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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 99-74
24-18 20-24 31-16 24-16
Position#4
Record33-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game108.3
Allowed / game100.1
vs
Position#9
Record27-21
FormWLLLW
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game95.6
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat
31 Dec 2026
OKC v MIA
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
OKC124
MIA112
12 Feb 2025
OKC115
MIA101
08 Mar 2024
OKC107
MIA100
14 Dec 2022
OKC108
MIA110
15 Nov 2021
OKC90
MIA103
22 Feb 2021
OKC94
MIA108
12 Aug 2020
OKC116
MIA115
17 Jan 2020
OKC108
MIA115
18 Mar 2019
OKC107
MIA116
23 Mar 2018
OKC105
MIA99
07 Nov 2016
OKC97
MIA85
08 Jul 2016
OKC86
MIA72
17 Jan 2016
OKC99
MIA74
22 Mar 2015
OKC93
MIA75
11 Jul 2014
OKC103
MIA98
20 Feb 2014
OKC81
MIA103
14 Feb 2013
OKC100
MIA110
14 Jun 2012
OKC96
MIA100
12 Jun 2012
OKC105
MIA94
25 Mar 2012
OKC103
MIA87
30 Jan 2011
OKC103
MIA108
16 Jan 2010
OKC98
MIA80
14 Oct 2009
OKC96
MIA91
18 Jan 2009
OKC94
MIA104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
131-123
131
123
+8
H30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
110-106
110
106
+4
H01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
109-90
109
90
+19
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
104-116
104
116
-12
H05/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
112-94
112
94
+18
H07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
117-113
117
113
+4
A09/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
110-115
110
115
-5
A11/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
101-96
101
96
+5
A13/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
108-89
108
89
+19
H14/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
113-93
113
93
+20
H16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-31
35-23
27-34
39-35
28-26
26-27
33-27
23-26
34-22
32-32
21-22
22-14
33-31
33-37
16-22
22-26
25-16
31-20
27-29
29-29
32-28
28-25
30-32
27-28
27-26
19-26
39-28
25-35
32-21
28-27
20-18
21-30
30-20
35-22
18-22
25-25
31-17
26-26
25-22
31-28
215.0Avg total
111.5Scored
103.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)108.3100.1208.5+8.272%
Season at home (26)108.098.7206.7+9.381%
Season away (20)108.8102.0210.8+6.860%
Last 10 (10)111.5103.5215.0+8.080%
Last 5 (5)109.8101.2211.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)100.0101.5201.5-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)108.698.5207.1+10.179%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
90-99 OT
90
99
-9
A30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
106-82
106
82
+24
H02/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
97-75
97
75
+22
A03/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H07/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
103-95
103
95
+8
A09/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A10/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
103-111
103
111
-8
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
90-104
90
104
-14
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
98-95
98
95
+3
A16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
17-21
15-22
21-14
22-10
36-35
22-16
26-21
25-24
25-7
23-20
24-24
19-29
25-18
22-27
29-21
21-22
18-25
20-24
31-27
21-20
32-20
24-33
26-22
29-19
20-26
19-27
15-26
25-27
29-29
23-24
26-31
25-17
27-28
17-34
21-25
20-31
26-31
30-16
22-17
192.0Avg total
96.3Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)96.895.6192.4+1.356%
Season at home (27)98.895.9194.7+2.963%
Season away (21)94.395.1189.4-0.848%
Last 10 (10)96.395.7192.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)95.4100.6196.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)100.0103.0203.0-3.050%
vs Similar (17)96.998.2195.1-1.347%
vs Weaker (11)97.593.5190.9+4.073%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
Oklahoma City ThunderMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H05/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A09/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A11/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A13/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
65-42
65
42
+23
H14/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H16/01
NBA
109.8Avg total
59.5Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.349.6104.9+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (18)55.449.8105.2+5.667%-
Last 30 away (12)55.249.2104.5+6.075%-
Last 10 (10)59.550.3109.8+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)57.647.6105.2+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)48.549.097.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)55.849.6105.5+6.271%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H02/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A03/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A09/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A16/01
