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Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Mar 2015
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 115-98
23-24 39-24 23-26 30-24
Position#21
Record25-33
FormLWWLL
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game96.7
vs
Position#16
Record31-29
FormLLWWL
Points / game105.8
Allowed / game105.1
USANBA
NBA2014-15
Meetings · Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns
08 Mar 2027
MIA v PHX
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
MIA127
PHX121
07 Dec 2024
MIA121
PHX111
29 Jan 2024
MIA105
PHX118
14 Nov 2022
MIA113
PHX112
09 Mar 2022
MIA90
PHX111
23 Mar 2021
MIA100
PHX110
08 Aug 2020
MIA112
PHX119
25 Feb 2019
MIA121
PHX124
05 Mar 2018
MIA125
PHX103
21 Mar 2017
MIA112
PHX97
03 Mar 2016
MIA108
PHX92
02 Mar 2015
MIA115
PHX98
25 Nov 2013
MIA107
PHX92
05 Nov 2012
MIA124
PHX99
20 Mar 2012
MIA99
PHX95
17 Nov 2010
MIA123
PHX96
03 Nov 2009
MIA96
PHX104
04 Mar 2009
MIA135
PHX129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
L
101-102
101
102
-1
A05/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
85-98
85
98
-13
A07/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#29
W
109-95
109
95
+14
H10/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
93-113
93
113
-20
A12/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#29
W
111-87
111
87
+24
A21/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
L
91-105
91
105
-14
H22/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
W
119-108
119
108
+11
H24/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
A26/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
L
102-104
102
104
-2
A28/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#2
L
91-93
91
93
-2
H01/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
27-26
32-23
18-26
19-30
22-22
20-25
24-21
23-32
29-24
25-18
32-21
23-38
25-21
21-26
24-28
25-26
33-22
29-20
24-19
14-25
28-27
23-33
26-20
32-31
29-29
30-19
28-29
17-17
19-23
25-21
24-24
25-24
29-30
28-19
20-31
12-17
21-26
20-21
38-29
199.0Avg total
99.5Scored
99.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)93.696.7190.4-3.143%
Season at home (27)94.497.8192.1-3.437%
Season away (31)93.095.8188.8-2.848%
Last 10 (10)99.599.5199.0+0.040%
Last 5 (5)99.2100.0199.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)89.598.1187.6-8.625%
vs Similar ◀ (12)92.294.2186.4-2.142%
vs Weaker (6)100.893.0193.8+7.867%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
L
87-108
87
108
-21
A06/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#19
W
100-93
100
93
+7
H07/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A09/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
118-127
118
127
-9
H11/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
L
109-111
109
111
-2
A21/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
L
107-112
107
112
-5
A22/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
L
110-115
110
115
-5
H24/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
W
110-96
110
96
+14
A26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#13
W
117-113 OT
117
113
+4
H27/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
74-101
74
101
-27
H01/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
20-19
30-20
22-42
25-24
29-18
22-29
24-22
18-26
24-22
17-25
24-12
23-41
38-29
28-18
29-39
24-26
18-26
35-28
32-31
28-33
28-19
27-29
24-31
21-26
29-41
29-22
31-26
35-26
23-25
25-22
27-23
25-15
28-33
33-36
23-25
13-24
11-27
17-24
33-26
207.6Avg total
101.5Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)105.8105.1210.8+0.752%
Season at home (30)106.6104.0210.6+2.557%
Season away (30)105.0106.1211.1-1.147%
Last 10 (10)101.5106.1207.6-4.630%
Last 5 (5)103.6107.4211.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)95.4106.9202.3-11.429%
vs Similar ◀ (17)109.1107.5216.5+1.647%
vs Weaker (6)112.5104.0216.5+8.583%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
Miami HeatPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A05/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A07/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#29
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H10/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A12/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#29
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A21/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H22/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H24/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A26/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A28/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#2
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H01/03
NBA
99.3Avg total
