Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Jul 2016

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 86-72

15-18 23-19 27-18 21-17

Position-

Record-

FormWWLLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Oklahoma City Thunder 🏆

Miami Heat

Position-

Record-

FormLWLWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

NBA Orlando Summer LeagueNBA Orlando Summer League - 3rd place

Other2016

Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Miami Heat winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormThunder

Date

Competition

San Antonio Spurs

111-97

111

+14

105avg 103

H09/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

95-91

91avg 103

A11/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

113-99

113

+14

108avg 103

H13/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

108-102

108

102

99avg 103

A17/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

91-118

118

-27

82avg 103

A19/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

133-105

133

105

+28

126avg 103

H23/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

118-94

118

+24

111avg 103

H25/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

111-120

111

120

-9

100avg 103

A27/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

101-108

101

108

-7

85avg 103

H29/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

88-96

-8

75avg 103

A31/05

NBA

17-27

28-26

32-28

34-16

22-16

21-32

26-24

26-19

25-19

30-12

36-34

22-34

21-27

26-33

38-28

23-14

20-27

29-30

19-31

23-30

34-28

38-19

45-33

16-25

30-26

42-27

22-29

24-12

21-25

29-33

27-23

34-39

23-20

30-28

30-27

18-33

24-19

24-23

12-29

28-25

209.9Avg total

106.9Scored

103.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	106.9	103.0	209.9	+3.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	110.2	104.6	214.8	+5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	105.2	103.9	209.1	+1.3	56%
vs Weaker (14)	111.3	99.1	210.4	+12.1	64%

Miami Heat USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormHeat

Date

Competition

Charlotte Hornets

88-90

-2

80avg 91

H28/04

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

97-90

86avg 91

A30/04

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

106-73

106

+33

105avg 91

H01/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

102-96 OT

102

87avg 91

A04/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

92-96 OT

-4

83avg 91

A06/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

91-95

-4

76avg 91

H07/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

94-87 OT

81avg 91

H10/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

91-99

-8

78avg 91

A12/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

103-91

103

+12

90avg 91

H14/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

89-116

116

-27

76avg 91

A15/05

NBA

25-28

22-21

24-16

17-25

27-24

32-26

16-20

22-20

29-18

25-24

29-11

23-20

18-18

23-25

27-20

22-27

19-29

22-19

24-15

21-23

19-23

21-26

28-19

23-27

25-21

19-14

16-27

23-21

18-28

27-27

17-20

29-24

21-20

32-24

29-28

21-19

24-25

23-28

31-33

11-30

188.6Avg total

95.3Scored

93.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	95.3	93.3	188.6	+2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	93.6	97.6	191.2	-4.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	105.0	106.5	211.5	-1.5	50%
vs Similar (23)	99.6	96.3	195.8	+3.3	52%
vs Weaker (5)	111.8	105.0	216.8	+6.8	80%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Oklahoma City ThunderMiami Heat

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.1	24.4	50.5	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	26.6	23.8	50.4	+2.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	25.7	25.0	50.7	+0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	23.4	47.1	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	23.6	50.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	24.9	25.1	50.1	-0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (14)	27.4	23.6	51.1	+3.8	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.7	23.4	50.2	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.8	24.4	52.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.7	22.5	48.1	+3.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	23.4	45.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.4	44.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.0	22.5	48.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	25.5	23.0	48.4	+2.5	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	32.8	26.0	58.8	+6.8	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.1	26.5	54.7	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	29.5	24.4	53.9	+5.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	26.9	28.4	55.4	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.7	26.3	56.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	26.0	58.6	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	27.4	26.5	53.9	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	28.9	26.6	55.5	+2.4	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.4	25.2	50.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.8	24.2	51.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.0	26.3	50.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	23.4	48.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	23.8	48.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	30.0	27.5	57.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	24.9	25.6	50.5	-0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (5)	26.0	22.6	48.6	+3.4	80%	-

Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Antonio Spurs

45-53

-8

H09/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

43-48

-5

A11/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

55-31

+24

H13/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

47-60

-13

A17/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

49-57

-8

A19/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

72-47

+25

H23/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

72-53

+19

H25/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

50-58

-8

A27/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

53-48

H29/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

48-42

A31/05

NBA

103.1Avg total

53.4Scored

49.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	54.2	51.0	105.2	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	56.1	48.1	104.2	+7.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	52.6	53.4	106.1	-0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.4	49.7	103.1	+3.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	59.0	49.6	108.6	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	52.4	51.6	104.0	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	56.4	50.2	106.6	+6.1	71%	-

Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Charlotte Hornets

47-49

-2

H28/04

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

59-50

A30/04

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

54-42

+12

H01/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

41-43

-2

A04/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

41-48

-7

A06/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

40-49

-9

H07/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

44-35

H10/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

45-55

-10

A12/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

53-44

H14/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

47-53

-6

A15/05

NBA

93.9Avg total

47.1Scored

46.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	52.1	48.7	100.8	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	54.6	48.6	103.2	+6.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	49.7	48.7	98.4	+0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.1	46.8	93.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	47.2	93.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	56.0	50.0	106.0	+6.0	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	50.3	48.6	98.9	+1.8	43%	-
vs Weaker (5)	58.8	48.6	107.4	+10.2	100%	-

