PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 26 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#20
Record5-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game111.5
vs
Position#14
Record7-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game118.2
Allowed / game113.1
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Minnesota Timberwolves
02 Mar 2027
OKC v MIN
upcoming
25 Nov 2026
OKC v MIN
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
OKC116
MIN103
26 Nov 2025
OKC113
MIN105
28 May 2025
OKC124
MIN94
22 May 2025
OKC118
MIN103
20 May 2025
OKC114
MIN88
24 Feb 2025
OKC128
MIN131
31 Dec 2024
OKC113
MIN105
29 Jan 2024
OKC101
MIN107
26 Dec 2023
OKC129
MIN106
16 Dec 2022
OKC110
MIN112
23 Oct 2022
OKC106
MIN116
04 Mar 2022
OKC101
MIN138
07 Jan 2022
OKC105
MIN135
06 Feb 2021
OKC120
MIN118
05 Feb 2021
OKC103
MIN106
13 Mar 2020
OKC v MIN
upcoming
06 Dec 2019
OKC139
MIN127
08 Jan 2019
OKC117
MIN119
23 Dec 2018
OKC112
MIN114
01 Dec 2017
OKC111
MIN107
22 Oct 2017
OKC113
MIN115
25 Dec 2016
OKC112
MIN100
05 Nov 2016
OKC112
MIN92
16 Oct 2016
OKC112
MIN94
11 Mar 2016
OKC96
MIN99
15 Jan 2016
OKC113
MIN93
13 Mar 2015
OKC113
MIN99
26 Jan 2015
OKC92
MIN84
19 Oct 2014
OKC94
MIN112
05 Feb 2014
OKC106
MIN97
01 Dec 2013
OKC113
MIN103
22 Feb 2013
OKC127
MIN111
09 Jan 2013
OKC106
MIN84
23 Mar 2012
OKC149
MIN140
25 Mar 2011
OKC111
MIN103
22 Nov 2010
OKC117
MIN107
04 Apr 2010
OKC116
MIN108
26 Feb 2010
OKC109
MIN92
28 Nov 2008
OKC103
MIN105
02 Nov 2008
OKC88
MIN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
L
126-128
126
128
-2
73avg 105
H08/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
110-113
110
113
-3
15avg 105
A12/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
114-112 OT
114
112
+2
70avg 105
H14/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
89-116
89
116
-27
59avg 105
A16/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
116-104
116
104
+12
105avg 105
A21/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
96-84
96
84
+12
83avg 105
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
W
108-101
108
101
+7
97avg 105
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
125-114
125
114
+11
119avg 105
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#18
L
96-120
96
120
-24
76avg 105
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
98-119
98
119
-21
72avg 105
A01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
44-35
38-29
20-33
24-31
28-29
21-27
30-23
31-34
25-33
34-28
26-23
15-16
15-33
32-21
22-25
20-37
34-28
31-16
28-36
23-24
24-27
20-21
26-16
26-20
23-20
20-26
34-30
31-25
33-27
34-26
32-32
26-29
30-33
29-32
22-29
15-26
26-35
25-27
24-30
23-27
218.9Avg total
107.8Scored
111.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)108.0111.5219.5-3.545%
Season at home (6)113.2109.2222.3+4.067%
Season away (5)101.8114.4216.2-12.620%
Last 10 (10)107.8111.1218.9-3.350%
Last 5 (5)104.6107.6212.2-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)104.6113.6218.2-9.020%
vs Similar (11)107.0109.6216.6-2.655%
vs Weaker (14)120.1109.9230.0+10.379%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#27
W
122-104
122
104
+18
114avg 108
A12/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
106-128
106
128
-22
95avg 108
H15/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
116-133
116
133
-17
83avg 108
A17/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
131-106
131
106
+25
116avg 108
A21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
115-93
115
93
+22
111avg 108
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#15
W
117-94
117
94
+23
120avg 108
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 108
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 108
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 108
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 108
A01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
32-25
28-30
32-24
38-29
20-36
24-32
24-31
28-33
32-34
28-31
28-35
34-32
35-27
30-22
32-25
26-20
31-25
29-15
29-33
32-21
23-26
35-15
27-32
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
231.0Avg total
118.4Scored
112.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)118.2113.1231.3+5.254%
Season at home (4)116.0110.5226.5+5.550%
Season away (9)119.2114.2233.4+5.056%
Last 10 (10)118.4112.6231.0+5.850%
Last 5 (5)118.8112.4231.2+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5120.7225.2-16.233%
vs Similar (14)114.9115.7230.6-0.843%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)122.0111.1233.1+10.980%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
Oklahoma City ThunderMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H08/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A12/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H14/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A16/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
65-44
65
44
+21
