PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Jul 2018
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 90-83
18-17 26-28 23-13 23-25
Position#10
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#16
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game72.0
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks
23 Jan 2027
DEN v MIL
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
DEN108
MIL104
26 Mar 2025
DEN127
MIL117
29 Jan 2024
DEN113
MIL107
25 Mar 2023
DEN129
MIL106
26 Nov 2021
DEN109
MIL120
16 Aug 2021
DEN94
MIL87
08 Feb 2021
DEN112
MIL125
09 Mar 2020
DEN109
MIL95
11 Nov 2018
DEN114
MIL121
09 Jul 2018
DEN90
MIL83
01 Apr 2018
DEN128
MIL125
03 Feb 2017
DEN121
MIL117
11 Nov 2015
DEN103
MIL102
03 Mar 2015
DEN106
MIL95
05 Feb 2014
DEN110
MIL100
05 Feb 2013
DEN112
MIL104
02 Jan 2012
DEN91
MIL86
01 Dec 2010
DEN105
MIL94
20 Mar 2010
DEN97
MIL102
18 Nov 2008
DEN114
MIL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
110-114
110
114
-4
A27/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
126-125 OT
126
125
+1
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
128-125 OT
128
125
+3
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
107-104
107
104
+3
H04/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
100-96
100
96
+4
H06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
134-115
134
115
+19
A07/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H10/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
106-112 OT
106
112
-6
A12/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A07/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Boston Celtics
#6
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
35-33
27-24
25-32
27-28
35-30
30-21
22-35
22-34
41-20
16-38
32-19
27-26
22-20
28-27
30-31
27-24
24-30
28-18
21-24
33-26
33-32
35-31
33-26
28-23
14-26
24-20
22-13
26-29
28-33
27-24
20-15
18-16
22-16
22-9
8-28
17-12
13-19
28-20
24-18
206.2Avg total
105.1Scored
101.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.069.0145.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)82.069.0151.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)70.069.0139.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)105.1101.1206.2+4.080%
Last 5 (5)96.089.4185.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)99.5108.0207.5-8.525%
vs Similar (21)114.6112.5227.0+2.167%
vs Weaker (5)118.0104.4222.4+13.680%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
95-130
95
130
-35
A12/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
107-113 OT
107
113
-6
A15/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
106-120
106
120
-14
A18/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
116-92
116
92
+24
H21/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
104-102
104
102
+2
H22/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A24/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H27/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
96-112
96
112
-16
A29/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
90-63
90
63
+27
A06/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-46
26-34
31-25
20-25
17-29
30-15
19-26
33-29
22-33
29-27
24-30
31-30
27-12
31-23
27-32
31-25
24-17
27-18
24-32
29-35
15-23
22-25
24-24
26-20
22-24
26-15
26-26
23-21
17-30
25-20
25-31
29-31
14-8
25-14
21-19
30-22
28-26
22-22
13-17
15-16
196.7Avg total
97.6Scored
99.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.072.0156.0+12.050%
Season at home (1)78.081.0159.0-3.00%
Season away (1)90.063.0153.0+27.0100%
Last 10 (10)97.699.1196.7-1.540%
Last 5 (5)89.686.8176.4+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)107.0114.2221.2-7.250%
vs Similar (22)106.2106.8213.0-0.541%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)112.897.0209.8+15.8100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.3+1.3
Denver NuggetsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A27/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A07/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H10/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A12/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A07/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Boston Celtics
#6
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
101.7Avg total
51.5Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.654.6112.2+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.454.3109.7+1.154%-
Last 30 away (17)59.454.8114.2+4.565%-
Last 10 (10)51.550.2101.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.446.492.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)49.054.8103.8-5.825%-
