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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 105-99
24-18 20-22 20-26 41-33
Position#11
Record43-30
FormWWWWL
Points / game107.3
Allowed / game104.0
Oklahoma City Thunder 🏆
USA
vs
Miami Heat
USA
Position#16
Record39-33
FormLLWWW
Points / game103.3
Allowed / game102.9
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat
31 Dec 2026
OKC v MIA
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
OKC124
MIA112
12 Feb 2025
OKC115
MIA101
08 Mar 2024
OKC107
MIA100
14 Dec 2022
OKC108
MIA110
15 Nov 2021
OKC90
MIA103
22 Feb 2021
OKC94
MIA108
12 Aug 2020
OKC116
MIA115
17 Jan 2020
OKC108
MIA115
18 Mar 2019
OKC107
MIA116
23 Mar 2018
OKC105
MIA99
07 Nov 2016
OKC97
MIA85
17 Jan 2016
OKC99
MIA74
22 Mar 2015
OKC93
MIA75
20 Feb 2014
OKC81
MIA103
14 Feb 2013
OKC100
MIA110
14 Jun 2012
OKC96
MIA100
12 Jun 2012
OKC105
MIA94
25 Mar 2012
OKC103
MIA87
30 Jan 2011
OKC103
MIA108
16 Jan 2010
OKC98
MIA80
18 Jan 2009
OKC94
MIA104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
124-116
124
116
+8
111avg 96
A03/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
100-108
100
108
-8
82avg 96
A04/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
112-122
112
122
-10
94avg 96
H07/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
115-87
115
87
+28
111avg 96
H09/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
104-94
104
94
+10
98avg 96
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
106-101
106
101
+5
97avg 96
H13/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
119-107
119
107
+12
109avg 96
A13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
121-113
121
113
+8
116avg 96
H17/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
132-125
132
125
+7
124avg 96
A18/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
99-100
99
100
-1
85avg 96
A21/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-37
28-30
37-32
27-17
28-25
22-28
25-30
25-25
24-26
21-28
29-33
38-35
26-23
23-15
39-29
27-20
24-19
28-24
25-25
27-26
19-16
27-24
32-39
28-22
31-28
23-38
36-22
29-19
27-30
36-26
26-28
32-29
40-34
26-30
31-34
35-27
26-18
22-27
27-28
24-27
220.5Avg total
113.2Scored
107.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)107.3104.0211.4+3.359%
Season at home (36)108.0102.2210.2+5.869%
Season away (37)106.6105.8212.5+0.849%
Last 10 (10)113.2107.3220.5+5.970%
Last 5 (5)115.4109.2224.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)112.0122.0234.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)113.7111.7225.4+1.953%
vs Weaker (14)109.4102.8212.1+6.686%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
105-96
105
96
+9
95avg 95
H04/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
125-103
125
103
+22
126avg 95
H06/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
113-117 OT
113
117
-4
100avg 95
A07/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
108-99
108
99
+9
102avg 95
H09/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
129-102
129
102
+27
126avg 95
H11/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
99-115
99
115
-16
89avg 95
A13/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
119-123 OT
119
123
-4
110avg 95
A15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
92-91
92
91
+1
77avg 95
A17/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
149-141 OT
149
141
+8
144avg 95
H19/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
119-98
119
98
+21
116avg 95
H21/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
32-18
15-24
31-26
30-27
31-21
32-32
32-23
26-31
24-28
30-27
25-19
29-28
24-21
20-25
35-25
26-20
34-28
43-28
26-26
25-34
22-25
25-29
27-27
31-24
21-35
27-32
32-20
25-24
25-26
24-21
18-20
36-37
28-26
28-28
26-27
27-26
37-21
35-30
20-21
224.3Avg total
115.8Scored
108.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)103.3102.9206.3+0.454%
Season at home (35)104.9102.9207.8+1.963%
Season away (37)101.9102.9204.9-1.046%
Last 10 (10)115.8108.5224.3+7.370%
Last 5 (5)115.6113.6229.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)101.7104.3206.0-2.629%
vs Similar ◀ (17)107.4105.2212.6+2.259%
vs Weaker (6)111.2105.7216.8+5.533%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +3.8+3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +3.8+3.8
Oklahoma City ThunderMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A03/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A04/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H07/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H09/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H13/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H17/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A18/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A21/03
NBA
105.9Avg total
53.3Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.954.4111.3+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.551.8106.3+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)59.356.9116.2+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)53.352.6105.9+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)55.454.2109.6+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.054.099.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)58.455.1113.5+3.367%-
vs Weaker (14)56.153.6109.8+2.550%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H04/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H06/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A07/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H09/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H11/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A13/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A17/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H19/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H21/03
