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Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Jan 2011
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 130-102
26-23 34-20 38-25 32-34
Position#9
Record21-16
FormWLLLW
Points / game106.3
Allowed / game104.2
vs
Position#4
Record30-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game101.8
Allowed / game92.7
USANBA
NBA2010-11
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat
14 Mar 2027
DEN v MIA
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
DEN122
MIA112
08 Nov 2024
DEN135
MIA122
29 Feb 2024
DEN103
MIA97
12 Jun 2023
DEN94
MIA89
04 Jun 2023
DEN108
MIA111
01 Jun 2023
DEN104
MIA93
30 Dec 2022
DEN124
MIA119
08 Nov 2021
DEN113
MIA96
14 Apr 2021
DEN123
MIA106
01 Aug 2020
DEN105
MIA125
05 Nov 2019
DEN109
MIA89
11 Feb 2019
DEN103
MIA87
03 Nov 2017
DEN95
MIA94
30 Nov 2016
DEN98
MIA106
15 Jan 2016
DEN95
MIA98
10 Dec 2014
DEN102
MIA82
30 Dec 2013
DEN94
MIA97
15 Nov 2012
DEN93
MIA98
13 Jan 2012
DEN117
MIA104
13 Jan 2011
DEN130
MIA102
03 Dec 2009
DEN114
MIA96
07 Jan 2009
DEN108
MIA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
106-114
106
114
-8
A26/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
L
89-95
89
95
-6
H27/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
119-113
119
113
+6
A30/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
104-86
104
86
+18
H02/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
W
113-106
113
106
+7
H04/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
93-106
93
106
-13
A06/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
102-122
102
122
-20
A07/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#12
L
87-96
87
96
-9
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
132-98
132
98
+34
H12/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-26
24-30
27-32
21-26
25-13
21-30
25-23
18-29
25-21
23-20
30-17
17-19
23-30
30-29
29-24
37-30
23-23
28-16
18-21
35-26
25-21
27-31
29-29
32-25
23-30
20-21
31-31
19-24
27-29
28-40
26-22
21-31
22-23
21-31
23-24
21-18
20-32
44-23
38-17
30-26
205.3Avg total
104.0Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)106.3104.2210.5+2.257%
Season at home (20)109.2102.0211.2+7.280%
Season away (17)103.0106.7209.7-3.729%
Last 10 (10)104.0101.3205.3+2.750%
Last 5 (5)105.4105.6211.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)103.8103.9207.7-0.147%
vs Weaker (15)110.5108.1218.6+2.567%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
96-80
96
80
+16
A25/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
106-98
106
98
+8
H29/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
W
125-119
125
119
+6
A30/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#19
W
114-107
114
107
+7
H02/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
96-82
96
82
+14
A04/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
101-89
101
89
+12
H05/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
A08/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
107-100 OT
107
100
+7
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
105-111
105
111
-6
A13/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
26-17
27-20
23-24
20-14
27-24
28-26
21-16
34-18
19-22
27-25
26-33
35-28
24-34
29-22
37-35
28-36
30-36
25-12
31-23
23-28
24-15
31-16
18-23
26-20
21-31
26-19
28-19
30-18
25-30
20-24
16-19
27-26
19-18
19-23
28-26
26-44
32-24
20-18
27-25
201.0Avg total
104.6Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)101.892.7194.5+9.175%
Season at home (19)102.992.8195.7+10.179%
Season away (21)100.892.6193.3+8.271%
Last 10 (10)104.696.4201.0+8.290%
Last 5 (5)102.095.4197.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)95.597.0192.5-1.525%
vs Weaker (26)102.491.8194.2+10.688%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
Denver NuggetsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A26/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H27/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A30/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H02/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H04/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A06/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
55-69
55
69
-14
A07/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#12
