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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Postponed
Position#8
Record41-26
FormLLWWW
Points / game110.4
Allowed / game108.5
vs
Position#27
Record20-48
FormWWLLL
Points / game113.1
Allowed / game117.7
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Minnesota Timberwolves
02 Mar 2027
OKC v MIN
upcoming
25 Nov 2026
OKC v MIN
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
OKC116
MIN103
26 Nov 2025
OKC113
MIN105
28 May 2025
OKC124
MIN94
22 May 2025
OKC118
MIN103
20 May 2025
OKC114
MIN88
24 Feb 2025
OKC128
MIN131
31 Dec 2024
OKC113
MIN105
29 Jan 2024
OKC101
MIN107
26 Dec 2023
OKC129
MIN106
16 Dec 2022
OKC110
MIN112
23 Oct 2022
OKC106
MIN116
04 Mar 2022
OKC101
MIN138
07 Jan 2022
OKC105
MIN135
06 Feb 2021
OKC120
MIN118
05 Feb 2021
OKC103
MIN106
13 Mar 2020
OKC v MIN
upcoming
06 Dec 2019
OKC139
MIN127
08 Jan 2019
OKC117
MIN119
23 Dec 2018
OKC112
MIN114
01 Dec 2017
OKC111
MIN107
22 Oct 2017
OKC113
MIN115
25 Dec 2016
OKC112
MIN100
05 Nov 2016
OKC112
MIN92
16 Oct 2016
OKC112
MIN94
11 Mar 2016
OKC96
MIN99
15 Jan 2016
OKC113
MIN93
13 Mar 2015
OKC113
MIN99
26 Jan 2015
OKC92
MIN84
19 Oct 2014
OKC94
MIN112
05 Feb 2014
OKC106
MIN97
01 Dec 2013
OKC113
MIN103
22 Feb 2013
OKC127
MIN111
09 Jan 2013
OKC106
MIN84
23 Mar 2012
OKC149
MIN140
25 Mar 2011
OKC111
MIN103
22 Nov 2010
OKC117
MIN107
04 Apr 2010
OKC116
MIN108
26 Feb 2010
OKC109
MIN92
28 Nov 2008
OKC103
MIN105
02 Nov 2008
OKC88
MIN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
123-118
123
118
+5
A14/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
113-101
113
101
+12
H22/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#18
W
131-103
131
103
+28
H24/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
124-122
124
122
+2
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
112-108
112
108
+4
H28/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
86-133
86
133
-47
A29/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
94-109
94
109
-15
H04/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
114-107
114
107
+7
A05/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
126-103
126
103
+23
A07/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
105-104
105
104
+1
A08/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-30
37-28
32-35
25-25
27-17
21-31
30-29
35-24
29-29
32-26
37-18
33-30
36-28
36-27
19-38
33-29
25-27
25-34
31-21
31-26
24-31
23-39
22-37
17-26
27-38
20-21
23-30
24-20
38-32
31-32
25-18
20-25
27-20
34-28
34-30
31-25
29-26
23-37
31-21
22-20
223.6Avg total
112.8Scored
110.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)110.4108.5218.9+1.961%
Season at home (35)113.4109.4222.8+4.060%
Season away (32)107.2107.4214.6-0.362%
Last 10 (10)112.8110.8223.6+2.080%
Last 5 (5)105.0111.2216.2-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5118.8223.3-14.317%
vs Similar (15)113.9107.7221.6+6.373%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)119.1106.8225.9+12.3100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
116-128
116
128
-12
A23/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
L
123-139
123
139
-16
A25/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
W
129-126
129
126
+3
A27/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#19
L
125-136
125
136
-11
A29/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
L
91-111
91
111
-20
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
139-134
139
134
+5
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
115-108
115
108
+7
H05/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#19
L
118-132
118
132
-14
H07/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
107-120
107
120
-13
H08/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
111-117
111
117
-6
A11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-43
27-30
22-24
29-31
27-41
38-40
31-29
27-29
29-28
28-32
38-34
34-32
35-35
30-34
31-34
29-33
24-28
20-35
21-18
26-30
28-31
44-37
37-43
30-23
22-29
33-29
33-21
27-29
24-29
31-36
28-37
35-30
29-36
34-35
21-27
23-22
35-26
21-26
24-31
31-34
242.5Avg total
117.4Scored
125.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)113.1117.7230.9-4.629%
Season at home (32)110.7115.3226.0-4.725%
Season away (36)115.3119.9235.1-4.633%
Last 10 (10)117.4125.1242.5-7.730%
Last 5 (5)118.0122.2240.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)114.4122.2236.5-7.816%
vs Similar (11)116.4118.6235.0-2.327%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
Oklahoma City ThunderMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A14/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H22/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#18
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H24/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
72-55
72
55
+17
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H28/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
47-70
47
70
-23
A29/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H04/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A05/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
61-48
61
48
+13
A07/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A08/03
NBA
115.4Avg total
57.3Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.256.5112.8-0.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.956.9110.8-2.947%-
Last 30 away (15)58.556.2114.7+2.373%-
