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Neptunas vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 93-79
28-15 19-18 27-32 19-14
Position#7
Record8-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#9
Record10-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game85.1
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Neptunas v Siauliai
03 Apr 2027
NEP v SIA
upcoming
25 Oct 2026
NEP110
SIA88
19 Apr 2026
NEP98
SIA83
28 Dec 2025
NEP101
SIA103
27 Apr 2025
NEP90
SIA95
25 Jan 2025
NEP80
SIA90
27 Nov 2024
NEP101
SIA104
11 Mar 2024
NEP85
SIA76
06 Mar 2023
NEP93
SIA79
31 Oct 2021
NEP86
SIA94
07 May 2021
NEP107
SIA106
17 Jan 2021
NEP77
SIA88
10 Jan 2021
NEP88
SIA94
08 Mar 2020
NEP90
SIA70
05 Oct 2019
NEP90
SIA94
05 May 2019
NEP96
SIA75
23 Dec 2018
NEP80
SIA76
01 Mar 2018
NEP71
SIA78
04 Jan 2018
NEP84
SIA79
26 Apr 2017
NEP85
SIA78
12 Oct 2016
NEP95
SIA67
03 May 2016
NEP90
SIA85
27 Apr 2016
NEP83
SIA77
23 Jan 2016
NEP68
SIA73
29 Nov 2015
NEP74
SIA83
08 Apr 2015
NEP90
SIA77
28 Oct 2014
NEP70
SIA68
11 May 2014
NEP89
SIA88
01 May 2014
NEP86
SIA83
01 Oct 2013
NEP91
SIA69
27 Nov 2012
NEP91
SIA83
19 Apr 2012
NEP101
SIA84
20 Jan 2012
NEP89
SIA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 71
H21/12
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
H04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-77
46
77
-31
33avg 71
A08/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
81-73
81
73
+8
84avg 71
A14/01
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
no box
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 71
H28/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
66-83
66
83
-17
58avg 71
A01/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
76avg 71
A05/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
98-97
98
97
+1
99avg 71
H13/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
57avg 71
A15/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
20-14
25-22
19-25
20-24
17-26
14-15
29-20
13-12
13-19
15-25
5-21
19-16
29-23
16-22
17-12
18-21
16-15
21-16
20-24
15-22
21-20
11-27
23-13
22-19
19-20
14-21
11-23
16-18
15-22
31-25
23-26
21-27
27-30
18-25
32-15
9-21
18-19
17-20
19-19
156.2Avg total
74.4Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.881.8159.6-4.140%
Season at home (9)85.282.9168.1+2.356%
Season away (11)71.681.0152.6-9.427%
Last 10 (10)74.481.8156.2-7.430%
Last 5 (5)76.486.4162.8-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.881.0152.8-9.230%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.482.1158.6-5.743%
vs Weaker (13)90.783.6174.3+7.162%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
76-75
76
75
+1
73avg 76
A08/01
LKL
Lublin
#1
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A11/01
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-93
75
93
-18
69avg 76
H16/01
LKL
Sigal Prishtina
#10
L
67-91
67
91
-24
no box
H24/01
ENBL
Zielona Gora
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A25/01
ENBL
Juventus
#5
L
85-92
85
92
-7
73avg 76
H30/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
103-94
103
94
+9
102avg 76
A05/02
LKL
Budivelnyk
#2
L
73-88
73
88
-15
no box
H10/02
ENBL
BC Wolves
#3
W
107-102
107
102
+5
108avg 76
H13/02
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
92-99 OT
92
99
-7
no box
H16/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
22-13
16-22
21-16
14-22
22-16
15-26
24-19
18-22
20-21
17-27
20-23
20-31
16-14
12-24
19-22
20-23
21-12
14-28
18-15
14-27
20-17
24-22
27-26
26-15
25-23
20-22
32-34
20-20
11-22
26-19
16-27
20-27
28-23
24-27
35-25
24-25
26-19
21-15
9-21
172.1Avg total
82.6Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.285.1169.2-0.950%
Season at home (10)84.886.2171.0-1.440%
Season away (10)83.584.0167.5-0.560%
Last 10 (10)82.689.5172.1-6.930%
Last 5 (5)92.095.0187.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.189.1172.2-6.027%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.984.0166.9-1.150%
vs Weaker (5)85.478.2163.6+7.280%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
NeptunasSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H21/12
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A08/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A14/01
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H28/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A05/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H13/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A15/02
LKL
76.6Avg total