47.6Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.447.695.9+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.947.897.8+2.162%-
Last 30 away (17)47.247.494.5-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)47.651.799.3-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)45.249.895.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)47.149.396.4-2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)46.945.292.1+1.850%-
vs Weaker (6)53.848.8102.7+5.067%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A06/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#19
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H07/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A09/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H11/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A21/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A22/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H24/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#13
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H27/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
24-51
24
51
-27
H01/03
NBA
100.2Avg total
47.5Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.852.3104.1-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.252.8107.1+1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)48.951.7100.6-2.821%-
Last 10 (10)47.552.7100.2-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)48.253.8102.0-5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)47.950.998.7-3.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)53.552.4105.9+1.147%-
vs Weaker (6)51.553.7105.2-2.217%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Miami Heat wins
1
Phoenix Suns wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/15HAtlanta Hawks91-93
28/02/15ANew Orleans Pelicans102-104
26/02/15AOrlando Magic93-90 OT
24/02/15HPhiladelphia 76ers119-108
22/02/15HNew Orleans Pelicans91-105
21/02/15ANew York Knicks111-87
12/02/15ACleveland Cavaliers93-113
10/02/15HNew York Knicks109-95
07/02/15ASan Antonio Spurs85-98
05/02/15AMinnesota Timberwolves101-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/15HSan Antonio Spurs74-101
27/02/15HOklahoma City Thunder117-113 OT
26/02/15ADenver Nuggets110-96
24/02/15HBoston Celtics110-115
22/02/15AChicago Bulls107-112
21/02/15AMinnesota Timberwolves109-111
11/02/15HHouston Rockets118-127
09/02/15ASacramento Kings83-85
07/02/15HUtah Jazz100-93
06/02/15APortland Trail Blazers87-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeLWLWL37%
AwayLLWWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582731
Win %43%37%48%
Points / game93.694.493.0
Allowed / game96.797.895.8
Point differential-3.1-3.4-2.8
Avg total190.4192.1188.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%22%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)50% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %2%0%3%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL52%
HomeWLLWL57%
AwayLLLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603030
Win %52%57%47%
Points / game105.8106.6105.0
Allowed / game105.1104.0106.1
Point differential+0.7+2.5-1.1
Avg total210.8210.6211.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%23%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (23)30% (10)31% (13)
Overtime %8%7%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors57461181%110.299.8+10.3
2 Atlanta Hawks59471280%102.696.4+6.3
3 Memphis Grizzlies58421672%99.895.7+4.1
4 Houston Rockets59411869%103.399.7+3.6
5 Portland Trail Blazers58391967%102.597.4+5.0
6 Los Angeles Clippers60392165%106.6100.3+6.3
7 Dallas Mavericks61392264%105.3100.6+4.6
8 Toronto Raptors60382263%104.5100.6+3.9
9 Chicago Bulls60372362%101.298.5+2.7
10 San Antonio Spurs59362361%100.697.1+3.5
11 Cleveland Cavaliers61372461%102.498.8+3.7
12 Washington Wizards60342657%98.798.0+0.7
13 Oklahoma City Thunder60332755%101.899.1+2.7
14 Milwaukee Bucks59322754%97.996.4+1.5
15 New Orleans Pelicans59322754%99.899.3+0.5
16 Phoenix Suns60312952%105.8105.1+0.7
17 Miami Heat58253343%93.696.7-3.1
18 Indiana Pacers59253442%96.096.7-0.7
19 Charlotte Hornets57243342%94.496.8-2.4
20 Brooklyn Nets57243342%96.399.3-3.0
21 Boston Celtics57233440%101.6102.7-1.1
22 Utah Jazz58233540%95.596.8-1.3
23 Detroit Pistons59233639%98.699.8-1.3
24 Sacramento Kings57203735%100.1104.4-4.3
25 Denver Nuggets59203934%99.4104.2-4.8
26 Orlando Magic61194231%95.3101.0-5.7
27 Los Angeles Lakers58164228%99.6106.1-6.4
28 Minnesota Timberwolves58134522%97.7105.5-7.8
29 Philadelphia 76ers60134722%90.3100.8-10.6
30 New York Knicks58124621%93.0100.9-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat23392330115
Phoenix Suns2424262498
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