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Neptunas vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 101-104 (OT)
22-22 22-23 30-24 17-22 10-13
Position#2
Record4-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Position#8
Record5-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game97.9
Allowed / game93.0
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Svyturio arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v Siauliai
03 Apr 2027
NEP v SIA
upcoming
25 Oct 2026
NEP110
SIA88
19 Apr 2026
NEP98
SIA83
28 Dec 2025
NEP101
SIA103
27 Apr 2025
NEP90
SIA95
25 Jan 2025
NEP80
SIA90
27 Nov 2024
NEP101
SIA104
11 Mar 2024
NEP85
SIA76
06 Mar 2023
NEP93
SIA79
31 Oct 2021
NEP86
SIA94
07 May 2021
NEP107
SIA106
17 Jan 2021
NEP77
SIA88
10 Jan 2021
NEP88
SIA94
08 Mar 2020
NEP90
SIA70
05 Oct 2019
NEP90
SIA94
05 May 2019
NEP96
SIA75
23 Dec 2018
NEP80
SIA76
01 Mar 2018
NEP71
SIA78
04 Jan 2018
NEP84
SIA79
26 Apr 2017
NEP85
SIA78
12 Oct 2016
NEP95
SIA67
03 May 2016
NEP90
SIA85
27 Apr 2016
NEP83
SIA77
23 Jan 2016
NEP68
SIA73
29 Nov 2015
NEP74
SIA83
08 Apr 2015
NEP90
SIA77
28 Oct 2014
NEP70
SIA68
11 May 2014
NEP89
SIA88
01 May 2014
NEP86
SIA83
01 Oct 2013
NEP91
SIA69
27 Nov 2012
NEP91
SIA83
19 Apr 2012
NEP101
SIA84
20 Jan 2012
NEP89
SIA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
79avg 81
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
100avg 81
A19/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
86-88
86
88
-2
86avg 81
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
96-107
96
107
-11
92avg 81
A27/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
105-74
105
74
+31
107avg 81
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 81
A02/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
91-70
91
70
+21
92avg 81
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
62avg 81
H10/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
111-110 OT
111
110
+1
94avg 81
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
83-74
83
74
+9
76avg 81
A16/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
24-19
11-28
22-16
19-26
34-14
19-22
22-32
22-17
23-22
25-25
16-24
22-28
20-20
25-29
29-30
22-19
30-15
23-20
30-20
23-18
20-14
21-21
25-28
27-13
25-20
16-20
23-17
19-28
19-25
12-23
20-21
24-23
21-20
13-19
27-23
18-18
31-26
16-16
18-14
181.5Avg total
91.8Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)95.086.1181.1+8.957%
Season at home (4)102.085.8187.8+16.275%
Season away (3)85.786.7172.3-1.033%
Last 10 (10)91.889.7181.5+2.150%
Last 5 (5)88.886.4175.2+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)84.686.0170.6-1.454%
vs Similar (5)92.289.8182.0+2.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)92.290.2182.4+1.942%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
82avg 82
H16/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
108-103 OT
108
103
+5
97avg 82
H19/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
91-85
91
85
+6
86avg 82
A22/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
109-118
109
118
-9
103avg 82
A26/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
108-104 OT
108
104
+4
105avg 82
A30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
93-103
93
103
-10
85avg 82
A02/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
114-110 OT
114
110
+4
115avg 82
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
96-92
96
92
+4
93avg 82
H09/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
L
99-100
99
100
-1
99avg 82
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
88-101
88
101
-13
74avg 82
A16/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
21-20
17-28
25-18
26-19
14-34
22-19
32-22
19-24
20-30
24-22
28-9
31-30
28-21
27-38
23-29
27-28
25-23
19-21
21-20
19-23
24-26
26-25
24-29
29-26
21-28
22-30
30-18
33-22
22-24
19-23
22-23
26-22
20-24
30-27
23-27
17-27
22-25
28-24
21-25
199.2Avg total
99.3Scored
99.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)97.993.0190.9+4.971%
Season at home (3)96.088.3184.3+7.767%
Season away (4)99.296.5195.8+2.875%
Last 10 (10)99.399.9199.2-0.660%
Last 5 (5)98.0101.2199.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)86.093.0179.0-7.031%
vs Similar (13)91.392.7184.0-1.446%
vs Weaker (4)95.891.8187.5+4.075%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
NeptunasSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A19/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A27/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A02/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H10/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A16/11