Last 10 (10)57.358.1115.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)55.260.8116.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)51.865.0116.8-13.217%-
vs Similar (15)54.354.7108.9-0.453%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)62.454.0116.4+8.4100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A23/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A25/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A27/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#19
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A29/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H05/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#19
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H07/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H08/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A11/03
NBA
125.7Avg total
59.7Scored
66.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.360.6119.9-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.958.3117.2+0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)59.763.3123.0-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)59.766.0125.7-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)60.262.8123.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)59.562.8122.3-3.332%-
vs Similar (11)58.956.9115.8+2.045%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.431.2
54.4%
52.3%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.2
37.2%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws25.919.8
76.4%
77.2%19.8
They take 84.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 117.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.728.7
54.5%
52.3%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.614.1
35.6%
35.7%42.3
🏀 Free throws24.617.7
72.0%
77.2%17.7
They take 92.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWLLWWWWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLWWLLWLL
#8
League position
#27
+2.0
Net rating
-7.1
111.5
Offensive rating
107.9
109.5
Defensive rating
115.0
54.8%
Effective FG%
54.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
11.2%
Turnover %
13.4%
17.2%
Off. rebound %
19.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.2%
3-point %
35.6%
52.4%
Assist %
57.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 107.9Defence109.5 · 115.0Shooting54.8% · 54.0%3-point %37.2% · 35.6%Ball care11.2% · 13.4%Off. rebounds17.2% · 19.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20ABoston Celtics105-104
07/03/20ANew York Knicks126-103
05/03/20ADetroit Pistons114-107
04/03/20HLos Angeles Clippers94-109
29/02/20AMilwaukee Bucks86-133
28/02/20HSacramento Kings112-108
26/02/20AChicago Bulls124-122
24/02/20HSan Antonio Spurs131-103
22/02/20HDenver Nuggets113-101
14/02/20ANew Orleans Pelicans123-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/20AHouston Rockets111-117
08/03/20HNew Orleans Pelicans107-120
07/03/20HOrlando Magic118-132
05/03/20HChicago Bulls115-108
04/03/20ANew Orleans Pelicans139-134
01/03/20HDallas Mavericks91-111
29/02/20AOrlando Magic125-136
27/02/20AMiami Heat129-126
25/02/20ADallas Mavericks123-139
23/02/20ADenver Nuggets116-128

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673532
Win %61%60%62%
Points / game110.4113.4107.2
Allowed / game108.5109.4107.4
Point differential+1.9+4.0-0.3
Avg total218.9222.8214.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%29%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (24)50% (10)64% (14)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL29%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683236
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game113.1110.7115.3
Allowed / game117.7115.3119.9
Point differential-4.6-4.7-4.6
Avg total230.9226.0235.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%12%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)0% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %10%12%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks70581283%118.8107.2+11.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers69521775%113.7106.6+7.1
3 Toronto Raptors68482071%113.1107.0+6.1
4 Boston Celtics68472169%112.9105.7+7.2
5 Denver Nuggets69472268%110.3106.9+3.4
6 Los Angeles Clippers67442366%115.1109.6+5.5
7 Miami Heat70452564%112.4108.5+3.9
8 Houston Rockets69432662%118.5114.8+3.7
9 Oklahoma City Thunder67412661%110.4108.5+1.9
10 Philadelphia 76ers69422761%109.4106.6+2.8
11 Indiana Pacers69422761%109.9107.6+2.3
12 Utah Jazz68412760%111.2109.1+2.2
13 Dallas Mavericks72423058%115.8109.8+5.9
14 Memphis Grizzlies68333549%112.3113.7-1.5
15 New Orleans Pelicans69333648%116.9117.1-0.2
16 Brooklyn Nets67323548%110.5111.1-0.6
17 Orlando Magic71333846%105.9106.7-0.8
18 Sacramento Kings68303844%109.5111.2-1.7
19 Portland Trail Blazers70304043%113.5115.3-1.9
20 San Antonio Spurs68293943%112.5114.7-2.2
21 Phoenix Suns69284141%112.3113.6-1.3
22 Washington Wizards68264238%115.2118.7-3.5
23 Chicago Bulls70244634%106.9109.8-2.8
24 Charlotte Hornets70244634%102.9109.4-6.5
25 Detroit Pistons71234832%107.1110.8-3.7
26 New York Knicks70224831%105.7112.0-6.3
27 Minnesota Timberwolves68204829%113.1117.7-4.6
28 Atlanta Hawks72215129%110.6119.2-8.5
29 Cleveland Cavaliers68194928%106.2114.8-8.6
30 Golden State Warriors70175324%106.7115.1-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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