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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 119-115 (OT)
27-30 28-18 24-24 28-35 12-8
Position#9
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game105.7
Allowed / game97.3
vs
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game120.5
Allowed / game94.5
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks
29 Dec 2026
OKC v MIL
upcoming
07 Oct 2026
OKC126
MIL128
12 Feb 2026
OKC93
MIL110
03 Feb 2025
OKC125
MIL96
12 Apr 2024
OKC125
MIL107
17 Oct 2023
OKC124
MIL101
09 Nov 2022
OKC132
MIL136
08 Mar 2022
OKC115
MIL142
14 Feb 2021
OKC114
MIL109
10 Nov 2019
OKC119
MIL121
27 Jan 2019
OKC118
MIL112
09 Oct 2018
OKC119
MIL115
29 Dec 2017
OKC95
MIL97
04 Apr 2017
OKC110
MIL79
29 Dec 2015
OKC131
MIL123
09 Dec 2014
OKC114
MIL101
11 Jan 2014
OKC101
MIL85
17 Apr 2013
OKC89
MIL95
13 Apr 2011
OKC106
MIL110
27 Nov 2009
OKC108
MIL90
29 Oct 2008
OKC87
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#6
W
107-99
107
99
+8
H26/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
L
91-96
91
96
-5
A28/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#11
L
87-88
87
88
-1
A06/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A07/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Orlando Magic
#17
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Detroit Pistons
#18
L
91-97
91
97
-6
H04/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
113-101
113
101
+12
A06/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
113-94
113
94
+19
H07/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-34
12-22
37-22
29-21
22-18
19-23
29-37
21-18
28-24
22-23
15-21
22-20
20-19
30-13
28-22
12-22
31-21
25-24
22-13
14-24
19-24
8-24
25-15
33-29
20-14
27-24
20-24
20-23
28-26
24-23
21-26
18-22
31-20
32-29
26-24
24-28
26-29
32-22
35-16
20-27
186.6Avg total
95.6Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)105.797.3203.0+8.367%
Season at home (2)102.095.5197.5+6.550%
Season away (1)113.0101.0214.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)95.691.0186.6+4.660%
Last 5 (5)97.893.8191.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)108.0102.0210.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (19)105.4104.3209.7+1.147%
vs Weaker (10)106.196.0202.1+10.180%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#4
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A24/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H27/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
96-112
96
112
-16
A29/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
90-63
90
63
+27
A06/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Denver Nuggets
#10
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
83-75 OT
83
75
+8
H13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
116-82
116
82
+34
H04/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
125-107
125
107
+18
A08/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
22-25
24-24
26-20
22-24
26-15
26-26
23-21
17-30
25-20
25-31
29-31
14-8
25-14
21-19
30-22
28-26
22-22
13-17
15-16
17-18
28-26
13-23
25-23
18-13
28-25
17-20
12-17
18-11
21-27
20-29
30-24
32-25
31-18
27-14
26-25
33-23
29-32
36-27
27-25
182.3Avg total
94.4Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)120.594.5215.0+26.0100%
Season at home (1)116.082.0198.0+34.0100%
Season away (1)125.0107.0232.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)94.487.9182.3+6.550%
Last 5 (5)99.289.0188.2+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.5118.5224.0-13.050%
vs Similar (19)106.9107.5214.4-0.542%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)105.292.6197.8+12.778%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
Oklahoma City ThunderMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#6
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H26/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A28/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#11
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A06/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A07/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Orlando Magic
#17
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Detroit Pistons
#18
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H04/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A06/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H07/10
NBA
94.1Avg total
48.5Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.250.7102.9+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.149.3100.4+1.865%-
Last 30 away (13)53.552.5106.1+1.046%-
Last 10 (10)48.545.694.1+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)49.447.096.4+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)61.062.0123.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (19)51.251.8102.9-0.647%-