A21/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#18
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A01/11
NBA
111.9Avg total
56.6Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.954.8112.7+3.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.354.8114.1+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)56.554.7111.3+1.847%-
Last 10 (10)56.655.3111.9+1.330%-
Last 5 (5)52.854.8107.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)55.853.6109.4+2.240%-
vs Similar (11)52.954.3107.2-1.427%-
vs Weaker (14)62.655.6118.2+7.171%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#27
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A12/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H15/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A17/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#15
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
116.2Avg total
59.9Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.256.8115.0+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.655.8114.4+2.858%-
Last 30 away (18)57.957.4115.4+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)59.956.3116.2+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)58.655.4114.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.857.3107.2-7.517%-
vs Similar (14)57.857.6115.4+0.243%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)63.855.4119.2+8.490%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.227.8
51.3%
54.0%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.312.7
36.0%
34.8%38.1
🏀 Free throws20.616.2
78.6%
76.3%16.2
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 118.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.326.4
51.5%
54.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.614.4
39.3%
34.8%43.2
🏀 Free throws30.322.0
72.6%
76.3%22.0
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLWWWWLWLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLLWWWLLW
#20
League position
#14
-0.2
Net rating
+2.5
99.0
Offensive rating
107.1
99.2
Defensive rating
104.7
52.3%
Effective FG%
54.6%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
14.0%
Turnover %
14.9%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
43.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.0%
3-point %
39.3%
61.5%
Assist %
60.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 107.1Defence99.2 · 104.7Shooting52.3% · 54.6%3-point %36.0% · 39.3%Ball care14.0% · 14.9%Off. rebounds28.7% · 43.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AHouston Rockets98-119
29/10/26ADallas Mavericks96-120
27/10/26HPhoenix Suns125-114
25/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers108-101
23/10/26HDenver Nuggets96-84
21/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs116-104
16/10/26AHouston Rockets89-116
14/10/26HIndiana Pacers114-112 OT
12/10/26AAtlanta Hawks110-113
08/10/26HMilwaukee Bucks126-128
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
25/10/26HToronto Raptors117-94
23/10/26AOrlando Magic115-93
21/10/26AMiami Heat131-106
17/10/26AChicago Bulls116-133
15/10/26HDetroit Pistons106-128
12/10/26ANew York Knicks122-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL45%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game108.0113.2101.8
Allowed / game111.5109.2114.4
Point differential-3.5+4.0-12.6
Avg total219.5222.3216.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL54%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %54%50%56%
Points / game118.2116.0119.2
Allowed / game113.1110.5114.2
Point differential+5.2+5.5+5.0
Avg total231.3226.5233.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies109190%119.7107.9+11.8
2 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
3 Houston Rockets108280%121.1109.6+11.5
4 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers86275%119.2111.2+8.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers117464%110.5110.4+0.1
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
9 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.9116.2+2.8
10 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.3117.4+1.9
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 San Antonio Spurs116555%116.0109.5+6.5
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 Minnesota Timberwolves137654%118.2113.1+5.2
15 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
16 New Orleans Pelicans105550%116.0114.8+1.2
17 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
18 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder115645%108.0111.5-3.5
21 Utah Jazz104640%110.5115.2-4.7
22 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
23 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
24 Charlotte Hornets114736%97.6108.1-10.5
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks113827%111.4123.3-11.9
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings110110%106.4123.5-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.