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H12/01
NBA
103.2Avg total
51.3Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.853.1107.9+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.250.5105.6+4.776%-
Last 30 away (13)54.356.6110.9-2.331%-
Last 10 (10)51.351.9103.2-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)51.456.2107.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.452.5106.9+1.960%-
vs Weaker (15)55.253.7108.9+1.553%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A25/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H29/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A30/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#19
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H02/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A04/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H05/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A08/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A13/01
NBA
102.0Avg total
51.5Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.547.297.7+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.547.198.5+4.462%-
Last 30 away (17)49.847.297.1+2.659%-
Last 10 (10)51.550.5102.0+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)50.650.8101.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)45.845.891.5+0.050%-
vs Weaker (26)51.347.498.7+3.962%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver Nuggets wins
1
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/11HPhoenix Suns132-98
10/01/11HNew Orleans Pelicans87-96
07/01/11ASacramento Kings102-122
06/01/11ALos Angeles Clippers93-106
04/01/11HHouston Rockets113-106
02/01/11HSacramento Kings104-86
30/12/10AMinnesota Timberwolves119-113
29/12/10HPortland Trail Blazers95-77
27/12/10HPhiladelphia 76ers89-95
26/12/10AOklahoma City Thunder106-114
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/11ALos Angeles Clippers105-111
10/01/11APortland Trail Blazers107-100 OT
08/01/11AMilwaukee Bucks101-95 OT
05/01/11HMilwaukee Bucks101-89
04/01/11ACharlotte Hornets96-82
02/01/11HGolden State Warriors114-107
30/12/10AHouston Rockets125-119
29/12/10HNew York Knicks106-98
25/12/10ALos Angeles Lakers96-80
24/12/10APhoenix Suns95-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW57%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372017
Win %57%80%29%
Points / game106.3109.2103.0
Allowed / game104.2102.0106.7
Point differential+2.2+7.2-3.7
Avg total210.5211.2209.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)78% (9)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %75%79%71%
Points / game101.8102.9100.8
Allowed / game92.792.892.6
Point differential+9.1+10.1+8.2
Avg total194.5195.7193.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%47%52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %8%5%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs3933685%104.797.0+7.7
2 Boston Celtics3829976%99.591.9+7.6
3 Miami Heat40301075%101.892.7+9.1
4 Los Angeles Lakers40291172%103.896.2+7.6
5 Dallas Mavericks37261170%97.894.2+3.6
6 Oklahoma City Thunder40271368%104.0102.1+1.9
7 Utah Jazz39261367%100.498.4+2.1
8 Chicago Bulls38251366%98.993.6+5.3
9 Atlanta Hawks40261465%97.994.9+3.0
10 Orlando Magic39251464%99.394.1+5.2
11 New Orleans Pelicans39231659%93.992.2+1.8
12 New York Knicks38221658%107.8106.4+1.4
13 Denver Nuggets37211657%106.3104.2+2.2
14 Portland Trail Blazers39201951%95.195.0+0.1
15 Memphis Grizzlies39182146%99.899.6+0.2
16 Indiana Pacers36162044%97.097.6-0.6
17 Houston Rockets39172244%105.0104.9+0.2
18 Phoenix Suns37162143%106.0108.9-3.0
19 Charlotte Hornets36152142%93.296.8-3.5
20 Philadelphia 76ers38152339%97.197.8-0.7
21 Golden State Warriors38152339%101.9106.1-4.2
22 Milwaukee Bucks36142239%91.193.0-1.9
23 Los Angeles Clippers37132435%97.9100.6-2.7
24 Toronto Raptors38132534%101.0105.2-4.2
25 Detroit Pistons38122632%95.3100.4-5.2
26 Washington Wizards37102727%96.6102.7-6.1
27 Brooklyn Nets38102826%92.499.0-6.6
28 Minnesota Timberwolves40103025%102.3107.8-5.5
29 Sacramento Kings3682822%96.9103.2-6.3
30 Cleveland Cavaliers3883021%93.3103.9-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets26343832130
Miami Heat23202534102
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