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Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 130-112
37-22 35-35 35-34 23-21
Position#13
Record20-17
FormWWLWW
Points / game113.4
Allowed / game111.4
vs
Position#24
Record10-31
FormLLLWW
Points / game111.0
Allowed / game118.2
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors
06 Nov 2026
MIL v TOR
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
MIL94
TOR122
18 Dec 2025
MIL105
TOR111
17 Jan 2025
MIL130
TOR112
12 Nov 2024
MIL99
TOR85
05 Apr 2024
MIL111
TOR117
19 Mar 2023
MIL118
TOR111
17 Jan 2023
MIL130
TOR122
15 Jan 2022
MIL96
TOR103
05 Jan 2022
MIL111
TOR117
18 Feb 2021
MIL96
TOR110
16 Feb 2021
MIL113
TOR124
10 Aug 2020
MIL106
TOR114
02 Nov 2019
MIL115
TOR105
23 May 2019
MIL v TOR
upcoming
17 May 2019
MIL125
TOR103
15 May 2019
MIL108
TOR100
05 Jan 2019
MIL116
TOR123
29 Oct 2018
MIL124
TOR109
05 Jan 2018
MIL110
TOR129
27 Apr 2017
MIL89
TOR92
22 Apr 2017
MIL76
TOR87
20 Apr 2017
MIL104
TOR77
04 Mar 2017
MIL101
TOR94
25 Nov 2016
MIL99
TOR105
15 Mar 2016
MIL89
TOR107
26 Dec 2015
MIL90
TOR111
19 Jan 2015
MIL89
TOR92
05 Apr 2014
MIL98
TOR102
02 Nov 2013
MIL90
TOR97
06 Apr 2013
MIL100
TOR83
02 Mar 2013
MIL122
TOR114
23 Apr 2012
MIL92
TOR86
11 Apr 2011
MIL93
TOR86
08 Feb 2011
MIL92
TOR74
20 Jan 2010
MIL113
TOR107
09 Dec 2009
MIL117
TOR95
05 Jan 2009
MIL107
TOR97
01 Nov 2008
MIL87
TOR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
111-116
111
116
-5
96avg 106
A29/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
120-112
120
112
+8
112avg 106
A31/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
110-113
110
113
-3
97avg 106
H03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
102-105
102
105
-3
90avg 106
H05/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
128-104
128
104
+24
137avg 106
A07/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
121-105
121
105
+16
118avg 106
H09/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
109-106
109
106
+3
99avg 106
A11/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
106-140
106
140
-34
90avg 106
A12/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
130-115
130
115
+15
128avg 106
H15/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
122-93
122
93
+29
127avg 106
H16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-33
35-29
24-21
27-33
30-28
23-36
35-27
32-21
23-30
31-36
31-28
25-19
31-28
20-26
25-21
26-30
28-19
38-28
33-28
29-29
31-27
34-19
26-32
30-27
29-31
21-20
28-30
31-25
33-36
29-39
27-33
17-32
47-26
28-28
27-28
28-33
34-16
28-25
30-27
30-25
226.8Avg total
115.9Scored
110.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)113.4111.4224.8+2.054%
Season at home (19)115.7109.6225.3+6.163%
Season away (18)111.1113.3224.3-2.244%
Last 10 (10)115.9110.9226.8+5.060%
Last 5 (5)117.6111.8229.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)103.0117.5220.5-14.50%
vs Similar (14)116.2110.4226.6+5.979%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)112.7105.2217.9+7.569%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
107-136
107
136
-29
106avg 103
H29/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
71-125
71
125
-54
55avg 103
A31/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
130-113
130
113
+17
133avg 103
H02/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
97-106
97
106
-9
94avg 103
H04/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
104-128
104
128
-24
90avg 103
H07/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
98-112
98
112
-14
92avg 103
A09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
126-132
126
132
-6
124avg 103
A10/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
114-123
114
123
-9
103avg 103
A12/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
104-101
104
101
+3
100avg 103
H14/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
110-97
110
97
+13
116avg 103
H16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-35
33-29
24-40
25-32
12-23
23-22
18-45
18-35
26-33
39-31
29-27
36-22
24-37
26-25
18-26
29-18
19-28
28-38
28-33
29-29
24-28
27-27
25-31
22-26
33-27
28-34
42-37
23-34
32-32
34-33
27-34
21-24
28-26
24-24
23-28
29-23
25-29
30-24
33-29
22-15
223.4Avg total
106.1Scored
117.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)111.0118.2229.2-7.324%
Season at home (22)112.4116.5229.0-4.141%
Season away (19)109.3120.2229.5-10.95%
Last 10 (10)106.1117.3223.4-11.230%
Last 5 (5)110.4113.0223.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)108.0117.5225.6-9.525%
vs Similar (9)111.2117.1228.3-5.922%
vs Weaker (1)119.093.0212.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
Milwaukee BucksToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A29/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A31/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H05/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
66-47
66
47
+19
A07/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
65-46
65
46
+19
H09/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A11/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A12/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
75-54
75
54
+21
H15/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H16/01
NBA
115.8Avg total
59.8Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.254.5113.7+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.952.7111.6+6.378%-
