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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Jan 2010
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 106-112 (OT)
35-30 19-27 24-18 23-26 5-11
Position#13
Record17-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game96.7
Allowed / game96.1
vs
Position#8
Record24-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game92.8
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Miami Heat v Boston Celtics
27 Mar 2027
MIA v BOS
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
MIA129
BOS147
15 Jan 2026
MIA114
BOS119
14 Mar 2025
MIA91
BOS103
10 Feb 2025
MIA85
BOS103
29 Apr 2024
MIA88
BOS102
27 Apr 2024
MIA84
BOS104
11 Feb 2024
MIA106
BOS110
25 Jan 2024
MIA110
BOS143
27 May 2023
MIA103
BOS104
23 May 2023
MIA99
BOS116
21 May 2023
MIA128
BOS102
24 Jan 2023
MIA98
BOS95
21 Oct 2022
MIA104
BOS111
29 May 2022
MIA96
BOS100
25 May 2022
MIA80
BOS93
19 May 2022
MIA102
BOS127
17 May 2022
MIA118
BOS107
04 Nov 2021
MIA78
BOS95
06 Jan 2021
MIA105
BOS107
27 Sep 2020
MIA125
BOS113
23 Sep 2020
MIA112
BOS109
19 Sep 2020
MIA106
BOS117
04 Aug 2020
MIA112
BOS106
11 Apr 2020
MIA v BOS
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
MIA101
BOS109
03 Apr 2019
MIA102
BOS112
10 Jan 2019
MIA115
BOS99
22 Nov 2017
MIA104
BOS98
28 Oct 2017
MIA90
BOS96
18 Dec 2016
MIA95
BOS105
28 Nov 2016
MIA104
BOS112
30 Nov 2015
MIA95
BOS105
09 Mar 2015
MIA90
BOS100
21 Dec 2014
MIA100
BOS84
21 Jan 2014
MIA93
BOS86
09 Nov 2013
MIA110
BOS111
12 Apr 2013
MIA109
BOS101
30 Oct 2012
MIA120
BOS107
09 Jun 2012
MIA101
BOS88
05 Jun 2012
MIA90
BOS94
30 May 2012
MIA115
BOS111
28 May 2012
MIA93
BOS79
10 Apr 2012
MIA107
BOS115
27 Dec 2011
MIA115
BOS107
11 May 2011
MIA97
BOS87
03 May 2011
MIA102
BOS91
01 May 2011
MIA99
BOS90
10 Apr 2011
MIA100
BOS77
11 Nov 2010
MIA107
BOS112
25 Apr 2010
MIA101
BOS92
23 Apr 2010
MIA98
BOS100
06 Jan 2010
MIA106
BOS112
29 Nov 2009
MIA85
BOS92
11 Mar 2009
MIA107
BOS99
21 Jan 2009
MIA83
BOS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
115-95
115
95
+20
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#2
W
104-86
104
86
+18
H18/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
95-102
95
102
-7
H20/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
93-87
93
87
+6
A25/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
114-80
114
80
+34
H27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
91-95
91
95
-4
A31/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
78-108
78
108
-30
A01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
L
97-107
97
107
-10
H02/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H05/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
36-24
31-24
24-21
33-18
26-26
30-16
15-26
25-21
23-24
21-26
26-31
19-16
13-14
31-19
17-21
21-23
20-14
23-17
29-33
34-21
32-23
32-16
16-20
19-25
21-23
19-25
32-22
26-26
23-32
13-28
16-22
30-17
16-32
26-24
25-34
30-14
21-20
22-24
19-17
186.4Avg total
95.9Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)96.796.1192.7+0.653%
Season at home (20)95.893.2189.0+2.555%
Season away (12)98.2100.8198.9-2.650%
Last 10 (10)95.990.5186.4+5.460%
Last 5 (5)94.493.0187.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)102.398.3200.7+4.067%
vs Similar ◀ (18)95.199.9195.1-4.833%
vs Weaker (9)95.989.3185.2+6.678%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
106-80
106
80
+26
A13/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
110-105
110
105
+5
A15/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
L
97-98
97
98
-1
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
122-104
122
104
+18
H20/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
103-94
103
94
+9
H23/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#2
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A25/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
90-92
90
92
-2
A28/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
L
99-103
99
103
-4
A29/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
98-116
98
116
-18
A31/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
103-96
103
96
+7
H03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
25-20
29-17
23-17
28-31
26-24
31-26
25-24
24-17
29-25
23-30
21-26
34-19
32-22
26-31
30-32
21-28
21-29
35-20
26-17
18-19
20-8
23-26
25-24
23-22
25-24
25-23
17-23
35-22
23-35
18-23
23-23
20-30
29-31
24-29
25-26
29-27
29-21
20-19
25-29
197.9Avg total
101.4Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)100.592.8193.3+7.875%
Season at home (15)102.793.4196.1+9.373%
Season away (17)98.692.2190.8+6.576%
Last 10 (10)101.496.5197.9+4.960%
Last 5 (5)95.296.8192.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.080.0162.0+2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (9)98.393.7192.0+4.767%
vs Weaker (19)104.395.6199.9+8.679%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
Miami HeatBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#2
