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Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Jan 2011
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 101-89
26-20 21-31 26-19 28-19
Position#4
Record27-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game101.6
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#21
Record13-18
FormWWLLW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game92.5
USANBA
NBA2010-11
Meetings · Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks
04 Feb 2027
MIA v MIL
upcoming
18 Nov 2026
MIA v MIL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MIA112
MIL105
26 Nov 2025
MIA106
MIL103
05 Apr 2025
MIA115
MIL121
26 Nov 2024
MIA103
MIL106
28 Nov 2023
MIA124
MIL131
24 Apr 2023
MIA119
MIL114
22 Apr 2023
MIA121
MIL99
14 Jan 2023
MIA111
MIL95
12 Jan 2023
MIA108
MIL102
08 Dec 2021
MIA113
MIL104
21 Oct 2021
MIA137
MIL95
29 May 2021
MIA103
MIL120
27 May 2021
MIA84
MIL113
30 Dec 2020
MIA119
MIL108
29 Dec 2020
MIA97
MIL144
06 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL118
04 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL100
02 Mar 2020
MIA105
MIL89
15 Mar 2019
MIA98
MIL113
22 Dec 2018
MIA94
MIL87
09 Feb 2018
MIA91
MIL85
14 Jan 2018
MIA97
MIL79
21 Jan 2017
MIA109
MIL97
17 Nov 2016
MIA96
MIL73
19 Jan 2016
MIA79
MIL91
27 Jan 2015
MIA102
MIL109
16 Nov 2014
MIA84
MIL91
02 Apr 2014
MIA96
MIL77
12 Nov 2013
MIA118
MIL95
23 Apr 2013
MIA98
MIL86
21 Apr 2013
MIA110
MIL87
09 Apr 2013
MIA94
MIL83
21 Nov 2012
MIA113
MIL106
22 Jan 2012
MIA82
MIL91
06 Apr 2011
MIA85
MIL90
04 Jan 2011
MIA101
MIL89
27 Feb 2010
MIA71
MIL94
01 Feb 2010
MIA81
MIL97
28 Mar 2009
MIA102
MIL85
15 Dec 2008
MIA83
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
101-95
101
95
+6
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
113-91
113
91
+22
A18/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
95-94
95
94
+1
A19/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
L
96-98
96
98
-2
H21/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
96-80
96
80
+16
A25/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
106-98
106
98
+8
H29/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
W
125-119
125
119
+6
A30/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#19
W
114-107
114
107
+7
H02/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
96-82
96
82
+14
A04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
22-23
27-22
28-24
34-25
23-32
33-17
23-17
19-25
27-22
26-27
23-20
22-23
22-20
24-22
28-33
19-22
26-17
27-20
23-24
20-14
27-24
28-26
21-16
34-18
19-22
27-25
26-33
35-28
24-34
29-22
37-35
28-36
30-36
25-12
31-23
23-28
24-15
31-16
18-23
198.4Avg total
103.7Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)101.692.0193.6+9.675%
Season at home (18)103.093.1196.1+9.978%
Season away (18)100.291.0191.2+9.272%
Last 10 (10)103.794.7198.4+9.090%
Last 5 (5)107.497.2204.6+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)97.8100.0197.8-2.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)102.991.9194.8+11.088%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#14
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H11/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
W
103-99
103
99
+4
A14/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
90-92
90
92
-2
A16/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
86-95
86
95
-9
H19/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
80-106
80
106
-26
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
98-79
98
79
+19
A22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A24/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
80-95
80
95
-15
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A29/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
W
99-87
99
87
+12
H02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
20-19
26-28
24-20
15-25
28-27
32-22
28-25
20-25
15-26
28-20
27-21
25-19
21-24
22-28
18-24
18-25
17-34
25-19
20-28
25-22
25-24
22-20
26-13
24-25
19-14
19-25
22-15
18-29
24-28
25-20
13-18
15-27
30-17
17-23
15-23
25-18
27-32
21-21
26-16
180.7Avg total
89.4Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)90.692.5183.1-1.842%
Season at home (15)91.190.3181.3+0.853%
Season away (16)90.294.5184.7-4.331%
Last 10 (10)89.491.3180.7-1.950%
Last 5 (5)87.686.0173.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)93.293.6186.8-0.536%
vs Similar (16)90.292.7182.9-2.550%
vs Weaker (3)83.386.0169.3-2.733%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +6.8+6.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +6.8+6.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