Last 30 away (12)59.657.2116.8+2.350%-
Last 10 (10)59.856.0115.8+3.840%-
Last 5 (5)62.853.4116.2+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)54.061.0115.0-7.050%-
vs Similar (14)61.055.6116.6+5.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)58.052.0110.0+6.077%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H29/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A31/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H02/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H04/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
47-66
47
66
-19
H07/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A10/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A12/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H14/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H16/01
NBA
112.5Avg total
54.0Scored
58.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.858.1112.8-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.357.8113.1-2.553%-
Last 30 away (13)54.158.4112.5-4.323%-
Last 10 (10)54.058.5112.5-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)57.056.8113.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)54.457.8112.1-3.440%-
vs Similar (9)55.660.1115.7-4.633%-
vs Weaker (1)56.046.0102.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 115.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.830.3
55.3%
54.3%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.813.5
37.7%
35.9%40.5
🏀 Free throws20.314.8
72.9%
77.8%14.8
They take 90.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 106.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.529.8
54.7%
54.3%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.5
36.2%
35.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws17.012.0
70.6%
77.8%12.0
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWLWWWLLWL
Toronto Raptors
WWLLLLLWLL
#13
League position
#24
+4.9
Net rating
-11.5
112.7
Offensive rating
108.5
107.9
Defensive rating
119.9
55.8%
Effective FG%
54.5%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
12.4%
Turnover %
15.6%
20.6%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.20
37.7%
3-point %
36.2%
59.1%
Assist %
68.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 108.5Defence107.9 · 119.9Shooting55.8% · 54.5%3-point %37.7% · 36.2%Ball care12.4% · 15.6%Off. rebounds20.6% · 26.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
4
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25HOrlando Magic122-93
15/01/25HSacramento Kings130-115
12/01/25ANew York Knicks106-140
11/01/25AOrlando Magic109-106
09/01/25HSan Antonio Spurs121-105
07/01/25AToronto Raptors128-104
05/01/25HPortland Trail Blazers102-105
03/01/25HBrooklyn Nets110-113
31/12/24AIndiana Pacers120-112
29/12/24AChicago Bulls111-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25HBoston Celtics110-97
14/01/25HGolden State Warriors104-101
12/01/25ADetroit Pistons114-123
10/01/25ACleveland Cavaliers126-132
09/01/25ANew York Knicks98-112
07/01/25HMilwaukee Bucks104-128
04/01/25HOrlando Magic97-106
02/01/25HBrooklyn Nets130-113
31/12/24ABoston Celtics71-125
29/12/24HAtlanta Hawks107-136

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW54%
HomeLLWWW63%
AwayLWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %54%63%44%
Points / game113.4115.7111.1
Allowed / game111.4109.6113.3
Point differential+2.0+6.1-2.2
Avg total224.8225.3224.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%47%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)25% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW24%
HomeWLLWW41%
AwayLLLLL5%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412219
Win %24%41%5%
Points / game111.0112.4109.3
Allowed / game118.2116.5120.2
Point differential-7.3-4.1-10.9
Avg total229.2229.0229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)44% (9)0% (5)
Overtime %7%9%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers4034685%122.0112.0+10.1
2 Oklahoma City Thunder3832684%116.7103.8+12.9
3 Boston Celtics41291271%117.6108.4+9.2
4 Houston Rockets38261268%115.1108.4+6.7
5 New York Knicks42271564%117.4111.1+6.3
6 Memphis Grizzlies41261563%123.0115.2+7.8
7 Denver Nuggets40241660%120.0116.0+4.0
8 Los Angeles Clippers40231757%109.6106.6+3.0
9 Los Angeles Lakers38211755%111.7114.1-2.4
10 Dallas Mavericks40221855%115.9112.0+3.9
11 Indiana Pacers42231955%115.2114.9+0.3
12 Orlando Magic42231955%104.2103.9+0.3
13 Milwaukee Bucks37201754%113.4111.4+2.0
14 Minnesota Timberwolves41221954%109.9107.6+2.3
15 Atlanta Hawks38201853%117.8119.9-2.1
16 Miami Heat39201951%110.7109.5+1.3
17 Golden State Warriors39201951%111.7111.3+0.4
18 Sacramento Kings41212051%116.5114.2+2.3
19 Detroit Pistons41212051%112.1113.3-1.2
20 Phoenix Suns40202050%112.9114.2-1.3
21 San Antonio Spurs39192049%111.7112.0-0.2
22 Chicago Bulls41182344%117.5120.5-3.1
23 Philadelphia 76ers39152438%107.6111.2-3.6
24 Brooklyn Nets41142734%106.9114.0-7.1
25 Portland Trail Blazers40132732%107.9116.9-9.0
26 Utah Jazz39102926%110.9117.6-6.7
27 Toronto Raptors41103124%111.0118.2-7.3
28 Charlotte Hornets3792824%106.5112.4-5.9
29 New Orleans Pelicans42103224%108.3117.0-8.8
30 Washington Wizards3963315%108.7122.8-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks37353523130
Toronto Raptors22353421112
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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