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H18/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H20/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A25/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
66-44
66
44
+22
H27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A31/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H02/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H05/01
NBA
93.1Avg total
49.2Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.748.497.1+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (19)49.347.096.3+2.358%-
Last 30 away (11)47.650.998.5-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)49.243.993.1+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)50.446.697.0+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)53.050.0103.0+3.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)48.049.997.9-1.944%-
vs Weaker (9)48.744.993.6+3.867%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A13/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A15/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H20/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H23/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#2
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A25/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A28/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A29/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A31/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H03/01
NBA
100.0Avg total
52.0Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.246.597.7+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.446.496.8+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)51.946.798.6+5.275%-
Last 10 (10)52.048.0100.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)50.247.898.0+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.035.074.0+4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)52.147.399.4+4.878%-
vs Weaker (19)52.147.499.4+4.768%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Miami Heat wins
4
Boston Celtics wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/10HAtlanta Hawks92-75
02/01/10HCharlotte Hornets97-107
01/01/10ASan Antonio Spurs78-108
31/12/09ANew Orleans Pelicans91-95
27/12/09HIndiana Pacers114-80
25/12/09ANew York Knicks93-87
24/12/09HUtah Jazz80-70
20/12/09HPortland Trail Blazers95-102
18/12/09HOrlando Magic104-86
16/12/09HToronto Raptors115-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/10HToronto Raptors103-96
31/12/09APhoenix Suns98-116
29/12/09AGolden State Warriors99-103
28/12/09ALos Angeles Clippers90-92
25/12/09AOrlando Magic86-77
23/12/09HIndiana Pacers103-94
20/12/09HMinnesota Timberwolves122-104
19/12/09HPhiladelphia 76ers97-98
15/12/09AMemphis Grizzlies110-105
13/12/09AChicago Bulls106-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW53%
HomeLWWLW55%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %53%55%50%
Points / game96.795.898.2
Allowed / game96.193.2100.8
Point differential+0.6+2.5-2.6
Avg total192.7189.0198.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%35%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW75%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWLLL76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %75%73%76%
Points / game100.5102.798.6
Allowed / game92.893.492.2
Point differential+7.8+9.3+6.5
Avg total193.3196.1190.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%47%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)33% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers3428682%104.496.8+7.6
2 Cleveland Cavaliers3728976%100.593.6+6.9
3 Boston Celtics3224875%100.592.8+7.8
4 Orlando Magic35241169%101.396.2+5.1
5 Dallas Mavericks35241169%100.797.2+3.4
6 Atlanta Hawks34221265%104.497.8+6.6
7 Denver Nuggets35221363%107.3102.2+5.0
8 Phoenix Suns35221363%109.9106.5+3.4
9 San Antonio Spurs32201262%101.895.6+6.2
10 Portland Trail Blazers37221559%96.993.6+3.3
11 Houston Rockets35201557%99.799.2+0.5
12 Oklahoma City Thunder34191556%98.396.1+2.2
13 Miami Heat32171553%96.796.1+0.6
14 Utah Jazz34181653%99.397.4+1.9
15 Memphis Grizzlies33171652%104.3104.7-0.4
16 Toronto Raptors36181850%103.1105.1-1.9
17 New Orleans Pelicans32161650%97.8100.3-2.5
18 Charlotte Hornets33151845%92.893.0-0.2
19 Los Angeles Clippers33151845%96.198.6-2.5
20 Milwaukee Bucks32141844%97.598.0-0.5
21 Chicago Bulls33141942%92.397.6-5.4
22 New York Knicks34142041%101.9102.7-0.8
23 Sacramento Kings34142041%103.9105.7-1.8
24 Washington Wizards33112233%99.1103.1-4.0
25 Detroit Pistons33112233%91.595.9-4.4
26 Indiana Pacers34112332%97.6103.4-5.9
27 Philadelphia 76ers34102429%97.7101.9-4.1
28 Golden State Warriors3392427%107.3112.4-5.1
29 Minnesota Timberwolves3572820%95.4105.5-10.0
30 Brooklyn Nets353329%89.7101.2-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Miami Heat351924235106
Boston Celtics3027182611112
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