vs Similar (21)58.055.1113.0+2.962%-
vs Weaker (5)63.252.4115.6+10.880%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
44-80
44
80
-36
A12/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A15/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A18/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
58-35
58
35
+23
H21/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H22/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A24/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H27/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A29/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A06/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
92.8Avg total
46.7Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.952.3104.1-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.949.9101.8+2.164%-
Last 30 away (16)51.854.4106.2-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)46.746.192.8+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.484.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.064.8116.8-12.825%-
vs Similar (22)51.351.2102.5+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)55.045.8100.8+9.275%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.129.1
51.9%
-58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.4
36.0%
-34.2
🏀 Free throws24.218.7
77.3%
-18.7
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 102.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.630.2
53.4%
-60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.3
36.3%
-27.9
🏀 Free throws19.014.2
74.7%
-14.2
They take 82.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jul 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWWWWWL
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLWLWWLLL
#10
League position
#16
+1.5
Net rating
-1.0
110.7
Offensive rating
105.6
109.2
Defensive rating
106.6
52.6%
Effective FG%
53.7%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
12.5%
Turnover %
13.9%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
17.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.0%
3-point %
36.3%
64.4%
Assist %
58.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/18HBoston Celtics82-69
07/07/18AMinnesota Timberwolves70-69
12/04/18AMinnesota Timberwolves106-112 OT
10/04/18HPortland Trail Blazers88-82
07/04/18ALos Angeles Clippers134-115
06/04/18HMinnesota Timberwolves100-96
04/04/18HIndiana Pacers107-104
02/04/18HMilwaukee Bucks128-125 OT
31/03/18AOklahoma City Thunder126-125 OT
27/03/18AToronto Raptors110-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/18HDallas Mavericks78-81
06/07/18ADetroit Pistons90-63
29/04/18ABoston Celtics96-112
27/04/18HBoston Celtics97-86
24/04/18ABoston Celtics87-92
22/04/18HBoston Celtics104-102
21/04/18HBoston Celtics116-92
18/04/18ABoston Celtics106-120
15/04/18ABoston Celtics107-113 OT
12/04/18APhiladelphia 76ers95-130

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game76.082.070.0
Allowed / game69.069.069.0
Point differential+7.0+13.0+1.0
Avg total145.0151.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game84.078.090.0
Allowed / game72.081.063.0
Point differential+12.0-3.0+27.0
Avg total156.0159.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Orlando Magic220100%86.068.0+18.0
2 Portland Trail Blazers220100%89.073.0+16.0
3 Los Angeles Lakers220100%82.569.5+13.0
4 Phoenix Suns220100%81.574.0+7.5
5 Denver Nuggets220100%76.069.0+7.0
6 Houston Rockets220100%89.585.0+4.5
7 New Orleans Pelicans32167%99.088.7+10.3
8 Oklahoma City Thunder32167%89.782.0+7.7
9 Dallas Mavericks32167%85.780.3+5.3
10 Boston Celtics32167%88.083.7+4.3
11 Cleveland Cavaliers32167%82.077.7+4.3
12 Charlotte Hornets32167%87.392.3-5.0
13 Milwaukee Bucks21150%84.072.0+12.0
14 Minnesota Timberwolves21150%86.081.0+5.0
15 Los Angeles Clippers21150%79.577.5+2.0
16 New York Knicks21150%88.089.5-1.5
17 Chicago Bulls21150%73.075.0-2.0
18 San Antonio Spurs21150%85.588.0-2.5
19 Utah Jazz21150%84.089.0-5.0
20 Memphis Grizzlies21150%64.578.0-13.5
21 Indiana Pacers31233%87.787.0+0.7
22 Washington Wizards31233%78.780.7-2.0
23 Golden State Warriors31233%76.383.0-6.7
24 Detroit Pistons31233%79.386.7-7.3
25 Sacramento Kings2020%70.579.5-9.0
26 Atlanta Hawks2020%78.588.0-9.5
27 Brooklyn Nets2020%78.088.0-10.0
28 Toronto Raptors3030%83.795.0-11.3
29 Philadelphia 76ers3030%81.092.7-11.7
30 Miami Heat2020%87.0102.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets1826232390
Milwaukee Bucks1728132583
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.