LKL
88.0Avg total
47.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.785.2+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.340.985.1+3.473%-
Last 30 away (15)44.740.585.2+4.167%-
Last 10 (10)47.041.088.0+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.086.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.340.481.7+0.954%-
vs Similar (5)47.242.289.4+5.080%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.840.487.2+6.383%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#10
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H16/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H19/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A22/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A26/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A02/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H09/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A16/11
LKL
96.1Avg total
46.8Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.846.190.0-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.145.387.4-3.127%-
Last 30 away (15)45.547.092.5-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)46.849.396.1-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)46.649.496.0-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.347.090.3-3.731%-
vs Similar (13)43.945.489.3-1.538%-
vs Weaker (4)45.245.891.0-0.525%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.121.1
60.1%
55.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.3
36.4%
36.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws23.717.5
73.8%
74.4%17.5
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 98.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.622.8
56.2%
55.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.6
38.7%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws30.023.9
79.7%
74.4%23.9
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WWLWWWLLLL
Siauliai
LLWWLWLWWW
#2
League position
#8
+2.2
Net rating
-1.0
117.8
Offensive rating
120.6
115.6
Defensive rating
121.6
57.6%
Effective FG%
56.9%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.9%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.46
36.4%
3-point %
38.7%
65.3%
Assist %
62.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 120.6Defence115.6 · 121.6Shooting57.6% · 56.9%3-point %36.4% · 38.7%Ball care17.4% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.9% · 31.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.46Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Neptunas   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas wins
5
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24Siauliai v Neptunas108-103 OT
02/10/24Siauliai v Neptunas102-82
05/05/24Siauliai v Neptunas104-98
11/03/24Neptunas v Siauliai85-76
24/09/23Siauliai v Neptunas90-82
15/04/23Siauliai v Neptunas87-89
06/03/23Neptunas v Siauliai93-79
06/12/22Siauliai v Neptunas61-60
21/03/22Siauliai v Neptunas84-87
15/02/22Siauliai v Neptunas75-77
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24ANevezis83-74
13/11/24HJonava111-110 OT
10/11/24HZalgiris Kaunas70-97
06/11/24AMazeikiai91-70
02/11/24ALietkabelis89-81
30/10/24HJuventus105-74
27/10/24AMazeikiai96-107
23/10/24HNevezis86-88
19/10/24ASiauliai103-108 OT
15/10/24AJonava84-88
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24AJuventus88-101
13/11/24HMazeikiai99-100
09/11/24HLietkabelis96-92
06/11/24AJuventus114-110 OT
02/11/24ABC Wolves93-103
30/10/24ANevezis108-104 OT
26/10/24ARytas109-118
22/10/24AMazeikiai91-85
19/10/24HNeptunas108-103 OT
16/10/24HJuventus87-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game95.0102.085.7
Allowed / game86.185.886.7
Point differential+8.9+16.2-1.0
Avg total181.1187.8172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
Siauliai
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game97.996.099.2
Allowed / game93.088.396.5
Point differential+4.9+7.7+2.8
Avg total190.9184.3195.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %29%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siauliai75271%97.993.0+4.9
2 Jonava85362%91.587.6+3.9
3 Neptunas74357%95.086.1+8.9
4 Nevezis84450%87.588.4-0.9
5 Juventus83538%88.890.9-2.1
6 Mazeikiai82625%79.192.0-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Neptunas2222301710101
Siauliai2223242213104
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