Miami HeatMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A18/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A19/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H21/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A25/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H29/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A30/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#19
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H02/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A04/01
NBA
99.2Avg total
50.2Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.846.697.4+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.347.299.5+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)49.145.995.1+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)50.249.099.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)52.851.0103.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)45.848.894.6-3.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)51.846.298.0+5.768%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H11/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A14/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A16/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H19/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A24/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A29/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H02/01
NBA
92.2Avg total
43.8Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.747.494.1-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.945.893.7+2.167%-
Last 30 away (15)45.549.194.5-3.640%-
Last 10 (10)43.848.492.2-4.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.447.293.6-0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)45.647.993.5-2.355%-
vs Similar (16)47.848.095.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (3)44.342.787.0+1.767%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/11ACharlotte Hornets96-82
02/01/11HGolden State Warriors114-107
30/12/10AHouston Rockets125-119
29/12/10HNew York Knicks106-98
25/12/10ALos Angeles Lakers96-80
24/12/10APhoenix Suns95-83
21/12/10HDallas Mavericks96-98
19/12/10AWashington Wizards95-94
18/12/10ANew York Knicks113-91
16/12/10HCleveland Cavaliers101-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/11HDallas Mavericks99-87
29/12/10AChicago Bulls77-90
28/12/10HAtlanta Hawks80-95
24/12/10ASacramento Kings84-79
22/12/10ALos Angeles Lakers98-79
21/12/10APortland Trail Blazers80-106
19/12/10HUtah Jazz86-95
16/12/10ASan Antonio Spurs90-92
14/12/10ADallas Mavericks103-99
11/12/10HHouston Rockets97-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWWWWW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %75%78%72%
Points / game101.6103.0100.2
Allowed / game92.093.191.0
Point differential+9.6+9.9+9.2
Avg total193.6196.1191.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%44%61%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW42%
HomeWWLLW53%
AwayLLWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %42%53%31%
Points / game90.691.190.2
Allowed / game92.590.394.5
Point differential-1.8+0.8-4.3
Avg total183.1181.3184.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs3329488%105.696.7+8.8
2 Boston Celtics3326779%98.690.8+7.9
3 Dallas Mavericks3325876%98.393.5+4.8
4 Miami Heat3627975%101.692.0+9.6
5 Chicago Bulls32221069%99.494.0+5.3
6 Utah Jazz35241169%99.996.9+3.0
7 Los Angeles Lakers34231168%103.297.7+5.6
8 Oklahoma City Thunder35231266%103.0101.2+1.8
9 Orlando Magic34221265%98.193.1+5.0
10 Atlanta Hawks36221461%96.894.8+2.0
11 Denver Nuggets33201361%106.7104.0+2.7
12 New Orleans Pelicans35211460%93.691.6+1.9
13 New York Knicks33191458%107.2106.3+0.9
14 Portland Trail Blazers34181653%95.094.6+0.4
15 Houston Rockets34161847%105.4104.5+0.8
16 Memphis Grizzlies34151944%99.699.3+0.2
17 Indiana Pacers32141844%96.897.6-0.7
18 Phoenix Suns32141844%106.4108.4-2.0
19 Milwaukee Bucks31131842%90.692.5-1.8
20 Philadelphia 76ers34132138%96.097.0-1.0
21 Golden State Warriors34132138%101.4106.2-4.9
22 Charlotte Hornets32112134%92.397.4-5.1
23 Toronto Raptors33112233%100.2104.4-4.2
24 Detroit Pistons34112332%95.499.9-4.5
25 Los Angeles Clippers34102429%97.1101.0-3.9
26 Brooklyn Nets3492526%92.398.2-5.9
27 Minnesota Timberwolves3592626%102.7108.6-5.9
28 Washington Wizards3282425%95.6102.1-6.5
29 Cleveland Cavaliers3482624%93.6102.7-9.1
30 Sacramento Kings3172423%94.4101.0-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat26212628101
Milwaukee Bucks2031191989
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