NBA
108.8Avg total
56.0Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.852.1105.9+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.352.5108.8+3.864%-
Last 30 away (16)51.751.8103.4-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)56.052.8108.8+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)55.455.6111.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)51.950.1102.0+1.743%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)54.452.5106.8+1.959%-
vs Weaker (6)54.753.3108.0+1.350%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.830.8
53.3%
51.0%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.5
37.5%
36.1%34.5
🏀 Free throws24.017.1
71.2%
76.5%17.1
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 115.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.030.7
52.9%
51.0%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.213.0
39.2%
36.1%39.0
🏀 Free throws21.415.4
72.0%
76.5%15.4
They take 91.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWWWWWLLW
Miami Heat
WWWLLWWLWW
#11
League position
#16
+5.8
Net rating
+7.2
111.7
Offensive rating
113.5
105.9
Defensive rating
106.3
54.3%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
13.3%
Turnover %
11.3%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.5%
3-point %
39.2%
53.7%
Assist %
62.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 113.5Defence105.9 · 106.3Shooting54.3% · 55.0%3-point %37.5% · 39.2%Ball care13.3% · 11.3%Off. rebounds24.3% · 23.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Oklahoma City Thunder wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateGameScore
28/12/16Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder94-106
08/11/16Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat97-85
18/01/16Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat99-74
04/12/15Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder97-95
22/03/15Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat93-75
21/01/15Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder86-94
21/02/14Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat81-103
30/01/14Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder95-112
15/02/13Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat100-110
25/12/12Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder103-97
Oklahoma City Thunderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/18ABoston Celtics99-100
18/03/18AToronto Raptors132-125
17/03/18HLos Angeles Clippers121-113
13/03/18AAtlanta Hawks119-107
13/03/18HSacramento Kings106-101
11/03/18HSan Antonio Spurs104-94
09/03/18HPhoenix Suns115-87
07/03/18HHouston Rockets112-122
04/03/18APortland Trail Blazers100-108
03/03/18APhoenix Suns124-116
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/18HNew York Knicks119-98
19/03/18HDenver Nuggets149-141 OT
17/03/18ALos Angeles Lakers92-91
15/03/18ASacramento Kings119-123 OT
13/03/18APortland Trail Blazers99-115
11/03/18HWashington Wizards129-102
09/03/18HPhiladelphia 76ers108-99
07/03/18AWashington Wizards113-117 OT
06/03/18HPhoenix Suns125-103
04/03/18HDetroit Pistons105-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL59%
HomeLWWWW69%
AwayWLWWL49%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733637
Win %59%69%49%
Points / game107.3108.0106.6
Allowed / game104.0102.2105.8
Point differential+3.3+5.8+0.8
Avg total211.4210.2212.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (23)58% (12)45% (11)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW54%
HomeWWWWW63%
AwayLLLLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723537
Win %54%63%46%
Points / game103.3104.9101.9
Allowed / game102.9102.9102.9
Point differential+0.4+1.9-1.0
Avg total206.3207.8204.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%23%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (25)70% (10)47% (15)
Overtime %8%9%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets72581481%113.5104.7+8.8
2 Golden State Warriors71531875%114.9107.3+7.5
3 Toronto Raptors73541974%112.5104.2+8.4
4 Boston Celtics71482368%104.3100.4+3.9
5 Portland Trail Blazers71442762%106.1103.2+2.9
6 Cleveland Cavaliers72432960%110.9110.2+0.7
7 Oklahoma City Thunder73433059%107.3104.0+3.3
8 New Orleans Pelicans73433059%111.7111.0+0.7
9 San Antonio Spurs72423058%102.198.8+3.3
10 Philadelphia 76ers71413058%108.4105.5+2.9
11 Minnesota Timberwolves73423158%110.0107.6+2.4
12 Indiana Pacers73423158%105.7104.2+1.5
13 Utah Jazz72413157%103.2100.0+3.2
14 Washington Wizards72403256%107.2106.0+1.1
15 Denver Nuggets73403355%109.8108.3+1.6
16 Miami Heat72393354%103.3102.9+0.4
17 Los Angeles Clippers72383453%109.5108.7+0.8
18 Milwaukee Bucks71373452%105.8106.3-0.5
19 Detroit Pistons72324044%102.8103.8-1.1
20 Charlotte Hornets73324144%107.5107.5+0.0
21 Los Angeles Lakers71314044%108.6110.2-1.6
22 New York Knicks73264736%104.3107.7-3.4
23 Chicago Bulls71244734%103.5109.9-6.4
24 Sacramento Kings73244933%99.5106.8-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets73235032%106.3110.5-4.1
26 Dallas Mavericks72225031%102.8105.4-2.6
27 Orlando Magic72215129%104.3109.2-4.9
28 Atlanta Hawks72215129%103.8108.9-5.2
29 Memphis Grizzlies72195326%98.8104.9-6.1
30 Phoenix Suns73195426%104.1114.0-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder24202041105
Miami Heat1822263399
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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