vs Weaker (10)53.247.5100.7+5.780%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#4
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A24/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H27/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A29/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A06/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Denver Nuggets
#10
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H04/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A08/10
NBA
89.6Avg total
47.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.850.4102.2+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.045.296.2+5.877%-
Last 30 away (17)52.454.4106.8-2.141%-
Last 10 (10)47.142.589.6+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)51.043.694.6+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.064.5115.5-13.550%-
vs Similar (19)51.451.7103.1-0.342%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)52.844.697.3+8.289%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 106.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.827.2
47.1%
51.7%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.9
36.8%
35.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws24.919.0
76.3%
76.6%19.0
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 104.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.329.5
55.3%
51.7%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.2
35.7%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.515.3
71.2%
76.6%15.3
They take 81.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWLWLWWLLW
Milwaukee Bucks
WWLWLLWLWL
#9
League position
#1
+1.3
Net rating
+1.3
104.2
Offensive rating
107.3
102.9
Defensive rating
106.0
49.8%
Effective FG%
54.7%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.5%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
17.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.8%
3-point %
35.7%
49.9%
Assist %
57.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 107.3Defence102.9 · 106.0Shooting49.8% · 54.7%3-point %36.8% · 35.7%Ball care14.5% · 13.5%Off. rebounds24.2% · 17.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/18HAtlanta Hawks113-94
06/10/18AMinnesota Timberwolves113-101
04/10/18HDetroit Pistons91-97
14/07/18HOrlando Magic87-85
12/07/18HMemphis Grizzlies85-92
09/07/18HToronto Raptors92-82
07/07/18ABrooklyn Nets90-76
06/07/18ACharlotte Hornets87-88
28/04/18AUtah Jazz91-96
26/04/18HUtah Jazz107-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/18AMinnesota Timberwolves125-107
04/10/18HChicago Bulls116-82
15/07/18HPhiladelphia 76ers89-91
13/07/18HSan Antonio Spurs83-75 OT
10/07/18ADenver Nuggets83-90
08/07/18HDallas Mavericks78-81
06/07/18ADetroit Pistons90-63
29/04/18ABoston Celtics96-112
27/04/18HBoston Celtics97-86
24/04/18ABoston Celtics87-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game105.7102.0113.0
Allowed / game97.395.5101.0
Point differential+8.3+6.5+12.0
Avg total203.0197.5214.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game120.5116.0125.0
Allowed / game94.582.0107.0
Point differential+26.0+34.0+18.0
Avg total215.0198.0232.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks220100%120.594.5+26.0
2 Los Angeles Clippers220100%115.594.0+21.5
3 Utah Jazz220100%114.0101.0+13.0
4 Denver Nuggets220100%118.5109.0+9.5
5 Charlotte Hornets43175%112.0107.2+4.8
6 New York Knicks43175%108.8108.2+0.5
7 Oklahoma City Thunder32167%105.797.3+8.3
8 Houston Rockets32167%113.0106.0+7.0
9 Washington Wizards32167%117.3112.0+5.3
10 Indiana Pacers32167%108.3103.7+4.7
11 San Antonio Spurs32167%104.7100.3+4.3
12 Cleveland Cavaliers32167%105.7102.7+3.0
13 Philadelphia 76ers32167%117.3114.3+3.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies32167%114.7115.0-0.3
15 Toronto Raptors21150%106.0104.5+1.5
16 Brooklyn Nets21150%106.0107.5-1.5
17 Dallas Mavericks21150%114.5116.0-1.5
18 Golden State Warriors31233%113.7108.3+5.3
19 Portland Trail Blazers31233%110.3112.7-2.3
20 Atlanta Hawks31233%106.7111.7-5.0
21 Phoenix Suns31233%104.0110.0-6.0
22 Detroit Pistons31233%99.3106.0-6.7
23 Chicago Bulls31233%104.7114.0-9.3
24 Sacramento Kings31233%107.7117.3-9.7
25 Miami Heat41325%104.2109.0-4.8
26 Boston Celtics41325%102.2107.8-5.5
27 Los Angeles Lakers41325%108.2115.8-7.5
28 Minnesota Timberwolves41325%105.8119.0-13.2
29 Orlando Magic2020%101.5105.0-3.5
30 New Orleans Pelicans3030%106.0116.7-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Oklahoma City Thunder2728242812119
Milwaukee Bucks301824358115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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