NBA
95.7Avg total
49.2Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.348.697.9+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.248.598.8+1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)48.148.796.9-0.657%-
Last 10 (10)49.246.595.7+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)50.849.6100.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)52.053.5105.5-1.50%-
vs Similar (17)50.149.599.6+0.653%-
vs Weaker (11)47.546.493.8+1.155%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 111.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.931.7
52.1%
49.0%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.6
37.7%
35.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws28.822.3
77.4%
75.5%22.3
They take 83.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 96.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.530.5
49.6%
49.0%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.16.8
33.8%
35.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.414.9
73.0%
75.5%14.9
They take 81.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWLWWLWWW
Miami Heat
WLLLWLWWWL
#4
League position
#9
+8.1
Net rating
+0.6
112.7
Offensive rating
102.5
104.6
Defensive rating
101.8
53.3%
Effective FG%
49.9%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
14.0%
Turnover %
13.9%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.7%
3-point %
33.8%
56.8%
Assist %
59.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 102.5Defence104.6 · 101.8Shooting53.3% · 49.9%3-point %37.7% · 33.8%Ball care14.0% · 13.9%Off. rebounds27.6% · 22.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/16HMinnesota Timberwolves113-93
14/01/16HDallas Mavericks108-89
13/01/16AMinnesota Timberwolves101-96
11/01/16APortland Trail Blazers110-115
09/01/16ALos Angeles Lakers117-113
07/01/16HMemphis Grizzlies112-94
05/01/16HSacramento Kings104-116
03/01/16ACharlotte Hornets109-90
01/01/16HPhoenix Suns110-106
30/12/15HMilwaukee Bucks131-123
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/16ADenver Nuggets98-95
14/01/16ALos Angeles Clippers90-104
12/01/16AGolden State Warriors103-111
10/01/16AUtah Jazz83-98
09/01/16APhoenix Suns103-95
07/01/16HNew York Knicks90-98
05/01/16HIndiana Pacers103-100 OT
03/01/16AWashington Wizards97-75
02/01/16HDallas Mavericks106-82
30/12/15AMemphis Grizzlies90-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW72%
HomeWLWWW81%
AwayWWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462620
Win %72%81%60%
Points / game108.3108.0108.8
Allowed / game100.198.7102.0
Point differential+8.2+9.3+6.8
Avg total208.5206.7210.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%54%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)60% (5)56% (9)
Overtime %4%4%5%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW56%
HomeWLWWL63%
AwayWLLLW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482721
Win %56%63%48%
Points / game96.898.894.3
Allowed / game95.695.995.1
Point differential+1.3+2.9-0.8
Avg total192.4194.7189.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%26%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)78% (9)40% (5)
Overtime %8%7%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4840883%112.3103.0+9.3
2 San Antonio Spurs47371079%102.490.6+11.9
3 Oklahoma City Thunder46331372%108.3100.1+8.2
4 Cleveland Cavaliers45291664%100.396.0+4.4
5 Toronto Raptors47301764%99.595.6+3.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers46291763%103.1100.5+2.6
7 Atlanta Hawks48282058%101.399.6+1.7
8 Memphis Grizzlies48282058%95.196.4-1.3
9 Indiana Pacers47272057%102.198.7+3.4
10 Chicago Bulls47272057%101.7101.4+0.4
11 Boston Celtics46262057%102.999.2+3.7
12 Miami Heat48272156%96.895.6+1.3
13 Orlando Magic46252154%99.398.9+0.5
14 Detroit Pistons48252352%101.798.7+3.0
15 Charlotte Hornets48252352%100.898.5+2.2
16 Houston Rockets49242549%104.1105.2-1.1
17 New York Knicks47232449%98.799.5-0.8
18 Washington Wizards45222349%103.0104.3-1.2
19 Dallas Mavericks48232548%99.2100.5-1.3
20 Sacramento Kings46222448%105.7106.9-1.2
21 Utah Jazz47212645%96.796.7+0.0
22 Portland Trail Blazers50212942%101.7102.8-1.1
23 Milwaukee Bucks49202941%98.7103.5-4.8
24 Denver Nuggets47192840%98.8101.9-3.1
25 Phoenix Suns48173135%102.2105.9-3.8
26 New Orleans Pelicans46163035%101.7105.7-4.0
27 Minnesota Timberwolves49153431%98.4103.0-4.5
28 Brooklyn Nets46133328%95.8102.5-6.7
29 Los Angeles Lakers49113822%96.2105.6-9.3
30 Philadelphia 76ers4974214%94.1104.8-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder2420312499
Miami Heat1824161674
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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