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Neptunas vs Siauliai Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 13:50
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record5-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game85.6
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Neptunas v Siauliai
03 Apr 2027
NEP v SIA
upcoming
25 Oct 2026
NEP110
SIA88
19 Apr 2026
NEP98
SIA83
28 Dec 2025
NEP101
SIA103
27 Apr 2025
NEP90
SIA95
25 Jan 2025
NEP80
SIA90
27 Nov 2024
NEP101
SIA104
11 Mar 2024
NEP85
SIA76
06 Mar 2023
NEP93
SIA79
31 Oct 2021
NEP86
SIA94
07 May 2021
NEP107
SIA106
17 Jan 2021
NEP77
SIA88
10 Jan 2021
NEP88
SIA94
08 Mar 2020
NEP90
SIA70
05 Oct 2019
NEP90
SIA94
05 May 2019
NEP96
SIA75
23 Dec 2018
NEP80
SIA76
01 Mar 2018
NEP71
SIA78
04 Jan 2018
NEP84
SIA79
26 Apr 2017
NEP85
SIA78
12 Oct 2016
NEP95
SIA67
03 May 2016
NEP90
SIA85
27 Apr 2016
NEP83
SIA77
23 Jan 2016
NEP68
SIA73
29 Nov 2015
NEP74
SIA83
08 Apr 2015
NEP90
SIA77
28 Oct 2014
NEP70
SIA68
11 May 2014
NEP89
SIA88
01 May 2014
NEP86
SIA83
01 Oct 2013
NEP91
SIA69
27 Nov 2012
NEP91
SIA83
19 Apr 2012
NEP101
SIA84
20 Jan 2012
NEP89
SIA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#24
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 82
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 82
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
89-104
89
104
-15
81avg 82
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
110-88
110
88
+22
108avg 82
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 82
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
79-99
79
99
-20
78avg 82
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
L
79-94
79
94
-15
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H07/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
A15/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
29-24
19-21
17-21
19-17
22-31
20-25
26-24
21-24
25-23
26-17
31-26
28-22
20-24
25-23
20-24
20-23
33-19
20-29
11-25
15-26
29-19
20-24
10-24
20-27
11-22
23-21
20-23
28-14
21-18
17-20
30-26
22-18
29-23
14-25
25-21
14-18
177.3Avg total
87.3Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.984.9169.8+0.050%
Season at home (5)89.881.4171.2+8.480%
Season away (5)80.088.4168.4-8.420%
Last 10 (10)87.390.0177.3-2.750%
Last 5 (5)82.488.4170.8-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.993.0174.9-11.10%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.382.2166.5+2.164%
vs Weaker (11)89.984.2174.1+5.764%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#29
L
75-93
75
93
-18
60avg 76
H14/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 76
H17/10
LKL
Turk Telekom
#16
W
94-84
94
84
+10
96avg 76
A20/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#5
L
88-110
88
110
-22
79avg 76
A25/10
LKL
Maxima Roma
#11
W
98-93
98
93
+5
94avg 76
H28/10
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
L
81-91
81
91
-10
76avg 76
H31/10
LKL
Venezia
#14
L
77-98
77
98
-21
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
A08/11
LKL
Tenerife
#5
L
71-86
71
86
-15
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
W
97-82
97
82
+15
no box
H14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
14-25
20-25
15-27
27-21
15-27
24-28
22-19
16-21
27-24
24-22
27-17
23-25
17-26
26-31
22-28
31-23
18-26
31-26
18-18
27-22
22-17
15-29
17-23
21-25
18-27
20-22
18-24
23-26
18-23
20-15
22-12
15-17
12-21
23-25
21-23
28-25
19-16
24-22
26-19
176.0Avg total
85.2Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.685.6170.2-1.050%
Season at home (5)87.083.2170.2+3.860%
Season away (5)82.288.0170.2-5.840%
Last 10 (10)85.290.8176.0-5.640%
Last 5 (5)81.886.6168.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)84.091.7175.7-7.736%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.281.6162.8-0.450%
vs Weaker (7)84.083.6167.6+0.457%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
NeptunasSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A03/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#31
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A15/11
LKL
90.5Avg total
45.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.987.5+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.241.686.9+3.653%-
Last 30 away (13)43.844.588.4-0.762%-
Last 10 (10)45.445.190.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.087.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.848.190.9-5.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)46.339.085.3+7.391%-
vs Weaker (11)44.443.087.4+1.455%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#29
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H14/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H17/10
LKL
Turk Telekom
#16
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A20/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A25/10
LKL
Maxima Roma
#11
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H28/10
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H31/10
LKL
Venezia
#14
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A04/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A08/11
LKL
Tenerife
#5
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H11/11
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H14/11
LKL
87.0Avg total
41.7Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.984.5+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.141.685.7+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)41.142.383.3-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.387.0-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.884.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.444.686.0-3.327%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.339.782.0+2.750%-
vs Weaker (7)45.041.686.6+3.457%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.1
53.4%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.8
32.8%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.620.2
82.1%
70.8%20.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.5
55.0%
55.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.2
36.1%
35.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.014.0
73.7%
70.8%14.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWWLLLWLWW
Siauliai
WLWLLWLWLL
#5
League position
#6
-1.7
Net rating
-3.0
98.4
Offensive rating
98.5
100.1
Defensive rating
101.5
51.8%
Effective FG%
54.6%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.8%
3-point %
36.1%
64.0%
Assist %
62.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 98.5Defence100.1 · 101.5Shooting51.8% · 54.6%3-point %32.8% · 36.1%Ball care15.6% · 14.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Neptunas   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
7
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
25/10/26Neptunas v Siauliai110-88
19/04/26Neptunas v Siauliai98-83
08/03/26Siauliai v Neptunas81-90
28/12/25Neptunas v Siauliai101-103
02/11/25Siauliai v Neptunas89-85
27/04/25Neptunas v Siauliai90-95
22/03/25Siauliai v Neptunas91-78
25/01/25Neptunas v Siauliai80-90
27/11/24Neptunas v Siauliai101-104 OT
19/10/24Siauliai v Neptunas108-103 OT
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AZalgiris Kaunas82-87
10/11/26HSlask Wroclaw90-82
07/11/26HTaurage82-80
03/11/26ATofas79-94
31/10/26ALietkabelis79-99
28/10/26HBasket Napoli85-94
25/10/26HSiauliai110-88
20/10/26ABuducnost89-104
17/10/26AJonava84-83
13/10/26HJL Bourg93-89
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HGargzdai97-82
11/11/26HTenerife71-86
08/11/26ANevezis83-76
04/11/26AVenezia77-98
31/10/26HTaurage81-91
28/10/26HMaxima Roma98-93
25/10/26ANeptunas88-110
20/10/26ATurk Telekom94-84
17/10/26HRytas88-95
14/10/26HCluj-Napoca75-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game84.989.880.0
Allowed / game84.981.488.4
Point differential+0.0+8.4-8.4
Avg total169.8171.2168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Siauliai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game84.687.082.2
Allowed / game85.683.288.0
Point differential-1.0+3.8-5.8
Avg total170.2170.2170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas10100100%92.676.7+15.9
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas105550%84.984.9+0.0
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
8 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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