-83
08/03/26Siauliai v Neptunas81-90
28/12/25Neptunas v Siauliai101-103
02/11/25Siauliai v Neptunas89-85
27/04/25Neptunas v Siauliai90-95
22/03/25Siauliai v Neptunas91-78
25/01/25Neptunas v Siauliai80-90
27/11/24Neptunas v Siauliai101-104 OT
19/10/24Siauliai v Neptunas108-103 OT
02/10/24Siauliai v Neptunas102-82
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/26ABuducnost89-104
17/10/26AJonava84-83
13/10/26HJL Bourg93-89
10/10/26ARytas77-86
07/10/26AChemnitz84-93
03/10/26HNevezis89-62
29/09/26HTrento73-76
26/09/26AGargzdai78-87
23/09/26HJuventus99-84
20/09/26HZalgiris Kaunas69-93
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/26ATurk Telekom94-84
17/10/26HRytas88-95
14/10/26HCluj-Napoca75-93
11/10/26HJuventus83-71
06/10/26AFrankfurt71-79
03/10/26AJonava79-63
30/09/26HLondon Lions74-71
27/09/26AZalgiris Kaunas82-101
23/09/26HLietkabelis86-77
20/09/26AGargzdai79-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game82.785.779.7
Allowed / game82.579.785.3
Point differential+0.2+6.0-5.7
Avg total165.2165.3165.0
Over 169.2517%33%0%
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Siauliai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game82.885.780.0
Allowed / game82.881.084.7
Point differential+0.0+4.7-4.7
Avg total165.7166.7164.7
Over 169.2533%33%33%
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas770100%93.073.0+20.0
2 Rytas54180%91.283.4+7.8
3 Gargzdai75271%90.688.4+2.1
4 Neptunas63350%82.782.5+0.2
5 Siauliai63350%82.882.8+0.0
6 Juventus73443%85.786.3-0.6
7 Lietkabelis73443%76.081.4-5.4
8 Jonava62433%75.879.0-3.2
9 Taurage72529%80.088.7-8.7
10 Nevezis6060%71.383.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas25263128110
Siauliai2317262288
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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