36.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.179.2-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.442.084.4+0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)36.238.474.6-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)36.440.276.6-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.643.680.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.538.273.7-2.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.744.983.6-6.143%-
vs Weaker (13)42.138.981.0+3.262%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A08/01
LKL
Lublin
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A11/01
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H16/01
LKL
Sigal Prishtina
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H24/01
ENBL
Zielona Gora
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A25/01
ENBL
Juventus
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H30/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A05/02
LKL
Budivelnyk
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H10/02
ENBL
BC Wolves
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H13/02
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H16/02
LKL
82.0Avg total
40.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.581.8+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.941.881.8-1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)43.038.981.9+4.171%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.682.0-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.843.686.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.542.984.5-1.436%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.138.979.1+1.257%-
vs Weaker (5)44.439.483.8+5.0100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.8
50.7%
54.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.26.6
27.3%
35.0%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.515.3
71.2%
74.2%15.3
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.8
52.0%
54.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.6
37.7%
35.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.115.4
73.0%
74.2%15.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWLLLLWLLW
Siauliai
LWLWLLLLLW
#7
League position
#9
-8.5
Net rating
+2.0
99.7
Offensive rating
109.7
108.3
Defensive rating
107.7
46.8%
Effective FG%
53.7%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
18.5%
Turnover %
20.5%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.3%
3-point %
37.7%
59.8%
Assist %
66.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 109.7Defence108.3 · 107.7Shooting46.8% · 53.7%3-point %27.3% · 37.7%Ball care18.5% · 20.5%Off. rebounds31.1% · 33.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Neptunas   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Neptunas wins
6
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
06/12/22Siauliai v Neptunas61-60
21/03/22Siauliai v Neptunas84-87
15/02/22Siauliai v Neptunas75-77
31/10/21Neptunas v Siauliai86-94
07/05/21Neptunas v Siauliai107-106 OT
21/03/21Siauliai v Neptunas99-68
17/01/21Neptunas v Siauliai77-88
10/01/21Neptunas v Siauliai88-94
07/01/21Siauliai v Neptunas76-91
08/11/20Siauliai v Neptunas93-88
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23ABC Wolves63-79
13/02/23HJuventus98-97
05/02/23APieno Zvaigzdes85-91
01/02/23AJonava66-83
28/01/23HRytas70-82
21/01/23AJonava75-76
14/01/23ALietkabelis81-73
08/01/23AZalgiris Kaunas46-77
04/01/23HJonava80-85
21/12/22HPrienai80-75
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23HGargzdai92-99 OT
13/02/23HBC Wolves107-102
10/02/23HBudivelnyk73-88
05/02/23ALietkabelis103-94
30/01/23HJuventus85-92
25/01/23AZielona Gora73-78
24/01/23HSigal Prishtina67-91
16/01/23HZalgiris Kaunas75-93
11/01/23ALublin75-83
08/01/23APieno Zvaigzdes76-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeWWWLW56%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %40%56%27%
Points / game77.885.271.6
Allowed / game81.882.981.0
Point differential-4.1+2.3-9.4
Avg total159.6168.1152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%11%9%
Siauliai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game84.284.883.5
Allowed / game85.186.284.0
Point differential-0.9-1.4-0.5
Avg total169.2171.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%10%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2118386%86.471.5+14.9
2 Rytas2015575%89.281.2+8.1
3 BC Wolves2115671%85.179.7+5.4
4 Juventus2114767%85.682.8+2.8
5 Lietkabelis2113862%85.583.2+2.2
6 Jonava2112957%80.578.9+1.6
7 Siauliai20101050%84.285.1-0.9
8 Nevezis2191243%82.084.2-2.1
9 Neptunas2081240%77.881.8-4.1
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2041620%77.787.9-10.2
11 Gargzdai2141719%78.685.6-7.0
12 Prienai2121910%78.089.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2819271993
Siauliai1518321479
← all games of the day
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