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.2	25.8	54.0	+2.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	29.9	23.7	53.6	+6.1	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	26.8	27.6	54.3	-0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.7	28.6	57.3	+0.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	28.2	55.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	27.7	27.8	55.4	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (14)	28.8	23.5	52.3	+5.3	86%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	23.4	47.5	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.1	22.1	49.2	+5.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	24.8	45.8	-3.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	20.9	45.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	25.4	49.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.5	29.0	53.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	23.9	22.0	45.9	+1.9	61%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.6	27.8	52.4	-3.2	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.4	24.6	50.1	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.6	24.4	49.1	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	26.1	24.8	50.9	+1.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	24.7	49.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	26.8	50.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	24.8	23.9	48.8	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	26.1	25.4	51.6	+0.7	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	25.1	49.5	-0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.6	24.9	50.5	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	25.3	48.5	-2.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	23.6	44.8	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	24.2	45.6	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.5	27.5	52.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	24.0	24.8	48.9	-0.8	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.8	25.6	51.4	+0.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	53.6	50.4	104.0	+3.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	54.5	48.1	102.6	+6.4	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	52.9	52.4	105.2	+0.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.5	53.3	106.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.2	55.0	106.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	52.5	51.7	104.2	+0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (14)	54.9	48.9	103.9	+6.0	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.4	48.6	97.0	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	52.7	47.0	99.7	+5.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.1	50.1	94.3	-6.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	44.5	89.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	49.6	95.2	-4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	49.0	56.5	105.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	48.0	46.8	94.8	+1.1	52%	-
vs Weaker (5)	50.4	53.4	103.8	-3.0	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 106.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀22%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 22% of the points

🏀 Free throws22.4 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	62.5	30.7	49.1%	-	61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.6	7.7	32.6%	-	23.1
🏀 Free throws	28.7	22.4	78.0%	-	22.4

They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 95.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀64%

🏀🏀🏀19%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 64% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	62.8	30.6	48.7%	-	61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.3	6.0	32.8%	-	18.0
🏀 Free throws	20.4	16.1	78.9%	-	16.1

They take 81.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	59.9	27.6	46.1%	-	55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.6	38.8%	-	31.8
🏀 Free throws	21.4	16.0	74.8%	-	16.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	63.5	27.8	43.8%	-	55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.3	6.7	34.7%	-	20.1
🏀 Free throws	23.4	17.6	75.2%	-	17.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	59.3	30.5	51.5%	-	61.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.7	33.6%	-	26.2
🏀 Free throws	27.0	20.8	76.9%	-	20.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	63.9	32.9	51.5%	-	65.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.4	6.6	36.1%	-	19.9
🏀 Free throws	21.4	16.2	75.6%	-	16.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	60.3	28.7	47.5%	-	57.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	9.1	35.8%	-	27.4
🏀 Free throws	22.7	16.9	74.6%	-	16.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	65.0	30.1	46.3%	-	60.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.1	6.3	35.1%	-	19.0
🏀 Free throws	24.8	19.3	77.8%	-	19.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jul 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Oklahoma City Thunder

LLLWWLWWWW

Miami Heat

LWLWLLWWWL

+3.9

Net rating

+2.1

107.5

Offensive rating

100.7

103.6

Defensive rating

98.6

49.1%

Effective FG%

48.8%

49.9%

Opp. effective FG%

45.7%

13.6%

Turnover %

13.4%

29.0%

Off. rebound %

22.0%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.25

32.6%

3-point %

32.8%

54.4%

Assist %

41.0%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Oklahoma City Thunder ■ Miami Heat

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Oklahoma City Thunder wins

Miami Heat wins

Date	Game	Score
18/01/16	Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat	99-74
04/12/15	Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder	97-95
22/03/15	Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat	93-75
21/01/15	Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder	86-94
21/02/14	Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat	81-103
30/01/14	Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder	95-112
15/02/13	Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat	100-110
25/12/12	Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder	103-97
22/06/12	Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder	121-106
20/06/12	Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder	104-98

Oklahoma City Thunderlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/05/16	A	Golden State Warriors	88-96
29/05/16	H	Golden State Warriors	101-108
27/05/16	A	Golden State Warriors	111-120
25/05/16	H	Golden State Warriors	118-94
23/05/16	H	Golden State Warriors	133-105
19/05/16	A	Golden State Warriors	91-118
17/05/16	A	Golden State Warriors	108-102
13/05/16	H	San Antonio Spurs	113-99
11/05/16	A	San Antonio Spurs	95-91
09/05/16	H	San Antonio Spurs	111-97

Miami Heatlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/05/16	A	Toronto Raptors	89-116
14/05/16	H	Toronto Raptors	103-91
12/05/16	A	Toronto Raptors	91-99
10/05/16	H	Toronto Raptors	94-87 OT
07/05/16	H	Toronto Raptors	91-95
06/05/16	A	Toronto Raptors	92-96 OT
04/05/16	A	Toronto Raptors	102-96 OT
01/05/16	H	Charlotte Hornets	106-73
30/04/16	A	Charlotte Hornets	97-90
28/04/16	H	Charlotte Hornets	88-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder

NBA Orlando Summer League 2016

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Miami Heat

NBA Orlando Summer League 2016

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Oklahoma City Thunder	15	23	27	21	86
Miami Heat	18	19	18	17	72

← all games of the day

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

A Pro feature